Uncommon Descent Serving The Intelligent Design Community

David Abel in The First Gene: “Mere possibility is not an adequate basis for asserting scientific plausibility.”

The First Gene: The Birth of Programming, Messaging and Formal Control

David L. Abel, editor of The First Gene, offers in Chapter 11,

The Universal Plausibility Metric and Principle

Abstract: Mere possibility is not an adequate basis for asserting scientific plausibility. A precisely defined universal bound is needed beyond which the assertion of plausibility, particularly in life-origin models, can be considered operationally falsified. But can something so seemingly relative and subjective as plausibility ever be quantified? Amazingly, the answer is, “Yes.” A method of objectively measuring the plausibility of any chance hypothesis (The Universal Plausibility Metric [UPM]) is presented. A numerical inequality is also provided whereby any chance hypothesis can be definitively falsified when its UPM metric of ? is < 1 (The Universal Plausibility Principle [UPP]). Both UPM and UPP pre-exist and are independent of any experimental design and data set. No low-probability hypothetical plausibility assertion should survive peer-review without subjection to the UPP inequality standard of formal falsification (? < 1).

Don't be nasty... Axel

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