Uncommon Descent Serving The Intelligent Design Community

ID Foundations, 14: “Islands” vs “Continents” of complex, specific function — a pivotal issue and debate

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ID Foundations
Irreducible Complexity
specified complexity
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In the current discussion on [Mis-]Representing Natural Selection, UD commenter Bruce David has posed a significant challenge:

A junkers Jumo 004 early Turbojet Engine (Courtesy, Wiki)

. . . it is not obvious that even with intelligence in the picture a major modification of a complex system is possible one small step at a time if there is a requirement that the system continue to function after each such step.

For example, consider a WWII fighter, say the P51 Mustang. Can you imagine any series of incremental changes that would transform it into a jet fighter, say the F80 and have the plane continue to function after each change? To transform a piston engine fighter in to a jet fighter requires multiple simultaneous changes for it to work–an entirely new type of engine, different engine placement, different location of the wings, different cockpit controls and dials, changes to the electrical system, different placement of the fuel tanks, new air intake systems, different materials to withstand the intense heat of the jet exhaust, etc., etc., etc. You can’t make these changes in a series of small steps and have a plane that works after each step, no matter how much intelligence is input into the process.

He then concludes:

Now both a P51 and an F80 are complex devices, but any living organism, from the simplest cell on up to a large multicellular plant or animal, is many orders of magnitude more complex than a fighter plane. If you believe that it is possible to transform a reptile with a bellows lung, solid bones and scales, say, into a bird with a circular flow lung, hollow bones, and feathers by a series of small incremental changes each of which not only results in a functioning organism, but a more “fit” one, then the burden of proof is squarely on your shoulders, because the idea is absurd on the face of it.

In responding, UD Contributor gpuccio clarifies:

consider that engineered modifications can be implemented in a complex organism while retaining the old functionality, and then the new plan can be activated when everything is ready. I am not saying that’s the way it was done, but that it is possible.

For instance, and just to stay simple, one or more new proteins could be implemented using duplicated, non translated genes as origin. Or segments of non coding DNA. That’s, indeed, very much part of some darwinian scenarios.

The difference with an ID scenario is that, once a gene is duplicated and inactivated, it becomes non visible to NS. So, intelligent causes can very well act on it without any problem, while pure randomness, mutations and drift, will be free to operate in neutral form, but will still have the whole wall of probabilistic barriers against them.

[U/d, Dec 30] He goes on to later add:

NS acts as negative selection to keep the already existing information. We see the results of that everywhere in the proteome: the same function is maintained in time and in different species, even if the primary sequence can vary in time because of neutral variation. So, negative NS conserves the existing function, and allow only neutral or quasi neutral variation. In that sense it works againstany emergence of completely new information from the existing one, even if it can tolerate some limites “tweaking” of what already exists (microevolution).

I suppose that darwinists, or at least some of them, are aware of that difficulty as soon as one tries to explain completely new information, such as a new basic protein domain. Not only the darwinian theory cannot explain it, it really works against it.

So, the duplicated gene mechanism is invoked.

The problem is that the duplicated gene, to be free to vary and to leave the original functional island, must be no more translated and no more functional. Indeed, that happens very early in the history of a duplicated gene, because many forma of variation will completely inactivate it as a functional ORF, as we can see all the time with pseudogenes.

So, one of the two:

a) either the duplicated gene remains functional and contributes to the reproduction, so that negative NS can preserve it. In that case, it cannot “move” to new unrelated forms of function.

b) or the duplicated gene immediately becomes non functional, and is free to vary.

The important point is that case a) is completely useless to the darwinian explanation.

Case b) allows free transitions, but they are no more visible to NS, at least not until a new functional ORF (with the necessary regulatory sites) is generated. IOWs, all variation from that point on becomes neutral by definition.

But neutral variation, while free of going anywhere, is indeed free of going anywhere. That means: feedom is accompanied by the huge rising of the probability barriers. As we know, finding a new protein domain by chance alone is exactly what ID has shown to be empirically impossible.

In her attempted rebuttal, contributor Dr Elizabeth Liddle remarks:

I don’t find Behe’s argument that each phylum has a radically different “kernel” very convincing. Sure, prokaryotic cells and eukaryotic cells are different, but, as I said, we have at least one theory (symbiosis) that might explain that. And in any case for non-sexually reproducing organisms, “speciation” is a poor term – what we must postulate is cloning populations that clone along with their symbiotic inclusions. Which is perfectly possible (indeed even we “inherit” parental gut flora).

I think you are making the mistake of assuming that because “phyla” is a term that refers not only to the earliest exemplars of each phylum but also to the entire lineage from each, that those earliest exemplars were as different from each other as we, for example, are from trees, or bacteria. It’s really important to be clear when we are talking longitudinally (adaptation over time) and when laterally (subdivisions of populations into separate lineages).

This was largely in response to Dr V J Torley’s listing of evidence:

What evidence [for the distinctness of main body plans and for abrupt origin of same in the fossil record], Elizabeth? Please have a look here:

http://www.darwinsdilemma.org/pdf/faq.pdf
http://www.darwinsdilemma.org/
http://www.nature.com/news/eni…..ria-1.9714
http://www.arn.org/blogs/index.php/literature

In “The Edge of Evolution”, Dr. Michael Behe argues that phyla were probably separately designed because each phylum has it own kernel that requires design. He also suggests that new orders (or families, or genera – he’s not yet sure which) are characterized by unique cell types, which he thinks must have been intelligently designed, because the number of protein factors in their gene regulatory network (about ten) well exceeds the number that might fall into place naturally (three).

This exchange pivots on the central issue: does complex, multi-part functionality come in easily accessible continents that can be spanned by an incrementally growing and branching tree, or does it normally come in isolated islands in beyond astronomical spaces dominated by seas of non-function, that the atomic level resources of our solar system (our effective universe) or of the observed cosmos as a whole cannot take more than a tiny sample of?

Let’s take the matter in steps of thought:

1 –> Complex, multi-part function depends on having several well-matched, correctly aligned and “wired together” parts that work together to carry out an overall task, i.e. we see apparently purposeful matching and organisation of multiple parts into a whole that carries out what seems to be a goal. The Junkers Jumo 004 Jet engine in the above image is a relevant case in point.

2 –> Ever since Wicken posed the following clip in 1979, this issue of wiring-diagram based complex functional organisation has been on the table as a characteristic feature of life forms that must be properly explained by any successful theory of the causal roots of life. Clip:

‘Organized’ systems are to be carefully distinguished from ‘ordered’ systems.  Neither kind of system is ‘random,’ but whereas ordered systems are generated according to simple algorithms [[i.e. “simple” force laws acting on objects starting from arbitrary and common- place initial conditions] and therefore lack complexity, organized systems must be assembled element by element according to an [[originally . . . ] external ‘wiring diagram’ with a high information content . . . Organization, then, is functional complexity and carries information. It is non-random by design or by selection, rather than by the a priori necessity of crystallographic ‘order.’ [[“The Generation of Complexity in Evolution: A Thermodynamic and Information-Theoretical Discussion,” Journal of Theoretical Biology, 77 (April 1979): p. 353, of pp. 349-65. (Emphases and notes added. Nb: “originally” is added to highlight that for self-replicating systems, the blue print can be built-in.)]

3 –> The question at stake in the thread excerpted from above, is whether there can be an effective, incremental culling-out based on competition for niches and thence reproductive success of sub-populations that will create ever more complex systems that will then appear to have been designed.

4 –> Of course, we must notice that the implication of this claim is that we are dealing with in effect a vast continent of possible functional forms that can be spanned by a gradually branching tree. That’s a big claim, and it needs to be warranted on observational evidence, or it becomes little more than wishful thinking and grand extrapolation in service to an a priori evolutionary materialistic scheme of thought.

5 –> I cases where the function in question has an irreducible core of necessary parts, it is often suggested that something that may have had another purpose may simply find itself duplicated or fall out of use, then fit in with a new use. “Simple.”

6 –> NOT. For, such a proposal faces a cluster of challenges highlighted earlier in this UD series as posed by Angus Menuge [oops!] for the case of the flagellum:

For a working [bacterial] flagellum to be built by exaptation, the five following conditions would all have to be met:

C1: Availability. Among the parts available for recruitment to form the flagellum, there would need to be ones capable of performing the highly specialized tasks of paddle, rotor, and motor, even though all of these items serve some other function or no function.

C2: Synchronization. The availability of these parts would have to be synchronized so that at some point, either individually or in combination, they are all available at the same time.

C3: Localization. The selected parts must all be made available at the same ‘construction site,’ perhaps not simultaneously but certainly at the time they are needed.

C4: Coordination. The parts must be coordinated in just the right way: even if all of the parts of a flagellum are available at the right time, it is clear that the majority of ways of assembling them will be non-functional or irrelevant.

C5: Interface compatibility. The parts must be mutually compatible, that is, ‘well-matched’ and capable of properly ‘interacting’: even if a paddle, rotor, and motor are put together in the right order, they also need to interface correctly.

( Agents Under Fire: Materialism and the Rationality of Science, pgs. 104-105 (Rowman & Littlefield, 2004). HT: ENV.)

8 –> The number of biologically relevant cases where C1 – 5 has been observed: ZERO.

9 –> What is coming out ever more clearly is this:

when a set of matching components must be arranged so they can work together to carry out a task or function, this strongly constrains both the choice of individual parts and how they must be arranged to fit together

A jigsaw puzzle is a good case in point.

So is a car engine — as anyone who has had to hunt down a specific, hard to find part will know.

So are the statements in a computer program — there was once a NASA rocket that veered off course on launch and had to be destroyed by triggering the self-destruct because of — I think it was — a misplaced comma.

The letters and words in this paragraph are like that too.

That’s why (at first, simple level) we can usually quite easily tell the difference between:

A: An orderly, periodic, meaninglessly repetitive sequence: FFFFFFFFFF . . .

B: Aperiodic, evidently random, equally meaningless text: y8ivgdfdihgdftrs . . .

C: Aperiodic, but recognisably meaningfully organised sequences of characters: such as this sequence of letters . . .

In short, to be meaningful or functional, a correct set of core components have to match and must be properly arranged, and while there may be some room to vary, it is not true that just any part popped in in any number of ways can fit in.

As a direct result, in our general experience, and observation, if the functional result is complex enough, the most likely cause is intelligent choice, or design.  

This has a consequence. For, this need for choosing and correctly arranging then hooking up correct, matching parts in a specific pattern implicitly rules out the vast majority of possibilities and leads to the concept of islands of function in a vast sea of possible but meaningless and/or non-functional configurations.

10 –> Consequently, the normal expectation is that complex, multi-part functionality will come in isolated islands. So also, those who wish to assert an “exception” for biological functions like the avian flow-through lung, will need to  empirically warrant their claims. Show us, in short.

11 –> And, to do so will require addressing the difficulty posed by Gould in his last book, in 2002:

. . . long term stasis following geologically abrupt origin of most fossil morphospecies, has always been recognized by professional paleontologists. [The Structure of Evolutionary Theory (2002), p. 752.]

. . . .  The great majority of species do not show any appreciable evolutionary change at all. These species appear in the section [[first occurrence] without obvious ancestors in the underlying beds, are stable once established and disappear higher up without leaving any descendants.” [p. 753.]

. . . . proclamations for the supposed ‘truth’ of gradualism – asserted against every working paleontologist’s knowledge of its rarity – emerged largely from such a restriction of attention to exceedingly rare cases under the false belief that they alone provided a record of evolution at all! The falsification of most ‘textbook classics’ upon restudy only accentuates the fallacy of the ‘case study’ method and its root in prior expectation rather than objective reading of the fossil record. [[p. 773.]

12 –> In that context, the point raised by GP above, that

. . .  once a gene is duplicated and inactivated, it becomes non visible to NS. So, intelligent causes can very well act on it without any problem, while pure randomness, mutations and drift, will be free to operate in neutral form, but will still have the whole wall of probabilistic barriers against them.

. . . takes on multiplied force.

___________

In short, the islands of function issue — rhetorical brush-asides notwithstanding — is real, and it counts.  Let us see how the evolutionary materialism advocates will answer to it. END

PS: I am facing a security headache, so this post was completed on a Linux partition. Linux is looking better than ever, just now. as a main OS . . .

Comments
A tornado formed south of town. There were no tornados north of town. Meteorology, please tell me why? Well, the conditions were right for tornados south of town. North of town, not so much. Gee, thanks. That really clears things up. I guess meterology is a tautology, just like evolutionary theory.champignon
January 6, 2012
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Let's add a real-world example. I used to see more gulls with grey wings. Now I see more gulls with black wings. Evolutionary theory, please tell me why? Well, it's because the gulls with black wings reproduced more than the ones with grey wings. There are more of them now. We could also say that the ones with black wings are fitter. They survived more. Gee, thanks. That really clears things up. Thanks for restating the observation in a manner that adds no explanation whatsoever.ScottAndrews2
January 6, 2012
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Chas, You misunderstand me. I don't have a problem with any of the terms. It's that they are just varied ways of describing the observation that some things reproduce more or less than others, or more or less than they used to. That's fine. But put together all of them tell us what we already know. They describe what we see. They tell us nothing at all of how or why it is the way it is. If I ask you why I used to have five oranges but now I have four, you can respond that it's because my number of oranges has decreased by one. You can invent numerous new terms to elaborate on this. But you're still just telling me what I already knew. Same here. All these terms restate the obvious. Evolution is supposed to be a theory of why and how, not restating the obvious. It's tautological and it's accurate. But what does it tell us?ScottAndrews2
January 6, 2012
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So fitness doesn’t lead to increased reproduction, it is increased reproduction. Why use the word at all, since as you pointed out it gives the misleading impression that it’s not just differential reproduction?
Sorry, but I'm not an apoologist for 19th-century semantics. Spenser said "best fitted"; Darwin rephrased. Take it up with them! I'm not sure whether physical fitness was even a usage back then. To further muddy the waters, a 'fit' male or female in my neck of the woods is an attractive one. Yawn. One can play semantic games, or one can attempt to understand what people are trying to convey.
If you go by the common understanding of the words it’s tautological.
Meh. It isn't, but even if it was: so what? Unless tautologous means "wrong". 1 + 1 = 2 is a tautology.
Explain to me why we need evolutionary theory to invent multiple terms for an observed phenomenon?
Yessir Scott sir rightaway sir! :0) We can either invent new words and confuse everyone - including ourselves - in a morass of geschmaltimpenetechnibabble. Or we can add a meaning to an existing word and spend hours on the internet arguing with people about the other uses of the word. Either approach has its pros and cons. The central point of 'fitness' (mean reproductive output of types) is that, if you have a finite population of variant replicators, and a consistent differential between them in the average number of times each gets copied, then they each have a different exponent - a different inherent rate of increase. Increase is capped, both by the overall limit, and by the presence of the other potentially increasing element. So if you have such a capped 'contest' between two replicators potentially increasing at different rates, which will win? The one with the greater average number of offspring? You are correct! Is that tautologous? Kinda - if you say "the one that increases at the greater rate will increase at the greater rate". It is also kinda true. (And bear in mind that we are not talking about individual sharks, but about individual 'types' of shark within a population. Any one shark, regardless of how genetically equipped, can produce none, one, two, three ... selection (or its absence) refers to the effect of average reproductive differentials during multiple lives of the two types - bearers of variant alleles at the same locus.)Chas D
January 6, 2012
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Sometime in the mid 1960?s. With the use of stochastic, rather than deterministic, representations of the process, and subsequently with coalescence theory. NS continues to be important, but it is simply systematic bias within a more general sampling process.
Evolution is not sampling. That did not change in the 1960s. Evolution is genetic variations and selection. It should be obvious that you cannot examine the process of evolution using samples. How do you observe selection? It's impossible, unless you tautologically assume that it was selected because it's there. No selection, no evolution. How does evolution explain anything if you take away natural selection?
Oh, do me a favour! I explicitly deny a concession, but I’m still conceding?
Yes, that's it.
As the ‘current population’ is in constant, irreversible flux, it is entirely unclear why I should concede that long-term change – including species divergence leading through higher taxonomic levels – should not flow inevitably from these lower-level fluxes.
You're free to think that "lower level fluxes" lead to taxonomic diversity. You don't have to concede it that it isn't true. But while reaffirming your opinion, you are implicitly conceding that it is unsupported by empirical evidence. (You do that by not supporting it with empirical evidence.) In other words, you're telling me what you think. Thanks, but I already knew that many posts ago. But so far the only reasons you've given me to share your opinion are "why not?" and it's 'inevitable.' Okay, so we'll upgrade it from your opinion to your strongly-held opinion. And we'll leave it there unless you can come up with something more persuasive than just reasserting it.ScottAndrews2
January 6, 2012
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I'll reduce this for simplicity. Fitness is relative - it is differential reproduction. That which reproduces more is more fit than that which reproduces less. (Sorry, but the use of that word seems deliberately misleading.) Survival is defined as a rate of reproduction greater than zero. If one shark reproduces more (is more fit) than another, to call it survival of the fittest is meaningless because the less fit also survives. Extinction is a reproductive rate of zero (assuming that the existing specimens are not immortal.) Everything that does not go extinct survives. So all that matters is reproduction. Fitness, survival, and extinction all describe or quantify it. Survival of the fittest is actually more of a tautology than it was before. The fittest survive. The fittest reproduce. The survivors reproduce. The reproducers survive. The fittest survivors survive, and so do the less fit survivors with the exception of those that don't survive. In all of this there are but two concrete observations: that things reproduce, and that some reproduce more or less than others. At best this leads to an exploration of why some reproduce more or less than others. But where the things that reproduce come from? You can't get there from here. (Okay, that wasn't exactly a reduction.)ScottAndrews2
January 6, 2012
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So fitness doesn't lead to increased reproduction, it is increased reproduction. Why use the word at all, since as you pointed out it gives the misleading impression that it's not just differential reproduction? And what does "survival" mean in this context? Everything survives, but those that reproduce more are fitter. So the fittest does not survive, rather, everything that doesn't go extinct survives. If you go by the common understanding of the words it's tautological. If you go by the technical meaning, it's not saying anything anyway. Explain to me why we need evolutionary theory to invent multiple terms for an observed phenomenon? Apparently it's so that we can pretend that the use of the terms explains something when in fact they are nothing but interchangeable definitions. Making up a new word for something or recycling an existing word with a new meaning doesn't explain anything. It's just moving furniture around.ScottAndrews2
January 6, 2012
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Chas,
For an evolutionary process, we have to allow that a population currently exists on a viable location in search space. How it got there, set aside.
If you wish to redefine evolution as how existing species vary and not how they "got there" in the first place, great. I think you've just joined the other team. Otherwise you're 'setting aside' the really hard part and focusing on what was plain to the naked eye for thousands of years before Darwin.
Biased instead by a priori notions of extra power in Creators? The designs of which we are capable pale into insignificance beside the apparent designs in Nature.
So "it's too complicated, it couldn't have evolved" is bad, but "it's too complicated, it couldn't have been designed" is okay. If something appears to be designed but it's very, very complicated, then the design must be illusion and it must have evolved, because... why? The evidence of design doesn't go away. It just leads to more questions. Who, what, how, why? Is that a sound reason for setting aside? What precisely have we seen from evolution that makes it the default explanation for complex systems of unknown origin? (That's semi-rhetorical. It's been conceded that the answer is approximately nothing, so why beat a dead horse?)ScottAndrews2
January 6, 2012
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K/F, The basic evolutionary process (detailed in my reply to Scott below) makes no particular statement about complexity. It is about change which, in your 'search space', equates to the accessibility of a viable point in that space from one's current location. For an evolutionary process, we have to allow that a population currently exists on a viable location in search space. How it got there, set aside. Without mutation, we will sit forever at our current coordinates. With mutation, we can only change to a coordinate that is also a viable location. Do we observe that? All the time. The result of the allele fixation process is that, wrt a particular allele, the population starts at one coordinate and, one by one, moves to a new one. Once the whole population is at the new coordinate, its position at the old coordinate is history. Back-mutation can occur, but it is far more likely that either a new mutation, or no mutation, occurs. Now, as far as exploration is concerned, we have successfully moved from one viable position on the map to another. How many viable positions are there, and how are they distributed? We don't know. The space is shrouded in total darkness. All we know is that we can move from place to place - mutations occur, they do become fixed, and our old position is lost and highly unlikely to be recolonised. Exploration does not appear to be constrained on a broad scale, even if not all possiblilities are viable locally, and specific alleles may suffer specific additional restraint. But we are talking about generality and totality - the possibility that all alleles in an ancient species were historically prevented from entering the domain we currently see occupied by another. Someone tells us that we are simply exploring an island - that inviable moves were inviable because they fell into the sea. Someone else tells us that the space is a honeycomb - each inviable move simply hit the empty space in a filagree of interconnectedness. How to tell? Assertion of islands is insufficient. I do not assert a honeycomb - I simply point out that we observe stepwise change; every current position is surrounded by accessible new positions that become the new current position, with an arrow to this motion away from the old point provided by old-allele extinction, and no clear anchor promoting one particular way of doing things.
So, we must ask: what best explains FSCO/I and associated islands of function? Observation and analysis unbiased by a priori materialism both reply: design.
Biased instead by a priori notions of extra power in Creators? The designs of which we are capable pale into insignificance beside the apparent designs in Nature. On the one hand you argue that the only way to produce such complexity is Intelligence, yet that quality is manifestly not up to the task you set it, in any instances we can access by observation and analysis.Chas D
January 6, 2012
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I don't think the reportage of this was particularly good, and some of the statements attributed to the scientists seem a little inaccurate wrt evolutionary theory. There is no teleology in evolution; nothing is 'forced' to do anything. It is frequently the case that hybrids are more 'vigorous' than either parent, but this effect cannot last indefinitely - it is a consequence of diploidy that will be lost if the hybrid population continues to interbreed without further input from the parental species.
I’m stronger than either of my parents ever were. Is that survival of the fittest?
It means 'survival of the best fitted', going back to Spenser. The connotations with physical fitness are an unfortunate source of confusion. Fitness means reproductive output, in biology - if one variant produces an average 2.1 offspring, and another an average 1.8, the first is 'fitter'.Chas D
January 6, 2012
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Chas: The fundamental process of evolution is iterative population sampling. Scott: It’s not genetic variation and natural selection? When did that change?
Sometime in the mid 1960's. With the use of stochastic, rather than deterministic, representations of the process, and subsequently with coalescence theory. NS continues to be important, but it is simply systematic bias within a more general sampling process. If you have any sample-and-replacement process, the genetic composition of a variant population will change, inexorably, towards fixation of one or other of the variants. Selection does not have to be involved. Try it - it's dead easy to program, or to represent with coloured beads. This is neutral drift. If you have weak preference for one allele over another - a systematic bias - the favoured allele will be fixed more often, but the unfavoured allele can still get there an appreciable proportion of trials, thanks to drift. Turn up the differential still further, and the number of times the favoured allele wins increases. We may represent an 'allele's progress' as commencing with a mutation and terminating with extinction or fixation. Fixation means that every locus instance in the future population descends from that original mutated sequence. Extinction means that *no* sequence descends from it. Suppose we could capture a 2D map of the population, with our locus of interest coloured blue. A mutation occurs - one red dot. If we capture successive images and stack them, we get a 3D representation in time. Most of the time the red may sputter for a generation or two and then be eliminated. But occasionally - one in every N mutations where N is the number of loci - a mutation will sweep to fixation. In our 3D cylinder of successive population snapshots we would see a cone of red with the mutation at its apex and fixation at its base. Fixation for one is extinction for all else. This is the fundamental process of evolution - a stochastic mutation-amplification/dilution process. Selection - a systematic bias in favour of a particular allele - increases both the chances that a particular mutation will fix, and steepens the slope of the descendant cone - it fixes more quickly. Selection stacks the deck. It has a dual role of dismissing poor mutations before they get anywhere, and promoting favourable ones depending on the extent to which they increase reproductive output. Mutation, selection and drift give rise to variant populations. Ongoing sampling amplifies or dilutes each variant. Every allele that becomes fixed means inevitable loss of something from the ancestral population's character. Now, what is important about this way of looking at it is that stasis is highly improbable, and divergence of isolated lines almost inevitable. Mutation demonstrably occurs all the time. Sampling demonstrably occurs all the time - generations are not exact replicas of the composition of their parental generation. So, this process can drive change within a single lineage. Since there is constant loss of 'old' alleles and input of new ones, change is inevitable. Because mutation and fixation are stochastic, the changes in two parallel lineages are independent. Hence: divergence. Between close relatives initially, but ongoing divergence makes them less and less close. Unless ... well, what?
As a rational person I would not expect a darwinist’s inability to actually explain any of the things he says that evolutionary theory explains to cause him to re-evaluate his position. Your concession is implicit, not explicit.
Oh, do me a favour! I explicitly deny a concession, but I'm still conceding? As I try to explain above, the evolutionary process - which you accept to occur in a 'local' fashion - is always dependent upon what the current population holds. As the 'current population' is in constant, irreversible flux, it is entirely unclear why I should concede that long-term change - including species divergence leading through higher taxonomic levels - should not flow inevitably from these lower-level fluxes. Grant me some intellectual honesty! As a rational person, if I could be shown that these micro-processes were insufficient to explain macro change, I would be happy to concede.
But this talk of barriers is dressed-up question-begging. Of course evolution does all that stuff. It just does! Unless I can show that it doesn’t. It’s Bizarro science.
Show me a science that does no extrapolation. Some extrapolations are unreasonable, and may be argued against. What, beyond gut feeling, precludes this extrapolation?Chas D
January 6, 2012
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Champ: I have a moment, so I will add. Kindly note that you are not just dealing with populations, but samples that give cross sections thereof. In this case, we notoriously have in excess of 1/4 million fossil "species," representing millions of samples in museums, and literally billions known from the field. (E.g. My second Caribbean homeland, Barbados, is largely built on piled up coral limestone fossils; in aggregate, literally cubic miles of them.) Those millions of fossils in museums came from the entire depth of the fossil record, and across the whole world, after 150 years of careful and thorough investigation. There is no reasonable doubt that they give us a significantly representative cross section of the main outline of the patterns of life as preserved, from micro-organisms to whales and dinosaurs, with plants, birds, shark teeth etc etc etc along the way. Even, footprints. And, those are the fossils in aggregate that Gould has summed up: sudden appearance, stasis, disappearance [and/or continuity to the modern world]. Islands, in short. Or, if you will, a forest of little bushes. If the pattern of life genuinely had been gradual transitions as populations were supplanted by incrementally superior ones, we would find instead a record DOMINATED by gradual change, with incremental continuity from ancestral forms of body plans to descendants. That is not what we find, and so the challenge to those who hold that Darwinian and similar mechanisms explain the record, why do we see what wee see and not what we would expect to see. Common descent is irrelevant, there are many ways to get to that without invoking blind chance and mechanical necessity acting through chance variation and culling out of less successful populations as the sole responsible mechanism. What is needed is something that explains a pattern DOMINATED by suddenness and stasis. And, by a pattern where as we look across the domains of life we find that molecular taxonomic trees are not singing off the same hymn sheet as the traditional Darwinian Tree of Life, and indeed, they are not in mutual agreement. If there had been a sound, solid, well documented answer that pivots on straightforward observations, that would long since have been trumpeted. That instead we see the sort of duck, dodge and divert -- then denigrate and demonise -- tactics, year after year here at UD and elsewhere, speaks volumes on the actual state of the evidence. The evidence is, from protein fold domains to body plans to species in the fossil record and today, that life is dominated by islands with common body plans that also can adapt, often within a more or less standard pattern of adaptations (I have in mind here the astonishingly standardised body shapes and colours of the cichlids). That is multiplied by the Cambrian life revolution that was known in Darwin's day and which he hoped further investigations would remove. What instead has happened, is that we see that the variation at the very top level of classification comes first. And, on the conventional timeline, suddenly. So, we have no good reason on the evidence, to see life forms as significantly exceptional to the known pattern that where we have a function based on multiple, well matched parts that work together, only a relatively few configurations out of the vast field of possibilities, will work. In short, islands of function. Mocking Sir Fred Hoyle that his challenge on a tornado building a jumbo jet in a junkyard is a "fallacy" is almost irrelevant. The problem starts with building say an indicating, D'Arsonval Galvanometer movement instrument on the panel of the cockpit by the same means. (This is not so remote, the flagellum, ATP synthase and the Kinesin walking truck are all motor movements, just to start at molecular nanotech level. I again invite you and onlookers to explore Abel's latest paper on these sorts of things.) Talking points can be amassed to distract from it or bury it under a pile of fundamentally specious objections, but, in the end, when we get back tot the actual observed evidence, there it is. So, we must ask: what best explains FSCO/I and associated islands of function? Observation and analysis unbiased by a priori materialism both reply: design. So, if you wish to overturn this, you need to provide solid, straightforward evidence. Given what has happened here at UD for years now, you will understand why I will not hold my breath waiting. But, I will invite the interested onlooker to have a look from here on. GEM of TKIkairosfocus
January 5, 2012
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More from the sharks:
This surprising find by a team from the University of Queensland has experts speculating that the hybridization may be the result of climate change, which theoretically forced the predators to interbreed in order to better adapt to rising water temperatures.
How exactly does a shark know that breeding with another species will help its offspring survive rising water temperatures? Evolutionary theory posits a constant search of the surrounding space, and differential reproduction when the search yields organism with some advantage or other unspecified reason for reproducing differentially. So wouldn't evolutionary theory predict that the sharks would always interbreed, and that at some point the environmental change might render it beneficial? What does this mean for the speciations which would certainly be held as examples of evolution in action when they occurred? It sure looks more like sharks breeding with nearer sharks until they look different from more distant sharks and then breeding with the more distant sharks anyway. That's rather thin gruel. Let me sell you my new space-age transport vehicle. It can take you anywhere on earth. It looks just like a sofa. Allow me to demonstrate by sliding it and its occupants around my living room and back to where they started. It's your job to explain the barriers that keep it from going to the South Pole, but don't worry, I can be very creative.
The hybrid sharks were also found to be stronger than either of the parent species — "a literal survival of the fittest."
I'm stronger than either of my parents ever were. Is that survival of the fittest? It's easy to boggle over the surreal oddity of such a statement and forget to wonder how they determined that the offspring were stronger than the parents. Because at this point anything they say is suspect.
Simpfendorfer said the study, published late last month in Conservation Genetics, could challenge traditional ideas of how sharks had and were continuing to evolve. "We thought we understood how species of sharks have separated, but what this is telling us is that in reality we probably don't fully understand the mechanisms that keep species of shark separate," he said.
Let me get this straight: Folks have been citing speciation such as this as examples of the cornerstone of biology at work, but the boots on the ground say they don't really know how it works? I'm not surprised. And I don't expect a darwinist to even blink at being told that no one actually understands even the weak examples of speciation they use to prop up their so-called theory. Because its position as the cornerstone of biology never depended on evidence or even making sense in the first place.ScottAndrews2
January 5, 2012
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Chas, You can always turn science on its ear if you creatively redefine the problem. It's not my problem to explain how the space shuttle can get to Mars. It's your problem to show what the barrier is. How very convenient.
The fundamental process of evolution is iterative population sampling.
It's not genetic variation and natural selection? When did that change? Essentially you're arguing that my question is unfair. That's almost reasonable. Except that the answers to such questions are exactly what would exalt evolutionary theory to being the 'cornerstone of biology.' The purpose of science is not to exercise some undue sense of fairness toward a theory that you wish to be true. yes, I’m sure you will self-declare victory on this one and do the Rumpelstiltskin dance. But I do not concede that it explains nothing more than minor change. Champignon does know me well. As a rational person I would not expect a darwinist's inability to actually explain any of the things he says that evolutionary theory explains to cause him to re-evaluate his position. Your concession is implicit, not explicit. But this talk of barriers is dressed-up question-begging. Of course evolution does all that stuff. It just does! Unless I can show that it doesn't. It's Bizarro science. I don't know what a Rumpelstiltskin dance looks like. Maybe I can find something on YouTube.ScottAndrews2
January 5, 2012
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GUN: Could you kindly give us observational evidence of the tap-root of the Darwinian tree (reconciling the macro-scopic body plan and various molecular trees along the way), its trunk, major branches, and finely grading branching of major body plans and organ systems? Or is it that what we in fact observe is much as Gould summed up:
"The absence of fossil evidence for intermediary stages between major transitions in organic design, indeed our inability, even in our imagination, to construct functional intermediates in many cases, has been a persistent and nagging problem for gradualistic accounts of evolution." [[Stephen Jay Gould (Professor of Geology and Paleontology, Harvard University), 'Is a new and general theory of evolution emerging?' Paleobiology, vol.6(1), January 1980,p. 127.] "All paleontologists know that the fossil record contains precious little in the way of intermediate forms; transitions between the major groups are characteristically abrupt." [[Stephen Jay Gould 'The return of hopeful monsters'. Natural History, vol. LXXXVI(6), June-July 1977, p. 24.] "The extreme rarity of transitional forms in the fossil record persists as the trade secret of paleontology. The evolutionary trees that adorn our textbooks have data only at the tips and nodes of their branches; the rest is inference, however reasonable, not the evidence of fossils. Yet Darwin was so wedded to gradualism that he wagered his entire theory on a denial of this literal record: The geological record is extremely imperfect and this fact will to a large extent explain why we do not find intermediate varieties, connecting together all the extinct and existing forms of life by the finest graduated steps [[ . . . . ] He who rejects these views on the nature of the geological record will rightly reject my whole theory.[[Cf. Origin, Ch 10, "Summary of the preceding and present Chapters," also see similar remarks in Chs 6 and 9.] Darwin's argument still persists as the favored escape of most paleontologists from the embarrassment of a record that seems to show so little of evolution. In exposing its cultural and methodological roots, I wish in no way to impugn the potential validity of gradualism (for all general views have similar roots). I wish only to point out that it was never "seen" in the rocks. Paleontologists have paid an exorbitant price for Darwin's argument. We fancy ourselves as the only true students of life's history, yet to preserve our favored account of evolution by natural selection we view our data as so bad that we never see the very process we profess to study." [[Stephen Jay Gould 'Evolution's erratic pace'. Natural History, vol. LXXXVI95), May 1977, p.14.] [[HT: Answers.com]
(Kindly see here for his final summary on the matter, c. 2002, as is clipped in the OP.) On fair comment, what we see is not a tree, but a scrubland of bushes, different for different bases of analysis, and pointing to if anything libraries of common designs with adaptations to particular cases, and blending as required, the Platypus and other mosaics -- Gould seemed to put Archaeopteryx in that number of oddball organisms -- being capital cases in point. And, while we are at it, the Csmbrian life revo has the top level variation FIRST. GEM of TKIkairosfocus
January 5, 2012
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Chas: Pardon, but I believe there is something crucial that is being overlooked in your rush to extrapolate from finch beaks to say origin of birds, and beyond. Kindly review the statistical basis for the second law of thermodynamics. There is no hard barrier to a macroscopic fluctuation, but the balance of statistical weights of clusters of accessible microstates is such that by overwhelming likelihood, we will never observe a SPONTANEOUS fluctuation on that scale. As a second toy example, a needle in the proverbial haystack is quite hard to find on a sampling based search, due to the similar problem of overwhelming statistical weight. Likewise, a million monkeys at keyboards typing at random will be utterly unlikely to produce say a paragraph of coherent text in English. On the scope of atomic resources of the solar system or even the observed cosmos. There is not a hard barrier, but simply the balance of overwhelming statistical weight being towards gibberish possibilities. The basic problem is then, that once we look at the functional specificity and complexity of the organisation of life systems like the avian lung, or the avian wing and flight mechanisms, etc, as the OP highlights, that very specificity points away from: "any old config" will get us started up the smooth back-slope of Mt Improbable. (That is, GAs and the like START within islands of function, and do not address the material question.) This has been pointed out over and over again, with examples from many domains, including life, but the implication, that only fairly restricted and relatively rare zones of possible configs will function in such a system exhibiting FSCO/I, is resisted. Not, because it has actually been shown that such FSCO/I has been observed to originate by blind chance and necessity, but that there is an imposed ideological a priori that insists that something like this MUST be so, for it censors "science" to exclude the possibility of intelligent intervention where that is inconvenient for the philosophy of evolutionary materialism. That is why, to those who have been primed to think that things MUST have happened that way, any instances of minor variability and diversity in function will seem to justify making grand extrapolations from micro evolution to macro evolution. But, absent actual empirical support for FSCO/I arising by blind chance and necessity, the only empirically known source for FSCO/I -- with billions of cases in point all around us -- is intelligence. The random walk across config space to hit on islands of function analysis is a reason why this makes sense, but it stands apart from the actual fact of observation. Just as, the stat mech analysis as to why macro fluctuations will be unobservable stands apart from the fact of observation summed up in the 2nd Law and related classical conclusions and analyses. In short, if you want to assert that macroevolution is a "fact," that needs to be warranted on observations adequate to the claim. If you want to then conclude -- a further step -- that [Neo-] Darwinian ans similar mechanisms account for it, that too needs to be separately observationally warranted, and not on extrapolations from micro-evo. Or else -- hard as it may be for you to accept -- we have a case of ideology dressed up in a lab coat. Which, plainly (note the five cases in point), is what we are seeing. GEM of TKIkairosfocus
January 5, 2012
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Kindly stick to substance, I will not tolerate veering off into personal abuse. KFkairosfocus
January 5, 2012
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... yes, I’m sure you will self-declare victory on this one and do the Rumpelstiltskin dance.
Heh. You know Scott very well.champignon
January 5, 2012
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Please do not beg the question. It’s not my place to determine why or whether such variation has limits. This is the cornerstone of biology. It cannot boil down to “why not?”
Why not? The existence/non-existence of barriers is the central point. If I decided that there was an undetectable barrier between here and Mars that humans could not cross, I suspect the onus would be on me to demonstrate it. But no, apparently you have decided that evolution is permitted to diverge one Galapagos finch from another, say, but the same process cannot explain how finches diverged from sparrows. Or maybe it can, but not finches and ostriches. By what heuristic do you draw your sets of explicable and non-explicable sister groups - the beaches of these 'islands'? We are in agreement about the evolutionary process in operation at a branching point - speciation, mediated by reproductive isolation and stochastic processes on either side of the barrier. That same process mediates change within a single lineage - anagenesis. Following branching, two lineages are free to diverge - as far as anyone has been able to determine, without buzzing against the glass of your inferred container. Thus, evolutionary theory explains diversity in biology. It does not explain how lineages transcend imaginary barriers.
So, please use evolutionary theory to explain something.
You want something specific? To satisfy you, I must give you the series - the genetic series, no less - including the selective advantage of each fixed allele against the rivals that have been irretrievably lost by the very process. I can't use fossils and I can't use the signals of common ancestry in the organisms - sequential, protein-structural, karyotypic or morphological - as they are not demonstrative of mechanism (though I'd be interested to know if you agree that they are demonstrative of ancestry). I can use evolutionary theory to demonstrate that your demand is not answerable even in principle. The fundamental process of evolution is iterative population sampling. Sampling, as is readily demonstrated mathematically, distorts distributions in the original population. If you no longer have the original population, you have no way of knowing its composition. Those genes are gone. If a sample for a clinical trial consisted solely of Chinese women, and someone demanded to know what biases of the selection process led to this, we would need to know what the original population contained. If it was all Chinese women, there was no systematic bias. If it contained a mix of Chinese women and Norwegians of both sexes, the causal factor may actually have been hair colour. So your demand (couched in such open-handed "look how reasonable I'm being" terms) is akin to repeatedly determining, for many hundreds of alleles, what the lost populations contained, and what biases, systematic and nonsystematic, were in effect, taking into account lost developmental, environmental and ecological constraints ... yes, I'm sure you will self-declare victory on this one and do the Rumpelstiltskin dance. But I do not concede that it explains nothing more than minor change. From iterative minor, we get major - unless a barrier intercedes.Chas D
January 5, 2012
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Champignon:
Darwinian evolution is the only mechanism I know of that actually predicts the nested hierarchy. ID certainly doesn’t, unless you assume that the designer perversely chooses to mimic evolution over and over again.
Darwinian evolution predicts that the chemically derived trees should match the morphologically derived trees. They don't. I have supplied abundant evidence of this. The fact that the various trees you get are close to each other compared to a totally random tree is no evidence at all. Furthermore, systems that are known to be designed (human technology) do tend to be arranged in trees, if you look at their development over time. Take aircraft, for example. The root of the tree is the Wright Brothers' flyer, which branched into the early variations on that body plan, which branched into the different types of military aircraft during WWI, which branched into the various types of military and civilian aircraft between the wars, including the introduction of metal skin. Then during WWII there was even more branching including the introduction of jet powered aircraft, and so on. So if ID is true you would expect a hierarchy of development, or at least it would be no surprise. Therefore, the existence of a hierarchy does not support Darwinism over ID or vice versa. However, the fact that chemically derived trees differ from each other and from morphologically derived trees is strong evidence against Darwinism. Finally, as ScottAndrews and I keep pointing out, you continue to ignore my point that 1) there is abundant evidence that RM plus NS is incapable of producing macroevolutionary change, which I have cited already, and 2) there is no evidence that RM/NS has ever produced a single macroevlutionary advance.
The book is analogous to the totality of genomic information. The section on sea squirts contains paragraphs that seem to fit better in another part of the book.
I beg to differ. The sea squirt is like a book composed of two other books of roughly equal length but of entirely different subject matter interleaved with each other---a paragraph from Principia followed by three paragraphs from Wuthering Heights followed by two from Principia, etc. You are trying to claim that stochastic variation can account for this. I find that ridiculous.Bruce David
January 4, 2012
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Your question needs clarification. Astrophysics and orbital mechanics "explains" how solar systems form, but does not explain why ours is the way it is.Petrushka
January 4, 2012
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Chas, My point isn't that some immediate instantaneous speciation is expected. My point is that for all the bluster, these are the examples of evolution that are provided. When members of one species separate geographically and one turns a different color, that's evolution. When they come back together and breed, that's evolution - (putting on my David Caruso sunglasses) - in action. Someone interested in why sharks have fins or cartilage or lateral nerves will just have to keep looking. I've issued this challenge a dozen times, and after a few questions about the question the discussion has fizzled or the subject has changed. Evolution is genetic variation (in all of its varied forms) and natural selection. I'm not trying to oversimplify. It also includes whatever else you say it does. HGT, drift, have at it. Evolution explains diversity in biology, right? So use evolutionary theory to explain something in biology. In the interest of being reasonable, you pick. But if it's finch beaks that change and then change back or cichlid fishes in different colors then you're just trifling. We will then have agreed on evolution as the theory that explains such things, and you may join the growing number of those who have implicitly conceded that it explains nothing more. Please do not beg the question. It's not my place to determine why or whether such variation has limits. This is the cornerstone of biology. It cannot boil down to "why not?" Save fossils and nested hierarchies. Evolution is individual genetic variations, however they may accumulate, and selection. These cannot be determined from fossils or hierarchies. So, please use evolutionary theory to explain something. As I've said every time, there is no reason why this should not be at your fingertips. If you even have to think about it then the alarm should be ringing.ScottAndrews2
January 4, 2012
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Scott,
Who would have imagined it? And as they prove that the previous instance of evolution which separated them is absolutely meaningless, what is it called? To quote, “Evolution in action.”
You may well find this hilarious, but your imagining of 'an instance of evolution' is pretty cacklesome too. As speciation is not an instant process, and evolution is simply genetic change, in whatever set of organisms can currently access each other for mating, there is no contradiction whatsoever in calling both the divergence that led to the separate shark lineages, and the apparent re-merging of some of their descendants, 'evolution' - that thing we are constantly told, in the face of much contradictory evidence, that "ID is not anti", at this low level at least. Genes flow down the generations and spread around the population, but if a barrier to transverse flow is created, different mutations and stochastic processes on either side will inevitably lead to different genetic changes - evolution - on either side. If this proceeds for long enough - and there is no rule as to how long is 'long enough' - then the physical barrier may become redundant, due to an emerging biological barrier. NS has little if anything to do with it. 'True' speciation can only really occur when two subpopulations have stopped producing compatible gametes, or have developed physical barriers to successful mating. The principal driver of this divergence is differential mutation-fixation processes across the barrier. But apparent species - groups distinguished both by us and by their members as forming separate types - can potentially hybridise - up until the point at which they can't.Chas D
January 4, 2012
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Scott,
I don’t believe Bruce is saying that hierarchies fail to demonstrate darwinian evolution because of their anomalies. They fail to demonstrate it even without the anomalies. At best they show common descent, but not the mechanism by which one species descended from another.
Darwinian evolution is the only mechanism I know of that actually predicts the nested hierarchy. ID certainly doesn't, unless you assume that the designer perversely chooses to mimic evolution over and over again.
But your example of the book falls short anyway. The examples Bruce cited are not analogous to a book with a garbled paragraph.
I wrote 'misplaced', not 'garbled'.
They are analogous to a book with a paragraph that is somehow garbled and forms a coherent paragraph on a different subject.
The book is analogous to the totality of genomic information. The section on sea squirts contains paragraphs that seem to fit better in another part of the book.
How’s it coming with finding an example that uses evolutionary theory – genetic variation and natural selection (plus whatever, whatever) to explain an instance of evolution?
Already done, earlier in the thread. How's it coming with finding ID-based explanations for the phenomena I cited, such as sex ratios and gestational diabetes? Oh, wait. That's right, you're "neither defending nor championing ID in this discussion." We wouldn't want to actually compare ID to evolutionary theory to see how it holds up, would we?champignon
January 4, 2012
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SA: if you got a hammer and a cat's paw extractor, everything is going to look like a nail . . . KFkairosfocus
January 4, 2012
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Champignon, I don't believe Bruce is saying that hierarchies fail to demonstrate darwinian evolution because of their anomalies. They fail to demonstrate it even without the anomalies. At best they show common descent, but not the mechanism by which one species descended from another. But your example of the book falls short anyway. The examples Bruce cited are not analogous to a book with a garbled paragraph. They are analogous to a book with a paragraph that is somehow garbled and forms a coherent paragraph on a different subject. How's it coming with finding an example that uses evolutionary theory - genetic variation and natural selection (plus whatever, whatever) to explain an instance of evolution? I would stop beating the horse, but you keep trying to ride it. Honestly, while that goes unanswered there's nothing on that front to even talk about. It's dead. It's not an untested hypothesis. It's an unformulated hypothesis. It's a thought, an idea.ScottAndrews2
January 4, 2012
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Bruce, Imagine you were reading a book which was perfectly intelligible except for one paragraph that was out of order on each of pages 73 and 129. Would you throw up your hands and say "There's no book here! It's just a random jumble of letters?" Of course not. Why? Because, as ID proponents are fond of pointing out, letters don't randomly form themselves into words that randomly form themselves into sentences and books. A couple of misplaced paragraphs does not change the fact that you're clearly looking at a book. Calling it a random jumble of letters would be absurd. An actual jumble of letters would look completely different. In case it's not obvious, book = nested hierarchy and misplaced paragraphs = sea squirt data.champignon
January 3, 2012
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Joe,
Tell me what part of genetics forbids a feathered monkey.
Nothing, that's kind of the point.  So why don't we ever see such animal hybrids? The only reason I can think of, is that mutations are random, and speciation occurs via bifurcation producing a tree-like topology to the patterns of characteristics we see. In other words, the reason for not expecting to find any feathered-monkeys is the statistical unlikelihood of two unrelated organisms having a huge chunk of dna match, by chance. It's the same reason for not expecting the same lottery number to come up a hundred times in a row. There's nothing to prevent it, other than that it's so statistically unlikely. If hybrids like feathered-monkeys occurred, I'd take that to mean that mutations are very non-random (to say the least) and/or there was a lot of "intelligent design" going on.
Geez Louise if we saw a bunch of jumbled-up organisms we would think that is the norm
Yes, we would think it the norm. And in that case there would be no taxonomic tree, and any theories of evolution would be nothing like what we currently have.goodusername
January 3, 2012
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champignon, Re. 34.1.2.2.5: I would say that an organism (the sea squirt) half of whose genome puts it in one phylum and half in another, falls way outside the bounds of "stochastic variation". But in any case, the tree of life, if valid, is evidence for common descent, not the assertion that random mutation plus natural selection can and did produce the immense variety, complexity, and functional sophistication of all extant and extinct species. That is what my comments, beginning with the quote by KF at the top of the OP, have been addressing, and it is that for which you have not supplied any evidence to counter the large body of evidence (to which I referred in #s 10 & 11.4) that it is totally inadequate for that task.Bruce David
January 3, 2012
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From the "Holy crap, I can't believe they're actually saying this" category. So far, the only specific example of evolution anyone has proposed is speciation by geographical separation, which involves no natural selection, and explains nothing of how the species originate. It tells us that gulls come from gulls which happen to come from gulls. This story, involving sharks, tells us what happens next. These species turn around and reproduce together. Who would have imagined it? And as they prove that the previous instance of evolution which separated them is absolutely meaningless, what is it called? To quote, "Evolution in action." Wow. Do you folks want to add that to your list, or shall I add it to mine? It's tentatively called "Applications of evolutionary theory you find when looking for any containing actual examples of genetic variation and selection, but which omit any mention of natural selection or specific genetic variations, and in some cases explicitly exclude one or the other." I'll have to work on the name. (I hate it when people say LOL, but I'm cackling like Dr. Evil.)ScottAndrews2
January 3, 2012
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