Uncommon Descent Serving The Intelligent Design Community

Leading Scientist Walks Back Doomsday Claim

Barry Arrington
March 26, 2020
Intelligent Design
1
Categories
Intelligent Design
Share
Facebook
Twitter/X
LinkedIn
Flipboard
Print
Email

The Scientist who panicked the world with predictions of up to 2.2 million American deaths now says “never mind.” See here.

Comments
Should say death rate numbervividbleau
March 26, 2020
March
03
Mar
26
26
2020
04:13 PM
4
04
13
PM
PDT
Ortho the U.K. shut down 6 days ago and the death rate went from 500,000 to 20,000. 6 days really! Six days of mitigation is responsible for this decline in the projection. Vividvividbleau
March 26, 2020
March
03
Mar
26
26
2020
04:12 PM
4
04
12
PM
PDT
Well, I guess you should be a bit more sceptical of the news sources you read. The estimates of 500,000 and 20,000 are from the same report. You can hear for yourself from 10:37 in the video: https://parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/2b1c71d4-bdf4-44f1-98fe-1563e67060ee "We assessed it that report on the 16th of March that fatalities would be unlikely to exceed about 20,000 with a lockdown and intense social distancing strategy." The 16th of march report is the one with "unmitigated" estimate of as many as 500,000 deaths (https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf)orthomyxo
March 26, 2020
March
03
Mar
26
26
2020
02:28 PM
2
02
28
PM
PDT
Orthomyxo, Now you just making it up as you go to maintain your narrative. If what he said were as mundane as that, it would not have made headlines all over the world. His estimates went from 500,000 to fewer than 20,000. But, according to Orth, "nothing to see here. Move along."Barry Arrington
March 26, 2020
March
03
Mar
26
26
2020
02:08 PM
2
02
08
PM
PDT
And in Alabama... There are at least 62 patients hospitalized at UAB Medical Center in Birmingham because of complications from COVID-19 as the number of cases has skyrocketed in the past 24 hours. The hospital has said at least half of its COVID-19 patients have required intubation and a ventilator. As of 2:50 p.m. on Thursday, there are 501 confirmed cases of the virus in the state. The Alabama Department of Public Health has said that about 9 percent of the state’s confirmed cases have required hospitalization. If that were the case, there would be 45 patients hospitalized in Alabama. But there are far more hospitalized at UAB alone.rhampton7
March 26, 2020
March
03
Mar
26
26
2020
01:29 PM
1
01
29
PM
PDT
Even when you have social distancing, this can happen: There are now more than 37,000 confirmed cases in the state (NY). The figure does not represent all COVID-19 cases, since an unknown number of infected people have not been tested. More than 5,300 COVID-19 patients were hospitalized statewide as of Thursday, a 40% increase from the day before. Nearly 1,300 patients were in intensive care, a 45% increase.rhampton7
March 26, 2020
March
03
Mar
26
26
2020
01:13 PM
1
01
13
PM
PDT
No. He says the number of deaths is expected to be much lower in the UK if strict physical distancing measures remain in place.orthomyxo
March 26, 2020
March
03
Mar
26
26
2020
01:08 PM
1
01
08
PM
PDT
1 … 3 4 5

Leave a Reply