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Prominent Environmental Ecologist Speaks Out with “Global Warming Delusions”

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Distinguished Professor Emeritus Botkin of the Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Marine Biology at the University of California, Santa Barbara, gives a balanced view of the enviromental impact of global warming titled “Global Warming Delusions” in today’s Wall Street Journal and a rather unflattering comment about scientists resorting to deceit to panic a public into supporting a political agenda.

Global Warming Delusions
October 17, 2007; Page A19

Global warming doesn’t matter except to the extent that it will affect life — ours and that of all living things on Earth. And contrary to the latest news, the evidence that global warming will have serious effects on life is thin. Most evidence suggests the contrary.

Case in point: This year’s United Nations report on climate change and other documents say that 20%-30% of plant and animal species will be threatened with extinction in this century due to global warming — a truly terrifying thought. Yet, during the past 2.5 million years, a period that scientists now know experienced climatic changes as rapid and as warm as modern climatological models suggest will happen to us, almost none of the millions of species on Earth went extinct. The exceptions were about 20 species of large mammals (the famous megafauna of the last ice age — saber-tooth tigers, hairy mammoths and the like), which went extinct about 10,000 to 5,000 years ago at the end of the last ice age, and many dominant trees and shrubs of northwestern Europe. But elsewhere, including North America, few plant species went extinct, and few mammals.

We’re also warned that tropical diseases are going to spread, and that we can expect malaria and encephalitis epidemics. But scientific papers by Prof. Sarah Randolph of Oxford University show that temperature changes do not correlate well with changes in the distribution or frequency of these diseases; warming has not broadened their distribution and is highly unlikely to do so in the future, global warming or not.

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The link doesn't seem to work. Try this. http://www.livescience.com/environment/071003-ozone-hole-shrinks.html Lurker
Remember the Ozone Hole Crisis a few years back? Things have changed. Lurker
The William Gray speech referenced in another UD thread got itself referenced in Wikipedia within a day of its appearance here. There is no Daniel Botkin entry in Wikipedia. I wonder if one will appear now that he has challenged the orthodoxy. And I don't mean a complimentary entry. russ
Mr. Botkin points out one of the primary fallacies with climate alarmism (though he could have stated it more strongly): the idea that there is some ideal norm temperature for the Earth, that we happen to be in it now, and that any future deviation from this norm will be catastrophic. This idea is of course subject to significant attack on all three prongs. Eric Anderson

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