forecasting – Uncommon Descent

Culture Intelligent Design Peer review Science

Fun: Why do experts suffer from a “peculiar blindness”?

Epstein:The result: The experts were, by and large, horrific forecasters.

bornagain77 Since KF has posting privileges, and since you want to completely ignore the video without even dignifying it with a... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
Viola Lee BA writes, "Sorry Viola Lee, but I still fail to see how ‘scrolling past’ my video and my responses is... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
bornagain77 Sorry Viola Lee, but I still fail to see how 'scrolling past' my video and my responses is to be... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
johnnyb This is evidence that people haven't actually read a single damn thing we've written. If someone thinks that we use... – Darwin’s people are coming out of...
AaronS1978 “Nature does not produce such things” Nature produced humans I’m pretty sure it can produce a cosmic space turd – Avi Loeb on why he thinks...
Steve Alten2 Kairosfocus “ SA2, the dismissive incoherence and village atheist level crudities speak for themselves.” What incoherence? In 2021 it is... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
Viola Lee Oops: too late to edit. In 37 above, it should read "so telling me his opinion does not address the... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
Viola Lee At 36, BA writes, "Steve Alten2, Viola Lee and Mike1962 have condemned the video referenced in the OP as being... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
Viola Lee At 25, I wrote, Kf: Do you believe there is one objectively correct answer to this question: Is it immoral... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
jerry Kf, I’m fine. Posted yesterday on C19 thread. On Monday my wife and I were driving all over northern New... – An interview on God and mathematics
bornagain77 Steve Alten2, Viola Lee and Mike1962 have condemned the video referenced in the OP as being 'retarded' and/or 'borderline retarded'... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
Kirikagure The only alternative to darwinian evolution is Special Creation (Intelligent Design), so of course they do not want to give... – Preparing the public for the slow...
kairosfocus PPS: Sheldon's main, food for thought, point, on fractals and galaxies . . . starring comets and cyanobacteria: we are... – Human body mass has some very...
kairosfocus News (attn VL): Perhaps, simply stating correct values: m_prot 1.67262158 × 10^-27 kg M_sol 1.989 × 10^+30 kg M_human, what... – Human body mass has some very...
kairosfocus Jerry, are you around? I trust things are well with you. KF – An interview on God and mathematics
kairosfocus BR, prezactly. However, the elaboration -- as I already linked in 17 above (but was predictably ignored on) -- is... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
kairosfocus PPPPS: Plato's warning to the ages, as has been highlighted many times here at UD over the years, but which... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
kairosfocus SA2, the dismissive incoherence and village atheist level crudities speak for themselves. You have run away from the focal issues... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
kairosfocus VL, it is obvious that in your mind you have redefined what marriage is into an essentially temporary cohabitation contract... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...
polistra You've been too hard on both Loeb and Coyne. Both of them are departing from "scientific" orthodoxy in many ways.... – Avi Loeb on why he thinks...
BobRyan Steve Alten2 You use morals as if you believe they exist. You cannot believe in morality without freewill, which evolutionists... – Philip Cunningham argues: Jesus Christ is...