On the improbability of Darwinian claims:
A new peer-reviewed paper in the Journal of Theoretical Biology, “On the waiting time until coordinated mutations get fixed in regulatory sequences,” is authored by three key scientists in the intelligent design (ID) research program: Ola Hössjer, Günter Bechly, Ann Gauger. The paper is part of the “Waiting Times” project, spurred by Discovery Institute as part of its ID 3.0 initiative, and it investigates a question of vital interest to the theory of intelligent design: How long does it take for traits to evolve when multiple mutations are required to give an advantage? A previous peer-reviewed publication from this team appeared as a chapter in the 2018 Springer volume Stochastic Processes and Applications. This latest paper is lengthy, technical, and math intensive. In other words, it’s not for the fainthearted, but it’s open access and free to read here.Casey Luskin, “In Mainstream Journal, ID Theorists Explore “Waiting Times” for Coordinated Mutations” at Evolution News and Science Today (August 18, 2021)
We hope the journal isn’t intimidated by Darwin’s Outrage Machine, Inc. Just think, some people are now allowed to bring this up. And not just as an inhouse titter, followed promptly by dismissal of the question.
This paper develops a complex mathematical model for calculating the waiting time for the evolution of a trait that requires L nucleotides in order to function. Although this is strictly a methodological paper, one potential application could be the evolution of regulatory regions which control the expression of a gene. Changes to transcription are thought to be important to evolving new body plans or biological systems. Regulatory regions such as enhancers or promoters may have a length of 1000 nucleotides, and for expression to occur special proteins called transcription factors must bind to these regulatory regions at binding sites, which may be 6 to 10 nucleotides in length.Casey Luskin, “In Mainstream Journal, ID Theorists Explore “Waiting Times” for Coordinated Mutations” at Evolution News and Science Today (August 18, 2021)
It’s like just hoping that random guesses on a multiple choice exam will net you 100% and that is what you need to graduate.
A friend comments that the paper basically shows that if many mutations must be coordinated to enable a new feature, Darwinism won’t do it. Note: Dense mathematics warning.
Update updated: Apparently, the disclaimer below applies only to an earlier article: “The Journal of Theoretical Biology and its co-Chief Editors do not endorse in any way the ideology of nor reasoning behind the concept of intelligent design. Since the publication of the paper it has now become evident that the authors are connected to a creationist group (although their addresses are given on the paper as departments in bona fide universities). We were unaware of this fact while the paper was being reviewed. Moreover, the keywords “intelligent design” were added by the authors after the review process during the proofing stage and we were unaware of this action by the authors. We have removed these from the online version of this paper. We believe that intelligent design is not in any way a suitable topic for the Journal of Theoretical Biology.”
Neither paper was retracted. A friend asks us to have pity on the poor editors who are like deer among the wolves, when it comes to dealing with Darwin mob. Very well. We shall. Kudos to them for publishing something despite the mob.
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