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Should We Always Trust Experts and Dismiss Nonexperts?

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This article makes a tremendous amount of sense.

Academic credentials are important, if only because they provide a useful heuristic to learn more about a topic. Since you have to start somewhere, it makes sense to listen first to the people who are paid to teach and research that topic. Ultimately, however, the validity of scientific claims depends on the arguments and evidence in their favor.

Thus, if someone makes a claim he can’t substantiate with good arguments and evidence, his credentials should not matter. Conversely, even if someone has no credentials, without evidence of substantive incompetence, this is not a reason to reject his claims.

Comments
The obsession with hydrochloroquine, azithromycin and zinc as potential treatments for COVID-19 was inspired in part by a study published by Dr Didier Raoult. We all hope he is on to something but that study was based on just 24 participants.
Indeed, and has been criticised for having some awful methodology.Bob O'H
April 10, 2020
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And sometimes your wife is not your wife. lol Andrewasauber
April 9, 2020
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To put it more straightforwardly- plumbers, lawyers, and scientists are not your wife. Andrewasauber
April 9, 2020
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"But suppose you know a plumber or a lawyer whom you trust implicitly" Sev, You are already jumping to conclusions with this. It would take an awful lot of supposing to hand over your judgement this way. I would trust my plumber or my lawyer only as far as I know what they are doing and they would have to get my approval before doing anything that would have any effect on me. Trust is for suckers. Andrewasauber
April 9, 2020
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This seems like a contextual issue. I know a guy who lacks formal biology education but has found some conceptual inaccuracies in Weizmann Institute 2014 book “Life’s Blueprint”. Sometimes outsiders -even without expertise- can notice things that experts (insiders) don’t see. I think we all have experienced that at some point in life.OLV
April 9, 2020
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Poli, it depends on what parts of engineering. And there is such a thing as sound economics, just it usually does not tell power brokers and the like what they want to hear or promote. KFkairosfocus
April 9, 2020
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Not if their on Wall Street. Vividvividbleau
April 9, 2020
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It pays to keep track of different disciplines. Some parts of science (eg "climate" and economics) are totally wrong and corrupt. Other parts (eg engineering) are usually clean and trustworthy. Biology is mixed, with a tradition of stupid theory-blinded orthodoxy versus a growing contingent of plain non-theoretical observation.polistra
April 9, 2020
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Sev, the issues are first experts in what and when relevant experts disagree. Expertise in argumentation and in detecting manipulation can be highly relevant. Especially, when subject matter experts disagree. When strategic decision-making is in the mix, experience -- notice the shift -- in sifting and working with conflicting experts and noisy, often contradictory information and claims can be highly relevant. So will be ethical considerations tied to prudence and turning on issues such as do no harm, seek balance of evidence, deal with how to tickle the tails of sleeping dragons, questions over balance of knowledge and ignorance, factors from other domains [economics] etc can all be relevant. And in a day of cultural conflict and polarisation too many experts are hired guns. Gotta go out now, DV more later. Stay safe all. KFkairosfocus
April 9, 2020
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Should we always trust experts and dismiss non-experts? No, of course not. We are all fallible. We can all be wrong. But suppose you know a plumber or a lawyer whom you trust implicitly because they have always done excellent work for you. Let's assume the plumber or the lawyer have a hobby interest in medical matters and read a lot about it. Let's further suppose you or a loved one falls ill with what is obviously a serious but undiagnosed disorder. Who would you consult first, the plumber or lawyer or a doctor? Yes, experts can be wrong but that doesn't make them all wrong. Yes, non-experts can be right but that doesn't make them all right. The only way to find out who is right in a given case is to look for the evidence - and as much of it as you can find. The obsession with hydrochloroquine, azithromycin and zinc as potential treatments for COVID-19 was inspired in part by a study published by Dr Didier Raoult. We all hope he is on to something but that study was based on just 24 participants. As a cautionary note, again, remember Andrew Wakefield who published a study in The Lancet which sounded the alarm about a possible link between the MMR vaccine and autism in children based on just 12 patients? That set off a furore which has reverberated down the years and persists to this day in the form of the anti-vaccine movement. Yet none of the subsequent, much larger studies have found any such link. I wish we had Star Trek tricorders which can diagnose an illness in seconds and a laboratory which can whip up a batch of a drug or a vaccine in minutes so that Dr McCoy can go around curing people instantly with a quick burst from his hypospray. But we don't have any of that so it's back to dogged, grinding research to find a cure or at least a vaccine.. That's the only way to find out what actually works.Seversky
April 9, 2020
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Pathos, ethos, logos. No expert is better than the underlying facts, reasoning and assumptions.kairosfocus
April 9, 2020
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