forecasting – Uncommon Descent

Culture Intelligent Design Peer review Science

Fun: Why do experts suffer from a “peculiar blindness”?

Epstein:The result: The experts were, by and large, horrific forecasters.

Origenes @151 KF Two questions: 1 –> the issue at stake is the credible existence of objective, so, well warranted, moral... – Is there such a thing as...
Querius Kairosfocus @151, Nicely summarized. I'd also note that the person who gets to frame an argument in their own terms... – Is there such a thing as...
mohammadnursyamsu Subjectivity can be seen as? Quoting some arbitrary dictionary, quoting an arbitrary invidual John Hoberman? 1+1=2. Subjectivity is that a... – Is there such a thing as...
Querius ET @148, While it's obvious to many people that our culture is collapsing due to moral corruption in all our... – Is there such a thing as...
EDTA Yes, that's the article. In it he explains how he comes up with reasonable probability distributions over fundamental constants, particularly... – Sabine Hossenfelder: No way to tell...
kairosfocus F/N: I observe a suspicious switch of terms or two, so I note for record, MNY having refused to be... – Is there such a thing as...
JVL Fasteddious: And so we get, “aliens did it”, or “we are in a simulation”, or “anything can happen in the... – Rob Sheldon on the current trend...
JVL ET: ID does not require a belief in God so an atheist can accept ID. But when a atheist starts... – Rob Sheldon on the current trend...
JVL ET:When same sex couples can procreate with their chosen partner they can have the same rights as heterosexual couples. Lots... – Is there such a thing as...
Sandy God cursed the planet after Adam and Eve rebelled. So according to that, the current state of earth is not... – Egnor vs. Dillahunty: 11. Is evil...
mohammadnursyamsu @querius The proof that objective morality is nothing but corruption, is that your understanding of subjectivity is wrong. It is... – Is there such a thing as...
ram Sandy, Jews and Christians believe the earth became cursed. Genesis 3:17,18 indicate that God cursed the planet after Adam and... – Egnor vs. Dillahunty: 11. Is evil...
Fasteddious The obvious answer is that as Darwinism comes under more scrutiny and attack, with evidence against it piling ever higher,... – Rob Sheldon on the current trend...
Fasteddious Thank you Robert, EDTA and Jerry. I will certainly take a look at the article. But taking Robert's caveats into... – Sabine Hossenfelder: No way to tell...
Querius There was probably some legitimate need to research sand flies. - But why beagle puppies? - Why the cruelty? -... – Did Francis Collins or Anthony Fauci...
ET ID does not require a belief in God so an atheist can accept ID. The best ID can do for... – Rob Sheldon on the current trend...
ET JVL: Sounds like a good argument for gay marriage to me. Anything sounds like a good argument for gay, ie... – Is there such a thing as...
ET A proper investigation will uncover the facts. – Did Francis Collins or Anthony Fauci...
polistra Hardly new-found. Secular ID was a very common view among scientists 100 years ago. Maybe even the default view. – Rob Sheldon on the current trend...
Querius Yes, folly and wisdom as illustrated in Proverbs. Do you see a person wise in their own eyes? There is... – Is Ethan Siegel’s Big Bang and...
Querius Sandy, Reminds me of a book I read in college titled, "Your God is too Small" by J.B. Phillips. -Q – Egnor vs. Dillahunty: 11. Is evil...