Uncommon Descent Serving The Intelligent Design Community

L&FP, 55: Defining/Clarifying Intelligent Design as Inference, as Theory, as a Movement

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It seems, despite UD’s resources tab, some still struggle to understand ID in the three distinct senses: inference, theory/research programme, movement. Accordingly, let us headline a clarifying note from the current thread on people who doubt, for the record:

[KF, 269:] >>. . . first we must mark out a matter of inductive reasoning and epistemology. Observed tested, reliable signs such as FSCO/I [= functionally specific, complex organisation and/or associated information, “fun-skee”] beyond 500 – 1,000 bits point to design as cause for cases we have not observed. This is the design INFERENCE.

A classic example of FSCO/I, the organisation of a fishing reel
A von Neumann, kinematic Self Replicator, illustrating how an entity with
self-replication reflects considerable additional FSCO/I, where
the living cell embeds such a vNSR
The metabolic network of a cell exhibits FSCO/I in a process-flow, molecular nanotech self replicating system
Petroleum refinery block diagram illustrating FSCO/I in a process-flow system
The design inference reduced to a flowchart, the per aspect explanatory filter

Note, inference, not movement, not theory.

Following the UD Weak Argument Correctives under the Resources tab, we can identify ID Theory as a [small] research programme that explores whether there are such observable, testable, reliable signs, whether they appear in the world of life and in the cosmos, whether we may responsibly — notice, how duties of reason pop up naturally — use them to infer that cell based life, body plans, the cosmos etc are credibly the result of intelligently directed configuration . . . and that’s a definition of design. This, in a context where the proposed “scientific” alternative, blind chance and/or mechanical necessity has not been observed to actually produce things exhibiting FSCO/I etc.

Logically, this is an application of inductive reasoning, modern sense, abduction.

Which is common in science and is commonly held to ground scientific, weak philosophical sense, knowledge. Weak, it is open ended and can be defeated by further analysis and evidence, warranted, credibly true [and so reliable] belief.

Going beyond, where we have further information, evidence and argument we may explore whodunit, howtweredun, etc.

Such is after all commonplace in technical forensics, medical research, archaeology, engineering [esp. reverse engineering], code cracking etc. I guess, these can be taken as design-oriented sciences. Going back to 4th form I remember doing natural science explorations of springs. Manufactured entities. So are lenses, mirrors, glass blocks, radio systems, lasers etc.

Beyond the theory, there is a movement, comprising supporters and friendly critics as well as practitioners consciously researching design theory or extending thinking on it and applying same to society or civilisation, including history of ideas.

The first major design inference on record in our civilisation is by Plato, in The Laws, Bk X:

Ath [in The Laws, Bk X 2,360 ya]. . . .[The avant garde philosophers and poets, c. 360 BC] say that fire and water, and earth and air [i.e the classical “material” elements of the cosmos — the natural order], all exist by nature and chance, and none of them by art . . . [such that] all that is in the heaven, as well as animals and all plants, and all the seasons come from these elements, not by the action of mind, as they say, or of any God, or from art, but as I was saying, by nature and chance only [ –> that is, evolutionary materialism is ancient and would trace all things to blind chance and mechanical necessity, contrasted to “the action of mind” i.e. intelligently directed configuration] . . . .

[[T]hese people would say that the Gods exist not by nature, but by art, and by the laws of states, which are different in different places, according to the agreement of those who make them . . . .

Then, by Heaven, we have discovered the source of this vain opinion of all those physical investigators . . . . they affirm that which is the first cause of the generation and destruction of all things, to be not first, but last, and that which is last to be first, and hence they have fallen into error about the true nature of the Gods.

Cle. Still I do not understand you.

Ath. Nearly all of them, my friends, seem to be ignorant of the nature and power of the soul [[ = psuche], especially in what relates to her origin: they do not know that she is among the first of things, and before all bodies, and is the chief author of their changes and transpositions. And if this is true, and if the soul is older than the body, must not the things which are of the soul’s kindred be of necessity prior to those which appertain to the body?

Cle. Certainly.

Ath. Then thought and attention and mind and art and law will be prior to that which is hard and soft and heavy and light; and the great and primitive works and actions will be works of art; they will be the first, and after them will come nature and works of nature, which however is a wrong term for men to apply to them; these will follow, and will be under the government of art and mind.

Cle. But why is the word “nature” wrong?

Ath. Because those who use the term mean to say that nature is the first creative power; but if the soul turn out to be the primeval element, and not fire or air, then in the truest sense and beyond other things the soul may be said to exist by nature; and this would be true if you proved that the soul is older than the body, but not otherwise.

[[ . . . .]

Ath. . . . when one thing changes another, and that another, of such will there be any primary changing element? How can a thing which is moved by another ever be the beginning of change? Impossible. But when the self-moved changes other, and that again other, and thus thousands upon tens of thousands of bodies are set in motion, must not the beginning of all this motion be the change of the self-moving principle? . . . . self-motion being the origin of all motions, and the first which arises among things at rest as well as among things in motion, is the eldest and mightiest principle of change, and that which is changed by another and yet moves other is second. [–> notice, the self-moved, initiating, reflexively acting causal agent, which defines freedom as essential to our nature, and this is root of discussion on agents as first causes.]

[[ . . . .]

Ath. If we were to see this power existing in any earthy, watery, or fiery substance, simple or compound-how should we describe it?

Cle. You mean to ask whether we should call such a self-moving power life?

Ath. I do.

Cle. Certainly we should.

Ath. And when we see soul in anything, must we not do the same-must we not admit that this is life?

[[ . . . . ]

Cle. You mean to say that the essence which is defined as the self-moved is the same with that which has the name soul?

Ath. Yes; and if this is true, do we still maintain that there is anything wanting in the proof that the soul is the first origin and moving power of all that is, or has become, or will be, and their contraries, when she has been clearly shown to be the source of change and motion in all things?

Cle. Certainly not; the soul as being the source of motion, has been most satisfactorily shown to be the oldest of all things.

Ath. And is not that motion which is produced in another, by reason of another, but never has any self-moving power at all, being in truth the change of an inanimate body, to be reckoned second, or by any lower number which you may prefer?

Cle. Exactly.

Ath. Then we are right, and speak the most perfect and absolute truth, when we say that the soul is prior to the body, and that the body is second and comes afterwards, and is born to obey the soul, which is the ruler?

[[ . . . . ]

Ath. If, my friend, we say that the whole path and movement of heaven, and of all that is therein, is by nature akin to the movement and revolution and calculation of mind, and proceeds by kindred laws, then, as is plain, we must say that the best soul takes care of the world and guides it along the good path. [[Plato here explicitly sets up an inference to design (by a good soul) from the intelligible order of the cosmos.

Earlier in the same Bk X, he had noted just how old and how philosophically loaded evolutionary materialism and its appeal to chance and/or necessity are, drawing out consequences for law, government and community:

Ath[enian Stranger, in The Laws, Bk X 2,360 ya]. . . .[The avant garde philosophers and poets, c. 360 BC] say that fire and water, and earth and air [i.e the classical “material” elements of the cosmos — the natural order], all exist by nature and chance, and none of them by art . . . [such that] all that is in the heaven, as well as animals and all plants, and all the seasons come from these elements, not by the action of mind, as they say, or of any God, or from art, but as I was saying, by nature and chance only [ –> that is, evolutionary materialism is ancient and would trace all things to blind chance and mechanical necessity; observe, too, the trichotomy: “nature” (here, mechanical, blind necessity), “chance” (similar to a tossed fair die), ART (the action of a mind, i.e. intelligently directed configuration)] . . . .

[Thus, they hold] that the principles of justice have no existence at all in nature, but that mankind are always disputing about them and altering them; and that the alterations which are made by art and by law have no basis in nature, but are of authority for the moment and at the time at which they are made . . .

We see the wider setting and the more specific themes.>>

U/D May 14, to promote from 470 below and onward, a summary of kernel ID theory as a cluster of postulates — based on clips from the UD Resources tab:

ID as a Postulates based Scientific Framework

The theory of intelligent design (ID) holds

[–> key, evidence backed postulate, cf those of Newtonian dynamics and special then general relativity, thermodynamics and statistical thermodynamics, postulational cores can be brief but sweeping in impact]

that

[First, Evidence-backed Programmatic Postulate:] certain features of the universe and of living things are best explained [–> explicit reference to logic of abductive reasoning] by an intelligent cause rather than an undirected process such as natural selection.

ID is thus a scientific disagreement with the core claim of evolutionary theory that the apparent design of living systems is an illusion.

In a broader sense,

[2nd, Operational Postulate:] Intelligent Design is simply the science of design detection — how to recognize patterns arranged by an intelligent cause for a purpose.

Design detection is used in a number of scientific fields, including anthropology, forensic sciences that seek to explain the cause of events such as a death or fire, cryptanalysis and the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI). [–> design oriented sciences. Signal to noise ratio in telecommunications is based on a design inference.]

[3rd, Empirical Warrant/Point of test or potential falsification postulate:] An inference that certain biological information may be the product of an intelligent cause can be tested or evaluated in the same manner as scientists daily test for design in other sciences.

ID is controversial because of the implications of its evidence, rather than the significant weight of its evidence. ID proponents believe science should be conducted objectively, without regard to the implications of its findings. This is particularly necessary in origins science because of its historical (and thus very subjective) nature, and because it is a science that unavoidably impacts religion.

[Evidence Corollary:] Positive evidence of design in living systems consists of the semantic, meaningful or functional nature of biological information, the lack of any known law that can explain the sequence of symbols that carry the “messages,” and statistical and experimental evidence that tends to rule out chance as a plausible explanation. Other evidence challenges the adequacy of natural or material causes to explain both the origin and diversity of life . . . .

Intelligent design [ID] – Dr William A Dembski, a leading design theorist, has defined ID as “the science that studies signs of intelligence.” That is,

[4th, Designs and Signs Postulate:] as we ourselves instantiate [thus exemplify as opposed to “exhaust”], intelligent designers act into the world, and create artifacts. When such agents act, there are certain characteristics that commonly appear, and that – per massive experience — reliably mark such artifacts. It it therefore a reasonable and useful scientific project to study such signs and identify how we may credibly reliably infer from empirical sign to the signified causal factor: purposefully directed contingency or intelligent design. [–> definition of design, note, abductive inference from observed sign to signified cause.]

Among the signs of intelligence of current interest for research are:

[Supplement, on evidence:] [a] FSCI — function-specifying complex information [e.g. blog posts in English text that take in more than 143 ASCII characters, and/or — as was highlighted by Yockey and Wickens by the mid-1980s — as a distinguishing marker of the macromolecules in the heart of cell-based life forms], or more broadly

[b] CSI — complex, independently specified information [e.g. Mt Rushmore vs New Hampshire’s former Old Man of the mountain, or — as was highlighted by Orgel in 1973 — a distinguishing feature of the cell’s information-rich organized aperiodic macromolecules that are neither simply orderly like crystals nor random like chance-polymerized peptide chains], or

[c] IC — multi-part functionality that relies on an irreducible core of mutually co-adapted, interacting components. [e.g. the hardware parts of a PC or more simply of a mousetrap; or – as was highlighted by Behe in the mid 1990’s — the bacterial flagellum and many other cell-based bodily features and functions.], or

[d] “Oracular” active information – in some cases, e.g. many Genetic Algorithms, successful performance of a system traces to built-in information or organisation that guides algorithmicsearch processes and/or performance so that the system significantly outperforms random search. Such guidance may include oracles that, step by step, inform a search process that the iterations are “warmer/ colder” relative to a performance target zone. (A classic example is the Weasel phrase search program.) Also,

[e] Complex, algorithmically active, coded information – the complex information used in systems and processes is symbolically coded in ways that are not preset by underlying physical or chemical forces, but by encoding and decoding dynamically inert but algorithmically active information that guides step by step execution sequences, i.e. algorithms. (For instance, in hard disk drives, the stored information in bits is coded based a conventional, symbolic assignment of the N/S poles, forces and fields involved, and is impressed and used algorithmically. The physics of forces and fields does not determine or control the bit-pattern of the information – or, the drive would be useless. Similarly, in DNA, the polymer chaining chemistry is effectively unrelated to the information stored in the sequence and reading frames of the A/ G/ C/ T side-groups. It is the coded genetic information in the successive three-letter D/RNA codons that is used by the cell’s molecular nano- machines in the step by step creation of proteins. Such DNA sets from observed living organisms starts at 100,000 – 500,000 four-state elements [200 k – 1 M bits], abundantly meriting the description: function- specifying, complex information, or FSCI.)

[(f) evidence of the fine tuned cosmos.] . . . .

Thus, ID can be framed on postulates, and we may draw forth from such that cells using memory structures storing coded algorithms and associated execution machinery are strong evidence of the design of cell based life. With Drexler, we are looking a bit at nanotech issues.>>

Food for thought and for clarification. END

U/D May 8th, to allow another thread to return to its focus:

>>THE FOLLOWING COME FROM THE LEAK CASE THREAD:

F/N May 7: As tangential objections to the design inference have been taken up (in obvious subject switching) I pose p. 5 from Sir Francis Crick’s March 19, 1953 letter to his son:

Crick’s letter

And, here is the protein synthesis process in outline:

Protein Synthesis (HT: Wiki Media)

Together with a summary of the information communication system involved, as outlined by Yockey:

Yockey’s analysis of protein synthesis as a code-based communication process

F/N, May 8: As the tangent continues, it seems a further illustration is advisable:

It seems more is needed, so here is how this fits into protein synthesis and the metabolic network and how we see prong height coding:

In for a penny, in for a pound, here is a video:

Notice, we are actually dealing with a storage register. Say, each shaft with pins is set for five positions, four elevated, one on the ledge. This is directly comparable to GCAT, and as the video shows there are five digits:

| X1 | X2 | X3 | X4 | X5 |

The key is encoded to the correct string of digits that in combination will open the lock, say 13213. The resting fully locked position is of course 00000.>>

U/D May 14: As a side chain appeared in another thread that is more appropriate here, I cross post a footnote added there:

It being now an obvious tactic to sidetrack non technical UD threads into ID debates (even where there is a thread that is live on the topic with relevant information, graphics and video) I will augment basic correction below by adding here a chart showing tRNA as a Drexler style molecular nanotech position-arm device:

We may expand our view of the Ribosome’s action:

The Ribosome, assembling a protein step by step based on the instructions in the mRNA “control tape”

As a comparison, here is punched paper tape used formerly to store digital information:

Punch Tape

We should tabulate”

The Genetic code uses three-letter codons to specify the sequence of AA’s in proteins and specifying start/stop, and using six bits per AA

In Yockey’s communication system framework, we now can see the loading [blue dotted box] and how tRNA is involved in translation, as the AA chain towards protein formation is created, step by step — algorithm — under control of the mRNA chain of three base codons that match successive tRNA anticodons, the matching, of course is by key-lock fitting of G-C or C-G and A-T or T-A, a 4-state, prong height digital code:

Yockey’s analysis of protein synthesis as a code-based communication process

Further to this, DNA has been extended with other similar monomers, and DNA has been used as a general purpose information storage medium for digital codes, apparently even including for movie files.

The point of this is, for record, to expose and correct how hyperskeptical objectors have inappropriately tried to deny that D/RNA acts as a string based digital information storage unit, that it holds algorithmic code used in protein synthesis, and latterly that tRNA acts in this process in the role of a position-arm nanotech robot device with a CCA tool tip, CCA being a universal joint that attaches to the COOH end of an AA.

Speaking of which, AA structure, with side branches [R] and chaining links, i.e. NH2-alpha Carbon + R – COOH:

F/N, May 14, it is worth the while to add, regarding layer cake communication architectures and protocols:

Where, underlying this is the Shannon model, here bent into a U to show how layers fit in, this also ties to Yockey:

A communication system

We may then extend to Gitt’s broader framework:

Gitt’s Layer-cake communications model

As an illustration, the ISO model:

OSI Network “layer-cake” model

Similarly, here is a layer cake view of a computer (network ports can be added):

These layers, of course, are abstract, only the physical layer is hardware we can see directly. Even for that, we cannot easily see all the design details for compatibility and function.

These may be compared to Yockey, to draw out the framework of codes, protocols and communication requisites.

U/D May 21, on illustrating one aspect of cosmological fine tuning:

Barnes: “What if we tweaked just two of the fundamental constants? This figure shows what the universe would look like if the strength of the strong nuclear force (which holds atoms together) and the value of the fine-structure constant (which represents the strength of the electromagnetic force between elementary particles) were higher or lower than they are in this universe. The small, white sliver represents where life can use all the complexity of chemistry and the energy of stars. Within that region, the small “x” marks the spot where those constants are set in our own universe.” (HT: New Atlantis)
Comments
ET: What a load of willfully ignorant gibberish. There isn’t any reproduction without the error detection and correction. Maybe. That is just an assertion. There may have been a very inefficient and error-prone system at first. Again, DNA based life is impossible without the existing error detection and error correction machinery that keep as a viable information carrier. And it has to be there from the start. Well, why not wait and see what the research actually says? You seem determined to call the whole question done and dusted when clearly it isn't. Your hypothesis/idea is refutable, why not wait to see if it is before claiming victory? So, you are ignorant of science. Science demands that the claims being made must not only be testable, but they have to have been tested and confirmed. You don’t have any of that. YOU need positive evidence. No one has to refute a claim that doesn’t have any support. I'm saying that it hasn't been made clear that the genetic system could not have arisen via natural, unguided processes. I'm not saying it did; I'm saying it hasn't been shown that it couldn't. You ARE claiming it couldn't have arisen via natural processes. And those who are looking to refute that claim are doing research and work to see if that claim is true. What is wrong with that? Your claim is being tested. As you suggest. That's how science works so what's the problem?JVL
May 8, 2022
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So, you are ignorant of science. Science demands that the claims being made must not only be testable, but they have to have been tested and confirmed. You don’t have any of that. YOU need positive evidence. No one has to refute a claim that doesn’t have any support.
You don't understand ...JVL reasoning start with materialism must be true therefore (follow secondary reasoning) must be a method of atoms who make a meeting and decide what goals they will have ,then they think about a function that will provide for their goals, then think about how to implement that function by creating code/functional information then writting that code on chemical substances, then...Lieutenant Commander Data
May 8, 2022
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JVL:
Because it’s not yet clear that DNA could not have arisen via unguided and natural processes.
So, you are ignorant of science. Science demands that the claims being made must not only be testable, but they have to have been tested and confirmed. You don't have any of that. YOU need positive evidence. No one has to refute a claim that doesn't have any support.ET
May 8, 2022
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Got that? DNA based life is impossible without existing error detection and error correction machinery. It has to be there from the get-go. You lose. JVL:
I disagree.
Of course you do. You are desperate.
The systems that evolved more stable reproductive techniques would have had an advantage in that they would have generated more offspring that were viable since the parent was already viable.
What a load of willfully ignorant gibberish. There isn't any reproduction without the error detection and correction. Again, DNA based life is impossible without the existing error detection and error correction machinery that keep as a viable information carrier. And it has to be there from the start.ET
May 8, 2022
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Silver Asiatic: I will propose that you know very well it is a contradiction and also that you have not answered it. You have to first admit that it’s a contradiction. Instead, you say it’s “cherry picked”. The dialogue is crystal clear. You’ve done nothing to clarify it. I think I have clarified my thinking, not once but several times. I understand that for you the genetic system is a slam-dunk indication of design. I don't agree with you and I've tried to explain why I disagree with you. Why not just leave it at that? Here you affirm that we could determine the evidence of unknown “intelligent beings”. Eventually. But probably not based on just one detected signal. I'd be very reluctant to jump to that conclusion without a lot of supporting data. You state that we could observe a signal – coded information that was shown to have compressed data. That is evidence that it is clearly not produced by unguided processes. For you, that’s evidence that some unknown intelligent beings produced the signal. Again, if it passed intense amounts of scrutiny and was clearly shown NOT to have originated on Earth. So, in one case, you accept that coded-information from an unknown designer is evidence of intelligence.?In the other case, you reject that coded-information from an unknown designer is not evidence of intelligence. Because it's not yet clear that DNA could not have arisen via unguided and natural processes. There is a lot of ongoing work checking out that possibility. And the members of the semiotic community have not put the kibosh on such work. So, I ask, is there any other evidence of a designer around at the time with the prerequisite abilities? I ask that question because the case for design has not been made based on the current state of research and data. You said that if the signal showed compressed data it was clearly not produced by unguided processes. There’s no “might be designed” here. But now you’ve backed away and are changing your story. So now, apparently, a signal that “clearly could not be produced by unguided processes” actually could have been produced by unguided processes and is not evidence of design? Again, this is contradictory. No because it's not been demonstrated or shown or accepted that genetic could not have arisen via unguided and natural processes. You think that case has been made. I disagree. So I look around for more data that would give support for the existence of a designer. First of all, you don’t have any direct evidence of possible designers for the ET code. But more importantly, as your first inference correctly stated, we don’t need to know anything about possible designers to recognize that the symbol-language could not have been produced by unguided forces. As I have said over and over again: I would want to heavily scrutinise and examine any signal received before coming to the conclusion that it was designed. So far, the only ones that have been determined to have been designed were from us. Now, if we had some other kind of knowledge that there were designers out there somewhere then the probability of picking up on one of their signals becomes more tenable. This contradicts your claim about intelligent beings in other solar systems. I didn't say there were intelligent being in other solar systems! I just think it's a possibility and one that I think is worth looking into. Again, as I said before, you really need to sort this out. If you were caught red-handed in a double-standard and now you want to change it, just make that clear. But it will tell us that you’re running from the evidence that you clearly understood (at one time) and now you don’t like the implications of it. I have taken the time, several times, to clarify and expand upon my initial statements. If you choose not to respect my attempts in good faith to explain myself more fully then I'm not sure if there is any point in continuing the discussion. But, if that is the case, then I would ask you and Upright BiPed to let the matter settle and stop bringing it up. I'm happy to agree to disagree, are you?JVL
May 8, 2022
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ET: Got that? DNA based life is impossible without existing error detection and error correction machinery. It has to be there from the get-go. You lose. I disagree. The systems that evolved more stable reproductive techniques would have had an advantage in that they would have generated more offspring that were viable since the parent was already viable. It doesn't mean there weren't a lot of precursors who had very bad reproductive procedures.JVL
May 8, 2022
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KairosfocuS: After that, all else is moot, save we are owed apology which I do not expect. You want me to apologise for pointing out that some researchers are doing work that suggests that the genetic code was not designed? Am I not just making a factual statement? And is not an implication of that work that the genetic code is not arbitrary or abstract? Further, the concessions and speculative nature of the section on origins as seen in opening words only serve to show that there is no firm knowledge, just research on a paradigm backed by a priori materialism and fellow travellers that arbitrarily locks out design. Sure it's speculative; that's how science progresses! Someone has an idea and then they check it out telling other people what they've found. It's not a a priori commitment to one view or another; it's asking the question: could this structure have arisen sans design? Why not check out that possibility? What is wrong with seeing if that's possible? What harm does it do to see if something is possible? I really do not understand your antipathy regarding this speculative research. Science is about seeing what's possible and what actually works. Shouldn't it check out all the nooks and crannies, checking the edge of our understanding? Shouldn't it question any assumption and put it to the test? Surely that's a good thing? If you were the one to make the call would you pull the funding for such work? If yes, then on what basis?JVL
May 8, 2022
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JVL
See, JVL is disingenuous, he contradicted himself and can’t admit it.
I will propose that you know very well it is a contradiction and also that you have not answered it. You have to first admit that it's a contradiction. Instead, you say it's "cherry picked". The dialogue is crystal clear. You've done nothing to clarify it.
JVL: I would not be surprised at all if we find electromagnetic evidence of intelligent beings in other solar systems
Here you affirm that we could determine the evidence of unknown "intelligent beings".
UB: How would we know if we found “electromagnetic evidence of intelligent beings”? What would that be?
You are asked how we would know that such unknown intelligent beings exist - what would be the evidence?
JVL: Something like in the movie Contact. A signal that’s very clearly NOT produced by unguided processes. A signal which, after inspection, was shown to have compressed data.
You state that we could observe a signal - coded information that was shown to have compressed data. That is evidence that it is clearly not produced by unguided processes. For you, that's evidence that some unknown intelligent beings produced the signal.
UB: So you accept encoded symbolic content as a universal inference to the presence of an unknown intelligence in one domain, while immediately denying that same physical evidence in another domain.
UBP illustrates the contradiction. You then clam there's no contradiction "Because there is no plausible designer available." So, in one case, you accept that coded-information from an unknown designer is evidence of intelligence. In the other case, you reject that coded-information from an unknown designer is not evidence of intelligence. Why the difference? You explain:
It MAY indicate design!
In one case, you said it would indicate design. You were asked directly:
"How would we know if we found “electromagnetic evidence of intelligent beings”? What would that be?"
You said that if the signal showed compressed data it was clearly not produced by unguided processes. There's no "might be designed" here. But now you've backed away and are changing your story. So now, apparently, a signal that "clearly could not be produced by unguided processes" actually could have been produced by unguided processes and is not evidence of design? Again, this is contradictory.
Then you smoke test that possibility including considering if there are any possible designers.
First of all, you don't have any direct evidence of possible designers for the ET code. But more importantly, as your first inference correctly stated, we don't need to know anything about possible designers to recognize that the symbol-language could not have been produced by unguided forces. That's what you said and it's clearly true. The fact that the code exists means there is a designer for it. On what basis do you claim "there are no possible designers"? You can't prove the negative. You have the evidence of design - so there must be a designer. It's the same with a signal in space. The designer is unknown. We have no direct evidence of any such. But we an infer a designer based on what we see in the code.
The reason for that is that some suspect signals turned out to have originated from earth! So, yes, there were designers around. Us.
This contradicts your claim about intelligent beings in other solar systems.
JVL: I would not be surprised at all if we find electromagnetic evidence of intelligent beings in other solar systems
Again, as I said before, you really need to sort this out. If you were caught red-handed in a double-standard and now you want to change it, just make that clear. But it will tell us that you're running from the evidence that you clearly understood (at one time) and now you don't like the implications of it.Silver Asiatic
May 8, 2022
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F/N: ET at 487 is also relevant: >>487 ET May 8, 2022 at 6:39 am (Edit) “Each day our DNA is damaged by UV radiation, free radicals and other carcinogenic substances, but even without such external attacks, a DNA molecule is inherently unstable. Thousands of spontaneous changes to a cell’s genome occur on a daily basis. Furthermore, defects can also arise when DNA is copied during cell division, a process that occurs several million times every day in the human body. The reason our genetic material does not disintegrate into complete chemical chaos is that a host of molecular systems continuously monitor and repair DNA. The Nobel Prize in Chemistry 2015 awards three pioneering scientists who have mapped how several of these repair systems function at a detailed molecular level. In the early 1970s, scientists believed that DNA was an extremely stable molecule, but Tomas Lindahl demonstrated that DNA decays at a rate that ought to have made the development of life on Earth impossible. This insight led him to discover a molecular machinery, base excision repair, which constantly counteracts the collapse of our DNA.” (The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences https://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/chemistry/laureates/2015/press.html ) Got that? DNA based life is impossible without existing error detection and error correction machinery. It has to be there from the get-go. You lose.>>kairosfocus
May 8, 2022
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F/N: Observe, a response to JVL at 480 from the other thread: >>JVL, You claim to have cited Wikipedia, why then did you skip over how the article begins? With some telling admissions against known interest:
The genetic code is the set of rules used by living cells to translate information encoded within genetic material (DNA or mRNA sequences of nucleotide triplets, or codons) into proteins. Translation is accomplished by the ribosome, which links proteinogenic amino acids in an order specified by messenger RNA (mRNA), using transfer RNA (tRNA) molecules to carry amino acids and to read the mRNA three nucleotides at a time. The genetic code is highly similar among all organisms and can be expressed in a simple table with 64 entries. A series of codons in part of a messenger RNA (mRNA) molecule. Each codon consists of three nucleotides, usually corresponding to a single amino acid. The nucleotides are abbreviated with the letters A, U, G and C. This is mRNA, which uses U (uracil). DNA uses T (thymine) instead. This mRNA molecule will instruct a ribosome to synthesize a protein according to this code. The codons specify which amino acid will be added next during protein synthesis. With some exceptions,[1] a three-nucleotide codon in a nucleic acid sequence specifies a single amino acid. The vast majority of genes are encoded with a single scheme (see the RNA codon table). That scheme is often referred to as the canonical or standard genetic code, or simply the genetic code, though variant codes (such as in mitochondria) exist.
Now, you allude to speculation -- not actual observation on the origin of codes as described at the outset, and as I have also separately described. I look and clip how that section begins, adding highlights and notes on key points you should have disclosed:
The genetic code is a key part of the history of life, according to one version of which [--> speculation, in diverse schools of thought, not knowledge] self-replicating RNA molecules preceded life as we know it. This is the RNA world hypothesis [--> 50c word for big guess]. Under this hypothesis, any model for the emergence of the genetic code is intimately related to a model of the transfer from ribozymes (RNA enzymes) to proteins as the principal enzymes in cells. In line with the RNA world hypothesis, transfer RNA molecules appear to have evolved before modern aminoacyl-tRNA synthetases, so the latter cannot be part of the explanation of its patterns.[71] [--> and how were they loaded with enough reliability to reproduce viable life, in short, further unacknowledged speculation] A hypothetical randomly evolved genetic code [--> speculation, shortly to become galloping hypotheses] further motivates a biochemical or evolutionary model for its origin [--> further speculation]. If amino acids were randomly assigned to triplet codons, there would be 1.5 × 10^84 possible genetic codes.[72]:?163? This number is found by calculating the number of ways that 21 items (20 amino acids plus one stop) can be placed in 64 bins, wherein each item is used at least once.[73] However, the distribution of codon assignments in the genetic code is nonrandom.[74] In particular, the genetic code clusters certain amino acid assignments. [--> indeed, and just as Enigma was solved in part because Germans do things systematically so the patch board most likely was in alphabetical order, non random is often a feature of design] Amino acids that share the same biosynthetic pathway tend to have the same first base in their codons. [--> true enough] This could be an evolutionary relic [--> galloping speculation] of an early, simpler genetic code [--> more galloping and of course note how code is used] with fewer amino acids that later evolved to code a larger set of amino acids.[75] It could also reflect [--> galloping on] steric and chemical properties that had another effect on the codon during its evolution. Amino acids with similar physical properties also tend to have similar codons [--> true enough],[76][77] reducing the problems caused by point mutations and mistranslations.[74] [--> so, we can see a good design reason but of course design has been ruled out a priori per Lewontin] Given the non-random genetic triplet coding scheme, a tenable hypothesis for the origin of genetic code [--> nope, hypotheses galloping on, and notice, code] could address multiple aspects of the codon table, such as absence of codons for D-amino acids [--> a huge leap into imagining away homochirality], secondary codon patterns for some amino acids, confinement of synonymous positions to third position, the small set of only 20 amino acids (instead of a number approaching 64) [--> have you considered how much more complex metabolism would become?], and the relation of stop codon patterns to amino acid coding patterns.[78]
So, whatever further speculation on origins of an exceedingly complex integrated system may occur onward we can see here that you failed to frankly acknowledge speculative character and viability of other alternatives. In that context, further spreading or enabling of arguments rooted in or associated with the Forrest-ACLU-NSTA false accusations that have harmed people is rightly regarded as persistent slander. Recall, you are talking here to someone who has been stalked and harassed online and on the ground for the thought crime of thinking Thaxton et al make good thermodynamic sense. KF>> His onward reply, 484: >> JVL May 8, 2022 at 6:30 am (Edit) Kairosfocus: You claim to have cited Wikipedia, why then did you skip over how the article begins? With some telling admissions against known interest: Because the point I was discussing was how the genetic code came into being and that, if it arose because of chemical affinities, then it’s not a purely abstract or arbitrary code. That would say it is the way it is because of the chemistry instead of by some intelligent design. So I didn’t think I had to rehash all the material describing what the code does; that wasn’t my point. Like I said, discussing ongoing and published research is not slanderous or lying. It’s just pointing out that there is speculation and work being done addressing the issue.>> MY RESPONSE: 1: Manifestly, the opening remarks confirm that my usage -- and that of others -- of code [see definitions at 459] is accurate. 2: After that, all else is moot, save we are owed apology which I do not expect. 3: Further, the concessions and speculative nature of the section on origins as seen in opening words only serve to show that there is no firm knowledge, just research on a paradigm backed by a priori materialism and fellow travellers that arbitrarily locks out design. 4: It bears repeating that complex, algorithmic code as found in the living cell expresses both language and goal directed stepwise process, thus directly pointing to design. The number of cases of complex codes and algorithms coming about by blind chance and/or mechanical necessity is? ______ Correct answer, ZERO. By contrast many times over we see machine code by design. 5: Further to such, History begins with record, especially text. Text being recognised as the artifact of agents. So, we have here a trace, in fact, of the first text. Accordingly, at 412 I noted:
. . . what Crick knew from the outset. Alphanumerical code, so, language and text, that is, writing. This is literally the first piece of history, to see that computer machine code text expressing algorithms is found in the heart of cell based life. Algorithms are goal directed stepwise process and so are demonstrative of purposeful, intelligently directed configuration. Design, using polymer nanotech and expressing deep knowledge of polymers. Quite literally, our first artifacts, our first record, our first line of history. History begins where written record begins and that is found in the cell; that is decisive in interpreting all that follows. But, we are ideologically blinded to it and its import, cell based life is designed, designed with purpose built in.
KFkairosfocus
May 8, 2022
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F/N: I will now respond to points raised in the leaks thread, here as it is better to keep focus. I have transferred updates (apart from a YT vid that is giving trouble). KFkairosfocus
May 8, 2022
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Re: Black holes I'm with Sabine Hossenfelder on this one. Show me some experimental data in support. The rest is science fiction chosen for its compatibility to a particular philosophy such as deterministic materialism. Incidentally the first time I ran across this hypothesis, was in a Scientific American article from the 1960s, in which the author speculated that the block hole would eventually form a droplet shape at the "bottom," which would break off and float away as a new universe. Viola Lee @427, Thanks. I forgot about the part where you wrote that a player could pass. Also, what if the players weren't located on an equilateral triangle but on a 3-4-5 right triangle? That would be funny! -QQuerius
May 7, 2022
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re 421. You are correct about the odds of C being 1/3, and you are correct that A missing on the first shot allows him to win. The part about the "increments" is what would allow you to figure the exact odds for A and B. They come to 5/12 for A, 3/12 (1/4) for B, and 4/12 (1/3) for C. I think it is just a coincidence that we have 3:4:5 here.Viola Lee
May 7, 2022
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They try to find third-parties that would "excuse" them from explaining perpetuum-mobile or required infinity of resources/energy or infinite regress. You can't blame them they are slave of their worldview. It's very bad to be slave of your worldview...when your worldview is false.Sandy
May 7, 2022
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VL,
Black holes have a role in natural selection. In fecund theory a collapsing[clarification needed] black hole causes the emergence of a new universe on the “other side”, whose fundamental constant parameters (masses of elementary particles, Planck constant, elementary charge, and so forth) may differ slightly from those of the universe where the black hole collapsed. Each universe gives rise to as many new universes — its “offspring” — as it has black holes, giving an evolutionary advantage to universes in which black holes are common, which are similar to our own. The theory thus explains why our universe appears “fine-tuned ” for the emergence of life as we know it. Because the theory applies the evolutionary concepts of “reproduction”, “mutation,” and “selection” to universes, it is formally analogous to models of population biology.
This implies first a network of universes under physics including statistical thermodynamics. That brings to bear and illustrates the points on the past. First, what feeds energy into each budded off through a worm hole universe? Unless energy drains from a transfinite source and feeds through each cascaded wormhole, the process self limits. That's on law 1 already. Where black hole collapse implies finite time to feed energy through to the next daughter cosmos. Next, on law 2, absent transfinite source, each node in the wormhole network is part of the grand degradation of rich energy sources, so self limiting in time as well by heat death and so too finite in the past. KFkairosfocus
May 7, 2022
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VL, sadly, there's many a slip twixt many and most or worse most interesting. The story my stat mech prof of yore loved was the two drunks late one night. A came across B down on knees, obviously searching. Why? Lost my contacts. So, A joined B for a few loops around the pool of light. Then, he asked, are you sure you lost your contacts just here? Oh, no I lost them over there in the dark but this is where the light is. KF PS, for the not mathematically inclined, the lamp post is that shed by mathematically tractable theories, especially yielding tractable solutions, not a given.kairosfocus
May 7, 2022
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The problem does say that a shooter can pass and not shoot.Viola Lee
May 6, 2022
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Viola Lee, Last line:
IF A is allowed to shoot in the air, then C still wins with odds of 2/9 and B wins on odds of 1/2 x 2/3 = 1/3 plus increments, slightly better, so also not in A’s interest.
Ok, expanding the explanation, for C to win, then 1. A fires into the air (I still don't know whether this is allowed). 2. B fires at C with 1/2 probability of missing. 3. C eliminates B. 4. A misses at a 2/3 probability. 5. C eliminates A. 1/2 B misses x 2/3 A misses = 1/3 chance of C winning (an improvement), not 2/9 as I misread my messy scribbles. But B's chance of winning are 1/2 to hit C x 2/3 to get missed by A x 1/2 to hit A plus an increment = 1/6 plus increments--much worse for B! If allowed, that would be A's best strategy to win over the others. -QQuerius
May 6, 2022
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Neat, plausible, and wrong! :-) But thanks for thinking about it. However, I don't understand your last line. How can C win with odds of 2/9 when B's odds of 1/3 = 3/9 is greater? (And that would leave 4/9 for A?) As to your statement, "The problem is when someone find a N&P solution, they stop there", if I'm really trying to solve a problem I try to find a second route to the solution and/or at least try to mesh the solution with an understanding of what the math and solution mean.Viola Lee
May 6, 2022
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Viola Lee @417, The problem is when someone find a N&P solution, they stop there. Viola Lee @418, Cute problem and it might be N.P. &W. (I didn't check online) a) B b) A->C, B->C, C->B, A->C, C->A c) Using a probability tree, C wins on a 2/3 x 1/2 x 2/3 odds or 2/9. That leaves 7/9. A wins on a 3/9 odds plus tiny increments, B wins on odds of 1 - 2/9 + (3/9 + tiny increments) = 1 - (5/9 + tiny increments) = 4/9 - tiny increments. BUT, If A targets B instead (we assume that A may not intentionally miss), then A wins on odds of 2/3 x 1/2 x 1/3 plus 2/3 x 1/2 x 1/3 = 2/9 + tiny increments and C still wins on odds of 2/9. Worse for A and not in A's interest. IF A is allowed to shoot in the air, then C still wins with odds of 2/9 and B wins on odds of 1/2 x 2/3 = 1/3 plus increments, slightly better, so also not in A's interest. Viola Lee @419, The books I read by Lee Smolin were Einstein's Unfinished Revolution (2019) and Time Reborn (2013). -QQuerius
May 6, 2022
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Re 416. I've read some of the books you mention, but not Smolin. I found this paragraph from Wikipedia interesting:
Cosmological natural selection Smolin's hypothesis of cosmological natural selection, also called the fecund universes theory, suggests that a process analogous to biological natural selection applies at the grandest of scales. Smolin published the idea in 1992 and summarized it in a book aimed at a lay audience called The Life of the Cosmos. Black holes have a role in natural selection. In fecund theory a collapsing[clarification needed] black hole causes the emergence of a new universe on the "other side", whose fundamental constant parameters (masses of elementary particles, Planck constant, elementary charge, and so forth) may differ slightly from those of the universe where the black hole collapsed. Each universe gives rise to as many new universes — its "offspring" — as it has black holes, giving an evolutionary advantage to universes in which black holes are common, which are similar to our own. The theory thus explains why our universe appears "fine-tuned " for the emergence of life as we know it. Because the theory applies the evolutionary concepts of "reproduction", "mutation," and "selection" to universes, it is formally analogous to models of population biology. When Smolin published the theory in 1992, he proposed as a prediction of his theory that no neutron star should exist with a mass of more than 1.6 times the mass of the sun.[citation needed] Later this figure was raised to two solar masses following more precise modeling of neutron star interiors by nuclear astrophysicists. Smolin also predicted that inflation, if true, must only be in its simplest form, governed by a single field and parameter. Both predictions have held up, and they demonstrate Smolin's main thesis: that the theory of cosmological natural selection is Popper falsifiable.
Viola Lee
May 6, 2022
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Here is one of my favorites, which I stole from some place. Beware: the solution involves infinity! The Shooting Problem Adapted from a column by Marilyn Vos Savant, Parade Magazine, July 16, 1995 The Problem Three players, A, B, and C, are placed at the vertices of an equilateral triangle, armed with "guns". They are to take turns shooting at each other, one shot per turn. If a player shoots at another player and hits him, the second player is out of the game (i.e., "dead"). At each turn a player can shoot at any other person, or pass by not shooting. The contest continues until one player wins by being the only survivor. A has a 1/3 chance of hitting on any shot (33 1/3%), B has a 1/2 chance of hitting on any shot (50%), and C always hits (100%). A gets to shoot first. If B is still alive, he gets to shoot second. If C is still alive then he gets to shoot next. The rotation continues between the surviving players until only one person is left. The question is: who has the best chances of being the winner? - that is, of being the last surviving player? Some Additional Assumptions We assume that each player knows the accuracy level of each of the other players (e.g., both players know that C is a sure shot, A knows that B is a 50% shooter, and so on.) We assume that each player will adopt the strategy which maximizes his own chance of survival, and we assume that each player knows that the other players will act so as to maximize their own survival. With these additional assumptions in mind, the question can be expanded: a) given that everyone plays to maximize their own chances of survival, who has the best chance of being the winner? b) what is the best strategy for each player? c) what are the exact odds of each person surviving if everyone follows their best strategy?Viola Lee
May 6, 2022
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Thanks, Q. You write, "“For every problem, there’s a solution. Neat. Plausible. And wrong." This is true, but it is also true that for many problems there is a solution that is neat, plausible, and right. Witness your hotel problem.Viola Lee
May 6, 2022
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Fred Hickson @407,
Hydrogen atom orbitals as probability functions were a basic element of stereochemistry. Forgotten most of it. Hybrid shells and hydrogen bonds is pretty essential. Quantum mechanics in general, not so much.
There have been profound advancements in QM since your early involvement in x-ray crystallography and electron density maps.
Would you like to elaborate on your expertise or is my impression there no quid pro quo here correct.
No, not correct. At the university level, I studied physics, including quantum mechanics and astrophysics. However, more recent experimental results and their interpretations resulted in some radical shifts in perspective. Thus, I've caught up to many of the latest findings in published papers and I've read books on the subject by Lee Smolin, Leonard Susskind, Bruce Rosenblum and Fred Kuttner, Thomas Marcella, Carlos Rovelli, Anil Ananthaswami, Sabine Hossenfelder, Philip Ball, and some others. All of these are in my library and I'd recommend any of them to you. You might want to consider boning up on quantum mechanics to appreciate our modern view of the nature of reality, which now seems to be fundamentally based on the following: • Information and conjugate variables • Probability waves (aka the wavefunction or psi) • Conscious choice, observation/measurement • Chaos theory • Space-time • Causality at some deeper level? • Other stuff about which we're clueless Many of the authors listed above focus on preserving determinism despite strong evidence to the contrary. I particularly respect Lee Smolin for plainly stating this and why, and Sabine Hossenfelder for identifying the lack of experimental support for most theories and over-reliance on mathematical symmetry and "beauty." -QQuerius
May 6, 2022
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Good explanations! A chemistry professor of mine once reminded us--a paraphrase of skeptic H.L. Mencken's famous statement in The Divine Afflatus (1917): "For every problem, there's a solution. Neat. Plausible. And wrong." In my opinion, this should be posted as a sign above every laboratory door (and many other places). -QQuerius
May 6, 2022
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Thanks. Here's another, perhaps better, way to look at it. We start with $30, which is too much. Each of the guys get $1 back, for a total of $3. The clerk keeps $2. The hotel gets $25. $3 + $2 + $25 = $30. The whole $30 is accounted for. This math is the same as 3(10 - 1) - 2 = 30 - 3 - 2 = 25.Viola Lee
May 6, 2022
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Viola Lee: Re the hotel problem. I understand it, but hadn’t bothered to write it up. The correct math is (3 x 9) = 27 minus 2, = 25, not plus 2. The guys paid $2 too much because the clerk kept an extra $2. The hotel got its $25, the clerk got $2, and the guys paid $9 each so all is well. Very nicely stated!! Viola: two points.JVL
May 6, 2022
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VL, a problem pivoting on ambiguous, poorly phrased statement. Of course, problem identification is over half the problem. I once threatened to set an exam: Pose five interesting questions, 60%. Attempt solutions to three of same, 40%. KFkairosfocus
May 6, 2022
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FH, physics (as should be obvious), especially electronics related applications, also with an MBA and of course a fair bit of Math as opposed to Physics Math that too often degenerates into playing tricks with math; e,g. I was glad when I ran across nonstandard analysis with tamed infinitesimals. Other things are informal. KFkairosfocus
May 6, 2022
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Re the hotel problem. I understand it, but hadn’t bothered to write it up. The correct math is (3 x 9) = 27 minus 2, = 25, not plus 2. The guys paid $2 too much because the clerk kept an extra $2. The hotel got its $25, the clerk got $2, and the guys paid $9 each so all is well. The fact that they started by paying $10 is irrelevant. Suppose they had paid $20 each, or $60 total. The clerk has to return $35, so he decides to give each guy $11 back and keep $2. By the erroneous logic of the problem we would ask (3 x 9) + 2 = 29: what happened to the other 31? Obviously the starting value is not relevant to the eventual resolution, which is as I stated in the first paragraph.Viola Lee
May 6, 2022
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