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Silver Asiatic’s Merry-Go-Round

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Over the last ten years in these pages we have seen versions of the following basic progression hundreds of times:

1.  Materialist makes false claim about ID.

2.  ID proponent explodes false claim and asks materialist to acknowledge his error.

3.  Materialist never gives an inch, bobs and weaves, and tries to change the subject.

In this post E.Seigner gives us such a pristine example that I decided to use it as a paradigmatic illustration of the progression.

At 265 E.Seigner trots out a version of the hoary old “ID proponents just think complex things must be designed” error. He writes:

The further problem is that the contrast is not solid, but it’s a point on a continuum, where the point is “a threshold of sufficient complexity”, i.e. the continuum is continuum of complexity, where one end is said to be caused by chance and mechanical necessity and the other end by “design by intelligence”.

At 274 Barry puts up two 12-line groups of text, one random, the other designed.  The random group is more complex than the designed group, and Barry asks:

If the designed group is less complex than the chance group, there must be something other than complexity that allows you to detect design. What do you think that something is?

At 278 Silver Asiatic makes a prediction:

I’m going to guess that [E.Seigner] doesn’t want to answer and therefore learn about ID, but rather play on the little amusement park ride we call the merry-go-round.

At 282 E.Seigner confirms Silver Asiatic’s prediction:

When I am not convinced by your typing some scribble first and then English I’m not being hyperskeptical but as rational as usual. How many of you here can tell from Chinese characters if they mean anything or were typed by a cat?

Notice E.Seigner’s strategy.  Dismiss the question and change the subject.

E.Seigner’s response might be funny if it were not so pathetic. It boils down to “I’m not convinced because I’m so smart. Let’s talk about something else now.”

Tactics like E.Seigner’s make me more and more convinced that ID proponents are onto something. If the materialists had logic and evidence on their side, surely they would employ those against us and launch devastating irrefutable attacks on ID. Instead, I ask them a simple little question and instead of answering it they bob and weave while bragging about how they are being “rational as usual.”

As reader’s know, I enjoy little shorthand handles for typical materialist tactics (“Berra’s Blunder,” Miller’s Mendacity,” etc.). I am trying to come up with a handle for this bobbing and weaving and avoiding simple questions tactic. Silver Asiatic has suggested “Merry-Go-Round.” Other suggestions?

UPDATE:

In all fairness to E.Seigner I should note that after I posted this post, he made the following comment at 297 of the prior post linked above.

@ Barry

I am not a materialist. See the last paragraph of #87. I came here to discuss philosophy and theology, but ID theory is annoyingly in the way.

Let us summarize, E.Seigner made a false claim about the nature of design detection. I refuted that claim and asked E.Seigner a simple follow-up question. E.Seigner evaded that question and tried to change the subject. I called him on his evasion. E.Seigner ends the discussion by pointing out an irrelevancy (“I’m not a materialist”) and continuing to evade and dodge.

UPDATE 2:

At 299 in the post linked above E.Seigner finally answers the question:

We recognize English text because we learned the language.

Of course, this is just another way of saying that we detect the design in the non-random text because it conforms to a specification, i.e., the conventions of the English language.

Note that this is exactly contrary to his first (false) assertion, which was: ID proponents say “it is complex; therefore it must be designed.” ES now admits that he recognizes design in the complex 2nd string of text not merely because it was complex, but because it conformed to a specification.

Now ES was that so hard? Welcome to the ID movement.

Comments
Querius, With an appropriately chosen key, any string of the same length can be engineered to be equivalent to an arbitrarily chosen message. Of course this means that the key has to be chosen very carefully. One could argue then that the information resides more in the key than in the string. Besides that, ID is not arguing that its methods can detect all information-containing strings. There can easily, with the appropriately chosen strings, be false negatives for information/design. The argument that is made is that, once the specification and complexity pass certain limits, false positives are not a problem. So while someone could tell me that using a special cipher, Barry's sequence A might contain information, that is not the point. The point is that sequence B definitely contains information.Paul Giem
September 24, 2014
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kairosfocus
The diversity of snowflakes of course reflects how large the range of possibilities — the config space — is, and how contingent the outcome is under fairly similar initial conditions. The complexity reflects micro-variability effectively at random, which is highly contingent. But that variability is not simultaneously functionally specific. Pointing to chance as explanation of the complexity.
(Emphasis mine.) What's wrong with this reasoning? Consider:
The diversity of cell structures of course reflects how large the range of possibilities — the config space — is, and how contingent the outcome is under fairly similar initial conditions. The complexity reflects micro-variability effectively at random, which is highly contingent. But that variability is not simultaneously functionally specific. Pointing to chance as explanation of the complexity.
Or:
The diversity of character shapes (hand-written letters more obviously, but also letters typed on paper display micro-variability so no two letters are ever the same) of course reflects how large the range of possibilities — the config space — is, and how contingent the outcome is under fairly similar initial conditions. The complexity reflects micro-variability effectively at random, which is highly contingent. But that variability is not simultaneously functionally specific. Pointing to chance as explanation of the complexity.
Or:
The diversity of sand castles of course reflects how large the range of possibilities — the config space — is, and how contingent the outcome is under fairly similar initial conditions. The complexity reflects micro-variability effectively at random, which is highly contingent. But that variability is not simultaneously functionally specific. Pointing to chance as explanation of the complexity.
Now use FSCO/I to solve this. I'm sure everyone will love to see a probabilistic calculation distinguish an intelligent design from non-intelligent whatever. This is what the folks are here for, after all. @Barry It would have been better if you had quoted what StephenB picked up from me in #290 in the other thread. This reveals my true position. Less assumptions, more actual dialogue. Anyway, thanks for making me famous, even though there was no reason.E.Seigner
September 24, 2014
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Barry, My point is that a string cannot be evaluated for information content when you consider that it might be encrypted with a modern cryptographic algorithm. Encoding a string prioritizes computational difficulty, the dispersion of information within the string, and the homogeneity of the data to look like noise. However, the information density will be low. I would add that in contrast, DNA encoding prioritizes reliability, information density, and flexibility (perhaps some other qualities as well). One string is not necessarily like another, thus comparing them without full knowledge is not possible. -QQuerius
September 24, 2014
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Q @ 14. What point are you trying to make?Barry Arrington
September 24, 2014
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A cryptographer might be able to prove that the two strings presented above encode the identical information, one is human readable, the other is computable given enough time or a key. Ideally, an encrypted message should be as close to white noise as possible. It would then be impossible to distinguish between the two messages by inspection: one might be incredibly profound, the other simply noise. -QQuerius
September 24, 2014
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I am a big Garth Brooks fan and my favorite song of his is "The Dance." While what the anti-ID people is nothing like the Brooks song, I like to call what they do, "The Dance." It is always interesting to watch how they will move and squirm or hide when confronted with contrary evidence or logic. They really do have a lot of moves when they are forced to avoid a direct answer. So we have the "Evolutionist Dance."jerry
September 24, 2014
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WS:
Just because the random set has more different characters doesn’t make it more complex.
So?
Is a field full of snow more complex than DNA?
Who cares? Why do you ask? Every snow flake is different. So?Mung
September 24, 2014
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JDH (attn ES): The diversity of snowflakes of course reflects how large the range of possibilities -- the config space -- is, and how contingent the outcome is under fairly similar initial conditions. The complexity reflects micro-variability effectively at random, which is highly contingent. But that variability is not simultaneously functionally specific. Pointing to chance as explanation of the complexity. I suppose if we could control the micro-conditions of the air well enough, we could make a controllable prong-pattern similar to a Yale lock that could be used to store functional information. But as a Yale lock shows, complex functional specificity like that is by design, not blind chance: you need just the right key to fit and open a given lock. The six-fold symmetry of the flakes of course is a natural regularity tracing to the spatial molecular structure of water and implied forces, it is tied to a different aspect of the snowflake . . . hinting at the significance of needing a given aspect to show BOTH functional specificity and complexity beyond a threshold to unequivocally point to design. Thus, we actually see how chance, mechanical necessity and design would be distinct in effects and how a design inference would work. KFkairosfocus
September 24, 2014
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Call it the "Speakshake shuffle," or, the "Seigner shuffle," or the "Fish(RD) Shuffle." The person is always different, but the strategy is always the same.StephenB
September 24, 2014
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WS @2 Nothing is more amusingly ironic than to have someone attempt to defend their viewpoint against a charge from the other view by doing exactly what was pointed out as error. "...Every snow flake is different." I hate to be disrespectful, because you probably thought you were really making a valid point, but my only response was LOL.JDH
September 24, 2014
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Barry at 5. You are right, I must learn to be more charitable. It's just that I live in an environment where this sort of thing happens all the time in life. In big downtown hospitals, a PA announcement will suddenly ask: Will anyone who speaks [Vietnamese] please come to the emergency room. Usually, someone has been brought in by the paramedics, and ID shows that what they are saying is probably in a given language. But *it doesn't follow that what they are saying makes any sense.* (Oxygen shortages to the brain, for example, can cause people to have a sharply limited perspective on their situation.) So maybe the volunteer translator will listen and say "It's Vietnamese, but he isn't making any sense." Okay, well, they just admit him and start treatment, and try to get real information about him from someone else. My point is that even in an emergency, it is not usually difficult to find out whether a string of text/vocals actually makes sense. If it makes sense, it is specified, in the sense of following a pattern of communication. = What I should tell these doctors and nurses about what happened to me. It is hard to believe anyone doesn't know this.News
September 24, 2014
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PS: Maybe, red herring chase?kairosfocus
September 24, 2014
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BA: In fact, in flat random ASCII text, any of the 128 characters is equiprobable. In English text, that is decidedly not so, e.g. e is about 1/8 of normal modern English text . . . not sure how the ratios go for Shakespeare era English. It is a well known result of basic info theory that flat random distribution text stings will have more Shannon Info than something constrained by rules that move us away from that. In any case, it is SPECIFIC complexity, especially functionally specific complexity that is hard to account for on blind chance and/or mechanical necessity. FSCO/I leads to being in identifiable, separately -- independently -- describable islands of function in a large config space, and that is what makes it so hard to hit such an island by non-intelligent causes. Hitting on something that is complex but is non-functional is much, much, much more likely -- all but absolutely certain; in effect empirically certain. And, the atomic and temporal resources of the solar system or observable cosmos are so small relative to the config space that no reasonable procedure can be empirically adequate that is not intelligent. That's not hard to see or show, and the rhetorical gymnastics used by objectors to evade the point are revealing. KFkairosfocus
September 24, 2014
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News @ 1: As I think about it, a more charitable interpretation of E.Seigner’s response is that he is just plain stupid and presented his Chinese cat response in all sincerity, mistakenly believing it even remotely addressed, far less responded to, the issues raised in the question. I say “more charitable” because it would be more charitable to assume he is stupid rather than dishonest or cowardly. But I’m not feeling especially charitable today. Sorry.Barry Arrington
September 24, 2014
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WS @ 2: Thank you for pointing out to us in prior posts that you have a master’s degree in the sciences. I had previously written you off as an uninformed scientific dilettante. I now see you are highly-educated and credentialed in matters of science. You are welcome here. I am always glad when the best and brightest from the other side come here to debate us. To the issue raised in the OP, I was going to explain the stuff that Paul pointed out in 3. Thanks Paul. You saved me that trouble. In summary, “higher complexity” is defined as “increased contingency.” Here are the two strings of text in question.
Group 1: OipaFJPSDIOVJN;XDLVMK:DOIFHw;ZD VZX;Vxsd;ijdgiojadoidfaf;asdfj;asdj[ije888 Sdf;dj;Zsjvo;ai;divn;vkn;dfasdo;gfijSd;fiojsa dfviojasdgviojao’gijSd’gvijsdsd;ja;dfksdasd XKLZVsda2398R3495687OipaFJPSDIOVJN ;XDLVMK:DOIFHw;ZDVZX;Vxsd;ijdgiojadoi Sdf;dj;Zsjvo;ai;divn;vkn;dfasdo;gfijSd;fiojsadfvi ojasdgviojao’gijSd’gvijssdv.kasd994834234908u XKLZVsda2398R34956873ACKLVJD;asdkjad Sd;fjwepuJWEPFIhfasd;asdjf;asdfj;adfjasd;ifj ;asdjaiojaijeriJADOAJSD;FLVJASD;FJASDF; DOAD;ADFJAdkdkas;489468503-202395ui34 Group 2: To be, or not to be, that is the question— Whether ’tis Nobler in the mind to suffer The Slings and Arrows of outrageous Fortune, Or to take Arms against a Sea of troubles, And by opposing, end them? To die, to sleep— No more; and by a sleep, to say we end The Heart-ache, and the thousand Natural shocks That Flesh is heir to? ‘Tis a consummation Devoutly to be wished. To die, to sleep, To sleep, perchance to Dream; Aye, there’s the rub, For in that sleep of death, what dreams may come, When we have shuffled off this mortal coil,
Your thesis is that the first string is less complex than the second string. Now is your chance to defend that thesis. I think your thesis is indefensible, and the truth of the matter is that as materialists so often do you just popped off and said some random thing in an effort to change the subject. Now is your chance to prove me wrong.Barry Arrington
September 24, 2014
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Spearshake, This is fun! You can be provoked to say such inane things by being presented with so little stimulus. Complex specificity is a mainstay of intelligent design theory, as I hope you have picked up by now. Complexity is roughly covered by Shannon information. Specificity is covered by matching some kind of independently specified pattern, examples being (a) matching linguistic patterns and (b) functional patterns such as enzymes. Complexity can exist without specificity, as for example in random letter collections or randomly assembled strings of DNA. That is a major part of the point of talking about specified complexity. So to get back to your example, a sufficiently large snowfield is indeed more complex than DNA. And "just because", or precisely because, the random set has more different characters does indeed make it more complex; just not more specified. This is so easy. It's actually rather amusing to see you missing the point. Are you playing a clown for us?Paul Giem
September 24, 2014
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At 274 Barry puts up two 12-line groups of text, one random, the other designed. The random group is more complex than the designed group, and Barry asks:
Just because the random set has more different characters doesn't make it more complex. Is a field full of snow more complex than DNA? Every snow flake is different.william spearshake
September 24, 2014
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The Narcissistic Personality Disorder defense? When a narcissist would otherwise have to admit a weakness, he changes the subject. The “Chinese vs. cat” example is a classic. The obvious response would be that a Chinese-literate person could be asked. But pointing that out would only mean that this rabbit hole winds into another one. Possibly, what if the text was prepared by a space alien? Darwin’s followers are especially accomplished at this sort of thing because their system is by nature nihilistic, and defaults at last to: Our brains have not evolved so as to understand that Darwinism is true. That is why it is so disastrous to give them any standing in the school system.News
September 24, 2014
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