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Chains of warrant and of causation in Origins Science

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As has come up as pivotal in recent discussions here at UD, we must recognise that logic and first principles underlie any serious discussion, including origins science, and in sciences  — especially those addressing origins — the issue of chains of cause will be pivotal.

The two are connected, as can be seen by first examining chains of warrant:

A summary of why we end up with foundations for our worldviews, whether or not we would phrase the matter that way}
A summary of why we end up with foundations for our worldviews, whether or not we would phrase the matter that way}

Now, Peter D. Klein, in the Oxford Handbook of Skepticism, highlights:

The epistemic regress problem is considered the most crucial in the entire theory of knowledge and it is a major concern for many contemporary epistemologists. However, only two of the three alternative solutions have been developed in any detail, foundationalism and coherentism. Infinitism was not seriously considered as a solution because of the finite-mind objection. [article: “Contemporary Responses to Agrippa’s Trilemma,” OUP 2008.]

That is, once one looks at the logical structure of warrant — it naturally chains, one is led to infinite regress, or circularity at some level, or else one has to terminate in some finitely remote set of first plausibles, defining what I have come to call a faith-point.  Notice, it is often perceived as a central problem, and thus as a problem rather than a framework that defines how worldviews have to be structured, leading to the situation that the only viable option is finitely remote first plausibles held in light of comparative difficulties across factual adequacy (covers all material facts), coherence (logical and dynamical) and explanatory power (neither simplistic nor an ever growing ad hoc patchwork).

In effect, we are humbled by our circumstances as contingent, finite, fallible, morally struggling creatures who are far too often stubbornly irrational and ill-willed. So, we can only hope to have a reasonable faith as a worldview sustained on comparative difficulties analysis, not a frame of utterly certain start-point premises.

Similarly, origins science is concerned with causal roots of our cosmos, our world, the world of life, and our own roots. Therefore, we face the reality of chains of cause as well, and thus we see that the implications of successive chaining confront us again. For instance, let us note how the Smithsonian Institution presented a tree of life model a few years past:

Darwin-ToL-Smithsonian400

The concept here is a branching tree of causal chains, starting from a root, origin of life.

(BTW, this instantly highlights that the attempt to lock away the OOL challenge from attempts to provide a naturalistic account of the world of life fail the test of logic. So, when design thinkers connect the two and insist that both have to be adequately addressed on credible, actually observed capable mechanisms that adequately account for origin of the required functionally specific complex organisation and/or associated information [FSCO/I], starting with copious quantities of coded DNA information, this is a matter of basic logic and prudent warrant for explanations. And the fact remains that the only actually observed capable causal source for FSCO/I is design, a point backed up by the reasoning that underlies the statistical reasoning that undergirds the second law of thermodynamics.)

In short, once we look at origins, we readily see that the logic involved means that causes also come in chains, leading to the simple topological issue, infinite regress vs circularity in the root vs finitely remote ultimate beginning.

Of these, a circular root involving origins is immediately problematic. For, patently, non-being — a true nothing — can have no causal power. So, proposed circular causation would involve action before existence, which is not credible.

Infinite regress in steps, implies the problem of descent from minus infinity to zero:

minus-infinity –> minus (infinity less one) –> minus (infinity less two) –> [and yes, I know this is absurd, that is precisely the point] . . .

– 2, – 1, 0 [origin of our world], +1, + 2, . . .

+ us here today [say at 0-point + 13.7 BY]  –> . . .

Though some may argue for it (as they find the alternative quite uncomfortable), it is not credible that anything can traverse the transfinite in successive distinct steps, so this, too is not a reasonable view.

If you differ, kindly give a reasonable and empirically, observationally warranted account: _______________

And  yes, I am applying Newton’s Vera Causa premise, that we should use only things observed to have relevant causal capacity to cause the like effect as traces we observe in explanations of things we cannot directly see for ourselves.

(Predictably, there will be none as no one has seen an infinite succession of distinct causal steps traversed.)

This all means that we need to take the cluster of observations that led to the conception of origin of our world through a big bang singularity seriously, e.g.:

The Big Bang timeline -- a world with a beginning
The Big Bang timeline — a world with a beginning

That is, on the best science we have available, per observations since the 1920’s, we face a finitely remote distinct origin of our cosmos. There are many multiverse speculative models, but such lack definitive observational warrant. Where, it is particularly to be recognised that a suggested — not actually observed — quantum foam bubbling up sub-cosmi such as ours per fluctuations is not a proper nothing, non-being:

Video (C Richard Dawkins vs Rowan Williams):

[youtube m9H2bxHIBfg]

Infographic based on clips:

nothing_3Where does all of this leave us?

We are looking at getting our logic straight in order to think in a logically, epistemologically and dynamically coherent fashion about origins issues, linked science and worldview implications.

Yes, this is about first principles of right reason.

Go amiss there, and all else thereafter will wander off into thickets of error.

The logic of chains of warrant and of causation (thus the triple alternatives) is patent and effectively undeniable on pain of absurdity.

This of course does not prevent the committed, determined objector from trying to divert attention or dismiss what he does not wish to face, or stop him from erecting and knocking over a suitably loaded strawman caricature. But it does highlight what such an objector will be forced to do: cling to absurdities, ill-founded speculations and divert attention by going on the rhetorical attack.

As is so sadly familiar from years of debates in and around UD.

What is the bottom-line?

I: Chains of warrant and those of cause are real and force us to face the three alternatives for roots: infinite regress, circularity, finitely remote start-point.

II: Of these, only the third is a serious option.

III: On warrant  this forces us to recognise that warrant for claimed knowledge inevitably embeds worldview foundational issues and sustaining of a reasonable faith on comparative difficulties analysis.

IV: On cause and origins, this points strongly to a finitely remote origin of our world, and to the need to reckon with causal adequacy undergirded by actual observed capability to cause relevant phenomena.

V: For the world of life, that means, we have to reckon with the only known, actually observed capable cause of FSCO/I, i.e. design — intelligently directed configuration. (Indeed, empirically, FSCO/I on a trillion member observational base, is a reliable sign of design, whether or not this sits well with currently favoured, institutionally dominant, evolutionary materialism based origins narratives.)

VI: For cosmological origin, we have clear signs of a finitely remote distinct origin of our observed cosmos, perhaps 13.7 BYA, and of fine-tuning and intricate configuration that supports C-Chemistry, aqueous medium, cell based life, which again puts design on the table as the causal explanation to beat.

In short, Intelligent Design is a logically, dynamically, scientifically and philosophically reasonable view.

Not what one would imagine, on the press it is often given.

But then, mere logic is usually not enough to decide public views on or policy regarding culturally important, ideologically loaded matters.

But, it may well be one of the warning signs that our business as usual path is unsound:

change_challFood for thought. END

Comments
SS, as I said, later. You have effectively volunteered to be exhibit A on the problem. Well, so be it. KFkairosfocus
September 8, 2015
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kairosfocus @4:
And that is precisely a key part of the problem.
There’s no problem here. If scientists investigating phenomena X theorize that and as-yet unverified cause Y explains X, then all scientists need to do is to verify (or falsify) Y. The question of Y’s cause or origin will eventually need to be investigated, but if Y can be empirically confirmed then that is enough. It is not necessary to trace a tree to its tap-root to determine that the tree is or is not an oak.
Failing to adequately teach our students that and linked issues is part of what renders them vulnerable to evolutionary materialist scientism.
Ah, here we go. Your purpose is not to make science better, it’s to undermine a particular theory. That may be (in some broad sense) a legitimate purpose, but it is not a logical, rational, nor scientific purpose. Apparently “the problem” is not unwarranted scientific theories; “the problem” is the success of a theory you really, REALLY don’t like. I’ve said this to you before and now you’ve confirmed it: your search for an ultimate warrant is nothing more than an effort to force your god into science.
It is time for us to address epistemic, logical and causal foundations.
To what purpose? If the purpose is to undermine a particular scientific theory, then you need more than this to make it a worthy and important endeavor. Science and reason follow the truth wherever they lead; you dislike where it’s going so you want to obstruct the search for truth. That is unworthy of you or your efforts. sean s.sean samis
September 8, 2015
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SS: For the moment, I note:
For professional scientists engaged in research in their chosen disciplines, this “chain of warrants” thing amounts to nearly nothing. It does not change how they do their work or how they teach their students.
And that is precisely a key part of the problem. Scientific warrant (especially for theories expressing dynamics and causal patterns) is about the logic of inference to best current explanation i/l/o empirical observation and empirical reliability . . . thus inevitably the provisionality that is implicit in theoretical claims. Where the chain of warrant and chain of cause issues are crucial. Also, there is need to reckon with the vera causa principle. Failing to adequately teach our students that and linked issues is part of what renders them vulnerable to evolutionary materialist scientism. As in, for key example, from Lewontin in 1997 in the NYRB:
. . . to put a correct view of the universe into people's heads [==> as in, "we" have cornered the market on truth, warrant and knowledge] we must first get an incorrect view out [--> as in, if you disagree with "us" of the secularist elite you are wrong, irrational and so dangerous you must be stopped, even at the price of manipulative indoctrination of hoi polloi] . . . the problem is to get them [= hoi polloi] to reject irrational and supernatural explanations of the world, the demons that exist only in their imaginations,
[ --> as in, to think in terms of ethical theism is to be delusional, justifying "our" elitist and establishment-controlling interventions of power to "fix" the widespread mental disease]
and to accept a social and intellectual apparatus, Science, as the only begetter of truth
[--> NB: this is a knowledge claim about knowledge and its possible sources, i.e. it is a claim in philosophy not science; it is thus self-refuting]
. . . . To Sagan, as to all but a few other scientists [--> "we" are the dominant elites], it is self-evident
[--> actually, science and its knowledge claims are plainly not immediately and necessarily true on pain of absurdity, to one who understands them; this is another logical error, begging the question , confused for real self-evidence; whereby a claim shows itself not just true but true on pain of patent absurdity if one tries to deny it . . . and in fact it is evolutionary materialism that is readily shown to be self-refuting]
that the practices of science provide the surest method of putting us in contact with physical reality [--> = all of reality to the evolutionary materialist], and that, in contrast, the demon-haunted world rests on a set of beliefs and behaviors that fail every reasonable test [--> i.e. an assertion that tellingly reveals a hostile mindset, not a warranted claim] . . . . It is not that the methods and institutions of science somehow compel us [= the evo-mat establishment] to accept a material explanation of the phenomenal world, but, on the contrary, that we are forced by our a priori adherence to material causes [--> another major begging of the question . . . ] to create an apparatus of investigation and a set of concepts that produce material explanations, no matter how counter-intuitive, no matter how mystifying to the uninitiated. Moreover, that materialism is absolute [--> i.e. here we see the fallacious, indoctrinated, ideological, closed mind . . . ], for we cannot allow a Divine Foot in the door . . . [--> irreconcilable hostility to ethical theism, already caricatured as believing delusionally in imaginary demons]. [Lewontin, Billions and billions of Demons, NYRB Jan 1997,cf. here. And, if you imagine this is "quote-mined" I invite you to read the fuller annotated citation here.]
It is time for us to address epistemic, logical and causal foundations. KF PS: I will respond later, others may have other things to say on the need to learn a few things about logic and warrant. That seems to be the first point of widespread error in today's scientism.kairosfocus
September 8, 2015
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Regarding the OP:
Now, Peter D. Klein, in the Oxford Handbook of Skepticism, highlights:
The epistemic regress problem is considered the most crucial in the entire theory of knowledge and it is a major concern for many contemporary epistemologists. However, only two of the three alternative solutions have been developed in any detail, foundationalism and coherentism. Infinitism was not seriously considered as a solution because of the finite-mind objection. [article: “Contemporary Responses to Agrippa’s Trilemma,” OUP 2008.]
The Grounding Problem (or the chain of warrants problem) might be important to some philosophers, but outside their Ivory Towers, this “problem” has little impact.
Similarly, origins science is concerned with causal roots of or cosmos, our world, the world of life, and our own roots.
For professional scientists engaged in research in their chosen disciplines, this “chain of warrants” thing amounts to nearly nothing. It does not change how they do their work or how they teach their students. Certainly, there must exist something that is eternal, something that’s always been there; something that is the embodiment of some first cause. This is not a new idea; scientists have reckoned with it since the beginning. At a philosophical level, this must be true. But for most scientists it is irrelevant; it does not affect what they are researching currently, and is unlikely to affect what they research in their entire lives. Whatever this eternal, fundamental thing is, it need not be any “person”. It does not need any attributes of “mind”. It can be a mindless “thing” unaware of its self, its surroundings, or its behavior.
There are many multiverse speculative models, but such lack definitive observational warrant.
Your comment is two words short of being true. The truth is that multiverse speculative models ...lack definitive observational warrant SO FAR. Science is the discovery of what is not yet known. Theories properly go first: they speculate on what might be and then experiments test the properly speculative theory. Multiverse theories are relatively new, that they are yet unverified is no big deal. And BTW, theistic speculative explanations lack definitive observational warrant AND PROBABLY ALWAYS WILL. As a “finitely remote start-point” (to borrow the term from the OP) a multiverse theory is quite satisfactory. The rest of the OP is essentially just elaboration in error, or futility. sean s.sean samis
September 8, 2015
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thanks kf!Mung
September 8, 2015
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The issue of chains of warrant and of causation is a matter of first principles or reason, and is pivotal to straight thinking on origin science.kairosfocus
September 8, 2015
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