Artificial Intelligence Intelligent Design

The AI revolution has not happened yet. Probably never will, actually.

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Go to the profile of Michael Jordan From electrical Engineering prof Michael I. Jordan at Medium:

Of course, classical human-imitative AI problems remain of great interest as well. However, the current focus on doing AI research via the gathering of data, the deployment of “deep learning” infrastructure, and the demonstration of systems that mimic certain narrowly-defined human skills — with little in the way of emerging explanatory principles — tends to deflect attention from major open problems in classical AI. These problems include the need to bring meaning and reasoning into systems that perform natural language processing, the need to infer and represent causality, the need to develop computationally-tractable representations of uncertainty and the need to develop systems that formulate and pursue long-term goals. These are classical goals in human-imitative AI, but in the current hubbub over the “AI revolution,” it is easy to forget that they are not yet solved.More.

controls for AI/Pbroks13

I had the curious experience the other day, while waiting to get my hair cut, of listening to a vacuous radio talk show host explain that by the late 2020s, artificial intelligence would be “socially intelligent.” I vaguely wondered, “What does being socially intelligent mean, if one is not a human being?” But then the hairdresser signalled me to climb into her working chair, so…

I can be reasonably sure that the question I was asking myself had not occurred to the bubblacious host or to most of the people who say those things.

See also: Experts slam EU proposal to grant personhood to intelligent machines

Aw, Facebook, quit blaming AI for your goofs and shady practices One thing to be said for granting personhood to intelligent machines is that we could then blame them for things that go wrong.

and

Why the brain still beats the computer, even from a naturalist perspective

5 Replies to “The AI revolution has not happened yet. Probably never will, actually.

  1. 1
    polistra says:

    Re bubblacious talk shows: If you listen to the audio fine print, it turns out that most talk shows about money topics and tech topics and cars are sponsored by the IPOs they’re boosting. Optimism about the Innovative Disruptive Future is just a fancy way of saying BUY AMZN! BUY TSLA! But because they don’t feature straightforward commercial messages, it’s easier to think they’re giving real facts and predictions.

  2. 2
    LocalMinimum says:

    It will happen. Computers will be chomping through busy work that we didn’t even realize was busy work. But, it will be yet another industrial revolution, not a social one. Humans will likely introduce and fight through the latter, as issues arise like those with previous IRs. And, like previous IRs, it will be as useful for promoting evil as it will be for good.

    Things will change as they’ve been changing. Attack aircraft will finish their evolution into automated reusable first stage vehicles for their smart payloads; computers in offices will have their keyboards, mice, and monitors chunked. Simulations will better teach about reality; and consumption MMOs will become even crueler snares. Maybe we’ll eventually, finally get flying cars; but we’ll never drive/pilot them, per FAA regulation.

  3. 3
    outside_observer says:

    @2 It doesn’t really matter. The difference between the previous Industrial Revolution(s) and the A.I. one is that, even if A.I never becomes conscious or “alive” in the sense that humans are (and I firmly believe it never can), eventually if it goes far enough it in the wrong hands resistance would be all but impossible.

    The problem is, the Wrong Hands have historically been some sort of centralized power, and these seem to be the entities pushing the hardest for it.

    The claim is that it will allow us to become more than human, but really it would just make us less than human.
    People who used to be free being turned into biological automatons of the State. All under the ever watchful guidance of A.I.
    Although I appreciate the economic implications and the potential good it could do for society, the potential for abuse is so much worse. Personally, I am not a fan.

    36 For what shall it profit a man, if he shall gain the whole world, and lose his own soul? (Mar 8:36 KJV)

    For a Christian, it of course has an eternal sense, but it also has a very temporal sense for the here and now. If A.I is used to give us everything, and yet is also used to take away the very humanity that made us want it in the first place, what good did it do?

    On a somewhat un-related note, have you heard Google’s Tacotron 2? Can A.I. make you say something you never really said?

    https://google.github.io/tacotron/publications/global_style_tokens/index.html

  4. 4
    FourFaces says:

    Michael Jordan is one of those people in the AI business who will never figure out intelligence. He’s statistician and sees everything in terms of probabilities. Unfortunately for him, the brain is not probabilistic. It assumes that the world is perfect and deterministic.

  5. 5
    LocalMinimum says:

    OO @ 4:

    I’m on board with William Gibson’s vector of prediction. “Cursed be the man that trusteth in man, and maketh flesh his arm” and all that.

    Tacotron 2, huh? Maybe not all by itself. Not yet, anyway. But with a human to clean up after it…sounds like it.

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