forecasting – Uncommon Descent

Culture Intelligent Design Peer review Science

Fun: Why do experts suffer from a “peculiar blindness”?

Epstein:The result: The experts were, by and large, horrific forecasters.

mohammadnursyamsu I think I know what's going on here. KF doesn't really have any validation of subjectivity. So then he has... – KF on Proof
Lieutenant Commander Data There is none in this world that doesn't built his worldview on a type of FAITH . All people(theists, atheists,... – KF on Proof
doubter Querius@11 The sugar code: "The sugar code (Glycocode) is designed by monosaccharides, which can condense into oligosaccharides, polysaccharides or more... – ID theorists were right about junk...
kairosfocus WJM, suffice to note how you tried to skip over the independent witness of a high quality dictionary. KF – L&FP, 47: The challenge of "proof"...
harry "Intelligent agency was required." I never see my typos in time. ;o) – Another reason not to teach Darwinism...
Truth Will Set You Free TLH @ 30: "Lying to millions of students. It's how Atheist science works." This is absolutely true. And they have... – The slow descent of “Science!” As...
ET I was just pointing out that "Jack" argues from extreme ignorance. – Is “string theory world” in some...
bornagain77 Bjørn Lomborg,,; born 6 January 1965) is a Danish author and President of the think tank, Copenhagen Consensus Center. He... – The slow descent of “Science!” As...
harry How about insisting they stop teaching asininity in public schools? Science was thoroughly and completely wrong about the Universe being... – Another reason not to teach Darwinism...
William J Murray WJM, it still remains that you are arbitrarily redefining language. ... Go get your own word. You do not own... – L&FP, 47: The challenge of "proof"...
KRock I'll pose another question. Is this current state of science (i.e., its politicization) a consequence of postmodern ideology? It seems... – Science journalist: Science IS political!
kairosfocus FINDINGS: Proof is a term too often used more for rhetorical impact than for humble acknowledgement of the achievements and... – L&FP, 47: The challenge of "proof"...
jerry why would we want to read teh opinions of an ex-tennis player anyway Shows a distinct under-appreciation for a great... – The slow descent of “Science!” As...
kairosfocus PS: As a reminder CED: embody (?m?b?d?) vb (tr) , -bodies, -bodying or -bodied 1. to give a tangible, bodily,... – L&FP, 47: The challenge of "proof"...
Bob O'H I've no idea if Borg has written abything about climate change, and why would we want to read teh opinions... – The slow descent of “Science!” As...
kairosfocus WJM, it still remains that you are arbitrarily redefining language. The dictionary has been long since cited on the point... – L&FP, 47: The challenge of "proof"...
mohammadnursyamsu The logical definition of fact, the creationist definition, applies to all matters of fact. And then when there is a... – L&FP, 47: The challenge of "proof"...
kairosfocus Jack, I will be direct: 1: Kindly provide a single actually observed case where blind chance and/or mechanical necessity have... – Is “string theory world” in some...
William J Murray KF said: Go get your own words. Again, KF, if you understood IRT you'd understand I'm applying the word "embody"... – L&FP, 47: The challenge of "proof"...
mohammadnursyamsu The problem in teaching darwinism, is that natural selection theory is the only theory in science which is based on... – Another reason not to teach Darwinism...
polistra This is just the usual diversity racket. These writers are pushing their own "training" companies which will profit from the... – We are informed at Nature Communications...