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How Keith’s “Bomb” Turned Into A Suicide Mission

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Keith brought in an argument he claimed to be a “bomb” for ID. It turned out to be a failed suicide mission where the only person that got blown up was Keith.

(Please note: I am assuming that life patterns exists in an ONH, as Keith claims, for the sake of this argument only.  Also, there are many other, different take-downs of Keith’s “bomb” argument already on the table.  Indulge me while I present another here.)

In my prior OP, I pointed out that Keith had made no case that nature was limited to producing only ONH’s when it comes to biological diversity, while his whole argument depended on it.  He has yet to make that case, and has not responded to me when I have reiterated that question.  We turn our attention now to his treatment of “the designer” in his argument.

First, a point that my have been lost in another thread:

From here, keith claimed:

3. We know that unguided evolution exists.

No, “we” do not. ID proponents concede that unguided natural forces exist that are utilized by a designed system (even if perhaps entirely front-loaded) to accomplish evolutionary goals; they do not concede that unguided process (including being unguided and unregulated by front-loaded designed algorithms and infrastructure) can generate successful evolution, even microevolution, entirely without any guided support/infrastructure.

Keith claims that we have observed “unguided microevolution” producing ONH’s, but that is an assumptive misstatement. Douglas Theobald, his source for “evidence” that unguided evolution has been observed generating ONH’s, makes no such claim or inference.  Theobald only claims that microevolution produces ONH’s.  Observing a process producing an effect doesn’t necessarily reveal if the process is guided or unguided.

Keith agrees Theobald makes no such claim or inference. The “unguided” modifying characteristic, then, is entirely on Keith; he can point to no research or science that rigorously vets microevolutionary processes as “unguided”.

When challenged on this assumption, Keith makes statements such as “even YEC’s agree that microevolution is unguided”, or that some particular ID proponent has made that concession; please note that because others elect not to challenge an assumption doesn’t mean that everyone else is required to concede the point. If challenged, the onus falls upon Keith to support his assertion that unguided microevolutionary forces are up to the task of generating ONH’s, otherwise his entire argument fails because of this unsupported premise.

Keith’s response to the challenge about the “unguided” nature of microevolution:

As you know, we actually observe microevolution producing ONHs, and microevolution does not require designer intervention, as even most YECs acknowledge.

This is simple reiteration of the very assertion that has been challenged. Keith circularly refers back to the very source that provides no support for his “unguided” inference. This has been pointed out to him several times, yet he repeats the same mantra over and over “we know unguided microevolution can produce ONH’s.”  Reiterating an assertion is not providing support for the assertion.  As I’ve asked Keith serveral times, where is the research that makes the case that microevolutionary processes/successes are qualitatively “unguided”?  Keith has yet to point us to such a paper.

That said, here is the suicidal portion of Keith’s argument.

I’ve repeatedly challenged keith to answer this question:

Are you saying that it is impossible for natural forces to generate a mismatched (non-ONH) set of trees [diversity of life pattern]?

This question follows a point I made in the Black Knight thread:

If, as Keith’s argument apparently assumes, natural forces are **restricted** to generating biological systems as evolutionary in nature and conforming to Markovian ONH progressions, why (and perhaps more importantly, how) would a designer work around these apparently inherent natural limitations and tendencies in order to generate **something else**?

It’s like Keith expects a designer to defy gravity, inertia and other natural forces and tendencies in order to get a rocket to the moon and back, just because keith imagines that a designer would have trillions of options available that didn’t need to obey such natural laws and tendencies.

Keith’s argument relies upon his claim that the designer could have generated “the diversity of life” into “trillions” of patterns that were not ONH’s, and that no such options were open to natural forces.  If a designer and natural forces both had the same number of options open to them, there would be no advantage in Keith’s argument to either.  However, Keith’s “trillions of options” argument requires that the designer can instantiate living organisms into the physical world in a manner that natural forces cannot, thus generating “diversity of life” patterns nature is incapable of producing.

Keith’s response was:

You think that the Designer was limited by natural forces? You might want to discuss that assumption with your fellow IDers, who may not be quite so enthusiastic about it as you are. Besides the conflict with your fellow IDers, you have another problem: what is the basis for your assumption about the limitations of the Designer? How do you know what the Designer can and cannot do? Be specific.

Note the attempt to shift the burden, as if I was the one making  a claim about what the designer “can and cannot do”. I made no such claim.  The claim was in Keith’s assertion that the designer could have generated trillions of “diversity of life” patterns that nature could not by instantiating life forms into physical existence in a manner that nature could not.  Later, Keith modified his claim:

There are trillions of logical possibilities, and we have no reason to rule any of them out. After all, we know absolutely nothing about the purported designer.

What an explosive, self-contradictory blunder.  If we cannot rule any of them out because we know nothing about the designer, by the same token we cannot rule them in.  Whether or not unguided natural forces can generate any of the same “trillions of possibilities” of diversity of life pattern (alternatives to ONH) depends on what we know about those natural forces and how they operate.  Obviously, Keith doesn’t assume that unguided natural forces can instantiate life in  “trillions” of ways that would not conform to an ONH.  Not knowing anything about “the designer” doesn’t give Keith license to simply assume the designer has “trillions of possibilities” open to actually instantiating a “diversity of life” into the physical world. If we disregard actual capacity to produce biological diversity, the same number of purely “logical” alternatives are open to both natural forces and any designer.  You have to know something about the causal agencies to know what it is “possible” for them to do or not do. Keith admits he knows nothing about the designer.

Read what Keith said again:

You think that the Designer was limited by natural forces?

Something becomes clear here: Keith’s argument must assume that the designer is supernatural, and can magically instantiate biological life into the world in any way imaginable, without regard for natural laws, forces, or molecular tendencies and behavioral rules, and without regard to what would limit any other causal agency – it’s actual capacity to engineer particular outcomes in the physical world.

Yet, Keith says that we know nothing about the designer:

 After all, we know absolutely nothing about the purported designer.

If we assume that natural forces are capable of creating non-ONH patterns, Keith’s argument fails. If we assume that natural forces can only produce an ONH, then Keith must assume extra characteristics about the designer – that it is capable of instantiating  “diversity of life” patterns that natural forces cannot.  Keith’s assumptions are not equal.  For the assumptions to be equal, we either assume both unguided forces and the designer can only produce ONH patterns in a diversity of life landscape, or we can assume both are capable of non-ONH patterns.  We cannot assume that unguided forces can actually only produce ONH, and assume that the designer can actually produce trillions of other patterns, and keep a straight face while insisting our assumptions are equal and that “we know absolutely nothing about the designer”.

Comments
Debating Adapa:
a la WJM: I’m not familiar with any anti-food advocates here.
a la Adapa: How about the ones who make the ridiculous claim “junk food is bad for health?”
a la WJM: It only means that the person believes that junk food is not good for one's health. Surely you are not claiming that “junk food” is the only “food” there is? I don’t see how that statement implies that one is an anti-food advocate.
a la Adapa: Of course you don’t. Gotta protect your fellow anti-food advocates no matter how inane their claims are. Do you agree there’s no such thing as healthy junk food? How about vegetables, beans and rice? If you’re going to deny reality might as well go big.
Box
November 11, 2014
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Do you agree there’s no such thing as evolutionary theory? How about the theory of gravity or the theory of plate tectonics?
That and the first quote should be attributed to Adapa in 286.William J Murray
November 11, 2014
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Of course you don’t. Gotta protect your fellow IDers no matter how inane their claims are.
It's really just a matter of logic. Unless you claim science and evolutionary theory are the same thing, being dismissive of evolutionary theory is clearly not the same thing as being anti-science. Do you agree there’s no such thing as evolutionary theory? How about the theory of gravity or the theory of plate tectonics? Yes, I agree there are scientific theories about all those things.William J Murray
November 11, 2014
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Zachriel
It’s only once the populations diverge to become reproductively isolated sufficiently that a branching occurs.
Obviously. And traits can potentially be lost following reproductive isolation. Thus branching descent does not necessarily predict a nested hierarchy of traits. This is self-evident.lifepsy
November 11, 2014
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William J Murray I don’t see how that statement implies that one is an anti-science advocate. Of course you don't. Gotta protect your fellow IDers no matter how inane their claims are. Do you agree there's no such thing as evolutionary theory? How about the theory of gravity or the theory of plate tectonics? If you're going to deny reality might as well go big.Adapa
November 11, 2014
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lifepsy: Cetaceans, according to evolution theory, accumulated many, many more nested traits over a long span of time before losing hind-limbs. Thus there is still signal, such as mammalian traits, nesting them within tetrapods. That's correct. lifepsy: Sorry but that example obviously does not apply. You had said your example was basal, then you said it was derived. lifepsy: We are talking about losing traits essentially right after they are gained. If part of a population gains a trait, then loses that trait, then it is indistinguishable from the original population; consequently, it does not represent a branching. This is very common actually. Populations are not generally uniform, but have a wide variety of traits. It's only once the populations diverge to become reproductively isolated sufficiently that a branching occurs. This has been explained to you repeatedly. You still may want to provide a schematic.Zachriel
November 11, 2014
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as to: "There are plenty of perfectly adequate arithmetics and geometries that don’t suffer from incompleteness." Actually, contrary to your science free 'proclamation', any equation precise enough to have the counting numbers in it is incomplete. Godel and Physics - John D. Barrow Excerpt (page 5-6): "Clearly then no scientific cosmology, which of necessity must be highly mathematical, can have its proof of consistency within itself as far as mathematics go. In absence of such consistency, all mathematical models, all theories of elementary particles, including the theory of quarks and gluons...fall inherently short of being that theory which shows in virtue of its a priori truth that the world can only be what it is and nothing else. This is true even if the theory happened to account for perfect accuracy for all phenomena of the physical world known at a particular time." Stanley Jaki - Cosmos and Creator - 1980, pg. 49 http://arxiv.org/pdf/physics/0612253.pdf Kurt Gödel – Incompleteness Theorem - video https://vimeo.com/96082228 Alan Turing and Kurt Godel - Incompleteness Theorem and Human Intuition - video https://vimeo.com/92387854 "Either mathematics is too big for the human mind or the human mind is more than a machine." - Kurt Gödelbornagain77
November 11, 2014
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Adapa said:
How about the ones who make the ridiculous claim “there’s no such thing as evolutionary theory”
I don't see how that statement implies that one is an anti-science advocate. It only means that the person doesn't believe there is any such thing as evolutionary theory. Surely you are not claiming that "evolutionary theory" and "science" are the same thing?William J Murray
November 11, 2014
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William J Murray I’m not familiar with any anti-science advocates here How about the ones who make the ridiculous claim "there's no such thing as evolutionary theory" :)Adapa
November 11, 2014
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Not nearly as bad as the standard failure on the part of anti-science advocates to understand evolutionary theory.
I'm not familiar with any anti-science advocates here.William J Murray
November 11, 2014
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Adapa:
1. Let’s define CSI as the mystery stuff only intelligence can create.
Only anti-ID zealots do that.Joe
November 11, 2014
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Please link to this alleged "evolutionary theory" or admit that it is the anti-science people who insist there is such a thing.Joe
November 11, 2014
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William J Murray If your post is intended in good faith, it represents a standard failure on the part of anti-ID advocates to understand ID theory Not nearly as bad as the standard failure on the part of anti-science advocates to understand evolutionary theory.Adapa
November 11, 2014
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274 was intended for Box :)William J Murray
November 11, 2014
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We know absolutely nothing about X! Therefore, it is logically possible for X to do ANYTHING! You fools know nothing about logic!!!!William J Murray
November 11, 2014
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Adapa, If your post is intended in good faith, it represents a standard failure on the part of anti-ID advocates to understand ID theory. CSI and it's acronymical variants represent an attempt by ID theorists to quantify the commodity that distinguishes some designed artifacts from all known naturally-occurring artifacts. IOW, that there is a difference between the functionally specified, complex information necessary to instantiate/engineer a working computer or battleship, and the kind of information necessary to generate a random pile of sand or rocks. That there is a substantive difference is incontrovertible. To deny that there is a qualitative difference between the functionally specified arrangements of matter found in a random pile of natural materials and a fully functioning battleship is absurd. The only question is if that difference can be quantified in a meaningful way. CSI is an attempt to quantify that difference. It isn't arbitrarily defined as the difference. If natural forces can be demonstrated to produce CSI, ID is falsified, and CSI is disproven as the qualitative difference between designed and non-designed artifacts.William J Murray
November 11, 2014
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WJM #267 :) I raise you one: We - members of a secret government agency - observe a home for the elderly in North-Korea by means of NASA satellite. There is a slight possibility that it is the breeding ground of thousands uncontrollable infectious diseases and therefor a global threat. There is no supportive evidence whatsoever for this scenario, but theoretically we cannot rule the possibility out, since we cannot visit the location. As a matter of fact it is not at all clear who came up with the gloomy idea in the first place.
a la Keith: Aha! So, we must assume that this home for the elderly is in fact the breeding ground of thousands uncontrollable infectious diseases. I am simply refusing to rule thousands uncontrollable infectious diseases out, since we know absolutely nothing about this home for the elderly and therefore have no basis for such assumptions! OK guys. Now what are we going to do about it?
Box
November 11, 2014
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Keith S
we can see that unguided evolution predicts an objective nested hierarchy out of the trillions of possibilities.
Nope. It doesn't. Unguided evolution also accommodates the lack of an objective nested hierarchy. This has been explained to you. Thus the whole basis of your argument collapses.
I should point out to everyone that the objective nested hierarchy is by no means the only piece of evidence that hugely favors unguided evolution over ID. There are plenty of others, and I’ll begin mentioning some of them over the coming days.
Translation: "Our nested hierarchy arguments have failed so lets see what other smoke and mirrors we can pull out of the trunk." The great shell-game of evolution marches on.lifepsy
November 11, 2014
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WJM you’ve inspired me. Here’s another paraphrasing of an aspect of ID's argument. 1. Let's define CSI as the mystery stuff only intelligence can create. 2. Let’s define the sequence of base pairs in DNA as having gobs of CSI. 3. Lookie, DNA must be intelligently designed! Wheee!Adapa
November 11, 2014
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Zachriel
lifepsy: It may nest normally within vertebrates, etc. however its tetrapod signal will have been masked. Yes, like cetaceans. But they have enough traits for us to determine that they nest with other tetrapods. And that leads to some interesting findings, such as rear limb buds on cetacean embryos.
I understand you, being on the losing end of this argument, have nothing else to offer but such distractions. Cetaceans, according to evolution theory, accumulated many, many more nested traits over a long span of time before losing hind-limbs. Thus there is still signal, such as mammalian traits, nesting them within tetrapods. Sorry but that example obviously does not apply. This has been explained to you repeatedly. We are talking about losing traits essentially right after they are gained. In this case it is clear that branching descent will not necessarily produce a nested hierarchy of traits. This is self-evident. That's game, Z.lifepsy
November 11, 2014
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Querius What is it about “goodbye” that you don’t understand? I said goodbye because of your resorting to ad hominem attacks. We’re done Having someone knowledgeable on a subject pointing out your ignorance based mistakes still isn't an ad hom. Sorry you're going to let your ego stand in the way of you learning any of the interesting science being discussed. It's always sad to see someone choose willful ignorance over education.Adapa
November 11, 2014
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Box, you've inspired me. Here's another paraphrasing of an aspect of Keith's argument. 1. Let's assume evolution is unguided. 2. Evolution produces evidence. 3. Since evolution is assumed to be unguided, the evidence evolution produces is necessarily (by premise 1) consistent with unguided evolution. 4. Thus, all the evidence supports unguided evolution. Wheee!William J Murray
November 11, 2014
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keith s:
1. “Unguided evolution produced the ONH” is a hypothesis.
And we know that it cannot do so. Your hypothesis fails.Joe
November 11, 2014
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keith s:
The degree of fit between a theory and the evidence is extremely important.
You don't have a theory, keith s. You can't even muster a testable hypothesis. oops.Joe
November 11, 2014
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Box @261: ROFLWilliam J Murray
November 11, 2014
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How can a rabbit in the precambrian refute a position that cannot explain rabbits?Joe
November 11, 2014
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ID does explain the evidence a trillion times to the trillionth power better than unguided evolution.Joe
November 11, 2014
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Debating Keith:
ID: The only way design can be a better explanation than natural forces is if natural forces are not a plausible explanation in the first place.
a la Keith: So, even if natural forces and design are both plausible candidates, you ID guys step aside and grant victory to natural forces?
ID: It is indeed the ID position that in any case where natural forces are a plausible explanation, natural forces is the better explanation because design would be an unnecessary added causal entity.
a la Keith: So, in order to be a better explanation, all one has to do is demonstrate that natural forces are a plausible candidate?
ID : Yes that’s all.
a la Keith: Hmm, this is easier said than done. But I believe there is a solution to the problem. Instead of DEMONSTRATE that natural forces are a plausible candidate, why not simply ASSUME that natural forces are a plausible candidate? To be fair, I will also assume that design is plausible candidate.
ID: But that doesn’t make sense … like I just told you, in accord with the ID position, in such a case natural forces would be the better explanation by default.
a la Keith: Aha! So you admit it? Victory! Yes! You must assume!! Be reasonable!! That is scientific 101!! Equal treatment!! Why don’t you guys get it??? YES!! I WIN!!
Box
November 11, 2014
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lifepsy: Branching descent need only produce varieties. Varieties usually refers to something less than speciation. Did you mean something different? lifepsy: It may nest normally within vertebrates, etc. however its tetrapod signal will have been masked. Yes, like cetaceans. But they have enough traits for us to determine that they nest with other tetrapods. And that leads to some interesting findings, such as rear limb buds on cetacean embryos. KeithS: I assume the truth of unguided evolution, temporarily and only for the sake of argument, in order to see what it entails. Mung: Game. Set. Match. That's called hypothetico-deduction, a.k.a. the scientific method. bornagain77: as to why a RIGID mathematical basis can never be formulated for Neo-Darwinism ... "There is no argument against religion that is not also an argument against mathematics." Um, no. Mathematics makes assumptions and reasons from there. If Peano postulates, then this and that. It has nothing to do with religion. Neodarwinism has a mathematical basis whether you wish to acknowledge it or not. However, life is such that is doesn't always fit into neat little boxes, so Neodarwinism is only a partial description of what we know. phoodoo: There is no nested hierarchies, its a made up construct. Let's try a bit of classification to see if you are correct. The classification will be best fit based on all the character traits of organism. Let's try cat, dog, trout. Which two do you think belong together? Which one is not like the others? bornagain77: ... incompleteness theorem! There are plenty of perfectly adequate arithmetics and geometries that don't suffer from incompleteness. Querius: The evolutionary paradigm would assume there’s little or no current function in much of the salamander genome, while the ID paradigm would assume that there’s an as-of-yet undiscovered function. So you're saying the salamander genome has 30 times the function as humans? When a plant genome doubles—a fairly common occurrence, does the plant suddenly have twice the function? Querius: So, you’re saying that the Theory of Evolution doesn’t specifically rule out “living fossils,” so in a sense it predicts that they will exist. That's right. Evolution orders births of species, not the deaths of them. Querius: Given genetic drift over millions of years, and the unlikelihood of environmental stasis over that period of time, how does the Theory of Evolution explain, let alone predict, the current existence of the coelacanth when the majority of its contemporaries 400 million years ago were driven to extinction? Many species of coelacanth have come and gone. Today's coelacanth is not your father's coelacanth. Evolution orders births of species, not the deaths of them. Querius: Yes, that would falsify our understanding of a given branching descent, resulting in a reassessment. But how about the Theory of Evolution itself? Can you think of something that would falsify the entire theory? A rabbit in the Precambrian would precede any plausible ancestors. A consistent pattern in contradiction of descent would falsify evolution. Querius: Do you happen to know whether genomic data was included? They're working on it. However, everything reported so far indicates it's a derived therapsid. http://genome.wustl.edu/genomes/detail/ornithorhynchus-anatinus/ Question. If this is confirmed, will that finally settle the issue of common descent for you? Consider that Darwin will have predicted molecular data even when he didn't know anything about genetics. How many confirmations does it take? Querius: They are considered more similar to birds than mammals since the heterogametic sex is the female and homogametic sex is the male. Yes, birds and mammals share a common amniotic ancestor. Querius: the sex chromosomes of platypus share no homology with the ancestral therian X chromosome No, but they share homology with other chromosomes. See Mácha et al., eep ancestry of mammalian X chromosome revealed by comparison with the basal tetrapod Xenopus tropicalis, BMC Genomics 2012. Querius: I suggest that the designation of intermediates is highly speculative when considering only specific traits without recourse to genomic evidence. When someone predicts a novel organisms then walks out into the Arctic wasteland and says he will find it here, then finds it, it gives the hypothesis a lot of credibility. As for genomic data, lobbed fish and tetrapod genomes nest as expected for their evolutionary relationship. Querius: Notice the word “surprising,” which is not normally associated with the word “predicted.” History is full of surprises. It doesn't mean that history didn't occur. The surprise is that the two lineages found the same solution, rather than different solutions. The lineages started from the same place, highly conserved prestin. There may be only a few evolutionary solutions from that starting place.Zachriel
November 11, 2014
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Keith said:
It’s another case in which unguided evolution makes a prediction which is spectacularly confirmed, while ID is a complete bust.
Even if we accept the validity of the prediction, the circularity of Keith's argument is obvious. He has assumed that evolution is unguided in the first place, and so if what evolutionary patterns predict bears out, he considers it evidence in favor of an "unguided" evolution conclusion. Until keith points us to the research that has vetted evolution as fundamentally unguided, all he is doing is assuming it is, and then insisting that he doesn't have to back up that claim because he has compared design theory with "rain fairy" theory. Those analogies assume the phenomena under debate is qualitatively just like any other non-designed phenomena, which is the very point ID challenges in the first place. His analogies assume his conclusion. His argument assumes his conclusion. Keith has a habit of assuming his conclusion and making circular arguments.William J Murray
November 11, 2014
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