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Irony of the Day

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“God is an imaginary friend for grownups.”

This seems to be one of the materialists’ favorites catch phrases these days.  Last year one group even went so far as to put a version of the phrase on billboards here in Denver.

billboad

As near as I can tell from my research, the phrase originated in a 2004 Owen Wilson bomb called The Big Bounce.  Wilson’s character Jack is talking to his friend Walter played by Morgan Freeman:

Walter:  “Have a little faith.”

Jack:  “Faith?  You mean like faith in God?”

Walter:  “No, God is an imaginary friend for grownups.”

As readers of my posts will know, finding irony is one of my favorite pastimes.  Today we will explore the irony of the “dogmatic skeptic.”

I invite you to visit the website of the Colorado Coalition of Reason (“COCORE”), the group that put up the billboard in Denver.  Look at the self-descriptions of the various groups that formed the coalition.  Nearly every one contains the word “skeptic.”  My dictionary defines “skeptic” as “a person who habitually doubts the authenticity of accepted beliefs.”  My dictionary defines “dogmatist” as “a person who asserts his or her opinions in an unduly positive or arrogant manner; a dogmatic person.”

The billboard asserts as an undoubted fact that God does not exist in reality.  That is what it means to describe him as “imaginary.”  But has anyone ever disproved God’s existence?  Of course not.  Even Richard Dawkins, the most famous anti-theist in the world, admits that he cannot have apodictic certainty that God does not exist.  In his famous 2012 dialogue with Rowan Williams ,Dawkins would go only so far as to say, “I think the probability of any supernatural creator existing is very, very low, which is why I say I’m a 6.9.”

The number “6.9” is an allusion to Dawkins’ own “scale of theist probability” from his book The God Delusion.  The number “6” on the 7 point scale correlates with:  “I don’t know for certain but I think God is very improbable, and I live my life on the assumption that he is not there.”

My point is not to show that God exists.  My point is that all honest people will admit that his non-existence has not been proven as a certain fact.  Even Richard Dawkins admits that he cannot be certain about God’s existence, and that there is at least some possibility that God does exist (though, in his opinion, the probability is very low).

Now consider the tone of the COCARE billboard.  Is smug certainty such as that expressed in the catch phrase the sort of tone one would expect from a “skeptic”? After all, isn’t a disdain for haughty certitude the very essence of skepticism?  The tone of the billboard is not the least bit skeptical.  In fact, the billboard has a kind of dogmatism about it wouldn’t you say?  So-called “skeptics” like those who put up this billboard like to make fun of “fundies.”  But their billboard demonstrates an uncritical arrogant dogmatism that would make the most committed fundamentalist blush.  And that, my friends, is the irony of the day.

Comments
“I don’t know for certain but I think God is very improbable, and I live my life on the assumption that he is not there.”
If by improbable on the Dawkins scale, that translates into (7.0 - 6.9) / 7.0 = 1.43% So he estimates he has a 1.43% chance of being wrong. Let us suppose being wrong carries with it a 1.43% chance of facing God's judgment, which is worse than an serious car accident resulting in permanent disablement. Say we had group of parents that collectively had 1000 kids that wanted to have fun playing a game that is mostly safe but will result in 1.43% chance of them being permanently disabled by playing the game just for a few hours. Would rational parents encourage such an activity. That would translate into an expectation that about 14 of the kids will be seriously injured. If there is a 1.43% chance the Christian God is real, then given the consequences, choosing to ignore the possibility of God, and worse, doing so because of Darwinism (which has been logically and empirically falsified) is profoundly unwise. Do people play games with remote odds, and prevail in the end. You betcha. Examples: 1. Jack-of-Better video poker. The chances of scoring a Royal Flush are less then 1 out of 40,000 through optimal plays and holds (a 0.0025% chance of success), but because the payoff is substantial on a Royal Flush, the expectation value of the game, combined with cash-back compliments and promotional rewards is a positive expectation game. Bob Dancer made a million dollars playing this game. The rational be was to go after the improbable odds with a sufficiently high payoff. See: Million Dollar Video Poker 2. Even though skilled blackjack play has about a 1.5% edge over the casino, it may be surprising to know that the odds of being in the red at any given time is about 98%! This is because of the phenomenon related to gambler's ruin. 98% of the time my collective lifelong winning are less than my all-time high, but the 2% of the time I had kept setting new all time highs is what ensured continued profit. Bottom line: the "wisdom" offered in that billboard is foolishness. Atheism has far more to lose by being wrong. The billboard is not only wrong in terms of dogmatism, but it is also wrong in claiming life will be better. If we defined "better" in terms of expectation values, disbelieving in God is clearly the far worse alternative. The irony is anti-theist culture promotes itself as being highly rational, math and logic say, anti-theism is a foolish wager. I've yet to meet an atheist that will argue atheism is a positive expectation play. He cannot make that argument except out of pure supposition and faulty logic. As degenerate as the gambling industry is, it has always surprised me there has been an persistent minority of very devout theists who beat the games. There is a certain rationality to it. Doyle Brunson's story is especially heartwarming to me. And there are other believers in gambling industry. But if we look at it, everyone is making wagers everyday on how to live life. I posted this thread to see if atheists could make the case that atheism offers superior expectation relative to theism. I don't think a convincing case was made. Readers can judge for themselves: Holy Roller, Pascal's wager and if ID is wrong it was an honest mistakescordova
September 9, 2013
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BA: Good point, though -- pardon my directness -- I would phrase it a bit differently, given the major intellectual deficit problems of the so-called new atheists:
rudely dismissive, arrogant sophomoric bombast, manifested through indulgence in ill informed, overconfident and self-refuting selective hyperskepticism
I think that we live in an era where far too often manipulative rhetoric, ad-hom laced strawman tactics and the fallacy of confident manner substitutes for sober worldview-savvy thinking. As we are ever so familiar with from the debates over design. It's time for a major worldview thinking reboot. KF PS: Given the weak form PSR and the resulting logic of necessary vs contingent beings, we should note that the actual challenge atheists -- not agnostics, those who (never mind the self-serving definition tactics) assert or imply they KNOW there is no God -- face is that God as a serious candidate necessary being, will either be impossible or actual. And by impossible, that means that there would have to be the kind of inconsistencies of key characteristics we see with a "square circle." Post the Plantinga free will defence's withering of the deductive problem of evil, good luck with such a line of thought. And, that is before we look at the cumulative force of dozens of lines of evidence pointing to the reality of God. But, if we deal with people who struggle with self evident first principles and facts, what do we expect?kairosfocus
September 9, 2013
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