Intelligent Design Probability

Karsten Pultz on why randomness depends on order

Pultz: Comparing to evolution, the randomness produced by the orderly dice, would be the same randomness having produced the dice itself, because that’s how evolution works, slowly building order by random events from the bottom up. Applying the same hypothetical process to bicycles the random event that I get a puncture when riding my bike would be the same type of event which initially created the bike.

Animal minds Intelligent Design Logic and First Principles of right reason Mathematics Mind Probability

Robert J. Marks: Pigeons can solve the Monty Hall problem. But can you?

The dilemma pits human folk intuition against actual probability theory, with surprising results. But the howler is that pigeons tended to get this right more easily than humans – at least in one study. (Another study found that it depended on the humans’ age.)

Extraterrestrial life Intelligent Design Probability

Extraterrestrial civilizations: When all else fails, try Bayesianism

From ScienceDaily: Could there be another planet out there with a society at the same stage of technological advancement as ours? To help find out, EPFL scientist Claudio Grimaldi, working in association with the University of California, Berkeley, has developed a statistical model that gives researchers a new tool in the search for the kind Read More…

Artificial Intelligence Intelligent Design Mind Probability

AI and pop music: Can simple probabilities outperform deep learning?

Haebichan Jung tells us that he built an original pop music-making machine “that could rival deep learning but with simpler solutions.” Deep learning “is a subfield of machine learning concerned with algorithms inspired by the structure and function of the brain called artificial neural networks.” (Jason Brownlee, Machine Learning Mastery) Jung tells us that he Read More…

academic freedom Culture Education Free Speech Human evolution Mathematics Natural selection Peer review Popular culture Probability Science, Mathematics, Philosophy and (Natural) Theology Society

Silenced! Selectivity too close to truth?

Should science pursue truth regardless of consequences? Or must we succumb to political correctness? Must selectivity of females always equal males? Consider: Academic Activists Send a Published Paper Down the Memory Hole – by Theodore P. Hill “In the highly controversial area of human intelligence, the ‘Greater Male Variability Hypothesis’ (GMVH) asserts that there are Read More…

Cosmology Intelligent Design Philosophy Physics Probability

Does eternally inflating cosmology cause probabilities to fail?

From John D. Norton: (2018) Eternal Inflation: When Probabilities Fail. [Preprint] In eternally inflating cosmology, infinitely many pocket universes are seeded. Attempts to show that universes like our observable universe are probable amongst them have failed, since no unique probability measure is recoverable. This lack of definite probabilities is taken to reveal a complete predictive Read More…

Back to Basics of ID biosemiotics Computing, AI, Cybernetics and Mechatronics Darwinist rhetorical tactics Functionally Specified Complex Information & Organization ID ID Foundations Irreducible Complexity Logic and First Principles of right reason Mathematics Probability Universal plausibility/probability bound vs search challenge

Answering DiEb: Just what is “search” in a sense relevant to ID?

For some time now, objector DiEb has been raising the question, what do we mean by speaking of “search” in the context of evolutionary search. At 311 in the parody thread, she [IIRC] remarks: >>Search is a central term in the work of Dr. Dr. William Dembski jr, Dr. Winston Ewert, and Dr. Robert Marks Read More…

Complex Specified Information Design inference Information Intelligent Design Mathematics Probability

Confusing Probability: The “Every-Sequence-Is-Equally-Improbable” Argument

Note to Readers: The past few days on this thread there has been tremendous activity and much discussion about the concept of probability.  I had intended to post this OP months ago, but found it still in my drafts folder yesterday mostly, but not quite fully, complete.  In the interest of highlighting a couple of the issues Read More…