forecasting – Uncommon Descent

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Fun: Why do experts suffer from a “peculiar blindness”?

Epstein:The result: The experts were, by and large, horrific forecasters.

Viola Lee Here's a question: During the full moon the back side of the moon receives no sunlight, and during the new... – L&FP, 65: So, you think you...
bornagain77 And in regards to quantum entanglement in time, Professor Elise Crullis draws out the 'provocative' implications and states that “entanglement... – L&FP, 65: So, you think you...
bornagain77 In more clearly defining exactly what Henri Bergson actually meant by ‘duration’, and/or “persistence of self identity through time”, it... – L&FP, 65: So, you think you...
bornagain77 ChuckyD, on the thread from which the double slit experiments were referenced, stated, Querius: "[M]ultiple direct experimental results have confirmed... – L&FP, 65: So, you think you...
William J Murray The evidence is clear: materialism/physicalism has been as scientifically disproved as a theory can be. Realism has also been scientifically... – Harvard Astronomer: The wonders of the...
relatd Vivid at 29, Thank you for your response. I do understand your position on senseless wars. Regards, relatd – Os Guinness: The Magna Carta of...
vividbleau Related 27 I don’t want to derail this thread anymore than I have already. I do want to apologize to... – Os Guinness: The Magna Carta of...
vividbleau Correction the NBC reporter was suspended. Vivid – Os Guinness: The Magna Carta of...
relatd Vb at 26, Jerry did not back up his claim with anything. Tell me, what should the people do when... – Os Guinness: The Magna Carta of...
relatd The extreme bias toward evolution leads to scientists wasting their time. It has been shown that chimps/apes are a separate... – Claim: Language originated in hand gestures....
vividbleau KF 24 Unfortunately as Jerry has noted the American people drink the kool aid served to them by the press... – Os Guinness: The Magna Carta of...
kairosfocus Relatd, they don't need to host a traditional naval assault. 21 years ago, they hosted those who went to flight... – Os Guinness: The Magna Carta of...
kairosfocus Vivid, thanks. Slander by framing. For example, pushing yourself and your hand inside a person's personal space is extremely provocative... – Os Guinness: The Magna Carta of...
vividbleau KF 21 I apologize it was my fault. More on topic have you heard of the book “Beautiful Trouble “... – Os Guinness: The Magna Carta of...
jerry to debating how the military lies etc? KF People are here to rant not understand. The Magna Carter points out... – Os Guinness: The Magna Carta of...
kairosfocus L&FP, 65: So, you think you understand the double slit experiment? (HT, Q & BA77) --> Physics TV! – L&FP, 65: So, you think you...
kairosfocus Folks, how did we get from Metaxas and Os Guinness [BTW, one of Francis Schaeffer's proteges and so VERY aware... – Os Guinness: The Magna Carta of...
kairosfocus Origenes, no, the computer does not implement or even replicate reasoning, which requires freedom to evaluate, judge, decide etc. It... – L&FP, 64: The challenge of self-referentiality...
jerry Any idea coming from the left is by definition wrong. They are appealing but 100% wrong. If they were right... – Os Guinness: The Magna Carta of...
bornagain77 CD, you do realize that Feynman made that comment in 1965 do you not? If you would have watched the... – Harvard Astronomer: The wonders of the...
chuckdarwin Querius [M]ultiple direct experimental results have confirmed quantum behavior for over a hundred years. You are deliberately ignoring my point.... – Harvard Astronomer: The wonders of the...