Uncommon Descent Serving The Intelligent Design Community

L&FP, 55: Defining/Clarifying Intelligent Design as Inference, as Theory, as a Movement

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It seems, despite UD’s resources tab, some still struggle to understand ID in the three distinct senses: inference, theory/research programme, movement. Accordingly, let us headline a clarifying note from the current thread on people who doubt, for the record:

[KF, 269:] >>. . . first we must mark out a matter of inductive reasoning and epistemology. Observed tested, reliable signs such as FSCO/I [= functionally specific, complex organisation and/or associated information, “fun-skee”] beyond 500 – 1,000 bits point to design as cause for cases we have not observed. This is the design INFERENCE.

A classic example of FSCO/I, the organisation of a fishing reel
A von Neumann, kinematic Self Replicator, illustrating how an entity with
self-replication reflects considerable additional FSCO/I, where
the living cell embeds such a vNSR
The metabolic network of a cell exhibits FSCO/I in a process-flow, molecular nanotech self replicating system
Petroleum refinery block diagram illustrating FSCO/I in a process-flow system
The design inference reduced to a flowchart, the per aspect explanatory filter

Note, inference, not movement, not theory.

Following the UD Weak Argument Correctives under the Resources tab, we can identify ID Theory as a [small] research programme that explores whether there are such observable, testable, reliable signs, whether they appear in the world of life and in the cosmos, whether we may responsibly — notice, how duties of reason pop up naturally — use them to infer that cell based life, body plans, the cosmos etc are credibly the result of intelligently directed configuration . . . and that’s a definition of design. This, in a context where the proposed “scientific” alternative, blind chance and/or mechanical necessity has not been observed to actually produce things exhibiting FSCO/I etc.

Logically, this is an application of inductive reasoning, modern sense, abduction.

Which is common in science and is commonly held to ground scientific, weak philosophical sense, knowledge. Weak, it is open ended and can be defeated by further analysis and evidence, warranted, credibly true [and so reliable] belief.

Going beyond, where we have further information, evidence and argument we may explore whodunit, howtweredun, etc.

Such is after all commonplace in technical forensics, medical research, archaeology, engineering [esp. reverse engineering], code cracking etc. I guess, these can be taken as design-oriented sciences. Going back to 4th form I remember doing natural science explorations of springs. Manufactured entities. So are lenses, mirrors, glass blocks, radio systems, lasers etc.

Beyond the theory, there is a movement, comprising supporters and friendly critics as well as practitioners consciously researching design theory or extending thinking on it and applying same to society or civilisation, including history of ideas.

The first major design inference on record in our civilisation is by Plato, in The Laws, Bk X:

Ath [in The Laws, Bk X 2,360 ya]. . . .[The avant garde philosophers and poets, c. 360 BC] say that fire and water, and earth and air [i.e the classical “material” elements of the cosmos — the natural order], all exist by nature and chance, and none of them by art . . . [such that] all that is in the heaven, as well as animals and all plants, and all the seasons come from these elements, not by the action of mind, as they say, or of any God, or from art, but as I was saying, by nature and chance only [ –> that is, evolutionary materialism is ancient and would trace all things to blind chance and mechanical necessity, contrasted to “the action of mind” i.e. intelligently directed configuration] . . . .

[[T]hese people would say that the Gods exist not by nature, but by art, and by the laws of states, which are different in different places, according to the agreement of those who make them . . . .

Then, by Heaven, we have discovered the source of this vain opinion of all those physical investigators . . . . they affirm that which is the first cause of the generation and destruction of all things, to be not first, but last, and that which is last to be first, and hence they have fallen into error about the true nature of the Gods.

Cle. Still I do not understand you.

Ath. Nearly all of them, my friends, seem to be ignorant of the nature and power of the soul [[ = psuche], especially in what relates to her origin: they do not know that she is among the first of things, and before all bodies, and is the chief author of their changes and transpositions. And if this is true, and if the soul is older than the body, must not the things which are of the soul’s kindred be of necessity prior to those which appertain to the body?

Cle. Certainly.

Ath. Then thought and attention and mind and art and law will be prior to that which is hard and soft and heavy and light; and the great and primitive works and actions will be works of art; they will be the first, and after them will come nature and works of nature, which however is a wrong term for men to apply to them; these will follow, and will be under the government of art and mind.

Cle. But why is the word “nature” wrong?

Ath. Because those who use the term mean to say that nature is the first creative power; but if the soul turn out to be the primeval element, and not fire or air, then in the truest sense and beyond other things the soul may be said to exist by nature; and this would be true if you proved that the soul is older than the body, but not otherwise.

[[ . . . .]

Ath. . . . when one thing changes another, and that another, of such will there be any primary changing element? How can a thing which is moved by another ever be the beginning of change? Impossible. But when the self-moved changes other, and that again other, and thus thousands upon tens of thousands of bodies are set in motion, must not the beginning of all this motion be the change of the self-moving principle? . . . . self-motion being the origin of all motions, and the first which arises among things at rest as well as among things in motion, is the eldest and mightiest principle of change, and that which is changed by another and yet moves other is second. [–> notice, the self-moved, initiating, reflexively acting causal agent, which defines freedom as essential to our nature, and this is root of discussion on agents as first causes.]

[[ . . . .]

Ath. If we were to see this power existing in any earthy, watery, or fiery substance, simple or compound-how should we describe it?

Cle. You mean to ask whether we should call such a self-moving power life?

Ath. I do.

Cle. Certainly we should.

Ath. And when we see soul in anything, must we not do the same-must we not admit that this is life?

[[ . . . . ]

Cle. You mean to say that the essence which is defined as the self-moved is the same with that which has the name soul?

Ath. Yes; and if this is true, do we still maintain that there is anything wanting in the proof that the soul is the first origin and moving power of all that is, or has become, or will be, and their contraries, when she has been clearly shown to be the source of change and motion in all things?

Cle. Certainly not; the soul as being the source of motion, has been most satisfactorily shown to be the oldest of all things.

Ath. And is not that motion which is produced in another, by reason of another, but never has any self-moving power at all, being in truth the change of an inanimate body, to be reckoned second, or by any lower number which you may prefer?

Cle. Exactly.

Ath. Then we are right, and speak the most perfect and absolute truth, when we say that the soul is prior to the body, and that the body is second and comes afterwards, and is born to obey the soul, which is the ruler?

[[ . . . . ]

Ath. If, my friend, we say that the whole path and movement of heaven, and of all that is therein, is by nature akin to the movement and revolution and calculation of mind, and proceeds by kindred laws, then, as is plain, we must say that the best soul takes care of the world and guides it along the good path. [[Plato here explicitly sets up an inference to design (by a good soul) from the intelligible order of the cosmos.

Earlier in the same Bk X, he had noted just how old and how philosophically loaded evolutionary materialism and its appeal to chance and/or necessity are, drawing out consequences for law, government and community:

Ath[enian Stranger, in The Laws, Bk X 2,360 ya]. . . .[The avant garde philosophers and poets, c. 360 BC] say that fire and water, and earth and air [i.e the classical “material” elements of the cosmos — the natural order], all exist by nature and chance, and none of them by art . . . [such that] all that is in the heaven, as well as animals and all plants, and all the seasons come from these elements, not by the action of mind, as they say, or of any God, or from art, but as I was saying, by nature and chance only [ –> that is, evolutionary materialism is ancient and would trace all things to blind chance and mechanical necessity; observe, too, the trichotomy: “nature” (here, mechanical, blind necessity), “chance” (similar to a tossed fair die), ART (the action of a mind, i.e. intelligently directed configuration)] . . . .

[Thus, they hold] that the principles of justice have no existence at all in nature, but that mankind are always disputing about them and altering them; and that the alterations which are made by art and by law have no basis in nature, but are of authority for the moment and at the time at which they are made . . .

We see the wider setting and the more specific themes.>>

U/D May 14, to promote from 470 below and onward, a summary of kernel ID theory as a cluster of postulates — based on clips from the UD Resources tab:

ID as a Postulates based Scientific Framework

The theory of intelligent design (ID) holds

[–> key, evidence backed postulate, cf those of Newtonian dynamics and special then general relativity, thermodynamics and statistical thermodynamics, postulational cores can be brief but sweeping in impact]

that

[First, Evidence-backed Programmatic Postulate:] certain features of the universe and of living things are best explained [–> explicit reference to logic of abductive reasoning] by an intelligent cause rather than an undirected process such as natural selection.

ID is thus a scientific disagreement with the core claim of evolutionary theory that the apparent design of living systems is an illusion.

In a broader sense,

[2nd, Operational Postulate:] Intelligent Design is simply the science of design detection — how to recognize patterns arranged by an intelligent cause for a purpose.

Design detection is used in a number of scientific fields, including anthropology, forensic sciences that seek to explain the cause of events such as a death or fire, cryptanalysis and the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI). [–> design oriented sciences. Signal to noise ratio in telecommunications is based on a design inference.]

[3rd, Empirical Warrant/Point of test or potential falsification postulate:] An inference that certain biological information may be the product of an intelligent cause can be tested or evaluated in the same manner as scientists daily test for design in other sciences.

ID is controversial because of the implications of its evidence, rather than the significant weight of its evidence. ID proponents believe science should be conducted objectively, without regard to the implications of its findings. This is particularly necessary in origins science because of its historical (and thus very subjective) nature, and because it is a science that unavoidably impacts religion.

[Evidence Corollary:] Positive evidence of design in living systems consists of the semantic, meaningful or functional nature of biological information, the lack of any known law that can explain the sequence of symbols that carry the “messages,” and statistical and experimental evidence that tends to rule out chance as a plausible explanation. Other evidence challenges the adequacy of natural or material causes to explain both the origin and diversity of life . . . .

Intelligent design [ID] – Dr William A Dembski, a leading design theorist, has defined ID as “the science that studies signs of intelligence.” That is,

[4th, Designs and Signs Postulate:] as we ourselves instantiate [thus exemplify as opposed to “exhaust”], intelligent designers act into the world, and create artifacts. When such agents act, there are certain characteristics that commonly appear, and that – per massive experience — reliably mark such artifacts. It it therefore a reasonable and useful scientific project to study such signs and identify how we may credibly reliably infer from empirical sign to the signified causal factor: purposefully directed contingency or intelligent design. [–> definition of design, note, abductive inference from observed sign to signified cause.]

Among the signs of intelligence of current interest for research are:

[Supplement, on evidence:] [a] FSCI — function-specifying complex information [e.g. blog posts in English text that take in more than 143 ASCII characters, and/or — as was highlighted by Yockey and Wickens by the mid-1980s — as a distinguishing marker of the macromolecules in the heart of cell-based life forms], or more broadly

[b] CSI — complex, independently specified information [e.g. Mt Rushmore vs New Hampshire’s former Old Man of the mountain, or — as was highlighted by Orgel in 1973 — a distinguishing feature of the cell’s information-rich organized aperiodic macromolecules that are neither simply orderly like crystals nor random like chance-polymerized peptide chains], or

[c] IC — multi-part functionality that relies on an irreducible core of mutually co-adapted, interacting components. [e.g. the hardware parts of a PC or more simply of a mousetrap; or – as was highlighted by Behe in the mid 1990’s — the bacterial flagellum and many other cell-based bodily features and functions.], or

[d] “Oracular” active information – in some cases, e.g. many Genetic Algorithms, successful performance of a system traces to built-in information or organisation that guides algorithmicsearch processes and/or performance so that the system significantly outperforms random search. Such guidance may include oracles that, step by step, inform a search process that the iterations are “warmer/ colder” relative to a performance target zone. (A classic example is the Weasel phrase search program.) Also,

[e] Complex, algorithmically active, coded information – the complex information used in systems and processes is symbolically coded in ways that are not preset by underlying physical or chemical forces, but by encoding and decoding dynamically inert but algorithmically active information that guides step by step execution sequences, i.e. algorithms. (For instance, in hard disk drives, the stored information in bits is coded based a conventional, symbolic assignment of the N/S poles, forces and fields involved, and is impressed and used algorithmically. The physics of forces and fields does not determine or control the bit-pattern of the information – or, the drive would be useless. Similarly, in DNA, the polymer chaining chemistry is effectively unrelated to the information stored in the sequence and reading frames of the A/ G/ C/ T side-groups. It is the coded genetic information in the successive three-letter D/RNA codons that is used by the cell’s molecular nano- machines in the step by step creation of proteins. Such DNA sets from observed living organisms starts at 100,000 – 500,000 four-state elements [200 k – 1 M bits], abundantly meriting the description: function- specifying, complex information, or FSCI.)

[(f) evidence of the fine tuned cosmos.] . . . .

Thus, ID can be framed on postulates, and we may draw forth from such that cells using memory structures storing coded algorithms and associated execution machinery are strong evidence of the design of cell based life. With Drexler, we are looking a bit at nanotech issues.>>

Food for thought and for clarification. END

U/D May 8th, to allow another thread to return to its focus:

>>THE FOLLOWING COME FROM THE LEAK CASE THREAD:

F/N May 7: As tangential objections to the design inference have been taken up (in obvious subject switching) I pose p. 5 from Sir Francis Crick’s March 19, 1953 letter to his son:

Crick’s letter

And, here is the protein synthesis process in outline:

Protein Synthesis (HT: Wiki Media)

Together with a summary of the information communication system involved, as outlined by Yockey:

Yockey’s analysis of protein synthesis as a code-based communication process

F/N, May 8: As the tangent continues, it seems a further illustration is advisable:

It seems more is needed, so here is how this fits into protein synthesis and the metabolic network and how we see prong height coding:

In for a penny, in for a pound, here is a video:

Notice, we are actually dealing with a storage register. Say, each shaft with pins is set for five positions, four elevated, one on the ledge. This is directly comparable to GCAT, and as the video shows there are five digits:

| X1 | X2 | X3 | X4 | X5 |

The key is encoded to the correct string of digits that in combination will open the lock, say 13213. The resting fully locked position is of course 00000.>>

U/D May 14: As a side chain appeared in another thread that is more appropriate here, I cross post a footnote added there:

It being now an obvious tactic to sidetrack non technical UD threads into ID debates (even where there is a thread that is live on the topic with relevant information, graphics and video) I will augment basic correction below by adding here a chart showing tRNA as a Drexler style molecular nanotech position-arm device:

We may expand our view of the Ribosome’s action:

The Ribosome, assembling a protein step by step based on the instructions in the mRNA “control tape”

As a comparison, here is punched paper tape used formerly to store digital information:

Punch Tape

We should tabulate”

The Genetic code uses three-letter codons to specify the sequence of AA’s in proteins and specifying start/stop, and using six bits per AA

In Yockey’s communication system framework, we now can see the loading [blue dotted box] and how tRNA is involved in translation, as the AA chain towards protein formation is created, step by step — algorithm — under control of the mRNA chain of three base codons that match successive tRNA anticodons, the matching, of course is by key-lock fitting of G-C or C-G and A-T or T-A, a 4-state, prong height digital code:

Yockey’s analysis of protein synthesis as a code-based communication process

Further to this, DNA has been extended with other similar monomers, and DNA has been used as a general purpose information storage medium for digital codes, apparently even including for movie files.

The point of this is, for record, to expose and correct how hyperskeptical objectors have inappropriately tried to deny that D/RNA acts as a string based digital information storage unit, that it holds algorithmic code used in protein synthesis, and latterly that tRNA acts in this process in the role of a position-arm nanotech robot device with a CCA tool tip, CCA being a universal joint that attaches to the COOH end of an AA.

Speaking of which, AA structure, with side branches [R] and chaining links, i.e. NH2-alpha Carbon + R – COOH:

F/N, May 14, it is worth the while to add, regarding layer cake communication architectures and protocols:

Where, underlying this is the Shannon model, here bent into a U to show how layers fit in, this also ties to Yockey:

A communication system

We may then extend to Gitt’s broader framework:

Gitt’s Layer-cake communications model

As an illustration, the ISO model:

OSI Network “layer-cake” model

Similarly, here is a layer cake view of a computer (network ports can be added):

These layers, of course, are abstract, only the physical layer is hardware we can see directly. Even for that, we cannot easily see all the design details for compatibility and function.

These may be compared to Yockey, to draw out the framework of codes, protocols and communication requisites.

U/D May 21, on illustrating one aspect of cosmological fine tuning:

Barnes: “What if we tweaked just two of the fundamental constants? This figure shows what the universe would look like if the strength of the strong nuclear force (which holds atoms together) and the value of the fine-structure constant (which represents the strength of the electromagnetic force between elementary particles) were higher or lower than they are in this universe. The small, white sliver represents where life can use all the complexity of chemistry and the energy of stars. Within that region, the small “x” marks the spot where those constants are set in our own universe.” (HT: New Atlantis)
Comments
WJM & SA, before getting a move on a day that deals with grave-equivalent inscriptions etc, I pause. That the physical cosmos we inhabit had a beginning is a logical necessity given its CTTHD nature and the infeasible supertask of traversing the transfinite in finite stage steps . . . years for convenience. I prefer the term suggested, wider universe or the like or will accept proposed multiverse, recognising a common view but its lack of actual observation. As for W0, I don't care whether it has succession or quasi space, it is not a CTThD, as necessary or containing necessary being. And I note conceptual spaces -- the overwhelming majority of PW's -- do not have physical extension. Design is a matter of mind quasi space, not a physical space. More can be said but there is just an endless spinning out of tangential issues. For today, frankly, I have to face implications of being the literal last man standing of my birth family. Literal, keeper of the crypts, including nigh on 200 year old ones. KFkairosfocus
April 19, 2022
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SA, the issue is, necessary being reality root, as we cannot get cosmos from non being, circular retrocausation is that in another form, and transfinite actual causal temporal thermodynamic past is an infeasible supertask. It is a struggle to wrap one’s head around that. KF
The problem with the current conceptualization of "time," in that it is part of an external, existential framework, is that it is innately, inescapably incoherent. There are two possible conceptual models of "time" under that paradigm; either (1) time began, or (2) an infinite regress of time. Both models are logical absurdities. Whatever time is, it cannot be an aspect of any external, existential framework for being. This calls into question the very idea of contingent beings, things or events, and the current model of causation itself.William J Murray
April 19, 2022
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SA said:
The universe began to exist.
That's a theory, not a fact.
Since the universe is all physical reality, time, space and energy
This depends on what one means by "universe" and "all physical reality, time, space and energy."
– the cause cannot be any of those things.
Part of the problem here is that these arguments about "first" or "ultimate" cause are made from ontological premises that may or may not be true; and the logic, as I've outlined in this thread, demonstrates that such ontological premises cannot be true or else they logically end in one of two absurdities. When that is the case, you have one of two options: find a different premise, or hold onto your current one out of ideological commitment.William J Murray
April 19, 2022
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I agree with Jerry at 100. JHolo rammed the rocks. Turn that boat around, son. ...after you get a new boat. Andrewasauber
April 19, 2022
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Q, assume, for argument, that there are as yet undiscovered super laws of the underlying quasi physical world, say, the quantum foam. That is, fluctuations are constrained to be in the close ballpark, in parameter space, of where our observed cosmos is, and thus have support for C-Chem, aqueous medium, cell based life written into them. All that would do is shift fine tuning up one level. The underlying point is, this is a scientific-mathematical exercise based on what we observe. We observe an array of so far well confirmed laws, never mind the current storm in a teacup over the standard model and a fifth force. We can see that Mathematics is the study of the logic of structure and quantity, i.e. a technical quantitative extension of logic of being, which invites possible world analysis. Vary the parameters in the configuration space, boom, we are at a locally sharply fine tuned operating point. It matters not, that other zones might be carpeted with Lewis' flies, we have a patch with just the one fly and splat, it's swatted by a bullet. The reasonable thing is to infer precise aiming, then go on to look for a marksman with a first class, tack driver of a rifle set up on a bench rest. The design inference is the first step, the second is a worldviews level forensics exercise. KFkairosfocus
April 19, 2022
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Regarding the argument from fine tuning, I agree that it's utterly remarkable, but I'd be remiss in not to add that we're not sure whether they're each independent rather than emergent (right now we assume they're independent). However, even if they reduce down to one constant, the fine tuning is impossibly precise. -QQuerius
April 18, 2022
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Kairosfocus @46,
Q, a quantum foam world extends space time and thermodynamics contexts beyond the singularity. So it is a CTThD, thus subject to the issue of traversing transfinite actual time in cumulative, finite stage steps being an infeasible supertask on logic of being applied to structure and quantity, i.e. I just conceptually defined Mathematics and identified its logic of being roots. Time, at cosmological level becomes a thermodynamic, energy flow and dissipation/dispersal process.
But a CTThD (causal-temporal-thermodynamic domain) is not starting with nothing . . . non-existence. Despite Laurence Krauss’ ridiculous objectification of “nothing,” he still starts with gravity, a field, or a word salad. Nothing means complete non-existence. Even gravity is something. If, according to Einstein, gravity is a deformation of space-time, then one has conjure space-time for gravity to actually exist. With a universe the “size of a point” (neither math nor physics do very well with points) (how do you define size in volume or length without some type of ruler or time without something periodic???), then gravity either stretches (or is the result of deformed) space-time existing solely in a 4th linear dimension. Again, any field, even one that accommodates “a thermodynamic energy flow and dissipation/dispersal process,” is something, not nothing. Not to mention mass-energy or probability requiring time to exist. One escape hatch is to conjure an independent time clock ex nihilo before the Big Bang and then it’s turtles all the way up and elephants all the way down again. -QQuerius
April 18, 2022
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Jerry, turning to the observed cosmos, it is obvious that starting with Hoyle et al, more and more signs have emerged over the past seventy years. All we need to do is to realise that even the precise mass at the singularity was fine tuned. The parameters, quantities and laws are fine tuned and as Leslie noted often for separate reasons. The denial we see is a sign that the force of the case cannot be conceded, for ideological reasons. KFkairosfocus
April 18, 2022
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JH, we cannot but note that apart from doubling down on saying "weak inference," you have been unable to provide a single actually observed case where blind chance and/or mechanical necessity acting without intelligently directed configuration, have caused FSCO/I. There are trillions of observed cases by design. So, we are entitled to a confession by projection reading. You have indulged a fallacy of confident manner and have spoken with disregard to truth, because of the weakness of your hoped for case. You also are doubtless well aware of the revolutionary import of signs of intelligently directed configuration in the world of life, starting with coded algorithms in the cell. Therefore, we have a right to infer that due to ideological commitment -- likely to evolutionary materialistic scientism and/or one of its fellow travellers -- you refuse to acknowledge the force of the case on the merits. KFkairosfocus
April 18, 2022
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The fine-tuning argument is a non-starter. Can any of the physical constants be modified? If they can’t, there is no tuning involved, there is just physical constants
You got to be kidding. You just made the most irrefutable argument for ID I have ever seen. Thank you.jerry
April 18, 2022
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Jerry: The inference from fine tuning is pretty much irrefutable.
I was discussing life, not the universe. But if you want to talk about fine-tuning, I am OK with that. The fine-tuning argument is a non-starter. Can any of the physical constants be modified? If they can’t, there is no tuning involved, there is just physical constants.JHolo
April 18, 2022
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the refusal to go beyond the initial weak inference
Again you repeat nonsense. The inference from fine tuning is pretty much irrefutable.jerry
April 18, 2022
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KF: Attempts to undermine the basic inference manifestly fail,
It is the refusal to go beyond the initial weak inference that is undermining ID.JHolo
April 18, 2022
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I find it interesting how little has responded substantially to the framing of ID: Design Inference --> Design Theory With ID movement as a broader phenomenon. Attempts to undermine the basic inference manifestly fail, KFkairosfocus
April 18, 2022
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CD @47
That’s the problem with ID–99% of the time ID merely states the obvious, that something was designed.
This is a good comment. You're accepting ID's proposals that there is, indeed, scientific evidence of intelligent design in nature. You're saying it is obvious. So, what do you propose as the cause of that intelligent design? We know it is not a material cause - ID has eliminated that.Silver Asiatic
April 18, 2022
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SA, the issue is, necessary being reality root, as we cannot get cosmos from non being, circular retrocausation is that in another form, and transfinite actual causal temporal thermodynamic past is an infeasible supertask. It is a struggle to wrap one's head around that. KFkairosfocus
April 18, 2022
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JH
But there is no evidence that there has ever been a “time” when nothing existed. How do we know that the physical constants haven’t always existed? The absence of light doesn’t affect the speed of light.
As you agreed, everything that begins to exist must have a cause. The universe began to exist. Now you have to propose some agent of that cause. Since the universe is all physical reality, time, space and energy - the cause cannot be any of those things. As for the physical constants existing without physical matter, for example, ok but those constants are oriented towards physical effects. If there is no physical universe, time or space - then where did the constants come from, why are they existing, they can't act on anything so where are they? The speed of light is aligned with the existence of light. You could say "the speed of light exists without light existing" although the speed of light is factored by the physical universe. But you're still trying to explain where light and the physical universe came from. Proposing that the physical constants are eternal does not provide a cause for the universe itself. Those constants do not possess the power to cause a physical universe to begin to exist.Silver Asiatic
April 18, 2022
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ES @81 That is excellent. Thank you for translating. The examples and explanation make it very clear. Evolution only offers nothing predictive since its postulates move only to one consequent each. There is never a true comparison of hypotheses.Silver Asiatic
April 18, 2022
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CD
From your perspective, ID, unlike forensics, is content to simply establish a crime, i.e., demonstrate design over natural causes. That is ID’s raison d’etre, so to speak.
I wrote about this and you either skipped it or didn't understand. A forensics team is not merely one functional group. There's a team of specialists on fingerprints, for example. Another can analyze fibers. Another can analyze DNA. You want the fiber analysts to do the fingerprints and facial profiling also. Then you're saying that the fiber analytics is useless because they're not doing fingerprinting. ID has a specific role. It's not a religion. It doesn't answer all the questions in the universe. It's a science project that looks at observed evidence. There are several fields of science. The archeologist does not study the mating rituals of fish. The oceanographer does not study mountain terrains. You're wanting ID do take on every task, including philosophical and religious projects.
And then you list a slate of candidates as ancient and predictable as the sun rising in the east.
Please feel free to list whatever candidates you want. It's up to you, not ID. Go ahead.
My second point in the post is that we really haven’t done anything different or unique that would warrant ID being dubbed a scientific methodology because (1) we don’t need ID theory to see that something was or is designed
We don't need forensics to see if something was purposeful or accidental?
ID theory apparently doesn’t help us select the best candidate for a designer because ultimately it is simply “take your pick.”
The fiber analysis team doesn't tell us if the fingerprints match. So, we should just get rid of fiber analytics? No. They're just saying "you guys have to decide on whether fingerprints match, it's not our area of focus" -- so therefore they're useless? Sounds like you want the old idea of a "scientist" who is a guy who administers medicine, tells you where the stars are moving in the sky and explains which direction birds will fly for the winter. But we have specializations now. Scientists don't do every possible thing.
Take your pick?
You want ID to tell you about God and what religion you should believe in? It can't do that. it's a science project analyzing for design.
Grab someone off the street and tailor presentation of your forensic analysis to convict this poor soul to suit your whim?
It's up to you, CD. You want ID to do your religious analysis for you. But it can't and won't. You have to start with candidates. You didn't like mine, so what are yours? You're sympathetic to deism, so maybe start there? ID doesn't know what to tell you there, and I don't know what you're complaining about. ID has scientific evidence of intelligent design, which you admit is obvious. Now, what is your next step?
Perhaps KF @ 52 is indeed correct that your forensic team becomes “little more than footsoldiers of injustice.”
Again, there are specializations. Empirical science cannot evaluate immaterial entities.
All it accomplishes is to put ID on par with other pseudo-sciences that either confirm the obvious
You've said it before and have not walked it back. 99% of what ID says is "obvious". I don't think you realize what you just said there. Do you know what percentage of biologists, for example, accept the "obvious" findings of ID?Silver Asiatic
April 18, 2022
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KF Yes, but the problem is that even if the fossil record showed graduality, which it does not, it does not provide evidence of the mechanism behind the observed changes.EugeneS
April 18, 2022
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CD, you are evading the manifest point that it is a momentous result to provide warrant for inferring intelligently directed configuration as key causal factor; based on observable, reliable sign. A point you cannot but know, so the issue becomes why the evasion, apart from resistance to duties to truth, right reason and warrant. While I am at it, what is your explanation for linguistic code and stepwise goal directed processes in the cell backed by evident deep technical facility with polymers? ________. Beyond a certain point, you too will invite a confession by projection analysis. KFkairosfocus
April 18, 2022
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JH, where was it ever established that incredulity rooted in dismissive hyperskepticism holds default, rather than exposes itself as self-referentially incoherent and self serving? BTW the evidence -- much discussed in your presence, just conveniently side stepped -- is that our causal-temporal, thermodynamic domain and its antecedents must be finite in the past leading to a beginning. KF PS, On fine tuning, the interested person may go here:
"One striking thing about the fine tuning is that a force strength or a particle mass often appears to require accurate tuning for several reasons at once. Look at electromagnetism. Electromagnetism seems to require tuning for there to be any clear-cut distinction between matter and radiation; for stars to burn neither too fast nor too slowly for life’s requirements; for protons to be stable; for complex chemistry to be possible; for chemical changes not to be extremely sluggish; and for carbon synthesis inside stars (carbon being quite probably crucial to life). Universes all obeying the same fundamental laws could still differ in the strengths of their physical forces, as was explained earlier, and random variations in electromagnetism from universe to universe might then ensure that it took on any particular strength sooner or later. Yet how could they possibly account for the fact that the same one strength satisfied many potentially conflicting requirements, each of them a requirement for impressively accurate tuning?" [Our Place in the Cosmos, The Royal Institute of Philosophy, 1998 (courtesy Wayback Machine) Emphases added.] AND: ". . . the need for such explanations does not depend on any estimate of how many universes would be observer-permitting, out of the entire field of possible universes. Claiming that our universe is ‘fine tuned for observers’, we base our claim on how life’s evolution would apparently have been rendered utterly impossible by comparatively minor alterations in physical force strengths, elementary particle masses and so forth. There is no need for us to ask whether very great alterations in these affairs would have rendered it fully possible once more, let alone whether physical worlds conforming to very different laws could have been observer-permitting without being in any way fine tuned. Here it can be useful to think of a fly on a wall, surrounded by an empty region. A bullet hits the fly Two explanations suggest themselves. Perhaps many bullets are hitting the wall or perhaps a marksman fired the bullet. There is no need to ask whether distant areas of the wall, or other quite different walls, are covered with flies so that more or less any bullet striking there would have hit one. The important point is that the local area contains just the one fly." [Emphasis his.]
Then, here, for starters:
In physics, particularly in statistical mechanics, we base many of our calculations on the assumption of metric transitivity, which asserts that a system’s trajectory will eventually [--> given "enough time and search resources"] explore the entirety of its state space – thus everything that is phys-ically possible will eventually happen. It should then be trivially true that one could choose an arbitrary “final state” (e.g., a living organism) and “explain” it by evolving the system backwards in time choosing an appropriate state at some ’start’ time t_0 (fine-tuning the initial state). In the case of a chaotic system the initial state must be specified to arbitrarily high precision. But this account amounts to no more than saying that the world is as it is because it was as it was, and our current narrative therefore scarcely constitutes an explanation in the true scientific sense. We are left in a bit of a conundrum with respect to the problem of specifying the initial conditions necessary to explain our world. A key point is that if we require specialness in our initial state (such that we observe the current state of the world and not any other state) metric transitivity cannot hold true, as it blurs any dependency on initial conditions – that is, it makes little sense for us to single out any particular state as special by calling it the ’initial’ state. If we instead relax the assumption of metric transitivity (which seems more realistic for many real world physical systems – including life), then our phase space will consist of isolated pocket regions and it is not necessarily possible to get to any other physically possible state (see e.g. Fig. 1 for a cellular automata example).
[--> or, there may not be "enough" time and/or resources for the relevant exploration, i.e. we see the 500 - 1,000 bit complexity threshold at work vs 10^57 - 10^80 atoms with fast rxn rates at about 10^-13 to 10^-15 s leading to inability to explore more than a vanishingly small fraction on the gamut of Sol system or observed cosmos . . . the only actually, credibly observed cosmos]
Thus the initial state must be tuned to be in the region of phase space in which we find ourselves [--> notice, fine tuning], and there are regions of the configuration space our physical universe would be excluded from accessing, even if those states may be equally consistent and permissible under the microscopic laws of physics (starting from a different initial state). Thus according to the standard picture, we require special initial conditions to explain the complexity of the world, but also have a sense that we should not be on a particularly special trajectory to get here (or anywhere else) as it would be a sign of fine–tuning of the initial conditions. [ --> notice, the "loading"] Stated most simply, a potential problem with the way we currently formulate physics is that you can’t necessarily get everywhere from anywhere (see Walker [31] for discussion). ["The “Hard Problem” of Life," June 23, 2016, a discussion by Sara Imari Walker and Paul C.W. Davies at Arxiv.]
more on the anthropic principle from Lewis and Barnes https://uncommondescent.com/intelligent-design/hitchhikers-guide-authors-puddle-argument-against-fine-tuning-and-a-response/#comment-729507kairosfocus
April 18, 2022
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SA @ 64 Couple points. I did not state that the first question in a forensic investigation asks is "who the murderer is?" What I actually said was:
But, of course, the whole point of forensics is not to simply establish a crime but to identify the perpetrator. (emphasis added)
From your perspective, ID, unlike forensics, is content to simply establish a crime, i.e., demonstrate design over natural causes. That is ID's raison d'etre, so to speak. Which leads to my second point, that the ultimate job of forensics is to identify the perpetrator if a crime is established. As you put it:
ID stops at intelligent design. If that’s “obvious” as you point out, then we need candidates for the designer.
And then you list a slate of candidates as ancient and predictable as the sun rising in the east. My second point in the post is that we really haven't done anything different or unique that would warrant ID being dubbed a scientific methodology because (1) we don't need ID theory to see that something was or is designed and (2) ID theory apparently doesn't help us select the best candidate for a designer because ultimately it is simply "take your pick." Take your pick? Grab someone off the street and tailor presentation of your forensic analysis to convict this poor soul to suit your whim? Perhaps KF @ 52 is indeed correct that your forensic team becomes "little more than footsoldiers of injustice." So, ID really has not advanced the game beyond Plato and Aristotle. All it accomplishes is to put ID on par with other pseudo-sciences that either confirm the obvious or advocate a philosophical position and in the process dress themselves up in impenetrable jargon designed (LOL) to create a patina of technological sophistication for the gullible. My two favorite examples are economics, the dark science, and reparative therapy....chuckdarwin
April 18, 2022
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I have never found the fine-tuning argument to be very compelling. Fine-tuning requires that the the physical constants can be “tuned”. In short, that they can be changed. But we have no evidence that this is possible. It has often been said here that everything that begins must have a cause. And I don’t disagree with that. But there is no evidence that there has ever been a “time” when nothing existed. How do we know that the physical constants haven’t always existed? The absence of light doesn’t affect the speed of light.JHolo
April 18, 2022
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F/N: Pondering the singularity and recoiling in horror from fine tuning:
extrapolating beyond the limits of your measurable evidence is a dangerous, albeit tempting, game to play. After all, if we can trace the hot Big Bang back some 13.8 billion years, all the way to when the universe was less than 1 second old, what’s the harm in going all the way back just one additional second: to the singularity predicted to exist when the universe was 0 seconds old? The answer, surprisingly, is that there’s a tremendous amount of harm — if you’re like me in considering “making unfounded, incorrect assumptions about reality” to be harmful. The reason this is problematic is because beginning at a singularity — at arbitrarily high temperatures, arbitrarily high densities, and arbitrarily small volumes — will have consequences for our universe that aren’t necessarily supported by observations. For example, if the universe began from a singularity, then it must have sprung into existence with exactly the right balance of “stuff” in it — matter and energy combined — to precisely balance the expansion rate. If there were just a tiny bit more matter, the initially expanding universe would have already recollapsed by now. And if there were a tiny bit less, things would have expanded so quickly that the universe would be much larger than it is today. And yet, instead, what we’re observing is that the universe’s initial expansion rate and the total amount of matter and energy within it balance as perfectly as we can measure. Why? If the Big Bang began from a singularity, we have no explanation; we simply have to assert “the universe was born this way,” or, as physicists ignorant of Lady Gaga call it, “initial conditions.” . . .
We can go on:
The big bang is an event that we do not understand. It is thought to have happened about 13.75 billion years ago. What occurred, as we understand it, is mind blowing. The entire universe as we know it today seemed to have come out of nowhere and very quickly. This is currently described by the theory of inflation, which estimates that within 1*10^-36 and 1*10^-32 seconds [counted from 0 of course and thermodynamically controlled of course] the universe expanded by a factor of 10^78 in volume. Where did all this energy come from? One way to account for this energy is offered by the cyclic universe theory that basically says that prior to the big bang, there was another universe that contracted down in a “big crunch,” which then gave rise to the big bang. [--> entropy issues, no more than 100 cycles, ever bigger expansions] This process could have occurred over and over, where our universe is just one universe in the process. The cyclic universe theory has been studied by Gott and Lin (1998), Steinhard and Turok in many papers using a string theory formulation, and by many others. In the treatment of the cyclic universe theories, it is an open problem to understand how one universe could smoothly be continued into another, since the differential equations that describe the inflation become undefined (singular) at the big bang itself . . .
Notice, how speculative and philosophical things get as t --> 0. Food for thought, KFkairosfocus
April 18, 2022
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WJM, I am starting where we are and am exerting logic of being, through structure and quantity leading to World 0, a root. Next, you speak of uncaused cause and potentiality: the latter is better termed capability or power or ability, the former is needlessly negative and vague when necessary being is on the table. Note too, the classic four causes, capability is a cause, contrary to the tendency to only perceive physically actuating causes: non being having no capability cannot source a world. Where, it is relevant to note that we often pose perceived but not actual contradictions due to incomplete or inadequate concepts. For example, London, New York and Tokyo are thousands of miles apart yet a single point is due north of all. I invited you to ponder the north pole of reality involving all possible and actual worlds as a first step to pondering mysteries of eternity. Designs of material entities are effected in a physical space, but are conceived in a virtual one, mindspace -- and any plane mirror divides our universe effecting behind it a virtual half universe with points that can be physically plotted . . . did you do the pins and images exercise in school physics? Physical sight is in a physical space at least insofar as optics and neurological processing are concerned, seeing in the mind is in mindspace. There are those who can transcend from one sense to another e.g. hearing colours etc. There may be in W0 analogues of sequence and location but they are not thermodynamically bound. There is much that we don't know starting with a cosmos 90+ percent invisible to us. It would be advisable to recognise that black swans are possible. God as inter alia infinite mind is transformative. KF PS, Riemann Sphere, Wiki:
In mathematics, the Riemann sphere, named after Bernhard Riemann,[1] is a model of the extended complex plane: the complex plane plus one point at infinity. This extended plane represents the extended complex numbers, that is, the complex numbers plus a value ? for infinity. With the Riemann model, the point "?" is near to very large numbers, just as the point "0" is near to very small numbers. The extended complex numbers are useful in complex analysis because they allow for division by zero in some circumstances, in a way that makes expressions such as 1 /0 = ? well-behaved. For example, any rational function on the complex plane can be extended to a holomorphic function on the Riemann sphere, with the poles of the rational function mapping to infinity. More generally, any meromorphic function can be thought of as a holomorphic function whose codomain is the Riemann sphere. In geometry, the Riemann sphere is the prototypical example of a Riemann surface, and is one of the simplest complex manifolds. In projective geometry, the sphere can be thought of as the complex projective line P1(C), the projective space of all complex lines in C2. As with any compact Riemann surface, the sphere may also be viewed as a projective algebraic curve, making it a fundamental example in algebraic geometry. It also finds utility in other disciplines that depend on analysis and geometry, such as the Bloch sphere of quantum mechanics and in other branches of physics. The extended complex plane is also called the closed complex plane.
kairosfocus
April 18, 2022
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Dr Selensky, We could augment with things like, evolution takes long, is necessarily incremental and gradual leading to a branching tree pattern; and some life forms get fossilised in a more or less random selection statistically. So, we should expect fossil sampling of the history of life to show this. Of course the trade secret of paleontology is we don't (start with Cambrian revolution); hence the missing links concept, protected by auxiliary hyps that lock out alternatives such as design. Which is of course where observing coded algorithms as key to the cell's architecture blows the scheme up from the root. KFkairosfocus
April 18, 2022
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Dr Selensky, yes, a whole theory of technological, transformative evolution . . . by design. TRIZ dot org. Where, our world is so orderly that there are intelligible principles of design. They note:
As can be learned from his biography, Genrick Altshuller analyzed thousands of worldwide patents from the leading engineering fields. He then analyzed solutions that were, in his judgment, most effective. This work provided the first understanding of the trends, or patterns, of evolution for technical systems. It also laid the foundation for the development of an analytical approach to solving inventive problems, later becoming the foundation for TRIZ, his theory of inventive problem solving, with its axiom: The evolution of all technical systems is governed by objective laws. [--> we can hear the cries already!] These laws reveal that, during the evolution of a technical system, improvement of any part of that system having already reached its pinnacle of functional performance will lead to conflict with another part. This conflict will lead to the eventual improvement of the less evolved part. This continuing, self-sustaining process pushes the system ever closer to its ideal state.
[--> Thus, well structured win-win solutions are best but may be challenging, compromises that dissatisfy everyone are unsustainable -- hence, why we get niches. A Swiss Army Knife or Leatherman multitool will sacrifice tool performance to gain compact but adequate performance for moderate loads . . . to get top performance on a specific task go for specialist tools, look in any good technician's or artisan's tool kit, but note the weight penalty]
Understanding this evolutionary process allows us to forecast future trends in the development of a technical system.
Who were the investment house with the ad series, "wisdom is everywhere"? They have a point, yes even a tool box can be a source for relevant observations. Wiki notes:
The research has produced three primary findings: 1: Problems and solutions are repeated across industries and sciences 2: Patterns of technical evolution are also repeated across industries and sciences The innovations used scientific effects outside the field in which they were developed TRIZ practitioners apply all these findings in order to create and to improve products, services, and systems.
Key ideas:
Ideal final result (IFR) - the ultimate idealistic solution of a problem when the desired result is achieved by itself.[15] Note that the Ideal Final Result is also an ARIZ term for the formulation of the inventive problem in the form of a Technical Contradiction (IFR-1) and a Physical Contradiction (IFR-2); Administrative contradiction - contradiction between the needs and abilities; Technical contradiction - an inverse dependence between parameters/characteristics of a machine or technology; Physical contradiction - opposite/contradictory physical requirements to an object; Separation principle - a method of resolving physical contradictions by separating contradictory requirements; Vepol or Su-field - a minimal technical system consisting of two material objects (substances) and a "field". "Field" is the source of energy whereas one of the substances is "transmission" and the other one is the "tool"; Fepol or Ferfiel - a sort of Vepol (Su-field) where "substances" are ferromagnetic objects; Level of invention; Standard solution - a standard inventive solution of a higher level; Laws of technical systems evolution; Algorithm of inventive problems solving (ARIZ), which combines various specialized methods of TRIZ into one universal tool; Talented Thinking or Thinking in Time and Scale; Effect : Scientific knowledge to solve problem listed by not alphabetical order but functional order
KF PS, nice summary https://web.archive.org/web/20160309225551/https://www.triz.co.uk/files/trizzwhizz.pdfkairosfocus
April 18, 2022
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SA # 68 Yes, I think the argument is obvious, when you think of it, but I can refer to Richard Feynman, who articulated it, if I remember right. I will take an example from this very good note: https://livelogic.livejournal.com/3391.html Unfortunately, it is in Russian and needs to be translated. Here is what it is about. E.g. we need to explain the fact that your slipper is missing. We want to propose a scientific theory involving aliens, because aliens are known as kidnappers. To build it, we construct two items: a postulate and a hypothesis. Postulate 1: "X is stolen by aliens therefore X is missing". Hypothesis 1: "The slipper is stolen by aliens". Consequent 1: "The slipper is missing". You can check the consequent empirically, which was our purpose :) Is it a good theory? Well, not sure. Because we had to explain one item (expressed as the consequent). But now we have introduced two more. This is as much as we can do really given what we know about aliens. Now, can we propose a competitor theory? Let's have a look at what we know about dogs. In fact, we know a lot more about dogs than about aliens. Postulate 1: "X is stolen by the dog therefore X is missing" Postulate 2: "X is stolen therefore can be found behind the wardrobe" Postulate 3: "X is stolen therefore has saliva on it" Hypothesis 1: "The slipper is stolen by the dog" Consequent 1: "The slipper is missing" Consequent 2: "The slipper can be found behind the wardrobe" Consequent 3: "The slipper has saliva on it". Now we have 3 consequents, two of which appear dependent: "The slipper is missing" and "The slipper is behind the wardrobe". Well, at least we now have 2 independent consequents. However, the postulates have one corresponding consequent each. Can we improve the situation? Yes. We can introduce further consequents and hypotheses, for example: Hypothesis 2: "A sock is stolen by the dog". Consequent 4: "The sock is missing". Consequent 5: "The sock can be found behind the wardrobe". Consequent 6: "The sock has saliva on it". Our postulates now have more than one consequent each. Our theory is beginning to resemble a scientific theory. Now, let's take a look at the situation with evolution. All explanations involving evolution, are akin to our aliens based theory: explananda are multiplied at a higher rate than the explanations our 'theory' provides. Let's have an example and say we want to explain the existence of metazoa. Postulate 1: "Metazoa is a result of evolution". Hypothesis 1: "Life on Earth is a result of evolution". Consequent 1: "Life on Earth has metazoa". The structure is exactly the same as in the aliens theory: to explain one thing we use two items. Can we help by involving more observables? Let's see if we can incorporate the diversity of life. Postulate 1: "Metazoa is a result of evolution" Postulate 2: "The diversity of life is a result of evolution" Hypothesis 1: "Life on Earth is a result of evolution". Consequent 1: "Life on Earth has metazoa". Consequent 2: "Life on Earth has diversity". Now we have two postulates leading to one consequent each. To explain two observations we introduce three things, and we have no predictions. These flaws of evolution as a theory were pointed out by Karl Popper. Later on, the author goes on to say, Popper renounced his own views on this, but it is a different story.EugeneS
April 18, 2022
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KF Thank you so much. Yes, I am aware of TRIZ, - teoria reshenia izobretatelskih zadach (the theory of inventive problem solving). In fact, I know personally people working in TRIZ at the University of Bath, Nicholai and Olga Bogatyrev )) Yes, it is highly relevant to ID.EugeneS
April 18, 2022
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