Uncommon Descent Serving The Intelligent Design Community

How Keith’s “Bomb” Turned Into A Suicide Mission

Share
Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Flipboard
Print
Email

Keith brought in an argument he claimed to be a “bomb” for ID. It turned out to be a failed suicide mission where the only person that got blown up was Keith.

(Please note: I am assuming that life patterns exists in an ONH, as Keith claims, for the sake of this argument only.  Also, there are many other, different take-downs of Keith’s “bomb” argument already on the table.  Indulge me while I present another here.)

In my prior OP, I pointed out that Keith had made no case that nature was limited to producing only ONH’s when it comes to biological diversity, while his whole argument depended on it.  He has yet to make that case, and has not responded to me when I have reiterated that question.  We turn our attention now to his treatment of “the designer” in his argument.

First, a point that my have been lost in another thread:

From here, keith claimed:

3. We know that unguided evolution exists.

No, “we” do not. ID proponents concede that unguided natural forces exist that are utilized by a designed system (even if perhaps entirely front-loaded) to accomplish evolutionary goals; they do not concede that unguided process (including being unguided and unregulated by front-loaded designed algorithms and infrastructure) can generate successful evolution, even microevolution, entirely without any guided support/infrastructure.

Keith claims that we have observed “unguided microevolution” producing ONH’s, but that is an assumptive misstatement. Douglas Theobald, his source for “evidence” that unguided evolution has been observed generating ONH’s, makes no such claim or inference.  Theobald only claims that microevolution produces ONH’s.  Observing a process producing an effect doesn’t necessarily reveal if the process is guided or unguided.

Keith agrees Theobald makes no such claim or inference. The “unguided” modifying characteristic, then, is entirely on Keith; he can point to no research or science that rigorously vets microevolutionary processes as “unguided”.

When challenged on this assumption, Keith makes statements such as “even YEC’s agree that microevolution is unguided”, or that some particular ID proponent has made that concession; please note that because others elect not to challenge an assumption doesn’t mean that everyone else is required to concede the point. If challenged, the onus falls upon Keith to support his assertion that unguided microevolutionary forces are up to the task of generating ONH’s, otherwise his entire argument fails because of this unsupported premise.

Keith’s response to the challenge about the “unguided” nature of microevolution:

As you know, we actually observe microevolution producing ONHs, and microevolution does not require designer intervention, as even most YECs acknowledge.

This is simple reiteration of the very assertion that has been challenged. Keith circularly refers back to the very source that provides no support for his “unguided” inference. This has been pointed out to him several times, yet he repeats the same mantra over and over “we know unguided microevolution can produce ONH’s.”  Reiterating an assertion is not providing support for the assertion.  As I’ve asked Keith serveral times, where is the research that makes the case that microevolutionary processes/successes are qualitatively “unguided”?  Keith has yet to point us to such a paper.

That said, here is the suicidal portion of Keith’s argument.

I’ve repeatedly challenged keith to answer this question:

Are you saying that it is impossible for natural forces to generate a mismatched (non-ONH) set of trees [diversity of life pattern]?

This question follows a point I made in the Black Knight thread:

If, as Keith’s argument apparently assumes, natural forces are **restricted** to generating biological systems as evolutionary in nature and conforming to Markovian ONH progressions, why (and perhaps more importantly, how) would a designer work around these apparently inherent natural limitations and tendencies in order to generate **something else**?

It’s like Keith expects a designer to defy gravity, inertia and other natural forces and tendencies in order to get a rocket to the moon and back, just because keith imagines that a designer would have trillions of options available that didn’t need to obey such natural laws and tendencies.

Keith’s argument relies upon his claim that the designer could have generated “the diversity of life” into “trillions” of patterns that were not ONH’s, and that no such options were open to natural forces.  If a designer and natural forces both had the same number of options open to them, there would be no advantage in Keith’s argument to either.  However, Keith’s “trillions of options” argument requires that the designer can instantiate living organisms into the physical world in a manner that natural forces cannot, thus generating “diversity of life” patterns nature is incapable of producing.

Keith’s response was:

You think that the Designer was limited by natural forces? You might want to discuss that assumption with your fellow IDers, who may not be quite so enthusiastic about it as you are. Besides the conflict with your fellow IDers, you have another problem: what is the basis for your assumption about the limitations of the Designer? How do you know what the Designer can and cannot do? Be specific.

Note the attempt to shift the burden, as if I was the one making  a claim about what the designer “can and cannot do”. I made no such claim.  The claim was in Keith’s assertion that the designer could have generated trillions of “diversity of life” patterns that nature could not by instantiating life forms into physical existence in a manner that nature could not.  Later, Keith modified his claim:

There are trillions of logical possibilities, and we have no reason to rule any of them out. After all, we know absolutely nothing about the purported designer.

What an explosive, self-contradictory blunder.  If we cannot rule any of them out because we know nothing about the designer, by the same token we cannot rule them in.  Whether or not unguided natural forces can generate any of the same “trillions of possibilities” of diversity of life pattern (alternatives to ONH) depends on what we know about those natural forces and how they operate.  Obviously, Keith doesn’t assume that unguided natural forces can instantiate life in  “trillions” of ways that would not conform to an ONH.  Not knowing anything about “the designer” doesn’t give Keith license to simply assume the designer has “trillions of possibilities” open to actually instantiating a “diversity of life” into the physical world. If we disregard actual capacity to produce biological diversity, the same number of purely “logical” alternatives are open to both natural forces and any designer.  You have to know something about the causal agencies to know what it is “possible” for them to do or not do. Keith admits he knows nothing about the designer.

Read what Keith said again:

You think that the Designer was limited by natural forces?

Something becomes clear here: Keith’s argument must assume that the designer is supernatural, and can magically instantiate biological life into the world in any way imaginable, without regard for natural laws, forces, or molecular tendencies and behavioral rules, and without regard to what would limit any other causal agency – it’s actual capacity to engineer particular outcomes in the physical world.

Yet, Keith says that we know nothing about the designer:

 After all, we know absolutely nothing about the purported designer.

If we assume that natural forces are capable of creating non-ONH patterns, Keith’s argument fails. If we assume that natural forces can only produce an ONH, then Keith must assume extra characteristics about the designer – that it is capable of instantiating  “diversity of life” patterns that natural forces cannot.  Keith’s assumptions are not equal.  For the assumptions to be equal, we either assume both unguided forces and the designer can only produce ONH patterns in a diversity of life landscape, or we can assume both are capable of non-ONH patterns.  We cannot assume that unguided forces can actually only produce ONH, and assume that the designer can actually produce trillions of other patterns, and keep a straight face while insisting our assumptions are equal and that “we know absolutely nothing about the designer”.

Comments
Box: 4. The only remaining option is to assign an equal probability to all of the possibilities. [ probability of platypus in black box = ... ? ] Negligible. So we open the box and find a platypus. We open another box and find a platypus. Gee whiz. There's a trend. When we classify organisms, they form a singular objective nested hierarchy. When we find new organisms, they fit the nested hierarchy. When we find evidence of extinct organisms, they fit the nested hierarchy. If one could conclude as to the nature of the Creator from a study of creation, it would appear that God has an inordinate fondness for stars and beetles, er, elliptical orbits and the nested hierarchy. Or simply that it is evidence of simple principles, gravity and branching descent.Zachriel
November 12, 2014
November
11
Nov
12
12
2014
06:07 AM
6
06
07
AM
PDT
Zachriel: When a plant genome doubles—a fairly common occurrence, does the plant suddenly have twice the function? Querius: No, not at all. It might have one single function for all we know. Sure. If the claim that an extra gigabyte of DNA may just be the equivalent of a biological doorstop, then sure. That's quite a bit different than claiming the specific sequences have specific functions, in other words, a more complex genome meaning a more complex organic function. More likely, it allows for rapid adaptation by duplicating essential genes, which allows them to evolve with fewer restrictions. It also doubles the expression of genes, so in rich environments, that might be advantageous. Querius: I think that evolution does the exact reverse–orders the deaths of species rather than the births of them. Clearly cladogenesis is the organizing principle of cladistics. Why do you think otherwise? Querius: What non-rhetorical evidence is available that falsifies the assertion that coelacanths 400 million years ago had the identical genome as those of today? Because coelacanths have evolved morphologically. http://freethoughtblogs.com/pharyngula/files/2013/04/coelacanth_fossils.png Querius: I seem to remember that rabbits aren’t really aquatic, There was land in the Precambrian. It's that whole 'life has changed in fundamental ways evolution thingy'. If you reject that, then you may as well suppose there's lettuce for the rabbit to eat too. In any case, you have to show that the posited pattern of ancestor-descendant relationships are untenable. If so, then the existing theory would have to be modified or discarded—which would depend on the evidence. Querius: Except for the discordant sexual genetics. The sexual genetics appear derived from other chromosomes. Querius: To answer your question, for me what it would take is the discovery of a mechanism that results in rapid generational changes (epigenetics comes to mind), and that generates new structures and body plans There is already substantial evidence of that, such as hox genes. Small changes in regulatory genes can cause large changes in development. For instance, expressing a gene causes the suppression of hind limb development in cetaceans. That's evidence of their tetrapod ancestry, by the way. They have hind limb buds—until they don't. Zachriel: birds and mammals share a common amniotic ancestor. Querius: That’s a cop out that could be used to explain absolutely anything, and thus is scientifically worthless. Um, no. It's fundamental to evolution. Derived organisms often retain primitive features. See Darwin 1859. Querius: Platypus not only looks like a composite, its genenome also looks like a potpourri of mammal, bird (chicken), and reptile genes. Monotremes fit neatly into the nested hierarchy. http://www.nature.com/scitable/content/33175/10.1038_nature06936-f1_mid_1.jpg It evolved from a common amniotic ancestor. Querius: Yes, and how did this miracle occur? Chromosome rearrangements are a fairly common occurrences. Querius: In the arctic? No, the Shubin expedition was mounted specifically to find a fishapod in the Canadian Arctic. Lucky guess? Querius: So which is it? Both. That cetaceans and bats evolved high-frequency hearing is not unexpected. That they found the same structural solution is somewhat surprising. Querius: Z: “exactly what evolutionary theory would predict” From our comment "what evolutionary theory would predict" is the standard phylogeny for synonymous substitutions. Natural selection tends to confound the nested hierarchy, but most synonymous substitutions are 'silent', meaning invisible to natural selection. So we have a protein, prestin. The non-synonymous substitutions are selected for high-frequency response, while the synonymous substitutions reflect the phylogeny. They started in the same place, and have similar selective pressures. The only surprise is how close the solutions were in the two lineages. Then again, the hydrodynamic shape of cetaceans look somewhat like fish.Zachriel
November 12, 2014
November
11
Nov
12
12
2014
05:35 AM
5
05
35
AM
PDT
lifepsy: As has been explained.</i To which we already responded, including providing an example whereby we can reconstruct phylogeny from other derived characteristics. Zachriel: you may want to map it out. lifepsy: You may want to go talk about branching descent and the nested hierarchy somewhere safe where your errors won’t be exposed. In other words, you can't or won't support your position.Zachriel
November 12, 2014
November
11
Nov
12
12
2014
04:57 AM
4
04
57
AM
PDT
Tiktaalik- If the tetrapod tracks found in Poland were found before Shubin et al. went looking for evidence of the transition from water to land, they would not have went where they found Tiktaalik. There is no reason to look for evidence of a transition millions of years after it happened.Joe
November 12, 2014
November
11
Nov
12
12
2014
04:47 AM
4
04
47
AM
PDT
Keith, A request for clarification:
Keith #311: Here’s what you and William are missing: 1. To rule something out is to assign a probability of 0 to it. 2. To rule something in is to assign a probability of 1 to it. 3. Neither of those actions is appropriate, because we know nothing at all about the designer. 4. The only remaining option is to assign an equal probability to all of the possibilities.
I would like to know how this pans out. Let's take at a simple example: Suppose their is an unknown black box resting on your kitchen table. Now, the thought occurs to you that it might contain a platypus. At the same time you realize that you have no ground whatsoever to support this assumption; the box may contain some other animal, plant or thing or simply nothing at all. Ok. How to implement your system? 1. To rule something out is to assign a probability of 0 to it. [ probability of platypus in black box = 0 ] 2. To rule something in is to assign a probability of 1 to it. [ probability of platypus in black box = 1 3. Neither of those actions is appropriate, because we know nothing at all about the content of the black box. 4. The only remaining option is to assign an equal probability to all of the possibilities. [ probability of platypus in black box = ... ? ] Box
November 12, 2014
November
11
Nov
12
12
2014
04:06 AM
4
04
06
AM
PDT
keith s:
My argument shows that when we treat ID and unguided evolution equally, unguided evolution turns out to be trillions of times better than ID as an explanation the diversity and complexity of terrestrial life.
Only if you ignore reality.Joe
November 12, 2014
November
11
Nov
12
12
2014
03:25 AM
3
03
25
AM
PDT
Adapa- Why is it that neither you nor anyone else can link to this alleged evolutionary theory?Joe
November 12, 2014
November
11
Nov
12
12
2014
03:22 AM
3
03
22
AM
PDT
keiths:
There are trillions of logical possibilities, and we have no reason to rule any of them out. After all, we know absolutely nothing about the purported designer.
William:
If we cannot rule any of them out because we know nothing about the designer, by the same token we cannot rule them in.
Box:
Now, in my opion, discussion should end here. There is no ground whatsoever to rule them out or in. William is perfectly right in pointing out that you have no ground to rule the trillions in. In order to change this verdict you have to provide ground – IOW provide knowledge about the designer, you admittedly know nothing about – in order to validly rule the trillions in.
Box, Here's what you and William are missing: 1. To rule something out is to assign a probability of 0 to it. 2. To rule something in is to assign a probability of 1 to it. 3. Neither of those actions is appropriate, because we know nothing at all about the designer. 4. The only remaining option is to assign an equal probability to all of the possibilities. This is the "principle of indifference", aka the "principle of insufficient reason." It's the standard approach in Bayesian statistics for a situation in which you have no prior information, and it makes perfect sense. Statisticians use it all the time. So do Dembski and Marks in one of their papers. Yet you and William are claiming that it's invalid, and that Dembski and Marks and statisticians all over the world are wrong. Why? Because if you allow the POI, you don't get the answer you want. That's pitiful, Box. And it's even worse than that. If you don't allow the POI, then you have no basis for rejecting the Rain Fairy. Everyone reading this knows that the Rain Fairy hypothesis is ridiculous. Yet you and William are unwittingly arguing that it would be irrational to reject it. I'm afraid you've got that backwards. The Rain Fairy hypothesis is ridiculous, and so is ID -- by exactly the same logic.keith s
November 12, 2014
November
11
Nov
12
12
2014
12:51 AM
12
12
51
AM
PDT
William #273, to Adapa:
CSI and it’s acronymical variants represent an attempt by ID theorists to quantify the commodity that distinguishes some designed artifacts from all known naturally-occurring artifacts.
We know that, William, but the attempt fails miserably. Here's a capsule summary:
Learned Hand, to gpuccio: Dembski made P(T|H), in one form or another, part of the CSI calculation for what seem like very good reasons. And I think you defended his concept as simple, rigorous, and consistent. But nevertheless you, KF, and Dembski all seem to be taking different approaches and calculating different things. That’s right. Dembski’s problems are that 1) he can’t calculate P(T|H), because H encompasses “Darwinian and other material mechanisms”; and 2) his argument would be circular even if he could calculate it. KF’s problem is that although he claims to be using Dembski’s P(T|H), he actually isn’t, because he isn’t taking Darwinian and other material mechanisms into account. It’s painfully obvious in this thread, in which Elizabeth Liddle and I press KF on this problem and he squirms to avoid it. Gpuccio avoids KF’s problem by explicitly leaving Darwinian mechanisms out of the numerical calculation. However, that makes his numerical dFSCI value useless, as I explained above. And gpuccio’s dFSCI has a boolean component that does depend on the probability that a sequence or structure can be explained by “Darwinian and other material mechanisms”, so his argument is circular, like Dembski’s. All three concepts are fatally flawed and cannot be used to detect design.
These two threads (link, link) tell a sad story about the inability of IDers to defend these supposedly fundamental concepts. It's a very bad time to be an ID supporter.keith s
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
11:51 PM
11
11
51
PM
PDT
keiths:
I should point out to everyone that the objective nested hierarchy is by no means the only piece of evidence that hugely favors unguided evolution over ID. There are plenty of others, and I’ll begin mentioning some of them over the coming days. Biogeography is an important one. ID gives us no reason to expect the particular geographical distribution of organisms, past and present, that we see. Unguided evolution does. It’s another case in which unguided evolution makes a prediction which is spectacularly confirmed, while ID is a complete bust. These are bad days to be an ID supporter.
William #259:
Even if we accept the validity of the prediction, the circularity of Keith’s argument is obvious. He has assumed that evolution is unguided in the first place, and so if what evolutionary patterns predict bears out, he considers it evidence in favor of an “unguided” evolution conclusion.
William, You're repeating the nullasalus error again:
Science isn’t about proof, nullasalus. Surely you’ve heard that somewhere along the way. Sure, microevolution might be guided. The grains falling out of my salt shaker might be guided by invisible leprechauns to their final resting place on my french fries. Raindrops might be gathered, shaped, and dropped by the Rain Fairy in a precise pattern. The swirl of water in your toilet bowl might be guided by Shamu, the invisible Toilet Whale. But anyone insisting on these things would be justly regarded as a loony. There is no evidence that these things are guided, so intelligent people rightly regard them as unguided.
What's especially hilarious about this is that you had just written this in the immediately preceding comment:
It is indeed the ID position that in any case where natural forces are a plausible explanation, natural forces is the better explanation because design would be an unnecessary added causal entity.
Natural forces are a plausible explanation for microevolution. Try to be consistent from one comment to the very next one, William.keith s
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
11:28 PM
11
11
28
PM
PDT
keiths:
Suppose the situation were reversed, and ID explained the evidence trillions of times better than unguided evolution. You (and everyone else reading this) know perfectly well that you would not be saying “Well, DUH! If natural forces can plausibly explain life as we find it, it is the better explanation.
William #258:
Your logic is being compromised by bad phrasing and fuzzy thinking here. The only way design can be a better explanation than natural forces is if natural forces are not a plausible explanation in the first place.
That's not correct. Suppose we discovered an object and determined that the probability of design was 98% and the probability that it was produced naturally was 2%. You, and every other ID supporter here, would happily go with the more probable explanation, design. Don't insult the intelligence of our readers by insisting otherwise.
It is indeed the ID position that in any case where natural forces are a plausible explanation, natural forces is the better explanation because design would be an unnecessary added causal entity.
Again, that's incorrect. See above.
Which is the reason that Mr Arrington said:
Let me end with this. As I’ve said before, I will abandon ID, shut down this site, and become a dyed-in-the-wool Darwinist just as soon as chance/law forces are demonstrated to have created complex specified information.
Even if ID is by far more likely in countless examples, all Mr. Arrington requires is one case demonstrating that natural forces can generate CSI, which would make natural forces a plausible explanation for any CSI-rich structure.
I have provided this in spades. My argument shows that when we treat ID and unguided evolution equally, unguided evolution turns out to be trillions of times better than ID as an explanation the diversity and complexity of terrestrial life. Barry won't keep his promise, of course, but I have certainly satisfied my end of the bargain.keith s
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
10:59 PM
10
10
59
PM
PDT
Querius
Really? In the arctic? Not the antarctic? In my experience, the Darwinist “expected” means retrofitted.
yes, Querius, the arctic and not the antarctic. A prediction was made concerning what age strata their target fossil(s) would be found based on geologic age of the strata and the evolutionary prediction of the timeline of a water-to-land transition and what physical attributes this/these specie(s) should possess. The next thing they did was determine where on planet Earth these strata are exposed and available for study. They were successful on all counts. Are the target age of strata exposed and available for study in the antarctic? If not why should they have considered going there?franklin
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
09:13 PM
9
09
13
PM
PDT
Querius
But don’t you find the 10 sex chromosomes in platypus curious?
I'm curious about a multitude of things but given the available data on sex determination found in extant living organisms I don't find it (the number of sex chromosimes in platypus) a show-stopper for evolution.franklin
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
08:58 PM
8
08
58
PM
PDT
Zachriel, Thanks for the detailed response. This has been an interesting argument. :-) On Salamanders
Querius: The evolutionary paradigm would assume there’s little or no current function in much of the salamander genome, while the ID paradigm would assume that there’s an as-of-yet undiscovered function. Zachriel: So you’re saying the salamander genome has 30 times the function as humans? When a plant genome doubles—a fairly common occurrence, does the plant suddenly have twice the function?
No, not at all. It might have one single function for all we know. Here are some admittedly wild evolutionary speculations: What if salamanders were a reserve of genomic information employed in evolutionary radiation? Similarly, what if salamanders can be far more adaptable to changing conditions over millions of years (do you see how hard this is to refute?). What if DNA were shared in a biome, with several key species providing genomic resources for the biome, which perhaps evolved as a community rather than as individual species? The point is that we don't know. Check this out. At least some people are thinking about it, which is my point about the superiority of assuming that there's a purpose for unknown structures and outlying data. http://www.biology.colostate.edu/?post_type=seminars&p=2244 On Coelacanths
Querius: So, you’re saying that the Theory of Evolution doesn’t specifically rule out “living fossils,” so in a sense it predicts that they will exist. Zachriel: That’s right. Evolution orders births of species, not the deaths of them.
I'm happy that you accepted of my summary of your argument. However, I think that evolution does the exact reverse--orders the deaths of species rather than the births of them.
Querius: Given genetic drift over millions of years, and the unlikelihood of environmental stasis over that period of time, how does the Theory of Evolution explain, let alone predict, the current existence of the coelacanth when the majority of its contemporaries 400 million years ago were driven to extinction? Zachriel: Many species of coelacanth have come and gone. Today’s coelacanth is not your father’s coelacanth. Evolution orders births of species, not the deaths of them.
Really? What non-rhetorical evidence is available that falsifies the assertion that coelacanths 400 million years ago had the identical genome as those of today? What would falsify the Theory of Evolution
Querius: Yes, that would falsify our understanding of a given branching descent, resulting in a reassessment. But how about the Theory of Evolution itself? Can you think of something that would falsify the entire theory? Zachriel: A rabbit in the Precambrian would precede any plausible ancestors. A consistent pattern in contradiction of descent would falsify evolution.
Of course. :-) I seem to remember that rabbits aren't really aquatic, so would you settle for a relatively modern aquatic animal? Would several examples of them convince you that the Theory of Evolution has been falsified? I'd like a firm commitment. On Platypus and Evolution
Querius: Do you happen to know whether genomic data was included? Zachriel: They’re working on it. However, everything reported so far indicates it’s a derived therapsid. http://genome.wustl.edu/genome.....-anatinus/
Except for the discordant sexual genetics. ;-)
Question. If this is confirmed, will that finally settle the issue of common descent for you? Consider that Darwin will have predicted molecular data even when he didn’t know anything about genetics. How many confirmations does it take?
As mentioned before, I'm not prejudiced against evolution---in fact I used to believe in it. As it stands currently, it's simply too flawed, massaged, and incomplete. I see it as a reasonable 19th century idea that's outlived its usefulness. To answer your question, for me what it would take is the discovery of a mechanism that results in rapid generational changes (epigenetics comes to mind), and that generates new structures and body plans (as in punctuated equilibrium). Specifically, it might involve transfer of long sections of DNA between organisms that might be dynamically incorporated by some unknown function within, let's say, "junk" DNA. I'd also want to rule out my admittedly speculative "comb hypothesis". You have a long comb with thousands of teeth running along the comb's spine. Or maybe several combs. The "teeth" are close together and represent a smooth and continuous series of sub-species that interbreed along a surprisingly long range of "teeth." For example, swine mating with chimpanzees (yes, a fair bit over the top). Over time, disease, mutations, environmental changes, and natural disasters randomly remove about 90% of the "teeth" with large gaps between them. In that case, you have viable genetic proximity without deep common ancestry.
Querius: They are considered more similar to birds than mammals since the heterogametic sex is the female and homogametic sex is the male. Zachriel: Yes, birds and mammals share a common amniotic ancestor.
Oh, c'mon. That's a cop out that could be used to explain absolutely anything, and thus is scientifically worthless. Platypus not only looks like a composite, its genenome also looks like a potpourri of mammal, bird (chicken), and reptile genes. Instead of force fitting this into the standard Darwinian model based on agreed-upon but essentially arbitrary criteria, I think it's much better science to see where the data leads. Who knows, maybe it was the result of a menage a trois (gasp)! ;-)
Querius: the sex chromosomes of platypus share no homology with the ancestral therian X chromosome Zachriel: No, but they share homology with other chromosomes. See Mácha et al., eep ancestry of mammalian X chromosome revealed by comparison with the basal tetrapod Xenopus tropicalis, BMC Genomics 2012.
Yes, and how did this miracle occur? A slow defection of genes due to high rent and a noisy neighborhood? Was there a wild party over in chromosome 6? There are 10 freaking sex chromosomes mocking us all! You don't have to placidly accept this wildly discordant data as the obvious and inevitable result of a "common amniotic ancestor." On toothed whales and bats sharing echolocation
Querius: I suggest that the designation of intermediates is highly speculative when considering only specific traits without recourse to genomic evidence. Zachriel: When someone predicts a novel organisms then walks out into the Arctic wasteland and says he will find it here, then finds it, it gives the hypothesis a lot of credibility. As for genomic data, lobbed fish and tetrapod genomes nest as expected for their evolutionary relationship.
Really? In the arctic? Not the antarctic? In my experience, the Darwinist "expected" means retrofitted.
Querius: Notice the word “surprising,” which is not normally associated with the word “predicted.” Zachriel: History is full of surprises. It doesn’t mean that history didn’t occur.
But you previously said:
Zachriel: That’s right, and biologists consider it an example of natural selection as both organisms evolved echolocation requiring high-frequency hearing. Now consider only synonymous substitutions for the same genes, and you recover the standard phylogeny, exactly what evolutionary theory would predict.
So which is it? a surprise as Li, Liu, Shi, and Zhang stated in their paper, or "exactly what evolutionary theory would predict" as you stated? It's ok to say you were mistaken. ;-)
Zachriel: The surprise is that the two lineages found the same solution, rather than different solutions. The lineages started from the same place, highly conserved prestin. There may be only a few evolutionary solutions from that starting place.
I could be wrong, but I seem to remember reading that the same mutations were found in both lineages. Another miracle? ;-) Thank you. Even though we disagree, I appreciate your honesty and your effort in providing references. -QQuerius
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
07:38 PM
7
07
38
PM
PDT
Box:
I have to retract my invitation to you.
That's okay. I can refute your criticisms with or without an invitation.keith s
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
06:55 PM
6
06
55
PM
PDT
Keith, I have to retract my invitation to you. I didn't think the 'free agent vs trillion sided die' theme through properly. Now I realize that the debate will run in the exact same problem, only a little further down the road. IOW we will be in deadlock again:
Keith: There are trillions of CHOICES for the designer, and we have no reason to rule any of them out. After all, we know absolutely nothing about the purported designer. Box: If we cannot rule any of them out because we know nothing about the designer, by the same token we cannot rule them in.
And you will defy logic again ...Box
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
06:31 PM
6
06
31
PM
PDT
Keith, Your argument is under attack from all sides, but let's again focus on the "trillions". The matter is this:
Keith: There are trillions of logical possibilities, and we have no reason to rule any of them out. After all, we know absolutely nothing about the purported designer.
WJM: If we cannot rule any of them out because we know nothing about the designer, by the same token we cannot rule them in.
Now, in my opion, discussion should end here. There is no ground whatsoever to rule them out or in. William is perfectly right in pointing out that you have no ground to rule the trillions in. In order to change this verdict you have to provide ground - IOW provide knowledge about the designer, you admittedly know nothing about - in order to validly rule the trillions in. The following quotes duly suggests that this is impossible:
Keith #147: No, my claim is that none of the trillions of possibilities are known to be out of reach for a designer. They therefore cannot be ruled out.
WJM #150: None of the trillions of possibilities are known to be within reach of the designer. They therefore cannot be ruled in.
Keith #153: Exactly. That’s why I don’t rule out any of the trillions of possibilities.
Keith #153: I don’t assume that the designer is supernatural, and I don’t know that any of the trillions of possibilities require a supernatural designer. Do you?
Keith: #153: Again, I am not assuming what the Designer can or cannot do. I am simply refusing to rule anything out, since we know absolutely nothing about the Designer and therefore have no basis for such assumptions.
Ok. We seem to be in a deadlock here. You refuse to rule them out - because you know absolutely nothing about the designer. However you have no trouble whatsoever ruling them in, despite the fact that you know absolutely nothing about the designer. The latter is profoundly unreasonable, but you refuse to bow for logic at this point. William paraphrases your position like this:
WJM #274: We know absolutely nothing about X! Therefore, it is logically possible for X to do ANYTHING! You fools know nothing about logic!!!!
Ok. Now what? Because I'm a nice guy, I have a proposal: I allow you the assumption that the designer is capable of producing trillions of orderings of life and will still prevent you from having the trillions in your conclusion. How about that? It goes like this: even if there are trillions of options available for a designer, we have no way of knowing if there are compelling reasons – any reasons – for the designer to choose for ONH. That is the problem with free agents. My point is: you make a category error when you compare a designer – a free agent – with a trillion-sided die. Let me know if you want to debate my line of thought.Box
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
05:44 PM
5
05
44
PM
PDT
Phinehas,
From my perspective, you don’t love defending your argument nearly as much as you love pretending you’ve defended it.
And from my perspective, you'd prefer pretending that others have refuted my argument rather than trying to do so yourself. If you know that my argument has been refuted, you should be able to state and defend the refutation in your own words. Can you do it?keith s
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
04:14 PM
4
04
14
PM
PDT
keiths:
Also, you might want to learn the difference between a “damp squid” and a “damp squib”. You can’t make fried calamari out of the latter.
Hahaha! Don't hate on my dyslexia. :) I happen to like both fried calamari and the visual image of a damp squid lying all floppy-like on the floor. I think I'll stick with it.
Diversion? Are you kidding? I love defending my argument, and I invite everyone to bring their very best counterarguments. Including you, if you have one.
From my perspective, you don't love defending your argument nearly as much as you love pretending you've defended it.Phinehas
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
03:47 PM
3
03
47
PM
PDT
Zachriel
If the lineage is derived, then we can still reconstruct the phylogeny.
Nope, not necessarily. As has been explained.
Again, you may want to map it out.
You may want to go talk about branching descent and the nested hierarchy somewhere safe where your errors won't be exposed.lifepsy
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
03:35 PM
3
03
35
PM
PDT
Phinehas,
Your continued resort to diversion is also duly noted. I can’t say I blame you, though, since diversions are probably preferable to offering up the same damp squid yet again and seeing it crushed yet again.
Diversion? Are you kidding? I love defending my argument, and I invite everyone to bring their very best counterarguments. Including you, if you have one. By the way, where are Eric Anderson and Upright Biped? Pretty much everyone else has tried to refute my argument, but I don't remember seeing either of them. Also, you might want to learn the difference between a "damp squid" and a "damp squib". You can't make fried calamari out of the latter.keith s
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
03:25 PM
3
03
25
PM
PDT
keiths: Your continued resort to diversion is also duly noted. I can't say I blame you, though, since diversions are probably preferable to offering up the same damp squid yet again and seeing it crushed yet again. As an onlooker, the experience has been something like watching a football injury on TV from twenty different angles. Each one evokes another wince of empathetic pain. Of course, most football players (though not particularly renown for their intellect) have the sense to allow themselves to be carted from the field at that point.Phinehas
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
02:18 PM
2
02
18
PM
PDT
Doubly amusing since William claims that he doesn't care about the truth.keith s
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
01:54 PM
1
01
54
PM
PDT
keiths: Your internal narrative and its continued disconnect with reality is duly noted. Refuting your argument has been pretty much the opposite of a struggle for William. Perhaps less amusement and more argument on your part would help? It's really up to you, since I don't mind you continuing to provide amusement for the rest of us either.Phinehas
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
01:54 PM
1
01
54
PM
PDT
I'll be back later to address William's and Box's comments, but for now, I note with amusement that after two and a half weeks, William is still struggling to refute an argument that he earlier dismissed as "inane" and "trivial".keith s
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
01:44 PM
1
01
44
PM
PDT
lifepsy: And traits can potentially be lost following reproductive isolation. If the lineage is derived, then we can still reconstruct the phylogeny. If the lineage is not derived, then the populations haven't diverged. Also, most branching involve multiple changes. Again, you may want to map it out.Zachriel
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
01:33 PM
1
01
33
PM
PDT
Box @261 is priceless and hilarious for exactly the reasons we think.Phinehas
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
01:10 PM
1
01
10
PM
PDT
LOL! Yeah Box, you and Joe and WJM are a real laugh riot. But not for the reasons you think. :) :) :)Adapa
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
01:06 PM
1
01
06
PM
PDT
I do hope that didn't involve junk soup, William :) Where are Keith and Adapa? Humor, with moderation of course, can be quite effective!Box
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
12:54 PM
12
12
54
PM
PDT
Box! I'm laughing some soup through my nose. In an Al Pacino voice: "You don't agree with evolutionary theory?? You're anti-science. And you - you're anti-science! You're all anti-science!! This whole blog is anti-science!!"William J Murray
November 11, 2014
November
11
Nov
11
11
2014
12:11 PM
12
12
11
PM
PDT
1 2 3 4 5 6 14

Leave a Reply