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Missing the Point at The “Skeptical” Zone

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Over at The “Skeptical” Zone they continue to be skeptical about literally everything; everything that is except the unquestioned verities of the scientific and cultural establishment. As I periodically do, I made a run though their last few months’ of postings. The denizens of the Zone are if nothing else impressive in their consistency. As usual, I was unable to find a single word in a single post that would make the occupants of the average faculty lounge mildly uncomfortable. Far less did I find anything even remotely “skeptical” of or a challenge to conventional wisdom or established ideas.

Could it be that the folks over at the Zone don’t know what the word “skeptical” actually means? A perusal of their writings certainly leads to that conclusion. Maybe they have an esoteric definition of “skeptical.” If so, I hope they will share it with the rest of us. That would help us by eliminating the confusion that comes when we observe them saying they are doing one thing (i.e., being “skeptical” as that word is ordinarily understood) and what they actually do (i.e., accept established ideas without question and fight like hell against anyone who would challenge those established ideas).

All of that as prelude to my response to “kieths” Barry Arrington digs up the ‘tautology’ argument, which kieths wrote in response to my Engineering Tradeoffs and the Vacuity of “Fitness”.

Before I get into the specifics of kieths’ post, I would like to offer some free and unsolicited advice to all of our dear friends over at the Zone: Scoffing is a very poor substitute for argument.

Now, to keith’s post. It ain’t much. Here it is in its entirety.

Barry Arrington should stick to what he’s good at — banning blasphemers. [link to where I banned someone for blasphemy]

Instead, he has disinterred the corpse of the “natural selection is a tautology” argument, propped it up in a chair, and is now attempting to engage it in conversation. [link to my Engineering Trade Offs post]

Trust me, Barry – that corpse is dead, dead, dead. Among the coroner’s findings:

1. Even the dimmest of IDers and creationists accepts that “microevolution” occurs. Insects become pesticide-resistant. Finch beaks change in response to drought conditions. Microbes acquire antibiotic resistance. How does this happen? Through natural selection. It ain’t a tautology.

2. The tautology mongers miss a basic point about fitness. Fitness is not defined in terms of the reproductive success of an individual. An unfit individual who gets lucky and reproduces successfully does not get reclassified as fit. A fit individual who gets hit by a meteorite isn’t reclassified as unfit. To claim that “the fittest” are “those who survive”, as the tautology mongers claim, is ridiculous.

Back to hunting down blasphemers, Barry. Leave the science to those who understand

Let’s fisk this post:

[I.] Barry Arrington should stick to what he’s good at — banning blasphemers. [link to where I banned someone for blasphemy]

Not an auspicious start. Irrelevancy coated with ad hominem. Yes, the secular echo chamber at the Zone probably goes into paroxysms of giggles at the very concept of “blasphemy,” or that anyone would be banned for blaspheming. Here’s a clue keiths since you obviously need one. Graham2 was a guest on our site. Guests have duties to their hosts. One of those duties is to refrain from outrageous, intentionally inflammatory and offensive behavior. Graham2 violated that duty. He was banned. That he and his friends at the Zone scoff at the very idea of blasphemy does not justify his behavior. His comment was beyond the bounds of civil discourse and decency.

[II.]Trust me, Barry – that corpse is dead, dead, dead.

Red faced insistence does not strengthen an argument. Also, an idea is not dead merely because those who oppose it insist upon it. Sorry.

[III.]1. Even the dimmest of IDers and creationists accepts that “microevolution” occurs. Insects become pesticide-resistant. Finch beaks change in response to drought conditions. Microbes acquire antibiotic resistance. How does this happen? Through natural selection. It ain’t a tautology.

We finally get to an argument of sorts. Indeed, I do accept the examples of microevolution you mention. But the issue is not whether in some instances we are in fact able objectively to identify engineering criteria that resulted in differential survival rates, such as those you mention. The issue is very different. Please read the following Talbott quotation carefully:

However, the appeal to engineering criteria in the abstract does not by itself get us very far. As philosopher Ronald Brady reminded us when discussing this dispute in an essay entitled “Dogma and Doubt,” what matters for judging a proposed scientific explanation is not only the specification of non-tautological criteria for testing it, but also our ability to apply the test meaningfully. If we have no practical way to sum up and assess the fitness or adaptive value of the traits of an organism apart from measurements of survival rates (evolutionary success), then on what basis can we use the idea of survival of the fittest (natural selection) to explain evolutionary success — as opposed to using it merely as a blank check for freely inventing explanations of the sort commonly derided as “just-so stories.”

You have appealed to concrete examples of engineering criteria to counter a criticism of appealing to engineering criteria in the abstract. Do you see how that just doesn’t work? If not, I will explain it for you.

No one disputes that in certain situations mutations have been observed that have resulted in differential survival rates. But what about the situations where we have had no opportunity to observe the animal in the wild (which category includes all extinct species)? That is what Talbott is getting at. For those animals it is all but impossible to isolate with any confidence a specific engineering trait that caused them to be more “fit.” Consequently, we are forced to fall back on: “they survived so long as they were fit and they ceased to survive when they were no longer fit, and by ‘fit” we mean ‘they survived.’”

Here is the key concept: With respect to an animal that existed in the deep and unobservable past, it is all but impossible to isolate a specific trait as “the” trait that lead to survival (i.e., fitness). A necessary corollary to that observation is that the only way to measure fitness of for that animal is the rate of survival itself. And to that extent we are stuck with “survival of the fittest” means “fit animals – by which we mean animals that survive – survive.” A second corollary to the initial observation is that any attempt to do the un-doable – i.e., isolate a specific trait as “the” trait that lead to survival for animals in the deep and unobservable past – is an exercise in the must-derided “just so” story making so beloved among Darwinists.

[IV.]2. The tautology mongers miss a basic point about fitness. Fitness is not defined in terms of the reproductive success of an individual. An unfit individual who gets lucky and reproduces successfully does not get reclassified as fit. A fit individual who gets hit by a meteorite isn’t reclassified as unfit. To claim that “the fittest” are “those who survive”, as the tautology mongers claim, is ridiculous.

kieths, perhaps you did not notice, but there is a large gaping hole in your argument. Let me explain. Consider the following two sentences:

An unfit individual who gets lucky and reproduces successfully does not get reclassified as fit.

A fit individual who gets hit by a meteorite isn’t reclassified as unfit.

In both of these sentences there is an unspoken assumption. That unspoken assumption is that the term “fit” has a meaning that is independent of survival rate. But that is the very issue we are debating. Simply saying that “fit” means something other than “survival rate” is a mere assertion. A mere assertion is not an argument. For your argument to work you need to show us why the term “fit” has a meaning that is independent of survival rate for animals in the deep and unobservable past.

Here’s a hint: Falling back on paragraph 1 to support paragraph 2 does not work. Yes, Darwinists always want to extrapolate and say that the same process that causes finch beaks to get larger in times of drought is sufficient to account for the existence of finches in the first place. That argument is, to say the least, unimpressive.

[V.]Back to hunting down blasphemers, Barry. Leave the science to those who understand

If you think that ad hominem adds to the strength of your argument, keep doing it. I have a pretty thick hide. But can you imagine an Einstein or a Godel writing a similar sentence at the end of one of their papers? I can’t. And from that I conclude that someone who is really confident in their position sees little need to launch personal attacks on their opponent.

Update:

[I had to do some actual work and was unable to finish.] Allow me to summarize keiths’ argument:

I. Irrelevancy and ad hominem. Fail
II. Bluster and mere assertion. Fail.
III. Misses the point of (and therefore fails to address) the argument he is criticizing. Fail.
IV. Relies on unspoken implied assertion that has not been established. Fail.
V. More ad hominem. Fail.

In summary, keiths’ is a terrible argument. I admit that there might be some good arguments that the Darwinists could bring to bear on this issue, but keiths’ post most certainly contains none of them. It fails at every turn.

Now I invite our readers to click on the link to keiths’ argument and examine the so-called “skeptics” responses. A lot of clucking and head nodding. No one takes keiths to task for his shoddy work.

Kantian Naturalist is especially reprehensible, because he is smart enough to know that keiths’ work is shoddy and gives him a pass. Also, his “Arrington steals this thought from Talbott” is beyond outrageous. I gave full attribution to Talbott; linked to his article; and included lengthy quotes from the original. In what sense is this “stealing”? KN should be ashamed. I doubt that he is.

Comments
and wd now goes into full blown 'just so' mode!bornagain77
October 13, 2014
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There are also plenty of times where it reasonable to conclude that this or that trait is the result of selection. Not because of some recursive loop, but because other explantions are unlikely. If you knew nothing abut peacocks, and happened across one, it would be reasonable to assume this giant tail was the result of selection. It safe to say it's pretty costly to make such a tail, and carry it around with you. All else being equal, a peacock that didn't make such a tail would be better off for not spending the energy and so would be at a selective advantge (or, to put it another, any peacock allele contributing to such a tail would be at a disadvantage and thus the tail would be very unlikely to arise). So, it's reasonable to presume, even if we don't know all the details that his is a triat maintained by selection. As it happens, in peacocks we know where that selection is coming from (female preference),so we can experiment learn a lot more (though not yet everything) about way selection has operated to create and maintain the trait. I'm sure you'll find plenty of cases were people, even evolutionary biologists, haven't fully unpacked these kinds of arguments, but it doesn't invalidate natural selection or make it a tautologywd400
October 13, 2014
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wd400, you state,,, "the behaviour has a measurable fitness benefit" Now wd400, I worked in a chemical factory at one time calibrating instruments that measured all sorts of things to extreme accuracy. Can you please tell me exactly what physical units you are using to measure fitness with? i.e. What is the exact 'standard' for 'units of fitness' that we would use so as to calibrate an instrument to measure fitness with?bornagain77
October 13, 2014
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Let’s take the 375 million year old Tiktaalik, the seminal fossil unequivocally showing the transition from water to land.
No, it shows an organism well adapted to its environment.Joe
October 13, 2014
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n sum, the “explanation” for the earwig’s bizarre behavior is that the bizarre behavior was more fit (and, therefore, was selected). And how do we know it was more fit? Well, because that is what was selected. Well, actually, no. People have been studying the fitness benifits of so called "filial cannibalism" for a long time. That's something you can measure. The couple of line description of surival v fecunduty doesn't unpack the logic by which we can conclude the behavious is very likely the result of selection (roughly: the behaviour has a measurable fitness benifit, related species go in for lots of maternal care but never this extreme, thus the behaviour arose from a switch in behaviour, and that switch once it arose in a population was likely to fix due to the fitness consequence) does not mean the logic is not there.wd400
October 13, 2014
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Thank you Eric for clarifying that. I was so impressed, I posted your post to a facebook link,,, (which means maybe two more people might read it) :)bornagain77
October 13, 2014
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Everybody pay attention: @28 above, Joe quoted a definition of "natural selection" from a University of Illinois Chicago course. In addition to being largely tautological (the main point of this thread), due to their confusion about the relevance of "survivorship" to "fecundity", the definition also includes a real-world example of how natural selection has acted to shape a particular organism.
An extreme example of this is the Japanese earwig, which incubates a brood of eggs that later hatch and devour her. Over millions of years, evolution [meaning, natural selection acting on "fitness"] has favored alleles that increased her net number of surviving offspring, even if that meant a shortened lifespan due to cannibalism.
This jumped out at me because on the parallel thread (https://uncommondescent.com/intelligent-design/ea-on-random-turtles/#comment-518945) wd400 has been valiantly claiming that no real scientist would use natural selection as a circular explanation of a biological feature. (The topic of that thread.) Notwithstanding the fact that those of us who have been around this debate have seen this happen time and time again; and notwithstanding the fact that prominent evolutionists such as Provine have also noticed the tautological problem when natural selection is invoked in evolutionary just-so stories; notwithstanding all this, some people just keep digging in their heels and claiming the whole issue is just some Creationist talking point and that no real scientist would ever make such a mistake. Yet here we are, dear reader, with a University of Chicago course example. What is the explanation for this strange cannibalistic behavior of the Japanese earwig? Well, that is what natural selection favored. Bizarre as it may seem, having offspring that eat you in an act of cannibalism is a form of "fitness". And how do we know that, we might ask? Well, because that is what the Japanese earwig does, so it must have been selected for by natural selection; and that, boys and girls, is why the earwig is as it is today. In sum, the "explanation" for the earwig's bizarre behavior is that the bizarre behavior was more fit (and, therefore, was selected). And how do we know it was more fit? Well, because that is what was selected. Nothing but an unsupported, tautological, scientifically-meaningless, speculative just-so story. Worse, the unsuspecting students are being fed a line by being led to believe that some kind of scientific explanation for the Japanese earwig has been offered. As is so often the case, the evolutionary "explanation", based as it is in this case on a tautological just-so story, is worse than wrong. It is anti-knowledge. It gives the false impression of having imparted scientific knowledge, when it is just masquerading as science. A modern, recent, live example of the kind of unwholesome evolutionary thinking that happens all too often.Eric Anderson
October 13, 2014
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How would you go about testing whether natural selection occurred in the deep and unobservable past? Positive selection for a genotype leads to descreased gentic diversity in genomic sites either site of those selected sites. There are a whole suite of tests that take advantage of this observation, and related ones, to detect ancient natural selection. As I've already said, we can even use such tests to infer how adaptation has occured in the past (from standing diversity or from new mutations), how selection is likely to operate in populations of different effective population size and thus to predict how populations will react to future environmental stressors. Not bad for a 'vacuous tautology'...wd400
October 13, 2014
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Eric, maybe you know the answer. How would you go about testing whether natural selection occurred in the deep and unobservable past?Barry Arrington
October 13, 2014
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You're still confusing things. Fittest does not mean survivors here. Survival of the fittest = Survival of the best adapted. Individuals that are best fitted (i.e best adapted) to a given environment survives. There's no tautology. Barry says: "For your argument to work you need to show us why the term “fit” has a meaning that is independent of survival rate for animals in the deep and unobservable past." Let's take the 375 million year old Tiktaalik, the seminal fossil unequivocally showing the transition from water to land. It was found in an erstwhile swampy, marshy environment. Now look at some its adaptations - a flattened head with eyes and spiracles on top, special bone anatomy in its fins allowing it to lift its body off the surface. These are features that improves the fit of the organism to its marshy environment. It is better fitted (adapted) than some of its peers to the environment under question. Therefore it survives in that environment. If these adaptations have a heritable basis, then they are passed on to subsequent generations - bingo natural selection! It's amazing how you people can take simple concepts and build a confusing mountain out of it!Evolve
October 13, 2014
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Joe @33:
Survivorship would just be the ability of the organism to survive and fecundity would be the ability to reproduce. Some organisms only have one brood while others can have more than one and some can have many.
All of which is captured, is it not, in the concept of "differential reproductive success"? In other words, natural selection doesn't give a hoot whether an organism survives any particular length of time, as long as it leaves successors. And it doesn't give a hoot whether an organism leaves a ton of successors unless those successors, in turn, survive long enough to leave successors.Eric Anderson
October 13, 2014
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Evolve, thanks for the Wikipedia link. Even if Wikipedia were a credible source on anything relating to the evolution-design debate, we still need to look at what it actually says.
Furthermore, the expression does become a tautology if one uses the most widely accepted definition of "fitness" in modern biology, namely reproductive success itself (rather than any set of characters conducive to this reproductive success).
They acknowledge the issue and admit that it is a tautology in the "most widely accepted definition of fitness in modern biology." That is a pretty strong indictment of the "most widely accepted definition" of natural selection. That would lead us to suspect -- in line with what thoughtful observers have noted and contrary to what wd400 and some others has been claiming -- that many people, including many biologists, do tend to use a tautological definition when speaking of natural selection. The Wikipedia article then goes on to attempt to apply some other definition to natural selection to save it from being a tautology. With, I should add, dubious success.Eric Anderson
October 13, 2014
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Evolve @ 36: How would you go about testing whether natural selection occurred in the deep and unobservable past?Barry Arrington
October 13, 2014
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Evolve #36 I wouldn't say that Wikipedia article "dismantled" the criticism that survival of the fittest is a tautology. Fitness, heritable or not, cannot be tested for all future contingencies. Given that, it remains true that the survivors are necessarily the fittest for survival. The reproducers are necessarily the fittest for reproduction. If not, then the unfit survive and and unfit are more successful in reproducting. And the question would remain "unfit for what"? Not for survival, since they survived. Not for having heritable traits that allowed reproduction since they had those traits and reproduced. So, that doesn't work. The unfit didn't survive or reproduce as successfully. It all remains a tautology.Silver Asiatic
October 13, 2014
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Barry is so exuberant because he thinks he has nailed it. But, a simple Wikipedia article is sufficient to dismantle Barry's claim that "survival of the fittest" is a tautology: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survival_of_the_fittest Is there any wonder that ID is forever limited to a few people attacking evolution within the confines of a couple of websites?Evolve
October 13, 2014
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This whole business of shifting definitions is another manifestation of Barry's "Darwinian Debating Devices #5: Moving Goalposts".bb
October 13, 2014
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keiths is clueless:
Do you think we can scientifically test the fitness of genotypes?
It depends on how "fitness" is defined. If it is defined as the University of Illinois Chicago defines it, then no, we cannot.
I look forward to your explanation of how tests of a drug’s effectiveness are fundamentally different from tests of a genotype’s fitness, when everyone else can clearly see that they are based on the same, non-tautological principle.
Umm that is using two different definitions of fitness. The drug tests an individual's physical fitness and physical fitness is not what biological fitness is based on. As we have been saying keiths is ignorant and obviously proud of it.Joe
October 13, 2014
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Eric I think phoodoo is close. Survivorship would just be the ability of the organism to survive and fecundity would be the ability to reproduce. Some organisms only have one brood while others can have more than one and some can have many.Joe
October 13, 2014
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Eric, I would say they are just trying to differentiate between the length of survival and the amount of offspring they can produce. I think they are just calling survorship the duration of survival. Irregardless, I would say that whatever way the University of Illinois wants to write how they are defining fitness, the next guy who is writing for the University of Minnesota or for Tulane University is going to write it a different way, so that one guy is going to call it a description of genotype, one guy is going to call it a description of phenotype, and Joe Felsenstein is probably going to call it both, and then another guy is going to say its a trait related to an existing organism, another is going to say its a trait of what we can predict in the future, and once again Joe Felsenstein is going to say its both. All the while, they will simply be clouding the fact that the bottom line is, the only way to measure what is fit is by seeing what survives and what doesn't. So we are right back to saying "We measure what survives by measuring what survives. " Or we measure what reproduces best (or we predict what reproduces best) by seeing what reproduces best. They still haven't come up with any other way to measure what is fit.phoodoo
October 12, 2014
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Thanks, Joe.
Fitness is the ability of an organism to survive, and make copies of its alleles that are represented in the next generation. Organisms that produce more surviving offspring are more fit, those that produce fewer are less fit, regardless of how beautiful, strong, or interesting they are.
In other words, fitness is defined in terms of survival (meaning reproduction into the next generation).
Differences in fitness may be due to differences in survivorship, differences in fecundity, or both.
Joe, what is your take on what they mean by "survivorship"? In the prior quote they define fitness in terms of survival (which in turn means reproducing into the next generation). Then they try to draw a distinction between "survivorship" and "fecundity." However, fecundity is clearly relevant only to the extent it means ability to survive and reproduce into the next generation. Indeed, the subsequent example they give about the Japanese earwig make it clear that merely producing lots of offspring is not the issue; having those offspring reproduce and pass on those genes (defined previously as "survival") is the key. Thus, the concept of fecundity seems to be completely swallowed up in the concept of survival. What is your take? Is there some meaningful distinction they are trying to draw?Eric Anderson
October 12, 2014
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vjtorley:
Second, he specifically defines fitness in terms of the average success of a genotype “in a given environment,” meaning that one and the same genotype may be advantageous in one environment but disadvantageous in another
It's called contingency. ;) That is also why being average is good as environmental shifts wouldn't effect the average as much as the extremists.Joe
October 12, 2014
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...define fitness in terms of the average success of a genotype in a given environment... First, he is saying that fitness is primarily a property of genotypes rather then individuals. Second, he specifically defines fitness in terms of the average success of a genotype “in a given environment,” meaning that one and the same genotype may be advantageous in one environment but disadvantageous in another. Those are non-trivial points,
So there is no such ting as individual fitness? What does it even mean to speak of an "average" fitness? Average of what?Mung
October 12, 2014
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Thanks Eric- From the University of Illinois Chicago- Natural Selection:
Natural selection is the differential survival and reproduction of individuals with certain traits. It acts on phenotypes. Because most phenotypes are, in part, determined by genotypes, natural selection causes a change in the frequency of alleles over time. Thus, natural selection operates whenever individuals in a population differ in their ability to survive and reproduce, and natural selection causes evolution whenever there is genetic variation for traits that affect fitness What is fitness? Fitness is the ability of an organism to survive, and make copies of its alleles that are represented in the next generation. Organisms that produce more surviving offspring are more fit, those that produce fewer are less fit, regardless of how beautiful, strong, or interesting they are. Differences in fitness may be due to differences in survivorship, differences in fecundity, or both. Any allele that affects either or both of these will be subject to natural selection. Note, however, that there are alleles that decrease survivorship, but increase fecundity, and vice versa. An extreme example of this is the Japanese earwig, which incubates a brood of eggs that later hatch and devour her. Over millions of years, evolution has favored alleles that increased her net number of surviving offspring, even if that meant a shortened lifespan due to cannibalism. (bold added)
Joe
October 12, 2014
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Let’s Loosen Up Biological Thinking! - Stephen L. Talbott - Sept. 2014 Excerpt: a common line of thought (among molecular biologists) runs this way: “Yes, there is an appearance of mindfulness in all organisms, but this is a mere appearance, or an illusion. And the explanation for the illusion is natural selection”. The idea is that variation plus selection results in adaptation, and adapted behavior possesses a functional effectiveness that looks as if it were mindfully guided. Not all those who say such things would be willing to describe their own minds and intentions as illusions. But, in any case, we are left to wonder how an organism’s apparently purposeful activity is explained by similar activity in previous generations. Selection, after all, requires organisms that grow, develop, compete, prepare an inheritance, produce offspring, and otherwise pursue their seemingly intentional and well-directed lives, judiciously improvising all the way. These are the very activities that raise the question of mindfulness. So how does weaving the lives of many such organisms into the infinitely complex narratives of natural selection explain this mindfulness? Many biologists are content to dismiss the problem with hand-waving: “When we wield the language of agency, we are speaking metaphorically, and we could just as well, if less conveniently, abandon the metaphors”. Yet no scientist or philosopher has shown how this shift of language could be effected. And the fact of the matter is just obvious: the biologist who is not investigating how the organism achieves something in a well-directed way is not yet doing biology, as opposed to physics or chemistry. Is this in turn just hand-waving? Let the reader inclined to think so take up a challenge: pose a single topic for biological research, doing so in language that avoids all implication of agency, cognition, and purposiveness1. One reason this cannot be done is clear enough: molecular biology — the discipline that was finally going to reduce life unreservedly to mindless mechanism — is now posing its own severe challenges. In this era of Big Data, the message from every side concerns previously unimagined complexity, incessant cross-talk and intertwining pathways, wildly unexpected genomic performances, dynamic conformational changes involving proteins and their cooperative or antagonistic binding partners, pervasive multifunctionality, intricately directed behavior somehow arising from the interaction of countless players in interpenetrating networks, and opposite effects by the same molecules in slightly different contexts. The picture at the molecular level begins to look as lively and organic — and thoughtful — as life itself.,,, http://natureinstitute.org/txt/st/org/comm/ar/2014/mental_cell_23.htmbornagain77
October 12, 2014
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Here's the thing: They will eventually die like every dog. Who will care? I won't.Vishnu
October 12, 2014
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I should add that Joe is also correct that it makes not one whit of difference whether we are referring to a genotype or a phenotype. Ultimately, it all comes down to the phenotype -- that is all that can be "seen" by natural selection. But it doesn't make any difference for our analysis of whether natural selection runs the risk of being a tautology whether we are talking about genotype or phenotype or any other characteristic of the organism, or whether we are talking about absolutes or averages, definitives or stochastic results, and on and on. The only question -- the only logical issue on the table in this particular case -- is whether the resultant is defined in terms of the antecedent. Most people realize that you can't do this logically; they realize the concept becomes meaningless in that case. So they understandably make valiant efforts to avoid the self-referential. However, what trips up a lot of people is that they think by substituting in various traits or characteristics or different words they can rescue the logical formulation from the precipice of tautology. But on closer inspection, nearly all efforts to do so inadvertently incorporate the concept of "survival" in through the back door, so we are still left with a tautology. (I discuss this in detail in the last half of my essay linked @24 above.)Eric Anderson
October 12, 2014
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vjtorley @19:
He suggests that we can “define fitness in terms of the average success of a genotype in a given environment,” adding that “You don’t need to exclude any cases.” I think KeithS’s proposal merits serious consideration, as it is non-tautological.
No. It makes no difference whether we define natural selection as acting with precision in all cases on every organism or whether we define it as some kind of statistical/stochastic average. That is not the issue. The issue is defining the resultant in terms of the antecedent. At the risk of linking to myself again, I addressed this in detail in my essay here (see in particular the beginning 4 pages): http://web.archive.org/web/20080723214029/http://www.evolutiondebate.info/ThoughtsonNS.pdfEric Anderson
October 12, 2014
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Very often, nothing at all evolved to cause one species to survive and another to go extinct. So even the survivors cannot be said to be the most fit. They survived as a random effect. Species go extinct in the world today and others survive. Very often there is virtually no difference between the two - it wasn't a competition for resources that caused one to survive and the other to become extinct. There is no way to trace that effect in deep history. Newly evolved species do not emerge either but there are all sorts of evolutionist games to make excuses for that.Silver Asiatic
October 12, 2014
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I think, furthermore, Keith's idea is worthless, because what is the definition of a given environment? Today its hot, tomorrow its cold. Today there is fruit to eat, tomorrow, there is only pine cones. Today there are five predators ready to eat that gazelle, tomorrow they have moved to a different watering hole. Today there is a virus going around.... There is no such thing as a given environment. What is the environment that makes bacteria learn to digest lactose? What if tomorrow we take away the lactose? VJ, as a very safe rule of thumb, if it is something Keith at TSZ has thought of, it almost certainly, positively, has no merit. That is much more constant truth than any NOW environment.phoodoo
October 12, 2014
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If we “define fitness in terms of the average success of a genotype in a given environment,” then how do we define "success" if not by reproductive success (or failure)?Joe
October 12, 2014
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