Uncommon Descent Serving The Intelligent Design Community

A Short Commentary on the Nye-Ham Debate

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I originally wrote this for a friend, but decided that other people might be interested, too. Anyway, this is not a blow-by-blow, and I’m sure I’m missing some important points, but here is my commentary on the debate. If parts of it read like an email to a friend, well, that’s because that’s where it originated 🙂


Overall impression – Ken Ham made an excellent (and better) initial presentation, but he faltered quite a bit at answering questions from both Bill Nye and the audience, in which part Bill Nye was the clear winner.

Where I Thought Ken Ham Succeeded, and Nye Failed

One thing I was surprised at was that Bill Nye completely discounted the distinction between operational science and origins science, even though that distinction is very well documented in the philosophy of science. Actually, it was the evolutionists themselves who recognized the need for a distinction, and a difference to the types of evidences and procedures needed for historical vs. operational science!

Here, for instance, is famous evolutionist Ernst Mayr:

Evolutionary biology, in contrast with physics and chemistry, is a historical science—the evolutionist attempts to explain events and processes that have already taken place. Laws and experiments are inappropriate techniques for the explication of such events and processes. Instead one constructs a historical narrative, consisting of a tentative reconstruction of the particular scenario that led to the events one is trying to explain.

I thought Ham had a better grasp on the philosophy and limitations of science. Nye failed to grasp that science has methodologies, and each methodology has its own limitations. Instead, science functioned as a religion to Nye, answering all of his questions in the way he wants it to, without regard to its limitations.

Ham also emphasized the origin of logic and reason. Philosopher Alvin Plantinga has done a good job showing that science is consistent with theism but inconsistent with naturalism, since naturalism doesn’t provide adequate warrant for believing one’s own theories about nature, but theism does. A lot of Ham’s specific arguments come from a talk by Jason Lisle on this subject, which I think is well done.

Nye, quite predictably, hammered on about the need for science and engineering education and how creationism somehow prevents this. The funny thing is that the place where Nye thought was currently on top of science (i.e. the current US) is also the place where it is on top in creationism. Likewise, the subject he thought most important (engineering) is likewise the subject that produces the most creationists. I thought that Ham’s showing of many important Creation scientists and engineers was quite a good answer to the question of whether or not creation hinders the progress of engineering and science – it certainly has not been shown to do this.

Nye, for his part, seemed to be altogether ignorant of Christian theology. He tried several comments on it which were never responded to, primarily because the amount of education needed here would be so remedial.

Also, Nye harped quite a bit on the number of species, but he seemed to misunderstand his own calculation. His number (16 million I think) of species are based off of the total number of species anywhere – including bacteria, fungus, molds, plants, single-celled organisms, fish, etc (it is also an *estimate*, not an actual count). The number of species on the ark is based on the total number of land-based animals and birds. I don’t remember exactly what the present number of species is for land-based animals, but it is a much more reasonable number (I think there is an average that each ark-kind has only diversified into 8-10 species in total).

Finally, Ham did a decent job of explaining why current education in origins is already religious – by allowing only naturalistic causes, it is merely the religion of naturalism in disguise.

Where I Thought Nye Succeeded, and Ham Failed

Ham, however, failed to show, except in the narrowest cases, how the Creation model can be predictive. He did a good job showing Creationists who were scientists and engineers, but did not do a good job connecting their science and engineering to their creationism. He made a passing remark at one point that having a correct view of origins will lead a scientist in the right direction, but failed to show a specific instance of this actually happening.

Ham also left the audience without a sense of what a Creation scientist would actually *do*. Bill Nye pointed out the things that scientists investigate to discover, and how science generates a passion for knowing. Ham merely pointed to the Bible, as if the Bible answered every scientific question. Ham failed to give a positive account of what science looks like under the Bible except to assert that “the Bible is true”. If that was all Creation scientists did, it would be extremely boring.

Nye did a decent job of coming up with a short but powerful list of evidences to show that the world is old, and Ham did very little to counter any of that evidence. Nye also used Tiktaalik and humanoid skeleton’s to show the evolutionary tree, and that was also not countered by Ham.

Nye did a pretty good job of painting Ham into a hard-headed provincialist, unable to see past his own beliefs, and unwilling to dialogue with the rest of the world. On the flip side, however, Nye seemed altogether ignorant of the fact that he, too, was bringing in prior beliefs. I admire Ham for boldly proclaiming his beliefs, and he did a decent job of showing why his beliefs were not unreasonable; unfortunately, he gave very few reasons why other people should change their beliefs to his. Nye picked up on this instinctively, and hammered him nearly the whole night for it.

Overall, I appreciate Bill Nye’s willingness to engage in a respectful public dialogue with people he disagrees with. The world would be better off if that happened more often. I also appreciate the moderator, whom I thought did an excellent job. He did such a great job, I almost forgot to mention him!

Please post below if I left anything out important.

For those who missed the debate, it is available for viewing online for the next few days at this link.

UPDATE – Casey Luskin provides excellent commentary from an Intelligent Design perspective (my commentary had the aim of being more focused on what was said than what I wished was said).

Comments
scordova: I'm not a geologist and don't have more expertise than armchair reading. So I don't have any answer to your argument about Heart Mountain. I think this is worth a look if you haven't seen it, but you do seem knowledgeable about phenomena like faults. However, I will say that arguing for originally-horizontal strata on the basis of a few exceptions to the vertical model means you're going against the current of the evidence. This is a good example of where YEC has a consilience problem. You can poke all the holes you like in old-earth and no-worldwide-deluge arguments, but you have no comprehensive alternative that truly predicts and explains the same evidence. Hydrodynamic sorting and ecologizal zonation arguments face far, far more issues than the conventional view. When it comes to your idea, there is no reason to think that what paleontologists consider the major eras were actually represented by living creatures all at once, with spatial rather than temporal separation. For one thing, it would require one of the following: that either the entire world was collectively zoned-up like this (with, say, the precambrian life existing in Eastern Americas, the Cambrian to the East of that, and so on until you hit the Cenozoic environment in the Western Americas)... or that the same exact series of eco-zones were, for some reason, represented in the same order several times over, in different parts of the world. And in either case, you also have to argue that the flood always turned the zones sideways in the same direction. (Although that's a pretty cool idea which reminds me of a Tarzan comic book I enjoyed as a kid, "The Land That Time Forgot", where a single island basically works that way; the further you walked into the island, the more "ancient" the living fauna you encountered.)
I don’t think anyone is suggesting we can pick any random spot on the surface of the Earth and start digging and see all the layers most of the time. Usually it’s just one or few, which means the layers are horizontally laid out on the Earth’s surface, and then it becomes questionable then to refer to them as layers at all except when they are stacked on each other like Heart Mountain.
If the entire geologic column were equally represented at all strata, that would imply accumulation of strata at an equal rate everywhere, which we have no reason to expect, in part because stratification typically involves water and the earth has never been covered by equal amounts of water all at once. (A one-time flood creating all the strata would, it seems to me, be slightly likelier to create such a thing, but not necessarily.)
It is dubious that there is even 1 place on Earth we have a whole Phanerozoic system, there is ongoing debate on the net of the credibility of claims that entire systems exist. If so, then most of the layers are horizontal, which make it questionable to even call them layers in the first place.
How does it follow (from the noteworthy absence of vertical layers in various places where other vertical layers are found) that "most of the layers are horizontal"?
One thing I’m curious about. Are index fossils required to appear always in a certain kind of rock? I actually don’t know. Thanks.
It's not absolutely required that every slice of deep rock contain any fossils at all, of course. If any fossils are found, they are expected to match the known strata where they have been found before. The commonest fossils are called "index" fossils because they happen to be especially useful for the identification of strata (though they are certainly not the only means of identifying strata, as some creationists like to argue); even non-purely-scientific endeavors like oil wells or highway builders have hired geologists who use index fossils as an identifier. Come to think of it, by "kind of rock" you probably meant... kind of rock, such as sandstone or whatever. And as to that I have no idea.Lenoxus
February 7, 2014
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Nye apparently made a mistake with tree ring dating. The tree in question was C-14 dated, not done by ring counts.scordova
February 7, 2014
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Huh, this is a new notion I haven’t encountered before; the usual argument is for some kind of “hydrodynamic sorting” mixed with an assumption of vertically stacked eco-zones. But you’re basically saying the fossil record is a result of the deluge turning things “sideways” (at least, in the majority cases where the stratification is vertical), is that it? I’m afraid that’s just as problematic; given that hypothesis we would still expect combinations that we never see. For one thing, real-world eco-zones aren’t separated horizontally anything like what we see in the fossil record.
Consider Heart Mountain where we have the layers in the following order from top to bottom:
Paleozoic Jurassic Tertiary Paleozoic
it is supposed to be: Tertiary Jurassic Paleozoic How did that overthrust happen without the layers being horizontal at one time, maybe horizontal from the very beginning! In fact, overthrusts and overlapping horizontal lithologies require the layers be laid out horizontally. The one place lots of layers look in the right order and at least several represented and stacked on top of each other is the Grand Canyon, but even that isn't the entire Phanerozoic. But I don't think anyone is suggesting we can pick any random spot on the surface of the Earth and start digging and see all the layers most of the time. Usually it's just one or few, which means the layers are horizontally laid out on the Earth's surface, and then it becomes questionable then to refer to them as layers at all except when they are stacked on each other like Heart Mountain. It is dubious that there is even 1 place on Earth we have a whole Phanerozoic system, there is ongoing debate on the net of the credibility of claims that entire systems exist. If so, then most of the layers are horizontal, which make it questionable to even call them layers in the first place.
Even though fossilization is helped a lot by flood-type conditions (though not solely, see tarpits for example) and thus we can assume that most fossils are of organisms that did go underwater, that doesn’t mean the best explanation of all the fossils is one single massive flood. That’s a bit like proposing that all electrocutions in history resulted from a single lightning bolt.
The problem is more general than that, without rapid burial, things will get scavenged, decayed, or destroyed from lack of protection. Burial cannot be slow even in principle. That is the basic mechanical contradiction that is there but never properly acknowledged. Thanks for responding. PS One thing I'm curious about. Are index fossils required to appear always in a certain kind of rock? I actually don't know. Thanks.scordova
February 7, 2014
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C: rather I am saying that the Oral Tradition teaches that the Creation story in Genesis and the Heavenly Chariot stories in Ezekiel and Isaiah cannot be read and understood, no matter how sophisticated your analysis and no matter how much context you are employing.
It's not just the creation account that is being questioned, it is the account of Noah's flood. I was an OEC and also accepted the idea of a great flood. The supposed elimination of all humanity also suggests to me it was global, not local. If you read Genesis 10 (the table of nations), it is awfully hard to argue the flood is some sort of mysterious allegory, and further, Luke Chapter 3 ties Jesus as a descendent of Noah, and Jesus refers to Noah's flood as a real event. On top of this there is the tower of Babel. So even supposing we don't understand the creation account, the wording of the flood account seems naturally literal especially in light of Genesis 10. But we might consider settling the issue by studying the evidence and seeing a revision of timescales is in order. I say the evidence screams that we should stop and reconsider the claims of Darwinists.scordova
February 7, 2014
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Lenoxus, I bet that you look like your ancestors.
Yes. My body is evidence for the existence of primates, and mammals, and all the groups of which I am part. I am a piece of evolution's evidentiary puzzle, and Tiktaalik is another, much more important piece.
And unless one, a fishapod, is found between fish a tetrapods, it is in the wrong strata to support universal common descent.
Tiktaalik tells us that fishapods indeed existed, which common descent calls for, just like it calls for intermediates for which we have even greater fossil support, like reptilian mammals, dinobirds, walking whales, and ape-humans. Finding a fishapod that dates to several million years later than the point of transition isn't some kind of problem, in the way that finding one that was way too early (such as the precambrian) would be. It's only a problem because news media insists on "MISSING LINK FOUND" stuff. Even before Tiktaalik we had plenty of Elpistostegalians (the bigger word for fishapods) and their close relatives. Tiktaalik is just another one, one that is noteworthy for its particularly "middlish" morphology. But no, we haven't yet found fishapod fossils preceding those remarkable tracks. If that makes you feel smug, then you're implying that we shouldn't expect to find them, so go ahead and predict that we never will. I'm sure you'd be as right as if you'd predicted no fossil remnants of those other major transitions.
And a tree of life would a non-nested hierarchy as the parent populations do not consist of and contain the daughter populations. Linnean taxonomy is a nested hierarchy as it exhibits summativity. The US Army is a nested hierarchy- it has nothing to do with descent with modification.
Ah, I'm starting to understand. I used to think of evolution that way before I learned about cladistics, and it would sometimes confuse me. But drawing distinctions between the groups of ancestors and their descendents is rarely useful, and usually arbitrary. The truth is that humans, being mammals, are by extension a kind of reptile, and hence are a tiny subset of lobe-finned fish. That's the nested hierarchy of evolution.Lenoxus
February 6, 2014
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Lenoxus, I bet that you look like your ancestors. And unless one, a fishapod, is found between fish a tetrapods, it is in the wrong strata to support universal common descent. And yes I understand your argument. And a tree of life would a non-nested hierarchy as the parent populations do not consist of and contain the daughter populations. Linnean taxonomy is a nested hierarchy as it exhibits summativity. The US Army is a nested hierarchy- it has nothing to do with descent with modification.Joe
February 6, 2014
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Joe:
In the absence of being found in the right strata, Tiktaalik is a transitional form in that “it looks like what you think a transitional form from fish to tetrapod would lokk like”.
Yes, it does. That's because it looks like its ancestors. It's not in the "wrong" strata any more than a human who died recently and was buried would be in the "wrong" place for not being King Tut or someone equally integral to history. That human's body could still provide valuable insights to alien archaeologists wondering what King Tut looked like (if they had access to Egyptian writings but not to human bodies), and if these aliens were to predict the human shape based on other evidence, then the discovery of some arbitrary human body would still be of significance. You don't have to agree with me about what I think the scientists believe. However, do you at least understand my argument that they don't believe we should ever expect to find transitionals in the specific sense of "this animal is a direct reproductive descendant of X and a direct reproductive ancestor of Y"? That (despite how this may seem like special pleading if you refuse to really think about it) it doesn't make sense to insist on such a thing? Complaining that they ought to find and identify those specific fossils if the theory is true is, ironically, a failure to accept that something can leave behind (huge amounts of) indirect evidence of its existence, a line of thinking that actually contradicts the design inference! It would be like refusing to accept that some ancient pottery had been made by a human until that specific human's corpse has been found and identified as such by archaeologists. The archaeologists could try to explain that for every potter there would be hundreds of farmers, priests, and kings, and there's no reason to expect any potters specifically to be preserved, and further that there's no obvious way to tell whether a given body was the same potter who made the pot... but some hyper-skeptic keeps accusing them of evading the problems.
And do you know the difference between a nested hierarchy, a semi- nested hierarchy and a non-nested hierarchy?
I suppose so. Could you explain the relevance? Would you describe the actual array of life as semi-nested, or non-nested, or not even a hierarchy?
BTW I have been south of the equator and tested the drain effect. They either drain in the same motion as ours do in the north or they just kind of all empty at once without any whirlpool effect.
Right. I was unclear. My intention was to compare the wrong assumption that the coriolis effect affects bathtub water to various wrong assumptions about evolution. They're both easy misperceptions to fall into, especially because they are widely believed. scordova:
Because they aren’t layers for the most part on top of each other. The “layers” are laying HORIZONTALLY (not vertically) in relation to each other just like eco zones lay horizontally to each other.
Huh, this is a new notion I haven't encountered before; the usual argument is for some kind of "hydrodynamic sorting" mixed with an assumption of vertically stacked eco-zones. But you're basically saying the fossil record is a result of the deluge turning things "sideways" (at least, in the majority cases where the stratification is vertical), is that it? I'm afraid that's just as problematic; given that hypothesis we would still expect combinations that we never see. For one thing, real-world eco-zones aren't separated horizontally anything like what we see in the fossil record.
Even that said, we see mammals in dino dig sites, the fossil record is heavily edited of embarrassments.
How is that problematic? Mammals date back to the late Triassic, so they overlap with dinosaurs by about a hundred million years.
Rapid stratification is demonstrated possible, and actually shown necessary. It’s not just possible that the fossil layers were built fast, it is virtually impossible that they were built slowly if the fossils are permineralized because of the requirements that the entombment happen rapidly (a matter of hours to weeks) and involve water.
Even though fossilization is helped a lot by flood-type conditions (though not solely, see tarpits for example) and thus we can assume that most fossils are of organisms that did go underwater, that doesn't mean the best explanation of all the fossils is one single massive flood. That's a bit like proposing that all electrocutions in history resulted from a single lightning bolt. And of course, you're being selective with the data when you make a big deal about water, but ignore that after the flood-sedimentation steps of fossilization are processes known to take an extremely long time. (You also conflated fossilization with stratification so that you could make "rapid stratification" sound slightly less absurd.) No actual flash flood has produced fossils in human-observable time, yet the sheer amount of fossils we have would suggest (under YEC) that nearly all the Great Flood's water had special instant-fossilization abilities. (At least, I'm assuming that under YEC, the fossils were basically physically the same as they are today, say, within a month after the flood was over.)Lenoxus
February 6, 2014
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conceptualinertia @52, You are talking to people who believe that the book of revelation, a purely metaphorical book, should be understood literally. In fact, Christian fundamentalists read literally from book of Revelation to preach their doctrine of eternal damnation in hell fire. It's evil, IMO.Mapou
February 6, 2014
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sixthbook@39: It's the "Tablet Theory of Genesis Authorship" http://www.trueorigin.org/tablet.aspDebianFanatic
February 6, 2014
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JGuy, I don't think you are understanding my point. I am not saying yom = age per se (although that is a possibility), rather I am saying that the Oral Tradition teaches that the Creation story in Genesis and the Heavenly Chariot stories in Ezekiel and Isaiah cannot be read and understood, no matter how sophisticated your analysis and no matter how much context you are employing. The tradition understands these accounts to be codes for something else.conceptualinertia
February 6, 2014
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Ham may have lost the debate but the facts win the war against evolutionism.
The war is not about evolutionism vs. Ken Ham and the YECs. It's about Darwinism vs. intelligent design. Ken Ham and the YECs are an unfortunate distraction and a red herring.Mapou
February 6, 2014
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Summarizing the answer to Nye's question:
Why do we not have examples of fossils mixed between layers; for instance, a mammal in trilobite layers
Because they aren't layers for the most part on top of each other. The "layers" are laying HORIZONTALLY (not vertically) in relation to each other just like eco zones lay horizontally to each other. Because a reasonable explanation is that if the "layers" lay horizontally to each other, they probably represent eco-zones in the first place! You won't find a dead rabbit in the Cambrian any more than you'll find a living rabbit at the bottom of the sea. And when the "layers" are stacked on top of each other, sometimes they are worse than mixed, they are in the wrong order! It is misleading to suggest they are really "layers" when most of these fossil collections from a given "era" lies horizontally in isolation on about 99% of the Earth. The Darwinists got a way with misleading claim by showing pictures of a vertical column to describe long ages such as this one: http://stuartsorensen.files.wordpress.com/2013/04/strata-5.jpg To the extent there may be vertical stratification, it may be explained by the fast stratification methods described in the video Drama in the Rocks Nye is asking a leading question like, "have you stopped beating your puppy today". Even that said, we see mammals in dino dig sites, the fossil record is heavily edited of embarrassments. Rapid stratification is demonstrated possible, and actually shown necessary. It's not just possible that the fossil layers were built fast, it is virtually impossible that they were built slowly if the fossils are permineralized because of the requirements that the entombment happen rapidly (a matter of hours to weeks) and involve water. Radiometric C14 dating, measurable DNA and non-racemic amino acids, helium diffusion, consideration of erosion rates indicates strongly the fossil record must be recent. This is also consistent with the evidence that the so-called "layers" aren't really "layers" but collections of fossils lying HORIZONTALLY (not vertically) in relation to each other, a fact reinforced by the observation that even when they are vertical, they can also be in inverted order, suggesting that as a matter of principle, they had to start out in horizontal relation to each other, and the fact of abundant horizontalization of layers contradicts the assumption that the "layers" accumulated vertically over long ages. Thus Nye's model is incoherent, self-contradictory, therefore, false. Ham may have lost the debate but the facts win the war against evolutionism.scordova
February 6, 2014
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Lenoxus, In the absence of being found in the right strata, Tiktaalik is a transitional form in that "it looks like what you think a transitional form from fish to tetrapod would lokk like". And do you know the difference between a nested hierarchy, a semi- nested hierarchy and a non-nested hierarchy? BTW I have been south of the equator and tested the drain effect. They either drain in the same motion as ours do in the north or they just kind of all empty at once without any whirlpool effect. However I have also seen two compartments of a three compartment resturaunt sink have counter whirlpools- one CW and the other CCW- when drained at the same time.Joe
February 6, 2014
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Eric, Mapou, I'm convinced that the devil uses religion more than God does.Collin
February 6, 2014
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I will acknowledge that those tetrapod tracks changed the relevant models considerably. And yes, perhaps the timing element of the original Tiktaalik prediction is not as impressive in consideration of the new evidence; had the tracks been found first, the prediction wouldn't have chosen the particular time. (But I'm not an expert and there were probably even more factors taken into account than is popularly known.) However, the location is still significant; we had already found related fossils in the area, so it made biological sense to look there. Do you understand the parallel between the "Tiktaalik got dethroned by the footprints" argument and "Why are there still monkeys?" (Even before those footprints had been discovered, you could have asked, "Why are there still fish? Evolution is happening in the wrong order!") And do you understand why it is significant that fishapods existed at all? Sure, a designer could have made them, but why does the designer only make intermediates that fit into the evolutionary nested hierarchy? Eric Anderson:
What you meant to say is that some evolutionary proponents theorize x and y and z, and that despite the fact that the fossil record strongly disagrees as a whole with the Darwinian evolutionary storyline, every once in a while some fossil is found that might possibly be evidence of a gradual Darwinian evolutionary process.
No, what's going on is that evolution is easy to misunderstand. The misunderstanding (for example, that evolution means movement up a ladder of progress, such that "insufficiently evolved" species are doomed to replacement by walking, talking, hat-wearing species) is then treated as one theory. When the actual theory (lineages can persist for plenty of time, and discovered fossils are going to be cousins, not direct ancestor/descendants) is presented in a clarifying manner, the misunderstander thinks they've encountered a second, different theory, and hence a suspiciously changing story. It's like saying "But I thought the Coriolis effect meant water drains differently in different hemispheres; I mean, everyone knows that. Now you're saying they believe something different? They're just changing the story when convenient!" And if ID is really going to stick to a story that the fossil record disagrees with the evolutionary timeline, well, good luck. Let us know if you find any class-crossing hybrids or Precambrian rabbits.Lenoxus
February 6, 2014
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Mapou: You claim to be a Christian, but also believe in an old Earth. This seems strange to me. Why would you trust the internet, or even your own opinion more than God's? Why should I trust your view more than those who have studied the scriptures in their original text? Why should I trust any faliable mans thoughts or opinions more than God's? Do you believe that God did or did not create the universe and all that is in it? If your belief is that God did create everything, but took longer than the Biblical 6 days, why does His Bible lie to us? Yes I am what you would call a YEC. I believe that the literal 6 days (24 hours a piece) was absolutely the truth and that God did not and does not lie. But beyond that, without creation occurring as outlined in the bible and there being just one man and one woman in the beginning, then you cannot set up the whole purpose of the Bible: Man is sinful and in need of a savior. Our need for Christ is set up in the first few chapters of the book. Without a need for Christ to save us, you don't need the Bible. Try removing Genesis from your Bible and try to make sense of it. Try just removing everything preflood and tell me where you stand. Ken Ham is so right that Genesis is FUNDAMENTAL to understanding the Bible and all the major points of theology, prophesy, and epistemology involved. Without the foundation of a literal 6 days of creation, one man and woman who sinned together, the rest of the Bible makes ZERO sense. It's like a ship without a compass or stars to steer by. The Bible makes sense within the confines of the Biblical creation story, and none within an old earth construct. Do you have a need for Jesus or not?Xrati
February 6, 2014
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Lenoxus @44: Wow, that's a whole lot of assertions about how evolution in fact occurs. We understand you though. What you meant to say is that some evolutionary proponents theorize x and y and z, and that despite the fact that the fossil record strongly disagrees as a whole with the Darwinian evolutionary storyline, every once in a while some fossil is found that might possibly be evidence of a gradual Darwinian evolutionary process.Eric Anderson
February 6, 2014
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Lenoxus:
Only sensational science journalism (“MISSING LINK” FOUND!) assumed that Tiktaalik specifically had to be an actual ancestor of tetrapods as we know them.
Non-sequitur. - I have blogged on this before: Tiktaalik is still being used as a successful prediction of something. I know it was supposed to be a successful prediction of universal common descent because it is A) Allegedly a transitional form between fish and tetrapods and B) It was found in the "correct" strata because allegedly no evidence of tetrapods before 385 million yeqars ago- plenty of fish though and plenty of evidence for tetrapods around 365 million years ago- Tiktaalik was allegedly found in strata about 375 million years old- Shubin said that is the strata he looked in because of the 365-385 range already bracketed by existing data. The thinking was tetrapods existed 365 mya and fish existed 385 mya, so the transition happened sometime in that 20 million years. Sounds very reasonable. And when they looked they found Tiktaalik and all was good. Then along comes another find that put the earliest tetrapods back to over 390 million years ago. Now had this find preceded Tiktaalik then Shubin et al. would not have been looking for the transitional after the transition had occurred- that doesn't make any sense. And that is why it is a failed prediction- the transition occurred some 25 million years before, Shubin et al., were looking in the wrong strata. That said Tiktaalik is still an interesting find, something tha no on else had ever found and it adds to our knowledge base of organisms that once existed. But that is all it does. First, the set-up:
"In a nutshell, the 'fish–tetrapod transition' usually refers to the origin, from their fishy ancestors, of creatures with four legs bearing digits (fingers and toes), and with joints that permit the animals to walk on land. This event took place between about 385 and 360 million years ago toward the end of the period of time known as the Devonian. The Devonian is often referred to as the 'Age of Fishes,' as fish form the bulk of the vertebrate fossil record for this time."- Jennifer Clack, The Fish–Tetrapod Transition: New Fossils and Interpretations; "Evolution: Education and Outreach", 2009, Volume 2, Number 2, Pages 213-223
Got that- "the transition" refers to an event, a specific event that occurred between two specified time periods, a time when there were fish and no tetrapods and the time when there were fish and tetrapods. With that now firmly established we return to "Your Inner Fish" chapter 1 where Shubin discusses what he was looking for- hint: evidence for the transition, ie the event:
Let's return to our problem of how to find relatives of the first fish to walk on land. In our grouping scheme, these creatures are somewhere between the "Everythings" and the "Everythings with limbs". Map this to what we know of the rocks, and there is strong geological evidence that the period from 380 million to 365 million years ago is the critical time. The younger rocks in that range, those about 360 million years old, include diverse kinds of fossilized animals that we would recognize as amphibians or reptiles. My colleague Jenny Clark at Cambridge University and others have uncovered amphibians from rocks in Greenland that are about 365 million years old. With their necks, their ears, and their four legs, they do not look like fish. But in rocks that are about 385 million years old, we find whole fish that look like, well, fish. They have fins. conical heads, and scales; and they have no necks. Given this, it is probably no great surprise that we should focus on rocks about 375 million years old to find evidence of the transition between fish and land-living animals.- Neil Subin pages 9-10 (bold and italics added)
OK he did it just exactly as described, bracketed the dates. However his dates were wrong, which means he did not find evidence for the transition, which occurred many millions of years earlier. In order to find what he was looking for, evidence of the transition, he needed to focus on rocks 400 million years old, as the new data puts terapods in existence about 395 million years ago. Tetrapod trackways from the early Middle Devonian period of PolandJoe
February 6, 2014
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Joe:
Now we have fish-> tetrapods-> fishapods. Darwin required fish-> fishapods-> tetrapods
Only sensational science journalism ("MISSING LINK" FOUND!) assumed that Tiktaalik specifically had to be an actual ancestor of tetrapods as we know them. That's really, really not how it works. Genes, traits, and basic morphologies can and generally do remain extant, in one or more lines of descent, for plenty of time, especially once they've diverged along multiple lines of descent. (In a sense, all lifeforms are composed of "leftovers" and are examples of "leftovers"; dividing traits or species into "fully developed" or "partially developed" or "vestigial leftover" can be a case of mistaken biological essentialism, albeit one that points to the truth, as a sort of "transitional idea".) The paleontologists who discovered Tiktaalik knew they had a descendant/cousin of an actual reproductive intermediate, not the intermediate itself. That's because the set of "directly in-between" organisms is much smaller than the set of their close cousins, so the latter is going to be fossilized more frequently. Evolution doesn't require that once a "milestone" such as quadrupeds has been "reached" (as it had been by whatever left those footprints, or rather, by that species' ancestors), then all organisms who resemble the intermediate steps (such as Tiktaalik) should be extinguished. Really, the argument about tetrapods "preceding" fishapods in the fossil record is a variant on "Why are there still monkeys?" (And evolution doesn't actually distinguish "milestones" anyway; change simply happens.) Unless you want to assume that the current fossil record entirely represents the actual set of species that once lived on the Earth (and thus the fossils can be seen as "out of order"). Fell free to make that assumption, of course, knowing that it will be disproven within a month. The key point of Tiktaalik is that common descent specifically tells us to predict fossil fishapods. YEC does not. ID is neutral (playing it safe as usual) on the whole subject of common descent, while showing its hand when it tries to belittle every line of evidence for common descent, implying that their argument actually does contradict it.Lenoxus
February 6, 2014
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Nye actually brought up Tiktaalik not realizing that 1) it doesn't say anything about any mechanism and 2) it is out-of-place. Now we have fish-> tetrapods-> fishapods. Darwin required fish-> fishapods-> tetrapodsJoe
February 6, 2014
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Sixthbook,
Regarding Genesis being written by multiple authors: This makes a lot of sense to me and I don’t see how it goes against YEC at all. I think I first read the theory on a YEC site (maybe CMI?) in which there were different tablets with different authors each and Moses was essentially the compiler of all of them plus the next four books (with Joshua adding in some finishing touches).
The way you explain it is right on, but this is not the JEPD theory that liberals hold to.tjguy
February 6, 2014
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Mapou @ 38
Well put. Young-earth creationism and materialism/Darwinism are two sides of the same coin of confusion and deception. They both use a mixture of truths and lies in order to deceive. This is why I say they are the work of the devil. LOL. One man’s opinion.
...an opinion oft asserted as if a fact fact fact... Hmmm... what other camp oft assumes it conveys a fact fact fact?JGuy
February 5, 2014
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What happened to UD? I was a regular reader and commentor for years. YEC was never mentioned, except in passing by a couple of fervent believers. Even those people kept the YEC stuff out of it and focused on ID (while on this blog). Now it seems like anytime I check here, it is either a flood of comment-less News, or a conversation about YEC.
It's just a coincidence. For example, count how many YEC threads there have been in the last to months by the YECs at UD (me and JohnnyB). Maybe 4 (I've only written 2 myself in the last 2 months). The rest were probably precipitated by News of Ham-Nye debate. But don't blame me for the fact DNA half-life was recently confirmed at 521 years and we're finding DNA in fossils hundreds of millions years old. Something is wrong and we have a responsibility to report on science news. You classified that as YEC thread, but formally speaking it is not: DNA 521 year half-life and then I merely pointed out a creationists movie is going to appear in theaters 2014, which is indicative of culture relavant to ID Russel Crowe That's about it for the last two months from me regarding YEC. Many comments may be YEC related in some threads, but UD welcomes all sorts of comments, and maybe the YECs have become emboldened because there has been a decided shift in observational evidence. Don't blame UD for the science that is changing the landscape of the debate. You missed out on some of the great ID discussions, some of the best in UD history. Seriously, look at the threads in December! Here is one that links to others: To recognize Designscordova
February 5, 2014
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Regarding Genesis being written by multiple authors: This makes a lot of sense to me and I don't see how it goes against YEC at all. I think I first read the theory on a YEC site (maybe CMI?) in which there were different tablets with different authors each and Moses was essentially the compiler of all of them plus the next four books (with Joshua adding in some finishing touches).sixthbook
February 5, 2014
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uoflcard:
I find this debate to be a sickening mix of boredom and frustration. Both of these “major” views are so insanely similar to me, as they are limited by their a priori assumptions. And both of their sets of assumptions (although almost polar opposites) have required them to deny the whole truth: That the Earth is very old and life is brilliantly designed.
Well put. Young-earth creationism and materialism/Darwinism are two sides of the same coin of confusion and deception. They both use a mixture of truths and lies in order to deceive. This is why I say they are the work of the devil. LOL. One man's opinion.Mapou
February 5, 2014
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What happened to UD? I was a regular reader and commentor for years. YEC was never mentioned, except in passing by a couple of fervent believers. Even those people kept the YEC stuff out of it and focused on ID (while on this blog). Now it seems like anytime I check here, it is either a flood of comment-less News, or a conversation about YEC. UD was a wonderfully fascinating, mind-opening place. ID, I still believe, is the only major origins doctrine that is not philosophically ignorant of any possible explanation. Materialists, neo-Darwinists, ES-ers, naturalists, etc all operate from the a non-supernatural perspective. They take it to the extreme of being extremely hostile to any theory that is even remotely hospitable to a supernatural explanation, even if it doesn't require one (Example: ID!). Plainly put - they do not simply follow the evidence where it leads; they follow the evidence wherever it leads, so long as it doesn't lead down a supernatural-hospitable path (even if said evidence is strongly pulling in that direction - see biological complexity, elegance and ingenuity beyond the engineering capabilities of the entire human race, etc.). YEC's, obviously, believe in a literal interpretation of the Bible. Therefore, if the evidence disagrees with the interpretation of the Bible, there is something wrong with the interpretation of the evidence, not the interpretation of scripture. I find this debate to be a sickening mix of boredom and frustration. Both of these "major" views are so insanely similar to me, as they are limited by their a priori assumptions. And both of their sets of assumptions (although almost polar opposites) have required them to deny the whole truth: That the Earth is very old and life is brilliantly designed.uoflcard
February 5, 2014
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Eric Anderson @35:
Mapou:
. . . the whole YEC movement is the work of the devil.
ROFL! I almost feel off my chair I laughed so hard. I suspect you didn’t mean it as a joke, but I thought it was very funny. I’m stealing this one-liner (to be used with various modifications as the circumstances require, of course).
Now that you mention it, it does sound funny. LOL. I stand by it though, humor and all.Mapou
February 5, 2014
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Mapou:
. . . the whole YEC movement is the work of the devil.
ROFL! I almost feel off my chair I laughed so hard. I suspect you didn't mean it as a joke, but I thought it was very funny. I'm stealing this one-liner (to be used with various modifications as the circumstances require, of course).Eric Anderson
February 5, 2014
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JGuy:
So, I’m very pleased that no other view has a young earth. With the uniqueness and risk, as more evidence points to a young earth, there will eventually be no scientific or pseudo-scientific interpretation of reality to openly compete with the truth of the Christian faith. A boone for God’s kingdom. But of course, I don’t know if this is God’s plan, He has a way of doing things better. It just seems like a good outcome. We’ll see eventually.
That would be a clever plan on God's part: (1) arrange for science to eventually reject a young earth, thus leaving only certain Christians to be young-earth believers, and then (2) do something-or-other to prove to the world the Earth is actually young, thus leaving only Christians to have been "right all along". Thousands convert. Of course, this inherently implies that had things gone differently -- had God simply let things alone -- then a highly-evidentially-supported young earth might not have been strictly associated with Christianity. This is actually a point in favor of YEC opponents. Why? Because the only substantial argument YECs make for why so many people accept an old Earth is that they want to reject God (or are persuaded by peer pressure from people who reject God), and that somehow the one proposition (God doesn't exist) requires the other (Earth is old). Myself, I think that given a hypothetical world in which YEC were true, the mild cognitive dissonance of a dogmatically committed atheist accepting a young Earth ("Yes, how it all works out is still a mystery...") would be less than the huge dissonance required to believe in an old Earth countering more and more and more evidence for its youth. (For an example of that sort of thing, just see the reverse situation in our world: thousands of people who grew up in YEC households end up losing that belief upon becoming familiar with the mountains of old-Earth evidence).Lenoxus
February 5, 2014
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Mapou:
IMO, it’s a lie that there is evidence cropping up everywhere to support the young earth doctrine. On the contrary, there is evidence cropping up everywhere to support an extremely old earth. The evidence is overwhelming.
I didn't say evidence was cropping up to support YEC. I was talking about evidence, as in physical stuff, keeps coming it that research can be done upon. In other words, there is continually more work to do in physical science, than there is textual analysis of the same texts.
Many Hebrew scholars disagree with Ken Ham’s interpretation. Besides, arguments from authority are lame and worthless.
I won't disagree about the issue of arguments from authority. But if you want to make sure you are getting a thorough analysis of a text, you certainly want to consult with scholars in the area. Your point on the existence of Hebrew scholars that disagree with young earth interpretation is noted. They are one's that I'd also include in any rigorous evaluation.
What bothers me is that Ken Ham and YECs are clamoring that their interpretation is the right one. So much so, in fact, that the atheists and the Darwinists find it useful to their cause to lump all Christians into the YEC camp. I resent that. Ken Ham does not represent all Christians and his interpretation of the scriptures is nonsense according to a lot of us Christians out there.
I think you're directing your energy in the wrong direction. It's not Ham's fault that he believes his position. Just as you adamantly believe that position is false. Ham doesn't speak for me. He simply echoes what I already believe. Just like, perhaps, Hugh Ross doesn't speak for you, but may echo some of your old earth views. That Darwinist consider it easy pickings is, imo, going to blow back into Darwinists faces. Also, keep in mind, Ken stated that there are Christians with other viewpoints in the debate, and agree's that they are still Christians despite a old earth belief. Granted, he would argue they are wrong..but like I said, you argue the YEC are wrong. Even though the YEC is hit from multiple sides by old earthers (beit Darwinist, IDist or O.E.Creationist), I feel very comfortable in my position, and that's not just b/c a plain reading of scripture leads to it, but also from a scientific standpoint - notwithstanding claims to the contrary. ... A huge advantage of the YEC position is that it is very risky and by far the most unique position (what other model has a young earth?), making it not only testable by predictions, but in a place to advance true knowledge further than any other model. So, I'm very pleased that no other view has a young earth. With the uniqueness and risk, as more evidence points to a young earth, there will eventually be no scientific or pseudo-scientific interpretation of reality to openly compete with the truth of the Christian faith. A boone for God's kingdom. But of course, I don't know if this is God's plan, He has a way of doing things better. It just seems like a good outcome. We'll see eventually.JGuy
February 5, 2014
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