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Let’s Play “Spot the Equivocation”

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Some friends and I drove up to Casper, which was in the exact center of the zone of totality of the eclipse.  The experience was indescribably spectacular.  It was even worth enduring the worst traffic jam of my life in which the normal four-hour drive back to Denver was stretched to ten hours.

This morning I learned that Neil deGrasse Tyson‏ tweeted

The divided United States of America will unite today, sharing a cosmic event predicted by the methods and tools of science.

Most commenters have interpreted this as a dig at climate alarmism skeptics.  So, let’s play “Spot the Equivocation”!

A.  The “methods and tools of science” used to predict the eclipse have been extremely well understood for hundreds of years; are astronomically (literally) precise, and have been used to make an exacting prediction the success or failure of which can be measured with pinpoint accuracy.

B.  The “methods and tools of science”  used to predict future climate change are based on factors that are not well understood, if they are understood at all. The predictions of past models have failed spectacularly.

Why would any sane scientist compare “A” to “B”?  Oh, wait, Tyson was not acting as a scientist.  He was acting as a propagandist, and as is often the case, he was attempting to cover his political prejudices with the mantle of science.

Comments
Yes, asauber, I could do much more. But you asked me what I'm doing, and I told you. How could I have answered that truthfully without looking like I was virtue signaling? BTW, what are you doing to reduce your carbon footprint?Bob O'H
August 23, 2017
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reducing my intake of red meat. I also take public transport (we don’t even own a car, but if we did it would be electric). I also try not to fly for long distance journeys (which is difficult with where I live, unfortunately)
Bob O'H you are doing a great job virtue signalling, but a lousy job stopping Global Warming. Andrewasauber
August 23, 2017
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asauber - reducing my intake of red meat. I also take public transport (we don't even own a car, but if we did it would be electric). I also try not to fly for long distance journeys (which is difficult with where I live, unfortunately).Bob O'H
August 23, 2017
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> What are you doing to combat unfortunate Global Warming? I'm restricting myself to having one wife.Mung
August 23, 2017
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So, Bob O'H @7... What are you doing to combat unfortunate Global Warming? Andrewasauber
August 23, 2017
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JAD @ 5 -
Third, CO2 is a greenhouse gas. However, if is not most predominate greenhouse gas, water vapor is.
Which is unfortunate, as warming increases the amount of water vapour in the atmosphere, which amplifies the warming.
Fifth, since 1979 satellite data, ... has shown only a negligible increase in the earths temperature. This does not correspond with the UN’s IPCC computer models,
The latest estimate is a change of about 0.14C/decade. I*m not sure I'd classify that as 'negligible', but I'm not a climate scientist.Bob O'H
August 23, 2017
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"The most difficult subjects can be explained to the most slow-witted man if he has not formed any idea of them already; but the simplest thing cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he already knows, without a shadow of a doubt, what is laid before him." Did Lev Tolstoy say that? https://www.spectator.com.au/2017/08/big-data-finds-the-medieval-warm-period-no-denial-here/Dionisio
August 22, 2017
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Well, let’s give Climate Science some benefit of the doubt here. Using “the methods and tools of science” what can we say about climate change? Here is my list of things we can say with “solar eclipse” kind of certainty. First, climate change is a fact. The climate is changing because the climate has always been changing. Even the so-called climate deniers don’t deny that. Second, global warming is real. If the climate is changing then it must be changing in one of two directions: It’s either getting warmer or it is getting cooler. The overall trend since the last ice age has been warmer. Third, CO2 is a greenhouse gas. However, if is not most predominate greenhouse gas, water vapor is. Fourth, worldwide industrialization has contributed to the level of CO2 in the atmosphere. Fifth, since 1979 satellite data, which is the only true “real time” measure of the earth’s global temperature has shown only a negligible increase in the earths temperature. This does not correspond with the UN’s IPCC computer models, all of which show more of an increase than the satellite data, with a few "outliers" showing a runaway increase of global temperatures. That’s what we presently know using “the methods and tools of science.”john_a_designer
August 22, 2017
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Equivocation or some form of False Equivalence?Kal
August 22, 2017
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'Why would any sane scientist compare “A” to “B”? Oh, wait, Tyson was not acting as a scientist. He was acting as a propagandist, and as is often the case, he was attempting to cover his political prejudices with the mantle of science.' Reminds me of an advertisement, where, arriving at the scene of an accident, a woman pushes her way through the knot of bystanders, calling out : 'Let me through ! Let me through ! I'm a beautician !'Axel
August 22, 2017
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Is it in the "Most commenters"? It's not obvious That's what was meant, and no examples of comments is given.Bob O'H
August 22, 2017
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a cosmic event predicted by the methods and tools of science
Yes, day and night are cosmic events that alternate somewhat predictably, too, and we don't need an ensemble of million dollar worthless computer models to tell us about it, either. Equivocation, indeed. Andrewasauber
August 22, 2017
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