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How Keith’s “Bomb” Turned Into A Suicide Mission

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Keith brought in an argument he claimed to be a “bomb” for ID. It turned out to be a failed suicide mission where the only person that got blown up was Keith.

(Please note: I am assuming that life patterns exists in an ONH, as Keith claims, for the sake of this argument only.  Also, there are many other, different take-downs of Keith’s “bomb” argument already on the table.  Indulge me while I present another here.)

In my prior OP, I pointed out that Keith had made no case that nature was limited to producing only ONH’s when it comes to biological diversity, while his whole argument depended on it.  He has yet to make that case, and has not responded to me when I have reiterated that question.  We turn our attention now to his treatment of “the designer” in his argument.

First, a point that my have been lost in another thread:

From here, keith claimed:

3. We know that unguided evolution exists.

No, “we” do not. ID proponents concede that unguided natural forces exist that are utilized by a designed system (even if perhaps entirely front-loaded) to accomplish evolutionary goals; they do not concede that unguided process (including being unguided and unregulated by front-loaded designed algorithms and infrastructure) can generate successful evolution, even microevolution, entirely without any guided support/infrastructure.

Keith claims that we have observed “unguided microevolution” producing ONH’s, but that is an assumptive misstatement. Douglas Theobald, his source for “evidence” that unguided evolution has been observed generating ONH’s, makes no such claim or inference.  Theobald only claims that microevolution produces ONH’s.  Observing a process producing an effect doesn’t necessarily reveal if the process is guided or unguided.

Keith agrees Theobald makes no such claim or inference. The “unguided” modifying characteristic, then, is entirely on Keith; he can point to no research or science that rigorously vets microevolutionary processes as “unguided”.

When challenged on this assumption, Keith makes statements such as “even YEC’s agree that microevolution is unguided”, or that some particular ID proponent has made that concession; please note that because others elect not to challenge an assumption doesn’t mean that everyone else is required to concede the point. If challenged, the onus falls upon Keith to support his assertion that unguided microevolutionary forces are up to the task of generating ONH’s, otherwise his entire argument fails because of this unsupported premise.

Keith’s response to the challenge about the “unguided” nature of microevolution:

As you know, we actually observe microevolution producing ONHs, and microevolution does not require designer intervention, as even most YECs acknowledge.

This is simple reiteration of the very assertion that has been challenged. Keith circularly refers back to the very source that provides no support for his “unguided” inference. This has been pointed out to him several times, yet he repeats the same mantra over and over “we know unguided microevolution can produce ONH’s.”  Reiterating an assertion is not providing support for the assertion.  As I’ve asked Keith serveral times, where is the research that makes the case that microevolutionary processes/successes are qualitatively “unguided”?  Keith has yet to point us to such a paper.

That said, here is the suicidal portion of Keith’s argument.

I’ve repeatedly challenged keith to answer this question:

Are you saying that it is impossible for natural forces to generate a mismatched (non-ONH) set of trees [diversity of life pattern]?

This question follows a point I made in the Black Knight thread:

If, as Keith’s argument apparently assumes, natural forces are **restricted** to generating biological systems as evolutionary in nature and conforming to Markovian ONH progressions, why (and perhaps more importantly, how) would a designer work around these apparently inherent natural limitations and tendencies in order to generate **something else**?

It’s like Keith expects a designer to defy gravity, inertia and other natural forces and tendencies in order to get a rocket to the moon and back, just because keith imagines that a designer would have trillions of options available that didn’t need to obey such natural laws and tendencies.

Keith’s argument relies upon his claim that the designer could have generated “the diversity of life” into “trillions” of patterns that were not ONH’s, and that no such options were open to natural forces.  If a designer and natural forces both had the same number of options open to them, there would be no advantage in Keith’s argument to either.  However, Keith’s “trillions of options” argument requires that the designer can instantiate living organisms into the physical world in a manner that natural forces cannot, thus generating “diversity of life” patterns nature is incapable of producing.

Keith’s response was:

You think that the Designer was limited by natural forces? You might want to discuss that assumption with your fellow IDers, who may not be quite so enthusiastic about it as you are. Besides the conflict with your fellow IDers, you have another problem: what is the basis for your assumption about the limitations of the Designer? How do you know what the Designer can and cannot do? Be specific.

Note the attempt to shift the burden, as if I was the one making  a claim about what the designer “can and cannot do”. I made no such claim.  The claim was in Keith’s assertion that the designer could have generated trillions of “diversity of life” patterns that nature could not by instantiating life forms into physical existence in a manner that nature could not.  Later, Keith modified his claim:

There are trillions of logical possibilities, and we have no reason to rule any of them out. After all, we know absolutely nothing about the purported designer.

What an explosive, self-contradictory blunder.  If we cannot rule any of them out because we know nothing about the designer, by the same token we cannot rule them in.  Whether or not unguided natural forces can generate any of the same “trillions of possibilities” of diversity of life pattern (alternatives to ONH) depends on what we know about those natural forces and how they operate.  Obviously, Keith doesn’t assume that unguided natural forces can instantiate life in  “trillions” of ways that would not conform to an ONH.  Not knowing anything about “the designer” doesn’t give Keith license to simply assume the designer has “trillions of possibilities” open to actually instantiating a “diversity of life” into the physical world. If we disregard actual capacity to produce biological diversity, the same number of purely “logical” alternatives are open to both natural forces and any designer.  You have to know something about the causal agencies to know what it is “possible” for them to do or not do. Keith admits he knows nothing about the designer.

Read what Keith said again:

You think that the Designer was limited by natural forces?

Something becomes clear here: Keith’s argument must assume that the designer is supernatural, and can magically instantiate biological life into the world in any way imaginable, without regard for natural laws, forces, or molecular tendencies and behavioral rules, and without regard to what would limit any other causal agency – it’s actual capacity to engineer particular outcomes in the physical world.

Yet, Keith says that we know nothing about the designer:

 After all, we know absolutely nothing about the purported designer.

If we assume that natural forces are capable of creating non-ONH patterns, Keith’s argument fails. If we assume that natural forces can only produce an ONH, then Keith must assume extra characteristics about the designer – that it is capable of instantiating  “diversity of life” patterns that natural forces cannot.  Keith’s assumptions are not equal.  For the assumptions to be equal, we either assume both unguided forces and the designer can only produce ONH patterns in a diversity of life landscape, or we can assume both are capable of non-ONH patterns.  We cannot assume that unguided forces can actually only produce ONH, and assume that the designer can actually produce trillions of other patterns, and keep a straight face while insisting our assumptions are equal and that “we know absolutely nothing about the designer”.

Comments
Vishnu, You still have no idea what I am arguing. See my reply on the other thread.keith s
November 7, 2014
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... of course, the random cladogram generator will be not produce completely random caldograms, but within certain constrains. Are you up for it? And while you're thinking about that, think about this: If I give you a cladogram that is generated with a intelligently designed cladogram generator that generates nested hierarchies, why would such a cladogram not be evidence for an unguided process, in your way of thinking?Vishnu
November 7, 2014
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Keiths: Let's say I provide you with two cladograms. Both cladograms are nested hierarchies. One cladogram comes from a biology textbook. The other cladogram comes from an intelligently designed random cladogram generator. Do you think you will be able to tell which is which? Are you up for it?Vishnu
November 7, 2014
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... also, using stochastic cues and processes are a useful and clever way to fill niches. This is the essence of genetic algorithms used by engineers (including myself.)Vishnu
November 7, 2014
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Digging deeper, keiths utters:
"The objective nested hierarchy is exactly what we would expect if unguided evolution were operating, but maybe God the Designer chose, or was limited, or just happened to produce an objective nested hierarchy out of the trillions of possibilities."
While it's logically conceivable that if unguided evolution was totally responsible for the tree of life, there would be a nested hierarchy. It is likewise conceivable that a nested hierarchy could be produced from an intelligently designed system. On that score, both on equal footing. We know that nested hierarchies are produced by information rich systems, such as a Magnolia tree. (Or keiths, do you not consider a tree genome to be an information rich system? By the way, that was a point that was lost on you in the other thread.) The production of nested hierarchies are very useful for intelligent designers, for example, genetic algorithms. If an intelligent designer wanted to design some living trees, and make them so there was a lot of variability to their outcome within certain constraints, then using stochastic environment cues and an algorithm that produces a nested hierarchy would be a clever way of doing it. Every tree in your back yard does exactly that. That life is a nested hierarchy is no evidence for a completely blind, unguided system. Simultaneously, at worst for the ID camp, and at best for the blind watchmaker camp, it is evidence that stochastic processes were apparently part of the mix. And brilliantly so.Vishnu
November 7, 2014
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Since I'm bored at a moment with nothing better to do so I'll go ahead and take keiths's "challenge" in a manner of speaking: To quote nullasalus: "And it is being pointed out here that the sense of ‘unguided’ evolution you’re talking about is not even observed in the original case, because there is no scientific observation of ‘unguided’ evolution. What was observed was descent with modification – NOT ‘unguided’ evolution, or ‘unguided’ anything else for that matter." (Emp mine) To which keiths brilliantly retorts: "A rock breaks off the side of a cliff and tumbles into the gorge below. Do we know that it is unguided? No. Is Intelligent Falling a plausible explanation? No, and most ID proponents are smart enough to recognize that. They won’t argue for Intelligent Falling, and they won’t argue that angels are pushing the planets around. Yet they will argue that God the Designer guided evolution, and that the pattern that was produced just happens to be the same one that unguided evolution would have produced, had it been operating." (Emp mine.) How can you argue with that?! /sarc off Keiths replies as if nullasalus didn't say a word. The problem here is neither keiths nor anyone else knows if unguided evolution is even possible to the extent required to produce life as we empirically know it. He merely assumes it is possible that life evolved without any pre-ordained operating principles or certain highly specified and required initial conditions or without the lack of intelligent intervention at various points and uses that unfounded assumption as an "argument." Earth to Keiths: an assumption is not an argument. (Sidebar: Only YECs have trouble with life developing over long periods. I'm not a YEC. It is not a live issue for me. I don't speak for them and they don't speak for me.) Again, he assumes what is not in evidence: "Keiths: It makes no sense. If you don’t believe in the Rain Fairy, the Streambed Designer, the Explosion Designer, or the angels pushing the planets around, why would you believe in a designer who just happens to produce an ONH?" Uh huh. There is no evidence that the grand sweep of evolution could have operated "unguided" in the manner keiths assumes, we have no information on the capacities and constrains of a putative designer, and yet we have good reason to suspect a "put up job"... To paraphrase what I posted on the other thread:
I mention a few: + Origin of Life, Coded information and the DNA/ribsomic replicator. + Protein families within the allotted time-frame. + Cambrian Explosion + Fine Tuned Universe Just to name a few. Big subjects all. There are sound empirical reasons for inferring design. It’s a live issue amongst some very intelligent people... Poor girl, the Rain Fairy has nothing going for her. Nothing at all. She is not a live issue.
That's the difference, keiths.Vishnu
November 7, 2014
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keiths: I hate to break it to you, but your "challenge" is boring. It breaks down to, "Is design a good explanation for things that demonstrate no evidence of having been designed?" You appear to be oblivious to the existence of an explanatory filter. Ask your question about which theory is best in regards to something that can pass the explanatory filter, and I'll be interested. 'Til then, its a yawner as well as a stinker, though seeing others point this out is mildly diverting...the first ten or so times.Phinehas
November 7, 2014
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keiths, I'll be waiting with popcorn when you finally decide to deal with the OP on this thread. As for your challenge: it's been successfully refuted to my sanctification. That you cannot see that it has been successfully refuted is not my problem. Others can, and they're the ones that matter. I doubt anyone here is operating under the delusion they can ever change your mind about anything. You're merely the subject of an unwitting object lesson. I'm glad your here.Vishnu
November 7, 2014
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PS: where of course at no point has it been empirically warranted that the FSCO/I required for either OOL or origin of body plans can and does arise by blind watchmaker chance and mechanical necessity. On trillions of cases, FSCO/I routinely and reliably comes about by intelligently directed contingency, to the point that we are entitled epistemically to view FSCO/I as a reliable sign of design. Which is one reason for the selectively hyperskeptical attempts to deny or dismiss its reality that we have seen ever so often. It needs to be underscored that KS' argument pivots on begging very big questions, in a context of quietly assumed a priori evolutionary materialism and/or fellow traveller views.kairosfocus
November 7, 2014
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WJM: A useful response, to what seems to be the TSZ varsity squad. I note:
Read what Keith said again: You think that the Designer was limited by natural forces? Something becomes clear here: Keith’s argument must assume that the designer is supernatural, and can magically instantiate biological life into the world in any way imaginable, without regard for natural laws, forces, or molecular tendencies and behavioral rules, and without regard to what would limit any other causal agency – it’s actual capacity to engineer particular outcomes in the physical world.
Engineering design is quite often limited by environmental constraints starting with basic forces and materials of nature. the living world exists, for instance as a complex interactive cluster of ecosystems, and just the requisites of being self-sustaining would impose considerable constraints on the design. For just one instance, I recall Duane Gish once remarking, what would they eat? That is, food webs and chains carry implications all the way down to molecular biology, with consistent handedness of molecules running through and through. Similarly, if we use inflowing sunlight as prime energy source and thus go to plants as primary producers, that brings in all sorts of biochemical constraints thereafter, and it may well be that some at least of those extended metabolic networks imply a lot of further FSCO/I beyond the individual organism. All the way to the breakdown and materials recycling level that enriches soil, sea and more. That is going to impose molecular patterns and libraries of common "bricks" and likely, energy processing processes as we move on from primary producers. The use of a basically common genetic and metabolic system using common bricks such as sugars, the 20 or so AAs in general use, ACGT/U etc follow as pointing to common patterns, including codes as a reasonable action. Libraries of parts with reuse and modification with multiple inheritance is another reasonable cluster of design patterns. As for generally tree-like patterns, as I pointed out repeatedly (and was of course conveniently ignored) there are reasons why technologies constrained by efficiency, economy of materials etc tend to follow such a pattern. Think, Wright Flyer, to fabric covered aircraft, with biplanes and piston engined aircraft in a dominant age, then monocoque construction, Aluminium, then Jets, Titanium, and the different families of aircraft -- light single and twin engine, heavier ones, fighters, cargo aircraft, twin and quadruple engine airliners, helicopters, supersonic transports and so forth. In short branching tree patterns with objective keys that yield hierarchies are not at all unexpected on design. Nor for that matter would be technological evolution, and indeed we have the science of inventive problem solving and driving principles that tend to drive the architecture of technological systems. Look up TRIZ, from the Russian acronym. (Over the years I have pointed to this any number of times, but such will predictably be ignored or dismissed.) It seems to me that KS' argument is simply ill-founded and deeply ill-informed, but it serves to reinforce an ideological system so it will probably be clung to until the system collapses. But it is unacceptable to see the sort of strawman tactics that are being used. KFkairosfocus
November 7, 2014
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Vishnu, Patience, please. We (including you) are currently discussing my challenge in the other thread. Everyone is welcome to take the challenge, though you seem to be reluctant. Understandably so. It would be embarrassing to fail.keith s
November 7, 2014
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Excellent OP William, Just one thing I would like to add is that implicit in Keith's reasoning, the designer is not only a supernatural magician, as mentioned by WJM, but also a designer who is indifferent towards the orderings of life. Only such a designer would warrant Keith's comparison with a trillion-sided die. IOW only the act of a omnipotent and indifferent designer would make the realization of trillions of logical possibilities equally likely.Box
November 7, 2014
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Keiths: I (and probably others) would appreciate a point by point, paragraph by paragraph rebuttal to this OP. Thank youVishnu
November 7, 2014
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I am flattered by all the attention being given to my supposedly “inane” and “trivial” argument (as you described it),
I'm more than happy to keep headlining your errors and absurdities as long as you care to keep dishing them out and promoting them.William J Murray
November 7, 2014
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I haven’t been following this argument (since it doesn’t appear to be a “debate” or a “discussion”) very closely, but when I skimmed over the new stuff I was struck by the fact that a random natural process that tends to produce “nested trees” (from a statistical point of view) is NOT the same kind of process that could have produced The Cambrian Explosion. So I think this is at best a “win some/lose some” argument for the Darwinists. That is, if Evolution is a process that has produced the nested trees that we observe over the last 50 million (say) years, then Evolution cannot be the process that produced the great diversity of life during the Cambrian Epoc. There is of course the saving argument that the currently identified “nested trees” appear to many researchers to be arbitrarily constructed, which raises the question of whether any such clustering exists. But that again is a “win/lose” thing because Darwin himself declared that Evolution would produce “trees”. So, as I see the Evolutionist position: 1) there MUST BE nested trees; 2) the nested trees are the result of an undirected natural process; 3) the Cambrian Explosion is still under review...mahuna
November 7, 2014
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Excellent OP
"ID proponents concede that unguided natural forces exist that are utilized by a designed system (even if perhaps entirely front-loaded) to accomplish evolutionary goals; they do not concede that unguided process (including being unguided and unregulated by front-loaded designed algorithms and infrastructure) can generate successful evolution, even microevolution, entirely without any guided support/infrastructure."
This is exactly what a living tree out in your backyard does. The nested hierarchy in a Magnolia is the result of sophisticated, extremely information rich systems and processes, that implement rules, which include employing random factors, such as levels air temperature, humidity, soil composition, sunlight, and other stocastic elements, all filtered within certain constraints towards a goal that has well-defined characteristics. That well-defined processes use stochastic elements to achieve an outcome is not controversial. Human engineers (including myself) do the same thing with genetic algorithms. Using randomness to fill niches is a clever ploy amongst intelligent engineers. You will never see a Magnolia tree spout a human-like arm with a hand and five fingers out of the side of its truck.Vishnu
November 7, 2014
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William, This is at least the seventh thread at UD dealing with my argument. I am flattered by all the attention being given to my supposedly "inane" and "trivial" argument (as you described it), but why keep opening new threads? I will respond to your post on vjtorley's thread, for now. P.S. You do get points for leaving comments open, unlike kairosfocus.keith s
November 7, 2014
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FYI: Genetic PhylogenyHeartlander
November 7, 2014
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