From the beginning of our Corona Virus madness, I’ve been saying that the flu season of 2017-2018 was horrible–and we did nothing. But now we’ve lockdown our economy and somehow have lost the key. Heaven help us.
I noticed this article at Powerlineblog.com that compared total deaths in the US from the start of the year in 2019 to those of the start of this year, 2020. Here’s a takeaway from the article:
According to the CDC, as I read the spread sheet, there were 809,704 deaths in the U.S. over the same time period last year. That’s right: through the first 14 weeks of the year, through April 3 or April 10, however the CDC counts the weeks, there were 37,619 fewer deaths this year than last, despite our supposedly being in the grip of the greatest health crisis since the Spanish flu.
The writer of that article at Powerlineblog.com tells us that after he published this data, the data was taken down at the CDC site. Have you heard of a ‘memory-hole’? Nonetheless, he had saved a copy of the data.
I used that data to compare early 2018 (the first fifteen weeks of 2018) with those of 2020 (again, the first fifteen weeks), which gets us through April 11th. Now, we know two things: first, that some of the worst weeks of the Corona virus have come in the last few weeks, and second, that the numbers being submitted are being played with. (There was an article out yesterday where funeral home employees are talking about some of this mischief.)
Nonetheless, here’s how these two years stack up against one another:
2018: pneumonia deaths (the primary cause of Corona Virus deaths): 67,747
2020: pneumonia deaths: 58,748.
IOW, up until April 11th, the 2017-2018 flu killed roughly 9,000 more people than the Corona Virus (N.B. pneumonia deaths also include death via influenza).
And we shut down our economy? This certainly wasn’t the Spanish flu.
Now the last three weeks have seen around 1,800 to 1,900 deaths per day for a total of arond 39,000 deaths due to Corona Virus. In 2018, over the same three week period, 10,000 died of pneumonia. Assuming that all pneumonia deaths this year are being attributed only to the Corona Virus, the new numbers are these:
2018: (through April 30th) 77,758
Excess deaths due to Corona Virus: 20,000. And we shut down our economy?
But, there’s more:
This year the total deaths from Corona Virus is 28,000. But I mentioned, early on, that a study was done for the 2014-2015 for the flu season in Italy. Excess deaths (that is deaths above the normal flu season rise) was 45,000. And where did these deaths take place? The very same Lombardy region where the Corona Virus took off.
Then, compare the “daily cases” graph and the “daily deaths” graph for the United States and Italy, and Spain, and Germany. Only in the U.S. have the number of cases and deaths stayed at high levels for so long. In those other countries, the deaths and cases tapered off. But not in the US. Why? Federal dollars, plain and simple.
But we can’t leave without talking about “shelter-in-place” policies. You know, Sweden. The graphs/charts from Sweden show something very different from the US/Germany/Italy/Spain. You see rises and falls that repeat. This looks like there has been waves of infections and death. This is what herd immunity should like in time. Our “shelter-in-place” policies will simply push these staggered peaks seen in Sweden’s charts from being ‘weeks’ apart to being ‘months’ apart. So, what have we gained? And how does Sweden’s numbers look like? They’re less than UK, Italy and Spain, but higher than their neighbors. Are they twice as high? Will the total deaths from the Corona Virus be twice as high as they now project when the peaks are added up? Very likely?
Look at the graph on Page 6 of this CDC file: Notice that BOTH flu and Corona Virus ER visits went straight up starting in week 11 of this year. This is exactly when the “lockdown” began. So why did flu-caused ER visits also spike? Remember, as many here are so fond of nitpicking, the flu is not the SARS-CoV2 virus. How can you explain the serious flu ilnesses rise seen to take palce during a ‘lockdown’?
So what has this huge dislocation of our economy given us? Not much. It’s supposed to save our healthcare system, but now this very same lockdown approach might COMPLETELY destroy the healthcare system of more rural areas. How then will we justify this lockdown? Why isn’t the country open now? Fear. Where does this fear come from? Fauci, et. al. and the media that loves him. Heaven help us.