Uncommon Descent Serving The Intelligent Design Community

Does ID ASSUME “contra-causal free will” and “intelligence” (and so injects questionable “assumptions”)?

Share
Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Flipboard
Print
Email

Those who have been following recent exchanges at UD will recognise that the headlined summarises the current objection highlighted by objector RDFish, an AI advocate and researcher.

A bit of backdrop will be useful; a clip from Luke Muehlhauser in the blog/site “Common Sense Atheism” will aid us in understanding claim and context:

Contra-causal free will is the power to do something without yourself being fully caused to do it. This is what most people mean by “free will.” Contra-causal free will is distinct from what you might call caused free will, which is the type of free will compatibilists like Frankfurt and Dennett accept. Those with caused free will are able to do what they want. But this doesn’t mean that their actions are somehow free from causal determination. What you want, and therefore how you act, are totally determined by the causal chain of past events (neurons firing, atoms moving, etc.) Basically, if humans have only caused free will, then we are yet another species of animal. If humans have contra-causal free will, then we have a very special ability to transcend the causal chain to which the rest of nature is subject.

This obviously reflects the underlying view expressed by William Provine in his well known 1998 U Tenn Darwin Day keynote address:

Naturalistic evolution has clear consequences that Charles Darwin understood perfectly. 1) No gods worth having exist; 2) no life after death exists; 3) no ultimate foundation for ethics exists; 4) no ultimate meaning in life exists; and 5) human free will is nonexistent . . . .  The first 4 implications are so obvious to modern naturalistic evolutionists that I will spend little time defending them. Human free will, however, is another matter. Even evolutionists have trouble swallowing that implication. I will argue that humans are locally determined systems that make choices. They have, however, no free will . . .

However, it is hard to see how such views — while seemingly plausible in a day dominated by a priori evolutionary Materialism  and Scientism — can escape the stricture made by J B S Haldane at the turn of the 1930s:

“It seems to me immensely unlikely that mind is a mere by-product of matter. For if my mental processes are determined wholly by the motions of atoms in my brain I have no reason to suppose that my beliefs are true. They may be sound chemically, but that does not make them sound logically. And hence I have no reason for supposing my brain to be composed of atoms. In order to escape from this necessity of sawing away the branch on which I am sitting, so to speak, I am compelled to believe that mind is not wholly conditioned by matter.” [“When I am dead,” in Possible Worlds: And Other Essays [1927], Chatto and Windus: London, 1932, reprint, p.209.]

It is not helpful to saw off the branch on which we all must sit: in order to do science, as well as to think, reason and know we must be sufficiently free and responsible to be self-moved by insight into meanings and associated ground-consequent relationships not blindly programmed and controlled by mechanical necessity and/or chance, directly or indirectly. (It does not help, too, that the only empirically known, adequate cause of functionally specific, complex organisation and associated information — FSCO/I — is design.)

That is, we must never forget the GIGO-driven limitations of blindly mechanical cause-effect chains in computers:

mpu_model

. . . and in neural networks alike:

A neural network is essentially a weighted sum interconnected gate array, it is not an exception to the GIGO principle
A neural network is essentially a weighted sum interconnected gate array, it is not an exception to the GIGO principle

 

That is, it is quite evident that for cause, we can reasonably conclude that mechanical cause-effect chain based computation is categorically distinct from self-aware, self-moved responsible, rational contemplation.

[U/D Aug. 21:] Where, it will help to note on the classic structured programming structures, which — even if they incorporate a stochastic, chance based process — are not examples of freely made insight based decisions (save those of the programmer) but instead are cases of blind GIGO-limited computation based on programmed cause-effect sequences:

The classic programming structures, which are able to carry out any algorithmic procedure
The classic programming structures, which are able to carry out any algorithmic procedure

In turn, that points to intelligence, an observed and measurable phenomenon.

This, too, is being stridently dismissed as a dubious metaphysically driven assumption; so let us note from an Educational Psychology 101 site:

E. G. Boring, a well-known Harvard psychologist in the 1920′s defined intelligence as whatever intelligence tests measure. Wechsler, one of the most influential researchers in the area of intelligence defined it as the global capacity of a person to act purposefully, to think rationally, and to deal effectively with his/her environment. Notice that there is a conative aspect to this definition. [–> AmHD: co·na·tion (k-nshn) n. Psychology The aspect of mental processes or behavior directed toward action or change and including impulse, desire, volition, and striving.] Many modern psychology textbooks would accept a working definition of intelligence as the general ability to perform cognitive tasks. Others might favor a more behaviorally-oriented definition such as the capacity to learn from experience or the capacity to adapt to one’s environment. Sternberg has combined these two viewpoints into the following: Intelligence is the cognitive ability of an individual to learn from experience, to reason well, to remember important information, and to cope with the demands of daily living.

That is, we have an empirically founded, measurable concept. One that sees major application in science and daily life.

Where, further, design can then be understood as intelligently, purposefully directed contingency — that is, design (and its characteristic outputs such as FSCO/I) will be manifestations of intelligent action. So, it is unsurprising to see leading ID researcher William Dembski remarking:

We know from experience that intelligent agents build intricate machines that need all their parts to function [–> i.e. he is specifically discussing “irreducibly complex” objects, structures or processes for which there is a core group of parts all of which must be present and properly arranged for the entity to function (cf. here, here and here)], things like mousetraps and motors. And we know how they do it — by looking to a future goal and then purposefully assembling a set of parts until they’re a working whole. Intelligent agents, in fact, are the one and only type of thing we have ever seen doing this sort of thing from scratch. In other words, our common experience provides positive evidence of only one kind of cause able to assemble such machines. It’s not electricity. It’s not magnetism. It’s not natural selection working on random variation. It’s not any purely mindless process. It’s intelligence  . . . . 

When we attribute intelligent design to complex biological machines that need all of their parts to work, we’re doing what historical scientists do generally. Think of it as a three-step process: (1) locate a type of cause active in the present that routinely produces the thing in question; (2) make a thorough search to determine if it is the only known cause of this type of thing; and (3) if it is, offer it as the best explanation for the thing in question. 

[William Dembski and Jonathan Witt, Intelligent Design Uncensored: An Easy-to-Understand Guide to the Controversy, pp. 20-21, 53 (InterVarsity Press, 2010). HT, CL of ENV & DI.]

But, one may ask, why is it that FSCO/I and the like are observed as characteristic products of intelligence? Is that a mere matter of coincidence?

No.

Because of the blind, needle- in- haystack challenge (similar to that which grounds the second law of thermodynamics in its statistical form) faced by a solar system of 10^57 atoms or an observed cosmos of some 10^80 atoms, a 10^17 s blind chance and mechanical necessity driven search process faces empirically insuperable odds:

csi_defnSo, even the notion that our brains have been composed and programmed by a blind chance and necessity search process over 4 bn years of life on earth is dubious, once we see that FSCO/I beyond 500 – 1,000 bits faces a super-search challenge.

As for the notion that blind chance and mechanical necessity adequately account for the origin and diversification across major body plans, of cell based life, let the advocates of such adequately account — on observed evidence not a priori materialist impositions dressed up in lab coats — for something like protein synthesis (HT, VJT, onward thanks Wiki Media):

Protein Synthesis (HT: Wiki Media)
Protein Synthesis (HT: Wiki Media)

 

That is the context in which, on Sunday, I responded to RDF at 235 in the Do We Need a Context thread, as follows — only to be studiously ignored (as is his common tactic):

______________

>>I find it important to speak for record:

[RDF to SB:] . . . ID rests on the assumption of libertarianism, an unprovable metaphysical assumption

This characterisation of SB’s reasoning is false to the full set of options he puts on the table, but I leave answering that to SB.

What is more interesting is how you[–> RDF]  switch from an empirical inference to projection of a phil assumption you reject while ignoring something that is easily empirically and analytically verifiable. Which, strongly implicates that the root problem we face is ideological, driven and/or influenced by a priori evolutionary materialism [perhaps by the back door of methodological impositions] and/or its fellow travellers.

First, intelligence is a summary term for the underlying capacity of certain observed beings to emit characteristic behaviours, most notably to generate FSCO/I in its various forms.

For example as your posts in this thread demonstrate, you understand and express yourself in textual language in accord with well known specifications of written English. It can be shown that it is extremely implausible for blind chance and/or mechanical necessity to stumble upon zones of FSCO/I in the sea of possible configurations, once we pass 500 – 1,000 bits of complexity. Where as 3-d descriptions of complex functional objects can easily be reduced to strings [cf. AutoCAD etc], discussion on strings is WLOG.

At no point in years of discussion have you ever satisfactorily addressed this easily shown point. (Cf. here.)

Despite your skepticism, the above is sufficient to responsibly accept the significance of intelligence per a basic description and/or examples such as humans and dam-building beavers or even flint-knapping fire-using omelette-cooking chimps — there is reportedly at least one such. Then there was a certain bear who was a private in the Polish Army during WW II. Etc.

Being human is obviously neither necessary to nor sufficient for being intelligent.

Nor for that matter — given the significance of fine tuning of our observed cosmos from its origin, would it be wise to demand embodiment in a material form. Where also, it has been sufficiently pointed out — whether or no you are inclined to accept such — that a computational material substrate is not enough to account for insightful, self-aware rational contemplation.

We should not ideologically lock out possibilities.

Where also, the notion of “proof” — as opposed to warrant per inference to best explanation — is also material. In both science and serious worldviews discussion, IBE is more reasonable as a criterion of reasonableness than demonstrative proof on premises acceptable to all rational individuals etc. The projection of such a demand while one implicitly clings to a set of a prioris that are at least as subject to comparative difficulties challenge is selective hyperskepticism.

So, already we see a functional framework for identifying the attribute intelligence and using it as an empirically founded concept. One that is in fact a generally acknowledged commonplace. Let me again cite Wiki, via the UD WACs and Glossary as at 206 above . . . which of course you ignored:

Intelligence – Wikipedia aptly and succinctly defines: “capacities to reason, to plan, to solve problems, to think abstractly, to comprehend ideas, to use language, and to learn.” . . . .

Chance – undirected contingency. That is, events that come from a cluster of possible outcomes, but for which there is no decisive evidence that they are directed; especially where sampled or observed outcomes follow mathematical distributions tied to statistical models of randomness. (E.g. which side of a fair die is uppermost on tossing and tumbling then settling.)

Contingency – here, possible outcomes that (by contrast with those of necessity) may vary significantly from case to case under reasonably similar initial conditions. (E.g. which side of a die is uppermost, whether it has been loaded or not, upon tossing, tumbling and settling.). Contingent [as opposed to necessary] beings begin to exist (and so are caused), need not exist in all possible worlds, and may/do go out of existence.

Necessity — here, events that are triggered and controlled by mechanical forces that (together with initial conditions) reliably lead to given – sometimes simple (an unsupported heavy object falls) but also perhaps complicated — outcomes. (Newtonian dynamics is the classical model of such necessity.) In some cases, sensitive dependence on [or, “to”] initial conditions may leads to unpredictability of outcomes, due to cumulative amplification of the effects of noise or small, random/ accidental differences between initial and intervening conditions, or simply inevitable rounding errors in calculation. This is called “chaos.”

Design — purposefully directed contingency. That is, the intelligent, creative manipulation of possible outcomes (and usually of objects, forces, materials, processes and trends) towards goals. (E.g. 1: writing a meaningful sentence or a functional computer program. E.g. 2: loading of a die to produce biased, often advantageous, outcomes. E.g. 3: the creation of a complex object such as a statue, or a stone arrow-head, or a computer, or a pocket knife.) . . . .

Intelligent design [ID] – Dr William A Dembski, a leading design theorist, has defined ID as “the science that studies signs of intelligence.” That is, as we ourselves instantiate [thus exemplify as opposed to “exhaust”], intelligent designers act into the world, and create artifacts. When such agents act, there are certain characteristics that commonly appear, and that – per massive experience — reliably mark such artifacts. It it therefore a reasonable and useful scientific project to study such signs and identify how we may credibly reliably infer from empirical sign to the signified causal factor: purposefully directed contingency or intelligent design . . .

Indeed, on just this it is you who have a burden of warranting dismissal of the concept.

Where also, design can be summed up as intelligently directed contingency that evidently targets a goal, which may be functional, communicative etc. We easily see this from text strings in this thread and the PCs etc we are using to interact.

Again, empirically well founded.

So, the concept of intelligent design is a reasonable one, and FSCO/I as reliable sign thereof is also reasonable.

In that context the sort of rhetorical resorts now being championed by objectors actually indicate the strength of the design inference argument. Had it been empirically poorly founded, it would long since have been decisively undermined on those grounds. The resort instead to debating meanings of widely understood terms and the like is inadvertently revealing.

But also, this is clearly also a worldviews level issue.

So, I again highlight from Reppert (cf. here on) on why it is highly reasonable to point to a sharp distinction between ground-consequent rational inference and blindly mechanical cause effect chains involved in the operation of a computational substrate such as a brain and CNS are:

. . . let us suppose that brain state A, which is token identical to the thought that all men are mortal, and brain state B, which is token identical to the thought that Socrates is a man, together cause the belief that Socrates is mortal. It isn’t enough for rational inference that these events be those beliefs, it is also necessary that the causal transaction be in virtue of the content of those thoughts . . . [[But] if naturalism is true, then the propositional content is irrelevant to the causal transaction that produces the conclusion, and [[so] we do not have a case of rational inference. In rational inference, as Lewis puts it, one thought causes another thought not by being, but by being seen to be, the ground for it. But causal transactions in the brain occur in virtue of the brain’s being in a particular type of state that is relevant to physical causal transactions.

Unless we are sufficiently intelligent to understand and infer based on meanings, and unless we are also free enough to follow rational implications or inferences rather than simply carry out GIGO-limited computational cause-effect chains, rationality itself collapses. So, any system of thought that undermines rationality through computational reductionism, or through dismissing responsible rational freedom is delusional and self referentially incoherent.

You may wish to dismissively label responsible freedom as “contra-causal free will,” or the like and dismiss such as “unprovable.” That is of no effective consequence to the fact of responsible rational freedom that is not plausibly explained on blindly mechanical and/or stochastic computation. Which last is a condition of even participating in a real discussion — I dare to say, a meeting of minds.

That is, we again see the fallacy of trying to get North by heading due West.

It is time to reform and renew our thinking again in our civilisation, given the patent self-refutation of the ever so dominant evolutionary materialism. As Haldane pointed out so long ago now:

“It seems to me immensely unlikely that mind is a mere by-product of matter. For if my mental processes are determined wholly by the motions of atoms in my brain I have no reason to suppose that my beliefs are true. They may be sound chemically, but that does not make them sound logically. And hence I have no reason for supposing my brain to be composed of atoms. In order to escape from this necessity of sawing away the branch on which I am sitting, so to speak, I am compelled to believe that mind is not wholly conditioned by matter.” [[“When I am dead,” in Possible Worlds: And Other Essays [1927], Chatto and Windus: London, 1932, reprint, p.209.]

It is time for fresh, sound thinking.  >>

______________

I actually think this is a good sign. In the 1980’s and 90’s as Marxism gradually crumbled, many Marxists redoubled their efforts, until the ship went down under them. So, the trend that objections to the design inference are now being commonly rooted in hyperskeptically challenging common sense, empirically warranted concepts such as design, intelligence and functionally specific quantifiably complex organisation and associated information all point to the gradual crumbling of the objector case on the actual empirical and analytical merits. END

Comments
*sigh* A simple switch. Push it up, one effect. Push it down, the opposite effect. This idea is at the root of all electronics. It's what allows people to communicate over the internet. And yet no one believes their communications are determined. Take a common light switch. Push it up the lights come on, push it down the lights go off. Unscrew the wall plate and carefully pull out the switch and rotate it 180 degrees and reseat it and reattach the wall plate. There has been NO CHANGE to the wiring. Yet now pushing the switch down turns the light on and pushing it up turns the light off. ON and OFF are INFORMATIONAL terms. Apparently being a Popperian entails groping around in the dark. Mung
franklin wins the prize. almost. Mung
mung
Have you figured out yet whether a light switch must be in the up position or in the down position in order to turn on the lights?
it can be in either position given what little information you've provided. For example I'm looking at a light switch which turned the lights on this morning in the up position and now this evening will turn the light on when in the down position. the only answer possible, given the lack of detail provided, is 'it depends'. franklin
Mung, Since Daniel's response is technically accurate, yet supposedly wrong, you must be working with some kind of theory to interpret those observations. What theory that seems problematic are you criticizing? That's our starting point. Here's another response: The orientation the switch was in when installed in the wall. is that wrong too? if so, why? Popperian
The position of the switch. Daniel King
DK, Wrong. Try again. Mung
What determines that pushing the switch to the up position will turn on the lights on rather than turning the lights off? The wiring. Next question? Daniel King
P: Correct me if I’m wrong, but you appear to assume we would have first intended to design a computer create explanations. And since we didn’t, it can’t.
Here's another example. A coffee shop I frequent was out of knives this morning, so they gave me a fork with my bagel and cream cheese. A fork was not designed to be a knife, yet I was still able to use it to solve the same problem: spreading cream cheese on a bagel. Was it as effective as a knife? No, Was I able to use the fork's handle as a knife? Yes. These are the observations that ID proponents seem to ignore, which are better explained by conjecture and criticism. Just as we cannot guarantee any solution we conjecture to solve a specific problem will be successful at solving that problem, we cannot guarantee that same solution will not be successful in solving some other problem we did not intend to solve, either. This is known as the law of unexpected consequences. For example, the sinking of ships in shallow waters at wartime has resulted in many artificial coral reefs, which are beneficial for the environment, attracted divers to the area, etc. Yet, ships were designed with the explicit (and polar opposite) purpose of staying afloat. On a side note: when I mentioned I could use the handle of the fork as a knife, the barista said "you must be an engineer." Popperian
Mung, I'm quite capable of understanding the simple task of bring light into a room. Again, how is that relevant? Observations of a light switch in operation are just that - observations. They don't imply anything outside of a theory. So, what problem are we trying to solve? What theory are we criticizing? IOW, I'm asking you to make explicit some implicit theory you're applying to those observations. Popperian
Popperian, You appear incapable of understanding the simple task of bringing light to an unlit room. So why should anyone here give any regard to anything you write? A light switch. What determines that pushing the switch to the up position will turn on the lights on rather than turning the lights off? Mung
P: You have provided no substantiation.
No substantiation of what? You seem to be agreeing with me, yet disagreeing with me. Again, it's not clear that we're talking about the same thing. For example... I have no doubt that computational systems, suitably programmed, can do various (and often wonderful) things as designed, but that is worlds different from exhibiting self aware, insightful, reasoned contemplation and independent creative thought, decision and action. I agree that a computer will not never exhibit Artificial General Intelligence following the same conception of knowledge you mentioned in [232]: justified true belief. That was the point of the article. We need a major breakthrough in philosophy. And the field is held back due to the lack of a wider adoption of an existing philosophical breakthrough already made by Popper. Furthermore, your objection illustrates a key problem with Intelligent Design. Correct me if I'm wrong, but you appear to assume we would have first intended to design a computer create explanations. And since we didn't, it can't. But that's a theory about how the world works, which comes first. That's how you're interpreting your observations. However, Charles Babbage didn't intend to design what would have been the first Universal Turing Machine (UTM), had he actually managed to build it. He stumbled upon it while trying to build a way perform calculations more accurately and efficiently. It was only till much later that Alan Turning realized the great importance of Babbage had stumbled upon. Computation does not depend on a particular implementation such as transistors, or even cogs in the case of Babbage. Computers "work" because of a deeper principle: the universal principle of computation. For example, no one specially designed a IBM PowerPC processor so it could emulate a Intel 386 processor using Parallels virtualization software - which is something I did regularly while I was running Windows XP on my PPC Mac to test websites on Internet Explorer. This universality emerges from a particular repertoire of computations and allows any UTM to emulate any other UTM. This is known as the Church-Turning principle. A stronger version of this principle, the Church-Turning-Deutsch (CTD) principle, has been developed based on developments in quantum computation. To summarize the principle..
‘every finitely realizable physical system can be perfectly simulated by a universal model computing machine operating by finite means’
So, the very same, deepest theory of why computers work, which explains the observations we've both experienced and the universality of computers, implies that GAI is possible. It explains why we would expect computers to do something you've we've observed it doing before. Popperian
M: It would seem then that inference would be essential to the sciences.
Are you genuinely asking a question? I'm asking because I've already made a distinction in regards to empirical observations in [175].
In the history of science, empiricism was an improvement in that it helped promote the importance of empirical observations in science. However, it got the role those observations play backwards. Theories are tested by observations, not derived from them.
Criticism, in some form, is essential to the universal creation of knowledge. In the case of scientific knowledge, rational criticism includes devising and performing tests via empirical observations. But the contents of theories do not come from observations themselves. We take theories seriously, as if they were true in reality, for the purpose of criticism, in that all of our observations should conform to them. But, for this to occur, we must also take into account all of our other, current best theories as well. So, inference comes into play as we infer what observations we should expect if our theories about how the world worked, in reality, really were true. That's criticism. For example, take the claim that inductive reasoning is underlying basis for ID in this very thread. For the purpose of criticism, we can take that theory seriously, as if it were true in reality, and that all observations should conform to it. Specifically, entities with complex, material brains are the one and only type of thing we’ve seen exhibiting intelligence. So, if one really used inductive reasoning, we would infer that one would also claim we supposedly “know from experience” that all intelligence requires complex material brains. Yet I'm guessing doesn't seem to be the case. So, this theory doesn't survive rational criticism. The same can be said about other criticism I've presented about inductive reasoning. We can take the idea that we use inductive reasoning seriously, as if it were true in reality. Specifically, if we could use evidence to prove any theory is more probable, then an piece of evidence would need to be compatible with only theory. However, this isn't the case, as evidence is comparable with a number of theories, including an infinite number we haven't even conceived of yet. So this idea doesn't withstand rational criticism. Any probability calculus can only be based on an explanation that tells us where the probability comes from. Those numbers cannot be the probability of that explanation itself. They are only applicable in an intra-theory context, in which we assume the theory is true for the purpose of criticism. Popperian
Popperian:
My perspective is that science isn’t primarily about stuff you can observe, yet empirical observations play an important role.
It would seem then that inference would be essential to the sciences. Mung
P: You have provided no substantiation. I have no doubt that computational systems, suitably programmed, can do various (and often wonderful) things as designed, but that is worlds different from exhibiting self aware, insightful, reasoned contemplation and independent creative thought, decision and action. As for the issues on inductive reasoning, you are the one who stated that induction is "impossible." I have simply pointed out what induction is [you put up an outdated view], and pointed out that to reject induction is to surrender to a general delusion fallacy, with reasons. And, as an empirically controlled cluster of disciplines that are subject to correction and adjustment, the sciences are inductive. KF kairosfocus
Hi Popperian, Have you figured out yet whether a light switch must be in the up position or in the down position in order to turn on the lights? Mung
I put it to you that your difference of perspective has nothing to do with the actual empirical and analytical facts, which fully substantiates my point that mechanical computation, whether analogue or digital, is a blind, non insight based cause effect processing of signals per the underlying dynamics that some designer has harnessed, not at all a matter of rational insight, understanding of meaning, and inference based on that contemplation. To pretend or to actually imagine otherwise, is patently without merit. KF
My perspective is that science isn't primarily about stuff you can observe, yet empirical observations play an important role. I've said that explicitly. And I've explained that I hold that view based on rational criticism. So, apparently, you're not actually reading what I've written. Or perhaps you're unable to conceive of a non-foundationalist epistemology? Popperian
Do you see anything in the fetch decode execute cycle of a micro, whether hard wired or micro-coded that escapes the premise of blindly mechanical processing with possibilities of glitches [PSU glitches being a fav prob], thus giving a combination of blind mechanical necessity and chance? If you do so, kindly explain it.
Did you actually read the referenced article? There are two positions it criticizes. 01. Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is impossible camp, which appears to be your position.
Despite this long record of failure, AGI must be possible. And that is because of a deep property of the laws of physics, namely the universality of computation. This entails that everything that the laws of physics require a physical object to do can, in principle, be emulated in arbitrarily fine detail by some program on a general-purpose computer, provided it is given enough time and memory. The first people to guess this and to grapple with its ramifications were the 19th-century mathematician Charles Babbage and his assistant Ada, Countess of Lovelace. It remained a guess until the 1980s, when I proved it using the quantum theory of computation.
02. GAI is imminent camp. We just need faster computers with more memory, along with solving an "integration problem."
For example, it is still taken for granted by almost every authority that knowledge consists of justified, true beliefs and that, therefore, an AGI’s thinking must include some process during which it justifies some of its theories as true, or probable, while rejecting others as false or improbable. But an AGI programmer needs to know where the theories come from in the first place. The prevailing misconception is that by assuming that ‘the future will be like the past’, it can ‘derive’ (or ‘extrapolate’ or ‘generalise’) theories from repeated experiences by an alleged process called ‘induction’. But that is impossible.
The article suggests that both camps are wrong. It explains why the hardware you described doesn't result in AGI. More important to the subject of inductive reasoning, any AGI would represent the ability to create explanatory knowledge. That's the key point. Such a proces isn't a function of it's inputs and outputs. You get more out than you get in. From the article...
Traditionally, discussions of AGI have evaded that issue by imagining only a test of the program, not its specification — the traditional test having been proposed by Turing himself. It was that (human) judges be unable to detect whether the program is human or not, when interacting with it via some purely textual medium so that only its cognitive abilities would affect the outcome. But that test, being purely behavioural, gives no clue for how to meet the criterion. Nor can it be met by the technique of ‘evolutionary algorithms’: the Turing test cannot itself be automated without first knowing how to write an AGI program, since the ‘judges’ of a program need to have the target ability themselves. (For how I think biological evolution gave us the ability in the first place, see my book The Beginning of Infinity.) And in any case, AGI cannot possibly be defined purely behaviourally. In the classic ‘brain in a vat’ thought experiment, the brain, when temporarily disconnected from its input and output channels, is thinking, feeling, creating explanations — it has all the cognitive attributes of an AGI. So the relevant attributes of an AGI program do not consist only of the relationships between its inputs and outputs. The upshot is that, unlike any functionality that has ever been programmed to date, this one can be achieved neither by a specification nor a test of the outputs. What is needed is nothing less than a breakthrough in philosophy, a new epistemological theory that explains how brains create explanatory knowledge and hence defines, in principle, without ever running them as programs, which algorithms possess that functionality and which do not.
However "evolutionary algorithms" can create non-explantory knowledge, which is the sort of knowledge that biological Darwinism creates. That's a different thread. See [142] or [153]. Popperian
P: I don't have a lot of time just now, but I will ask you this. Do you see anything in the fetch decode execute cycle of a micro, whether hard wired or micro-coded that escapes the premise of blindly mechanical processing with possibilities of glitches [PSU glitches being a fav prob], thus giving a combination of blind mechanical necessity and chance? If you do so, kindly explain it. Then also, do the same for something like a Thompson Ball and disk integrator, or an op amp ckt, or an artificial neural network based on summing gates. Compare the latter with the electrochemical neural networks in CNSes and explain to me where in this there is any empirically or analytically warranted basis for saying that any of these amounts to more than blind mechanism and chance processes [often, noise]. I put it to you that your difference of perspective has nothing to do with the actual empirical and analytical facts, which fully substantiates my point that mechanical computation, whether analogue or digital, is a blind, non insight based cause effect processing of signals per the underlying dynamics that some designer has harnessed, not at all a matter of rational insight, understanding of meaning, and inference based on that contemplation. To pretend or to actually imagine otherwise, is patently without merit. KF kairosfocus
None of this is novel or even significantly controversial, it is the stuff of basic real world science and of sciene education from grade school up, with elaborate techniques being overlaid on the basic inductive logic involved and outlined above.
First, you're again pointing to definitions, not making an argument that refutes the criticisms presented. Everyone knows we use "inductive reasoning", isn't an argument. Nor do I (or did Popper) claim to be a conventionalist. Second, by claiming it's not "even significantly controversial", you're denying that we've made progress beyond even what you just described via the field of epistemology and philosophy of science. Namely, we can be more specific about how the cast of characters you presented (Observations, Hypotheses, Inference / Prediction and Empirical Tests)
We start out with a problem, conjecture an explanatory theory about how the world works, in reality, that we hope will solve it, then criticize that theory and discard errors we might find. In the case of science, criticism takes the form of empirical observations. Then, the process starts again when new observations indicate there is a problem in one of our ideas.
For example, we do not know where to start looking without first having some kind of existing theory which has become problematic. Your description doesn't even address this. Again, science isn't primarally about stuff you can observe. From [177]
For example, are dinosaurs merely an interpretation of our best explanation of fossils? Or are they *the* explanation for fossils? We never speak of the existence of dinosaurs, millions of years ago, as an interpretation of our best theories of fossils. Rather, we say that dinosaurs are *the* explanation for fossils. Nor is the theory primarily about fossils, but about dinosaurs, in that they are assumed to actually exist as part of the explanation. And we do so despite the fact that there are an infinite number of rival interpretations of the same data that make all the same predictions, yet say the dinosaurs were not there, millions of years ago, in reality.
Trying to portray me as suggesting facts are not important is a strawman. The role they play is where we disagree.
“All the ‘facts’ Darwin used as evidence for his theory of evolution were known before he used them … What Darwin contributed was a profoundly radical way of rearranging these materials” (p38). - Hughes, 1990
Popperian
KF: Perhaps it has not registered, that I have studied and even designed and built computer processors from hardware ground up, that I worked in Electronics for years, and as such have a firm understanding of how such processing by refined rock — analogue or digital — occurs.
I've build simple microprocessors with IO ports as part of a microcomputer repair program and board level repaired computers for 3 years. Currently, I program mobile devices as an independent consultant. Yet, we seem to have different outlooks on the subject.
The attempt to lift oneself out of the swamp of cause-effect bond, blind GIGO-limited processing to attain to the contemplative, insightful processes required for actual inferences on real thought and decision, is futile.
Again the article's criticism was, it's futile to think we can create general artificial intelligence under the very assumption you hold: knowledge is justified true belief. So, it comes as no surprise that you'd think GAI futile. That assumption is the theory you use to interpret the same observations I've made about computers. Deutsch's point is that we don't have GAI because we're not asking the right questions, not because it's impossible.
In fact it is shutting one’s eye tot he fact that is as obvious as the sun: processors have designers, and programmers, analogue computers ditto, and there is no good reason to see the FSCO/I in neural networks that makes them do their processing, is any different. FSCO/I simply is not credibly going to come about by blind chance and necessity.
You're not taking into account (shutting one's eye to) the distinction I've made between non-explanatory and explanatory knowledge. An error correcting system of biological Darwinism (variation and selection) is not merely random. Rather, it's random to any particular problem to solve. Nor is it clear what credibility has to do with it. What we want is the contents of theories, not their providence.
KF:Which may well go a long way towards explaining the puzzling hostility to inductive, evidence controlled reasoning in your remarks.
Did you induce that from observations? I'm asking because it's wrong. Before you could induce a false conclusion, you had to first hold a false theory, that I was hostile to inductive reasoning. But I'm not "hostile". I'm merely presenting criticisms of inductive reasoning. Popperian
KF: I give not one whit for Popper’s views as such, insofar as there is a reasonable basis to accept a major domain of reasoning, inductive reasoning and insofar as Popper’s views as represented by you try to deem such reasoning “impossible.”
Ok, then how is it reasonable? In the absence of a "principle of induction" that works, in practice, it's unclear how it's possible. That's the criticism. Nor is "Everyone knows we use inductive reasoning" an argument. Furthermore, the idea that anything "is obvious", let alone inductivism, is a philosophical position. Again, if you want to call conjecture and criticism “inductive reasoning”, that’s fine. But that only serves to confuse the issue, as you have now. Also, are you suggesting you're not aware of the outstanding problems with justificationism? Or perhaps you're aware of them, but simply cannot believe any other way of assuming we know things. However, incureduility is not an argument.
KF: In short, I will always reject the grand delusion fallacy type spectacular assertion, which seems to be a hubris of modern scholarship.
So, you have a no-concession policy on inductive reasoning? Also, you reject intelligent design, which rejects the modern scholarship of evolution? Or perhaps the scholarship you accept or reject is actually dependent on something else?
Any time one asserts a grand delusion, one decisively undermines thought and rationality including one’s own — an own-goal. So, any species of grand delusion can be dismissed at once as self-refuting. So, your assertion that inductive reasoning — abundantly in evidence all around us — is “impossible,” is patently absurd.
The idea that we know by experience that induction works is circular reasoning: induction must work because we've always experienced it working in the past. But, again, the same evidence is also compatible with multiple theories, including conjecture and criticism. You're presenting a false dilemma by assuming I must be a disappointed justificationist and, therefore, must undermine rationality. From this paper on "Justificationism and the Abuse of Reason"....
3. Responses to the dilemma of the infinite regress versus dogmatism In the light of the dilemma of the infinite regress versus dogmatism, we can discern three attitudes towards positions: relativism, “true belief” and critical rationalism [Note 3] Relativists tend to be disappointed justificationists who realise that positive justification cannot be achieved. From this premise they proceed to the conclusion that all positions are pretty much the same and none can really claim to be better than any other. There is no such thing as the truth, no way to get nearer to the truth and there is no such thing as a rational position. True believers embrace justificationism. They insist that some positions are better than others though they accept that there is no logical way to establish a positive justification for an belief. They accept that we make our choice regardless of reason: "Here I stand!". Most forms of rationalism up to date have, at rock bottom, shared this attitude with the irrationalists and other dogmatists because they share the theory of justificationism. According to the critical rationalists, the exponents of critical preference, no position can be positively justified but it is quite likely that one (or more) will turn out to be better than others in the light of critical discussion and tests. This type of rationality holds all its positions and propositions open to criticism and a standard objection to this stance is that it is empty; just holding our positions open to criticism provides no guidance as to what position we should adopt in any particular situation. This criticism misses its mark for two reasons. First, critical rationalism is not a position. It is not directed at solving the kind of problems that are solved by fixing on a position. It is concerned with the way that such positions are adopted, criticised, defended and relinquished. Second, Bartley did provide guidance on adopting positions; we may adopt the position that to this moment has stood up to criticism most effectively. Of course this is no help for people who seek stronger reasons for belief, but that is a problem for them, and it does not undermine the logic of critical preference.
IOW, you're projecting your problem, as a justificatoinist, on me.
And if Popper is on the same ground, he is just as wrong.
Ok, then what points do you disagree with? I haven't seen any response that addresses the arguments I've presented that haven't been addressed. "No it's not" isn't an argument.
I find it astonishing just how often objectors to the design inference score such own goals by way of grand delusion claims or implications. If, to reject design inferences, one ifs forced into absurdities, that is not a reason to cling to the absurdities, but an evidence that he rejections are in grave error. KF
For the umpteenth time, suggesting one is confused about how knowledge grows is not the same as suggesting there is no knowledge. Nor am I suggesting that empirical observations do not play an important role. It's as if no one is actually reading my comments. (tap - tap - tap. Is this thing on?) Popperian
Mung: Ah yes. Popper, the authoritative source.
You're disingenuously conflated pointing out Popper has rejoinders for these objections with an appeal to authority.
Mung: I’m sorry Popperian, but in order to show that induction is impossible you’ll need to visit every instance of induction that has ever been and then draw an inference from those instances to your conclusion.
You're funny. Wait. That's a joke, right? I mean, no number of single observations can justify a universal. That's the crux of the issue. For example, take the universal theory that gravity operates the same way everywhere in the universe. While we have an overwhelming number of observations of gravity in our local vicinity that's not even a drop in the bucked compared to the astronomical number of places in the universe that we haven't measured it. So, using that "logic" one could claim the uniformity of gravity is astronomically unlikely. See how that works (or should I say, doesn't work)?. The idea that gravity is uniform is a conjectured theory. All of the overwhelming number of local observations represent an overwhelming amount of criticism, which the theory has survived. So, we've adopted it. But we know GR is wrong, because it conflicts with quantum mechanics. Furthermore, our explanation for space-time itself includes gravity. Einstein predicted gravitational lensing, something we had never observed before, via theory. It's an implication of our current best theories about how the world works, in reality. Popperian
F/N: It seems we need to go back to grade school science basics, informed by Newton's classic remarks in Opticks Query 31 as already cited: >>Updating the language and simplifying how Newton described the generic methods of modern science, we may use the acronym, O, HI PET:
O – Observations (as accurate as we can get) are the anchor for science, allowing us to spot patterns, make measurements and test explanations. H – Hypotheses (educated guesses) are made to explain the patterns we observe, and are then compared to see which is the best current explanation. I, P – Inference and Prediction (based on logic and mathematics) allow us to see the expected consequences of hypotheses in new situations. ET – Empirical Tests (though experiments we set up and carry out, and/or further observations we make in new situations) allow us to compare hypotheses to see which is best supported, and so choose the best explanations. Bodies of more or less well-supported explanations form scientific models and theories. Such models and theories always have strengths, limitations and weaknesses, so scientific research is an ongoing exercise.
Of course, as “best current explanation” implies [[and as Newton emphasised], scientific knowledge claims are provisional, subject to correction and development, or even replacement based on further work. This comes out repeatedly in the survey above, as we see how new work repeatedly partly builds on and partly corrects or replaces old thought. When one carries out a scientific investigation, then s/he first needs to clarify what s/he is trying to do, in light of the classic sequence of scientific work: describe, explain, predict, control. Typically, one may try to: explore, observe and accurately describe or measure facts or quantities, or explain observed patterns and test the reliability of such models, or use the ability to predict to influence or control the way a situation plays out This naturally leads to the design of an investigation. Exploratory exercises focus on getting a balanced, accurate view of what is “there,” and so emphasise fieldwork and recording of accurate facts and measurements where measurement is possible. Explanatory hypotheses or models that show patterns and perhaps the driving forces that cause them may be suggested based on “known” observations and measurements, and techniques for testing them may be recommended for “further work.” Experiments or observation studies may be designed and carried out, to test such models against further real world observations and measurements. Once an empirically reliable model – one that accurately predicts outcomes in new situations -- has been developed, it can be used to set up and control further situations. But, always, it remains provisional . . . >> None of this is novel or even significantly controversial, it is the stuff of basic real world science and of science education from grade school up, with elaborate techniques being overlaid on the basic inductive logic involved and outlined above. KF kairosfocus
PS: Perhaps it has not registered, that I have studied and even designed and built computer processors from hardware ground up, that I worked in Electronics for years, and as such have a firm understanding of how such processing by refined rock -- analogue or digital -- occurs. Analogue processors are similar as are neural networks which are weighted sum gates. The attempt to lift oneself out of the swamp of cause-effect bond, blind GIGO-limited processing to attain to the contemplative, insightful processes required for actual inferences on real thought and decision, is futile. It is a case of trying to get North by going due West. In fact it is shutting one's eye tot he fact that is as obvious as the sun: processors have designers, and programmers, analogue computers ditto, and there is no good reason to see the FSCO/I in neural networks that makes them do their processing, is any different. FSCO/I simply is not credibly going to come about by blind chance and necessity. Not on the gamut of solar system or observed cosmos. But if one insists on clinging to substituting imagination and unfounded wishes for actual empirical evidence grounding, one ends up in uncontrolled speculation. Which may well go a long way towards explaining the puzzling hostility to inductive, evidence controlled reasoning in your remarks. KF kairosfocus
P: I give not one whit for Popper's views as such, insofar as there is a reasonable basis to accept a major domain of reasoning, inductive reasoning and insofar as Popper's views as represented by you try to deem such reasoning "impossible." In short, I will always reject the grand delusion fallacy type spectacular assertion, which seems to be a hubris of modern scholarship. Any time one asserts a grand delusion, one decisively undermines thought and rationality including one's own -- an own-goal. So, any species of grand delusion can be dismissed at once as self-refuting. So, your assertion that inductive reasoning -- abundantly in evidence all around us -- is "impossible," is patently absurd. And if Popper is on the same ground, he is just as wrong. I find it astonishing just how often objectors to the design inference score such own goals by way of grand delusion claims or implications. If, to reject design inferences, one ifs forced into absurdities, that is not a reason to cling to the absurdities, but an evidence that he rejections are in grave error. KF kairosfocus
I'm sorry Popperian, but in order to show that induction is impossible you'll need to visit every instance of induction that has ever been and then draw an inference from those instances to your conclusion. Mung
I long since laid out the foundations for inductive reasoning (which is a major aspect of reasoning), showing why Popper’s project is ill-founded;
Again, you’ve presented misconceptions of Popper’s views, which have already been addressed. For example, critical preference takes into account empirical observations. However, it does so in a non-justiicationist way. This suggests something significantly different is going on in reality. Good theories make prohibitions. The more prohibitions a theory contains the more ways it can be found wrong. However, ID’s designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. It’s a bad explanation because it’s easily varied.
The computer does just that, it computes, it cannot understand or explain. It is irrelevant to inductive reasoning. It simply calculates out the step by step sequence programmed in it, blindly and mechanically, per GIGO.
Again, we seem to be arguing past each other. Did you actually read the article or even the entire excerpt? The article does not suggest creating general artificial intelligence (GAI) is impossible, which you seem to suggest in your response. Rather it argues the field of GAI is being held back by an approach based on your description of knowledge: justified true belief.
For example, it is still taken for granted by almost every authority that knowledge consists of justified, true beliefs and that, therefore, an AGI’s thinking must include some process during which it justifies some of its theories as true, or probable, while rejecting others as false or improbable. But an AGI programmer needs to know where the theories come from in the first place. The prevailing misconception is that by assuming that ‘the future will be like the past’, it can ‘derive’ (or ‘extrapolate’ or ‘generalise’) theories from repeated experiences by an alleged process called ‘induction’. But that is impossible.
Again, my objection is the idea that we use observations to form the contents of theories. This idea has been appealed to multiple times in this thread exclude alternative explanations for the appearance of design. Specifically, any piece of evidence is compatible with multiple theories. This includes an infinite number that has yet to be proposed. As such, evidence cannot be used to prove a theory or make it more probable.. Furthermore, what counts as repetition is not a sensory experience. Rather, it’s based on theory. In addition, probabilities can only be assigned based on an explanation that tells us where the probability comes from. Those numbers cannot be the probability of that explanation itself. They are only applicable in an intra-theory context, in which we assume the theory is true for the purpose of criticism. You seem to have missed or chosen to ignore this subtle but important difference. Are these not claims based on what you consider “inductive reasoning” and therefore relevant? Given the above, if you want to retreat even further and call conjecture and criticism “inductive reasoning”, that’s fine. But that only serves to confuse the issue. Nor does it reflect the sort of objections made here to evolutionary theory. Popperian
P: In a pause during a web hunt. The issue is not the corpus of Popper's papers and views -- slip sliding away to a new subject again. I trust you will at least acknowledge that appealing to brain processing etc is off the table, in response to 182. The focal issue for this side discussion is your dismissal -- in the name of Popper, I note [cf your handle] -- that claims that induction is "impossible," and that there is no principle of induction, compounded by an outdated strawmannish caricature of what inductive reasoning is understood to be. All of which were documented above. In reply, I have shown why there is a longstanding principle of provisional universality, and how a sufficient sample of experience or observation that reveals a pattern allowing a best explanation to be developed and tested for reliability. Under those circumstances, we can have support for a conclusion that in certain cases is morally certain. In others -- notably scientific theorising, the degree of provisionality is higher. Especially as regards grand narratives concerning the unobserved past of origins. Which is too often presented as fact fact FACT. Your problem is to back your hand on how induction is impossible -- your term, and the answer so far is, you have no "backative" . . . as they say in Ja. KF kairosfocus
IOW, your criticism of Popper suggests you are unfamiliar with his books and papers.
Ah yes. Popper, the authoritative source. Mung
Popperian:
I’m not quite sure what you mean by “translated” into a physical effect. Can you elaborate?
UB:
The arrangement of an informational medium evokes an effect within a system capable of producing that effect. The arrangement of the medium evokes the effect, but a second arrangement within the system determines what the effect will be. In order for the system to function, the organization of the system must preserve the physical discontinuity between the two. That is how information is translated into a physical effect.
Popperian:
I’m still not clear as to what you mean by translated into physical effect.
Mung:
If you want the light to come on, do you flip the light switch up or do you flip the light switch down? (c.f. WJM @ 220)
Popperian:
How is that relevant?
Does the context help you see the relevance? Is it that the effect is too vague and mysterious? Have you never turned on a light before, or turned one off? Or do you not see how it is a physical effect? Perhaps you call on spirits to make the light shine rather than flipping a light switch? Do you understand the concept of electricity? Of the electric light? Of the relationship between light switches and lights going on and off? Help me out here. What concepts are you having difficulty with? Mung
KF: The emphasis on Popper’s thought as utterly definitive seems to render empirical support.
You’re confusing “utterly definitive” with what appears to be a misreading of Popper’s position.
KF: Notice, how P projects a long since outdated understanding of induction that has been advanced from once we understood that abductive arguments lie at the heart of inductions.
My first comment [40]
The criticism leveled is that ID doesn’t explain “intelligence” or contra-causual free will. Both are treated as an inexplicable, immutable primitive that doesn’t need to be explained or cannot be explained.
So, if by induction, you mean inductive reasoning leading to the best explanation of observations, this was the subject of my criticism from the start. Even if we accept this definition, which I do not, ID as defined is essentially an appeal to the philosophical position that knowledge comes from authoritative sources, which is a philosophical position, and a rather poor one at that. In the current crop of ID, knowledge is merely moved from one place (in a designer) and to another (in organisms), which doesn’t solve the problem it purports to solve. I then focused on inductivism when it was appealed to as a barrier to entry for alternate explantions and the existence of what Dawkins calls “designoids” (thinks that have the appearance having been designed), in [41]. Specially, I took issue with..
KF: Intelligent agents, in fact, are the one and only type of thing we have ever seen doing this sort of thing from scratch. If you doubt this, try the protein synthesis process in the OP and provide an empirically grounded warrant for the claim that the code is a matter of blind necessity never mind that any two D/RNA bases G/C/A/T or U can follow in succession because of the common sugar-phosphate bond backbone. Don’t omit the existence of variations in the code
I then pointed, should one follow this “logic” one could also appeal to observations to exclude non-material designers as an explanation for human beings. Specifically, entities with complex, material brains are the one and only type of thing we’ve seen exhibiting intelligence. So, it seems whether you decide to appeal to “empirical grounds” is first based on theory. It’s unclear how deciding when to appeal to induction based on theory is materially different from not actually using induction at all. Nor is Darwinism merely a random process. It represents variation that is random to any problem to solve, which results in non-explanatory knowledge. You’re appealing to a particular idea of what knowledge is, the assumption that we cannot make progress by further dividing it into explanatory and non-explanatory knowledge, etc. I don’t recall seeing any criticism of this progress.
KF: He then tries to follow Popper in a have the cake and eat it approach, which comes out once we realise that we want scientific models and more specifically full bore theories to be empirically reliable enough to take as a basis for making potentially costly interventions. Also, we heavily rely on predictive power as both test and strength.
You seem to be ignoring important distinctions I’ve made. For example, from [124]….
I’m suggesting that empiricists are mistaken about the role observations plays in science, not that empirical observations do not play an important role or that some should be “ignored”. Empiricism was an improvement because it promoted the use of observation in science. However, it got the role those observations play backwards. So, I’m suggesting when people adopt an idea that happens to conform to past experience, that’s a coincidence which can be mistaken for induction. If I was an inductivist, which I’m not, I could just as well argue that the idea of a designer without a material brain conflicts with past experience. But that would just be a coincidence as well. Rather, adoption in both cases is based on a theory of some sort, regardless of how poorly defined. Induction is impossible because theory, in one form or another, always comes first.
IOW, your criticism of Popper suggests you are unfamiliar with his books and papers. This is one of many common mistakes that are not new and have been addressed elsewhere. While I’m open to genuinely new criticism, none has been provided as of yet.
KF: Which surfaces a root discomfort, we deal with those who despise faith.
From [153]…..
P: I’m saying that good explanations are those that are hard to vary without significantly reducing it’s ability to explain the phenomena it purports to explain. Based on this criteria, the designer presented by ID is a bad explanation because it is abstract and had no defined limitations. This criticism is not specific to supernatural contexts or omnipotent beings.
However, ID’s designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. Nothing is *necessary* for ID’s designer. Necessities are smuggled in from human design, such as the need to design things in a piecemeal fashion, etc. I’m pointing out that human beings are good explanations for human designed things, but not the biosphere.
Every ‘good’ scientific theory is a prohibition: it forbids certain things to happen. The more a theory forbids, the better it is. - Karl Popper
Popperian
P: I long since laid out the foundations for inductive reasoning (which is a major aspect of reasoning), showing why Popper's project is ill-founded; and you know I am in the midst of a major challenge that makes it impossible for me to indulge an endless rhetorical crocodile death roll. I will snip and comment on a couple of points in 182 -- which was directed to GP, just for completeness, though I need to be getting ready for a serious meeting not to much later this afternoon. Yes, it is that bad. P: >> An argument on another UD thread is that, merely feeding a computer existing information, regardless of how much you feed it, does not result in a computer popping out a new explanation. However, this is essentially an argument against induction. Yet, induction is defended when it comes to presenting an inductive argument for intelligent design. >> The computer does just that, it computes, it cannot understand or explain. It is irrelevant to inductive reasoning. It simply calculates out the step by step sequence programmed in it, blindly and mechanically, per GIGO. No one here other than you objects to inductive reasoning, so this is a strawman, as well as an irrelevancy. CITED ART: >> What is needed is nothing less than a breakthrough in philosophy, a new epistemological theory that explains how brains create explanatory knowledge and hence defines, in principle, without ever running them as programs, which algorithms possess that functionality and which do not. >> BRAINS are neural network computers and process information electrochemically. So, to premise a discussion of a mental operation -- the creation of explanatory knowledge -- on brain processing is a case of trying to get North by heading due West. We know ourselves to be conscious and to be insightful and rational, able to create knowledge through meaningful warrant. We also know that neural network processing is a signal processing operation in a network, not materially different from other computational devices. mV impulses of whatever amplitude and repetition frequency are not equal to insight or the like, indeed are categorically distinct. It is only an a priori injection that demands that as the only visible entity is a brain, it MUST account for the phenomenon despite the gaps in our ability to see how, that demand such an explanation. Brains processing on networks and programming of the networks of neuron-gates are simply blindly churning out outputs on inputs. With GIGO limits. I can see a good argument for the brain as ani/o processor that handles mind/body interface chores and mechanical support to mental processing, but the evidence in front of us in light of what we know about computation vs contemplation, points to something much more than computation based on blind cause effect bonds and chains at work. This, I have discussed in previous threads, cf here for instance as was linked form the OP. For this thread's discussion, the matter is again irrelevant to the assertion that induction is "impossible." What you need to do, to show that you are a serious partner in a discussion, is to address what induction really is, and to deal with the issues that back it up. Provisional universality in a world that is credibly orderly, sampling of facts that invites inference to best explanation. Generalisation and analogy as cases in point of such IBE. Also, the point that inductive reasoning is reasoning that seeks to support conclusions on evidence, not demonstrate them, and not merely reasoning by analogy or by generalising arbitrarily from a few cases. Where also, the problem of deduction and its dependence on premises, axioms and incompleteness are also relevant. In all of this, it is clear that unless we have responsible freedom, we cannot actually reason, ground or warrant and thus cannot actually know. Which carries us back to the main topic, the issue that responsible freedom is the premise on which we are able to reason at all, using the intelligence that we all know we have. Blind, mechanical, GIGO limited computational chains do not at all address the issue of insight based, meaningful thought and reason which requires the ability to choose without being driven and controlled by blind non-rational mechanical necessity or statistical noise. (Onlookers, kindly see the issues being answered in the OP.) And more, I have to move on to deal with other things. KF kairosfocus
KF: There you go again . . . but the underlying point is, the astute onlooker will see that you have not had the goods to back up your claim that induction is “impossible.” This allows an evaluation of points you wished to make onwards that pivot on that.
Can you point out where you responded to criticism of induction presented in [182]? Popperian
KF: There you go again . . . but the underlying point is, the astute onlooker will see that you have not had the goods to back up your claim that induction is “impossible.” This allows an evaluation of points you wished to make onwards that pivot on that.
Can you point out where you responded to criticism of induction presented in [182]? Popperian
kairosfocus:
P: There you go again . . . but the underlying point is, the astute onlooker will see that you have not had the goods to back up your claim that induction is “impossible.”
I thought he made a rather compelling inductive argument in favor of the conclusion that induction is impossible. I must have misunderstood. :) Mung
KF
Not realising that in so doing . . . in dismissing the principle of reasonable faith, they are — yet again — trying to saw off the branch on which we all must sit. Not wise.
Agree. Not wise. :( Dionisio
KF Never heard of that Newton you just quoted... but judging by the nonsense he wrote, the guy must be an ignorant science-hater religious fanatic only known in your neighborhood, isn't he? ;-) Ok, enough silly joking. Hold on a moment, I must take a breadth to recover after writing so much stupidity together :( KF, I really enjoyed reading your post 241. Thank you! Have a blessed Sunday. Dionisio
D: CR was around a while back. Judging by DD above, he seems to hang out at Cornelius Hunter's blog most of the time. I don't bother to look much at TSZ and find the fever swamp mentality at more extreme sites not worth the bother. But note, TSZ is probably largely a slightly less disreputable front for many of the denizens of those more nastily hyperskeptical sites leading to a good cop bad cop enabling game. Which means both cops are in reality bad. KF kairosfocus
PS: I like vv 3 and 6:
Heb 11: 3 By faith we understand that the worlds [during the successive ages] { Strongs --> ???? aion (ai-own') n. 1. (properly) an age 2. (by extension) perpetuity (also past) 3. (by implication) the world 4. (specially, Jewish) a Messianic period (present or future)} were framed (fashioned, put in order, and equipped for their intended purpose) by the word of God, so that what we see was not made out of things which are visible . . . . 6 But without faith it is impossible to please and be satisfactory to Him [--> God]. For whoever would come near to God must [necessarily] believe that God exists and that He is the rewarder of those who earnestly and diligently seek Him [out]. [AMP]
A few blood vessels are on the verge of popping over that. In answer to the scripture-haters out there who wrench and twist to make out that such are delusional and prone to excite violent and even murderous passions, one of the best responses is to simply lay out what is taught. Where, the above -- long before science got so far -- laid out a series of cosmological worldview claims in a postulational context. By trusting God in the scriptural tradition . . . in the teeth of pagan credulity and learned skepticism . . . we hold to a unified, intelligible, ordered creation shaped by the word of God. One in which the visible stems from what cannot be seen but must be inferred. Had things gone the other way, we would hear gleeful denunciations of the irrational folly of those fundy dummies. But, as Newton so aptly pointed out, instead we see in the thoughts of a Judaeo-Christian scientific thinker:
. . . This most beautiful system of the sun, planets, and comets, could only proceed from the counsel and dominion of an intelligent and powerful Being. And if the fixed stars are the centres of other like systems, these, being formed by the like wise counsel, must be all subject to the dominion of One; especially since the light of the fixed stars is of the same nature with the light of the sun, and from every system light passes into all the other systems: and lest the systems of the fixed stars should, by their gravity, fall on each other mutually, he hath placed those systems at immense distances one from another. This Being governs all things, not as the soul of the world, but as Lord over all; and on account of his dominion he is wont to be called Lord God pantokrator , or Universal Ruler; for God is a relative word, and has a respect to servants; and Deity is the dominion of God not over his own body, as those imagine who fancy God to be the soul of the world, but over servants. The Supreme God is a Being eternal, infinite, absolutely perfect; but a being, however perfect, without dominion, cannot be said to be Lord God; for we say, my God, your God, the God of Israel, the God of Gods, and Lord of Lords; but we do not say, my Eternal, your Eternal, the Eternal of Israel, the Eternal of Gods; we do not say, my Infinite, or my Perfect: these are titles which have no respect to servants. The word God usually signifies Lord; but every lord is not a God. It is the dominion of a spiritual being which constitutes a God: a true, supreme, or imaginary dominion makes a true, supreme, or imaginary God. And from his true dominion it follows that the true God is a living, intelligent, and powerful Being; and, from his other perfections, that he is supreme, or most perfect. He is eternal and infinite, omnipotent and omniscient; that is, his duration reaches from eternity to eternity; his presence from infinity to infinity; he governs all things, and knows all things that are or can be done . . .
And, then we see ourselves drawn to reach out to him instead of fleeing into the darkness when the light is turned on. KF kairosfocus
KF BTW, I don't recall that avatar CR, but I'm relatively new here. Or maybe didn't notice it before. Dionisio
KF Yes, I see what you mean. Dionisio
#236 follow-up
things hoped for . . . things not seen. For the time being, only faith can see the future, as it receives the promises of God. received their commendation. God declared that they were righteous by faith (v. 4 note), as is explicitly stated regarding Abel and Enoch (vv. 4, 5; cf. v. 39). Although no human witnessed the creation, we know from Scripture that God brought the world into being through His Word (Ps. 33:6, 9). We discern that “what is seen” is not ultimate, self-existent reality. [Reformation Study Bible provided by Ligonier Ministries]
Dionisio
D: There is another theory, that P is Critical Rationalist under a new avatar. The emphasis on Popper's thought as utterly definitive seems to render empirical support. I have taken time to go to the fundamentals, as this surfaces the underlying problems with the thinking of objectors. Notice, how P projects a long since outdated understanding of induction that has been advanced from once we understood that abductive arguments lie at the heart of inductions. He then tries to follow Popper in a have the cake and eat it approach, which comes out once we realise that we want scientific models and more specifically full bore theories to be empirically reliable enough to take as a basis for making potentially costly interventions. Also, we heavily rely on predictive power as both test and strength. This reveals that we start from a notion of an orderly cosmos, and the linked idea that such is in part intelligible. So, we stand on Sion's provisional universality: we may explore, characterise and state so-far generalities on the understanding that while provisional, they may be really so, or may at least capture a substantial slice of reality. And so, having tested adequately, we trust. Even, when we say, theories may only be disproved so we traffic in corroborated theories that have stood tests so far. That is, we take them by faith. Which surfaces a root discomfort, we deal with those who despise faith. Not realising that in so doing . . . in dismissing the principle of reasonable faith, they are -- yet again -- trying to saw off the branch on which we all must sit. Not wise. KF kairosfocus
KF
We live by faith, the issue is in what.
Agree.
Now faith is the assurance of things hoped for, the conviction of things not seen. For by it the people of old received their commendation. By faith we understand that the universe was created by the word of God, so that what is seen was not made out of things that are visible. Hebrews 11:1-3 (ESV)
Dionisio
KF
We live by faith, the issue is in what.
Very insightful statement. Thanks. Dionisio
PS: Theories ought not to be expanded into the effective meaning, worldview. They are of far more limited character as possibly true explanations pivoting on key postulates or inferences that are articulated with world models or parameters and boundary conditions, etc, to yield a testable framework in some appropriate discipline.
world·view (wûrldvy) n. In both senses also called Weltanschauung. 1. The overall perspective from which one sees and interprets the world. 2. A collection of beliefs about life and the universe held by an individual or a group. [Translation of German Weltanschauung.] The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language, Fourth Edition copyright ©2000 by Houghton Mifflin Company. Updated in 2009. Published by Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. Welt•an•schau•ung (?v?lt??n??a? ??) n. German. a comprehensive conception or image of the universe and of humanity's relation to it. [literally, world-view] Random House Kernerman Webster's College Dictionary, © 2010 K Dictionaries Ltd. Copyright 2005, 1997, 1991 by Random House, Inc. All rights reserved. the·o·ry (th-r, thîr) n. pl. the·o·ries 1. A set of statements or principles devised to explain a group of facts or phenomena, especially one that has been repeatedly tested or is widely accepted and can be used to make predictions about natural phenomena. 2. The branch of a science or art consisting of its explanatory statements, accepted principles, and methods of analysis, as opposed to practice: a fine musician who had never studied theory. 3. A set of theorems that constitute a systematic view of a branch of mathematics. 4. Abstract reasoning; speculation: a decision based on experience rather than theory. 5. A belief or principle that guides action or assists comprehension or judgment: staked out the house on the theory that criminals usually return to the scene of the crime. 6. An assumption based on limited information or knowledge; a conjecture. [Late Latin theria, from Greek theri, from theros, spectator : probably the, a viewing + -oros, seeing (from horn, to see).] The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language, Fourth Edition copyright ©2000 by Houghton Mifflin Company. Updated in 2009. Published by Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. the•o•ry (??i ? ri, ????r i) n., pl. -ries. 1. a coherent group of general propositions used as principles of explanation for a class of phenomena: Darwin's theory of evolution. 2. a proposed explanation whose status is still conjectural. 3. a body of mathematical principles, theorems, or the like, belonging to one subject: number theory. 4. the branch of a science or art that deals with its principles or methods, as distinguished from its practice: music theory. 5. a particular conception or view of something to be done or of the method of doing it. 6. a guess or conjecture. 7. contemplation or speculation. Idioms: in theory, under hypothetical or ideal conditions; theoretically. [1590–1600; < Late Latin the?ria < Greek the?ría observing, contemplation, theory =the?r(eîn) to observe (see theorem) + -ia -y3] syn: theory, hypothesis are used in non-technical contexts to mean an untested idea or opinion. A theory in technical use is a more or less verified or established explanation accounting for known facts or phenomena: Einstein's theory of relativity. A hypothesis is a conjecture put forth as a possible explanation of phenomena or relations, which serves as a basis of argument or experimentation to reach the truth: This idea is only a hypothesis. Random House Kernerman Webster's College Dictionary, © 2010 K Dictionaries Ltd. Copyright 2005, 1997, 1991 by Random House, Inc. All rights reserved. Wiki . . . Theory is a contemplative and rational type of abstract or generalizing thinking, or the results of such thinking. Depending on the context, the results might for example include generalized explanations of how nature works. The word has its roots in ancient Greek, but in modern use it has taken on several different related meanings. A theory is not the same as a hypothesis. A theory provides an explanatory framework for some observation, and from the assumptions of the explanation follows a number of possible hypotheses that can be tested in order to provide support for, or challenge, the theory . . . . In modern science, the term "theory" refers to scientific theories, a well-confirmed type of explanation of nature, made in a way consistent with scientific method, and fulfilling the criteria required by modern science. Such theories are described in such a way that any scientist in the field is in a position to understand and either provide empirical support ("verify") or empirically contradict ("falsify") it. Scientific theories are the most reliable, rigorous, and comprehensive form of scientific knowledge,[6] in contrast to more common uses of the word "theory" that imply that something is unproven or speculative (which is better characterized by the word 'hypothesis').[7] Scientific theories are distinguished from hypotheses, which are individual empirically testable conjectures, and scientific laws, which are descriptive accounts of how nature will behave under certain conditions.[8] [--> In fact, in science as elsewhere, theory has been and is routinely used in looser and varied senses, including in a lot of peer reviewed literature]
kairosfocus
KF Recently someone in this site suggested that perhaps P is RDF reincarnated? ;-) Not long ago you had another interlocutor by a name starting with P, but has been gone from here lately? Anyway, I understand your point:
but the underlying point is, the astute onlooker will see that you have not had the goods to back up your claim that [...] This allows an evaluation of points you wished to make onwards that pivot on that.
Dionisio
F/N: I am pretty sure that one of the underlying issues is that inductive arguments are all about grounding reasonable confidence, giving a logic of faith. Which points onwards to the understanding of knowledge, that it is usually used in the sense: warranted, credibly true belief. There is an associated desire for certainty, and a linked tendency to be contemptuous towards "faith," typically manifested in viewing skepticism as an unalloyed virtue. We need no crutches. (Well do I remember the Christmas Day I almost broke my ankle; on that day I learned to respect that noble device, the crutch. As I should have long since learned from N, a polio victim who makes the most of her limitations. God bless you sister N!) There is then a resort to deductions. But, a deductive argument is like a chain . . . no stronger than its weakest link. Where, all it can do at most is draw out implications of axioms or premises. Indeed, some suggest that in the end there is an underlying inescapable circularity. As in, why those axioms? Let's try:
P: Socrates is a man Q: Men are mortal ___________________________ R: Socrates is mortal
This is of form (P AND Q) => R Which can be shown to reduce to: [(P => R) OR (Q => R)], where both can be true. Hence, the hint of circularity. And of course, Syllogisms are assertions regarding set memberships, so the issue of the overlapping of sets and the possibility that P depends on Q and Q on P to be true, is material . . . as is so regarding Socrates, being a man and being mortal. (Where, too, Parsons has shown that classically, if we accept the natural language force of the A form, All S is P -- that S is non-empty, and render the O form, as not every S is P then the classical square of opposition is fully valid.) Yes, the modern obsession with empty sets does not overturn the classical square of opposition once the AEIO assertions are understood as was evidently originally intended. Next, Q: where do we get axioms, other than out of thin air? A: From "experience," and "intuitive imagination" implicitly shaped by experience. That is, there is a bit of a hint on inductive approaches in axiom generation. Inferring a generally accepted explanation or concept or claim as a start-point points to implicit induction at the root of deductions. And, if instead postulates are pulled out of thin air, arbitrarily, they are open to objection. Which leads on to the point that we have alternative sets of first plausibles which -- on pain of infinite regress -- are accepted not proved. That brings up self-evident truths. These are particularly pivotal cases, as they are seen to be so, and as must-hold on pain of patent absurdity. Claims, such as first principles of right reason [LOI, LNC, LEM and some form of PSR are typical cases], which ever so many are inclined to skeptically doubt or even dismiss. Bringing up the rear, is the fate of Mathematics at the turn of the 1930's, where Godel's work on incompleteness showed that sets of axioms for complex aspects of Math are either incomplete or incoherent, and that there is no constructive process for guaranteeing the former. Mathematicians live by faith too, in short. A bitter pill to swallow. The sensible -- but humbling -- answer is to realise that at most we can have reasonable faith, resting on a worldview foundation of first plausibles, and that alternative sets of such face clusters of difficulties, so that the issue at this level is comparative difficulties across factual adequacy, coherence and explanatory power. We live by faith, the issue is in what. And, in that context, as Babbage pointed out in his 9th Bridgewater thesis, we can come to high certainty about formal pr informal witness and consensus of credible witnesses. For, P(x) = [1 - P(~x)]. So, if we have a reasonable situation where effectively independent witnesses are in mutual essential agreement about an event, and their senses are reasonably reliable and diverse, the odds of mutual agreement in error fall very fast. If P(~x) = 0.001, with just three concurring witnesses, P(x) is already very close to 1 for most practical purposes. (BTW, this surfaces the underlying weakness in Hume's dismissal of testimony where he is already disposed to reject a claim. Enough witnesses of ordinary capacity rapidly produce effective certainty.) Even, when witnesses partly conflict, there is still much mutual support as the conflicts point to lack of collusion, and if there is a solid core of agreement then it is amplified in credibility. (And in many -- but not all -- cases, diverse perspectives are actually in harmony, once one probes.) Thus, we come to the rope argument view: a cumulative case depending on mutual support can be quite strong. Even, as a rope can be made up from thin, weak, short fibres combined together by twisting and/or braiding, to yield length and strength. Which, BTW, brings out the potential force of an apt analogy in reasoning. Not to mention, that 99+% of real world reasoning and knowing depends on accepting the credibility of reasonable authorities, experts, witnesses, record etc. In short, we may have confidence up to moral certainty, but to demand absolute certainty to an arbitrary standard of warrant is a mirage. Especially, when such hyperskepticism is selectively applied to cases where one is inclined to reject . . . which blocks the recognition of its essential absurdity. So, inductive and deductive reasoning have strengths and limitations such that we must always live by faith, but this can be a reasonable faith. KF kairosfocus
P: There you go again . . . but the underlying point is, the astute onlooker will see that you have not had the goods to back up your claim that induction is "impossible." This allows an evaluation of points you wished to make onwards that pivot on that. KF kairosfocus
On second thought, scratch #229 I'm just not interested. Upright BiPed
And if I haven't made my point clearly enough, then please tell me -- How is knowledge present in these transformations where you say knowledge must be present in order for the transformation to take place? Upright BiPed
You do realize, “Don’t sweat it Pop.”, in addition to “face palm”, could be interpreted as an ad-hominem, right?
Pop, how many times did I ask you to tell me how knowledge is present in a transformation that you say requires knowledge to be present in order for the transformation to take place? Those are you words, surely you can answer that question. Yet each time I asked, instead of giving me an answer, you simply go off in another diatribe. You then ask me a direct question and I give you a direct answer. Yet instead of dealing WITH ANY THE WORDS I USED in my explanation, you simply picked up and went off (again) into another diatribe. Clearly you have no interest in communicating. So ... my friend ... you are free to interpret "Don't sweat it" as: Nevermind, I'm not interested. Upright BiPed
M: If you want the light to come on, do you flip the light switch up or do you flip the light switch down? Popperian: How is that relevant? It's relevance is demonstrated in your failing to understand it's relevance. It's a zen thing. Maybe Upright BiPed will write a book: Zen and the Art of Semiosis Mung
Correction: Argument is how we choose between theories. This includes theories about how knowledge grows. The entire philosophy of science is about this very subject. Yet you seem to be assuming what you’re calling inductive reasoning isn't subject to criticism. Popperian
KF: With all due respect, you are now being evasive...
It's unclear how pointing out arguments are not the same as definitions is being evasive.
KF: This includes inference to best explanation, which so happens to be the wider framework of scientific argumentation.
I'm criticizing what you referenced as the "best explanation" for how we make progress in science. I'm arguing against that definition. But, in response, you keep pointing to that same definition. Argument how we choose between theories. This includes theories about how knowledge grows. The entire philosophy of science is about this very subject. Yet you seem to be assuming what you're calling inductive reasoning is subject to criticism. Popperian
M: If you want the light to come on, do you flip the light switch up or do you flip the light switch down?
How is that relevant? If someone is killed when high winds from a tropical storm results in a traffic accident, and a power line to falls on someone's car, did they want to get electrocuted? Popperian
UB: Don’t sweat it Pop.
You do realize, "Don’t sweat it Pop.", in addition to "face palm", could be interpreted as an ad-hominem, right? Popperian
Popperian:
I’m still not clear as to what you mean by translated into physical effect.
If you want the light to come on, do you flip the light switch up or do you flip the light switch down? Mung
Upright BiPed:
Down to ad homs, Bill?
Don't you mean up to ad homs? Mung
Popperian said:
I’m still not clear as to what you mean by translated into physical effect. Perhaps responding to this will help?
"Translated into physical effect" means that the incoming signal cannot and will not generate the effect until it is translated by an intervening mechanism that takes the incoming signal and processes it into particular output specifications for the specified effect. A(incoming signal)-->B (interpretation/processing)-->C (activated effect). If you hook A directly up to C, nothing happens. William J Murray
Upright BiPed "RB, Down to ad homs, Bill?" He's not known by the handle Regurgitating Bill for nothing you know DavidD
RB, Down to ad homs, Bill? Upright BiPed
That should be, "where you can practice the art of helpful exposition." Reciprocating Bill
UB:
Don’t sweat it Pop.
UB, you can't possibly believe that gnomish incantations like this have any meaning to anyone not already familiar with your hobby theory. You've been muttering this stuff to yourself too long. What you ought to do is publish that website you've been promising, where you practice the art of helpful exposition. Reciprocating Bill
Pop: I’m not quite sure what you mean by “translated” into a physical effect. Can you elaborate? UB: Sure. The arrangement of an informational medium evokes an effect within a system capable of producing that effect. The arrangement of the medium evokes the effect, but a second arrangement within the system determines what the effect will be. In order for the system to function, the organization of the system must preserve the physical discontinuity between the two. That is how information is translated into a physical effect. Pop: I’m still not clear as to what you mean by translated into physical effect.
Don't sweat it Pop. Upright BiPed
I'm still not clear as to what you mean by translated into physical effect. Perhaps responding to this will help?
UB: If Darwinian evolution requires translated information in order to exist, it cannot be the cause of that system. To say otherwise is to say that a thing that does not yet exist on a pre-biotic earth can cause something to happen (which is obviously false).
Darwinian evolution is the theory that knowledge is genuinely created by variation, in the form of genetic variation that is random to any specific problem to solve and criticism, in the form of natural selection. However, when you use the word "translated" you seem to imply Darwinism extrapolates "knowledge" that existed at the outset, in the same sense that we supposedly induce the contents of theories from observations. Both make the same mistake.
How is this “knowledge” present at these transformations?
Knowledge is useful information that causes itself to be retained when embodied in a storage medium. Knowing how to do something, like build a protein, etc. is knowledge because it's effect plays a causal role in it being copied. Genes are template replicators. From the previously referenced constructor theory paper on evolution...
My argument to vindicate it begins with something within the overlap of physics and biology: the gene. A gene [5] is any portion of DNA which can be transmitted between generations by copying and codes for a trait of the organism that can be selected (from a set of variants) by the environment. Organisms are vehicles for their genes; natural selection relies on genes being copied, with occasional errors; the appearance of design is the result of gene propagation across generations. Physically, a gene is a replicator, i.e., an object R that is copied in this schematic pattern:
The template for how to build a replicator represents the knowledge of how to "build" that replicator. Having a template in physical form is a key aspect of the process.
I call a modular replicator whose subunits are naturally occurring, such as R, a template replicator. A DNA strand is one: the information variable ? is the set of nucleotides - they are simple enough to have been naturally occurring in pre-biological environments. Rewriting (3) as (R,N) =? (R,R,W) (3) C[R] N =? (R,W), to highlight that C executes R, we see that a template replicator has a remarkable property. It instantiates a recipe for its own construction from naturally occurring substrates (C does not need to contain any additional recipe to construct the subunits of R). This is unique to template replicators: from the argument in section 2.1, it follows that an instance (or a blueprint) of an object is not, in general, a recipe for its construction from naturally occurring substrates. A 3-D raster-scanner provided with an instance of, say, a bacterium could not re- produce it accurately from naturally occurring substrates only: without a recipe containing the knowledge about the bacterium, there would be no criterion for error-correction, resulting in a bound on the achievable accuracy. Likewise, an entire organism could not self-reproduce to a high accuracy via self-copying: without the recipe, an “error catastrophe” [24] would occur. (3)I do not model details irrelevant to the self-reproduction logic (e.g. DNA semi- conservative replication). 11 ? This is why “Lamarckian evolution” (of adaptations by the inheritance of acquired characteristics) cannot occur.
Popperian
P: With all due respect, you are now being evasive -- and this in a situation where I do not really have time or energy for endlessly circling rhetorical games . . . given a fast developing situation here, complete with accusations and debates on having "hoodies" come from a candidate's house at 3 am . . . the link is revealing of a desperate smear tactic against a family well known for reaching out to the marginalised . . . and is not without echoes in the ID debate with all that stuff on "creationists in cheap tuxedos." An inductive argument uses evidence to support -- as opposed to using axioms to deduce necessarily following . . . -- inferred conclusions. This includes inference to best explanation, which so happens to be the wider framework of scientific argumentation. As was explained above at 155 (with a lot of backdrop yet further above that also seems to have been unduly swept aside) but you claimed not to understand, I suggest you review this, on pain of showing yourself resisting what is not even generally controversial -- IBE covers both theory refinement and replacement in science quite handily, along with much else. At this point, I consider enough as having been said (and also, that enough has been inadvertently revealed on underlying gaps in reasoning by objectors to the ID inference on empirically reliable sign and linked analysis tied to FSCO/I . . . ) and will try to restore focus to the primary point I raised in the OP. KF PS: I should note that scientific and similar IBE arguments are not circular, because they are open to corrective empirical evidence and exposure of gaps in logic; that is, we are not hopelessly locked into worldviews-driven circles, unless we become stubborn in the teeth of evidence. Where also, as was highlighted at 134 above but was studiously ignored, there are good worldviews construction, logical reasons to accept a pre-theoretical, epistemological principle of provisional universality; which grounds provisional warrant for inductive knowledge claims. Inductive reasoning is most definitely not "impossible" nor does it reduce to deductive reasoning. It has legitimacy in its own right in grounding knowledge in the weak form, inductive sense we use in science, in a lot of common sense thought and much else: knowledge is warranted, credibly true [but revisable] belief. In many relevant cases the support is strong enough that one would be unwise or worse to act as though the grounded claim is dubious or false. Knowledge that Napoleon existed, that there was a first world war, that Newton founded astrophysics by inferring inverse square law gravitation by comparing the fall of objects on earth with the centripetal force acting on the Moon, accepting the reality of electrons, recognising that Jesus of Nazareth was a C1 historical figure and through his life, works and teachings, is the founder of the Christian faith, and much more amount to that level of warrant we term, moral certainty. kairosfocus
Pop,
I’m not quite sure what you mean by “translated” into a physical effect. Can you elaborate?
Sure. The arrangement of an informational medium evokes an effect within a system capable of producing that effect. The arrangement of the medium evokes the effect, but a second arrangement within the system determines what the effect will be. In order for the system to function, the organization of the system must preserve the physical discontinuity between the two. That is how information is translated into a physical effect.
Furthermore, wouldn’t a more fundamental question be what transformations are possible and which are not.
Here is a fundamental: Darwinian evolution is enabled by of translation of information -- i.e. because the effects of translation are not determined by inexorable law, they are subject to error, variation, and change. In general terms, it is the information that evolves. If Darwinian evolution requires translated information in order to exist, it cannot be the cause of that system. To say otherwise is to say that a thing that does not yet exist on a pre-biotic earth can cause something to happen (which is obviously false). - - - - - - - - - - - - - - I've answered your question, now answer mine: You claim that “there are transformations that only occur when the requisite knowledge is present How is this "knowledge" present at these transformations? Upright BiPed
Popperian: I think I understand your "theory" quite well. You have repeated it a lot of times, with practically the same words and arguments, and I am not completely dumb. Can you simply accept that I consider it utter nonsense? Maybe my way of building theories doe snot work well. Live with it. You say: "We (human designers) start out with a specific problem to solve (how to travel quicker, etc.), conjecture an explanatory theory about how the world works, in reality, that we hope will solve that particular problem, then criticize that theory and discard errors we might find. In the case of science, criticism takes the form of empirical observations. Then, the process starts again when new observations indicate there is a problem in one of our ideas." That's exactly what the biological designer does. The tradeoffs are certainly different, the limitations different, but the process is the same. On the other hand, you say: "On the other hand, This is in contrast to biological Darwinism, which is the theory that the knowledge of how to build biological adaptations in an organism’s genome was created by conjecture, in the form of genetic variation that is random to any problem to solve (as opposed to completely random), and criticism, in the form of natural selection. This would result in the creation of non-explanatory knowledge." So, you accept that what is obviously explanatory knowledge for all its properties (biological information) should be considered non explanatory knowledge, even if the processes which build non explanatory knowledge clearly do not have the reach to generate that kind of result. You have not said one word about the impossibility for that explanation to work, as detailed by ID theory, and never addressed the inconsistencies of the explanation. But still, you defend that explanation. And why? Because you, of all people, have decided that: "good explanations are those that cannot be significantly modified without significantly impacting their ability to explain what the purport to explain. They are hard to vary. This criteria is part of an explanation for growth of knowledge in science and knowledge in general." Oh, yes! That's obviously the only rule. Good explanations have no real necessity of being credible, consistent, of explaining observed facts, of convincing our mind that they are reliable convictions about reality. No. Those are only false imaginations that those silly inductivist people at ID (and probably a few other billion people on the planet) still insist in believing, even if they are obviously no more fashionable. The only rule is your rule. So simple, so ad hoc. Certainly, a rule that "cannot be significantly modified without significantly impacting its ability to explain what it purports to explain." A rule that, as everybody here can witness, "is hard to vary". OK, it's nonsense. But you can go on thinking that I don't understand your theory. I can certainly live with that. gpuccio
Anyway, you'll get your money's worth here. FYI all, if you wanna get some background on Popperian's thought processes, scan past Cornelius Hunter posts over at Darwin's God. Steve
Popperian, Is that you Scott? Bored with the dearth of posts at Darwin's God?? Its that ole' 'splanatory vs. non-splantory schtick. Again? Steve
Does the internet give us a trillion plus cases of intelligence always being accompanied by a complex material brains. Therefore, it’s been empirically demonstrated that a complex material brain is necessary for intelligence? If not, why?
No RDFish Pop, correlation does not imply causation. Box
kairosfocus quoted:
Inductive arguments provide evidence to support the inferences made as opposed to attempting to deduce from premises as necessarily following.
Yes, I'm aware of that *definition*. However, that definition does not address the criticism I raised. I can point you to a definition of logical positivism, as well, but we have discarded it because it has not withstood criticism.
In particular, inference to best explanation, which is highly relevant to scientific explanations — which undercuts the attempted dismissal you cited . . .
But I'm arguing that adding a designer doesn't actually add to the explanation, so it serves no explanatory purpose. See [161, 187, 201] among others.
P needs to consult the vera causa principle and to understand that explanations need to be qualified as actually capable of a relevant effect before reliance should be placed on them
And being qualified as a potential explanatory theory appears to equal an appeal what has been validated by induction.
The cases where FSCO/I, to name one case has been observed as arising by blind chance and mechanical necessity amount to NIL. For good reason. Just the Internet gives a trillion plus cases of FSCO/I originating by design per observation.
Again, what constitutes repetition does not come from sensory experience - it based on theory. I've provide a theory that better explains biological knowledge as having a non-explantory source that consist of variation and selection. It explains significantly more phenomena and is significantly harder to vary. Does the internet give us a trillion plus cases of intelligence always being accompanied by a complex material brains. Therefore, it's been empirically demonstrated that a complex material brain is necessary for intelligence? If not, why? Popperian
The origin of biology requires information to be translated into a functional physical effect, right?
I'm not quite sure what you mean by "translated" into a physical effect. Can you elaborate? Furthermore, wouldn't a more fundamental question be what transformations are possible and which are not. This is the subject of what's known as Constructor Theory. Here's an excerpt from this conversation on Constructor Theory, which I think exists at the same level you may be referring to....
The new thing, which I think is the key to the fact that constructor theory delivers new content, was that the laws of constructor theory are not about an initial state, laws of motion, final state or anything like that. They are just about which transformations are possible and which are impossible. The laws of motion and that kind of thing are indirect remote consequences of just saying what's possible and what's impossible. Also the laws of constructor theory are not about the constructor. They're not about how you do it, only whether you can do it, and this is analogous to the theory of computation. The theory of computation isn't about transistors and wires and input/output devices and so on. It's about which transformations of information are possible and which aren't possible. Since we have the universal computer, we know that each possible ones corresponds to a program for a universal computer, but the universal computer can be made in lots of different ways. How you make it is inessential to the deep laws of computation. In the case of constructor theory, what's important is which transformations of physical objects are possible and which are impossible. When they're possible, you'll be able to do them in lots of different ways usually. When they're impossible, that will always be because some law of physics forbids them, and that is why, as Karl Popper said, the content of a physical theory, of any scientific theory, is in what it forbids and also in how it explains what it forbids.
When you say translation, how does this apply to the theory of computation, which was the starting point for constructor theory?
The theory of computation isn't about transistors and wires and input/output devices and so on. It's about which transformations of information are possible and which aren't possible. Since we have the universal computer, we know that each possible ones corresponds to a program for a universal computer, but the universal computer can be made in lots of different ways. How you make it is inessential to the deep laws of computation. In the case of constructor theory, what's important is which transformations of physical objects are possible and which are impossible. When they're possible, you'll be able to do them in lots of different ways usually. When they're impossible, that will always be because some law of physics forbids them, and that is why, as Karl Popper said, the content of a physical theory, of any scientific theory, is in what it forbids and also in how it explains what it forbids.
To elaborate, here's the quote being referenced....
Every ‘good’ scientific theory is a prohibition: it forbids certain things to happen. The more a theory forbids, the better it is. - Karl Popper
IOW, the contents of a physical theory, or any scientific theory, is based on what it forbids and a corresponding explanation for why it is forbidden. What we want from theories is their content, and what they allow allow us to achieve. However, ID's designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. As such, there are no necessary consequences other than a designer having supposedly wanting it that way. Most importantly, constructor theory is a formalized version of the initial groupings i presented.
If a task, a transformation, is impossible then constructor theory says it must be because there is some law of physics that makes it impossible. Conversely, if there isn't a law of physics that makes it impossible, then it's possible. There is no third possibility. What does possible mean? In the overwhelming majority of cases, though some things are possible because they happen spontaneously, things that are possible are possible because the right knowledge embodied in the right physical object would make them happen. Since the dichotomy is between that which is forbidden by the laws of physics and that which is possible with the right knowledge, and there isn't any other possibility, this tells us that all evils are due to lack of knowledge.
I'd also note this paper that applies constructor theory to evolution, including an area that overlaps between physics and biology: the gene. Popperian
PS: where, of course, UB has highlighted that FSCO/I has one known source, which is in the context of the needle in haystack search challenge and the requisite of properly arranged complexes of parts to achieve function. P needs to consult the vera causa principle and to understand that explanations need to be qualified as actually capable of a relevant effect before reliance should be placed on them. The cases where FSCO/I, to name one case has been observed as arising by blind chance and mechanical necessity amount to NIL. For good reason. Just the Internet gives a trillion plus cases of FSCO/I originating by design per observation. kairosfocus
P: I am sure UB can speak for himself, and even were he wrong that would be off the matter in the main. Where, as I pointed out, while inductive generalisations are still inductive arguments, a much wider category of arguments is also understood to be such. In particular, inference to best explanation, which is highly relevant to scientific explanations -- which undercuts the attempted dismissal you cited . . . to which I replied at 155. Inductive arguments provide evidence to support the inferences made as opposed to attempting to deduce from premises as necessarily following. I again point you to SEP, cited and linked at 155 above. KF kairosfocus
Pop,
So, the origin of those biological features is the origin of that knowledge. Right?
The origin of biology requires information to be translated into a functional physical effect, right? Upright BiPed
UB: ... but your attack on ID is an attack on something that has nothing whatsoever to do with ID. It’s really that simple.
First, which "attack"? I have multiple threads going. Second, if it's that simple, then please point out why it's not applicable. Please be specific. Popperian
UB: please go on Pop. So, the origin of those biological features is the origin of that knowledge. Right? As such, adding a designer to the mix doesn't add to the explanation as ID doesn't explain the origin of that knowledge. That knowledge is merely described as moving from one place (in the designer) to end up in another place (the organism). So, ID merely pushes the problem up a level with out actually improving it. In the absence of an explanation for the origin of that knowledge, ID is essentially the theory that knowledge comes from authoritative sources. But that's a philosophical position and a rather poor one at that. Saying ID's designer has the property of "design", is like saying fire has the property of dryness. Popperian
G: If I understand well, your simple point in a very complex argument is that designer should have designed anything just from the beginning with all the possible functions of which the designer has knowledge.
No, I'm suggesting that good explanations are those that cannot be significantly modified without significantly impacting their ability to explain what the purport to explain. They are hard to vary. This criteria is part of an explanation for growth of knowledge in science and knowledge in general.
G: So, now I understand clearly what you think. It is nonsense, and I can in all good faith disagree.
That's the thing, gpuccio. You do not clearly know what I think. Furthermore, before you could reach a false conclusion, you had to first create a false theory by which to interpret my comments. That's my point.
G: Just to understand, do you think that a film director, or a writer, even if they have in their mind the final solution of their work (which is not necessarily the case) should just give it in an instant revelation, and avoid to direct or write?
The vast majority of all film directors need to make money from their works to survive. They need audiences to by tickets to see their movies. If a film director did that, they wouldn't sell many tickets. As such, they wouldn't have money to make other films, etc. ID's designer is abstract had has no defined limitations, such as needing audiences or ticket sales to make more "designs".
G: Do you think that a car has limitations only because its engineers and manifacturers have limitations? Why don’t all cars reach 300 Km per hour? And yet, humans know well how to do that. It has been done in at least one case (indeed, many more). You cannot ascribe that to our “current limitations”.
Again, I've made a distinction which you seem to be ignoring. Our current limitations are related to limitations on our knowledge. Our designs represent tradeoffs due to to those limitations. For example, the vast majority of drivers cannot travel safely at 300 KPH. Creating knowledge of how to enable cars to drive themselves will solve this problem. (but not for traveling at, say, 1,225 KPH, which would require other knowledge) The entire existing infrastructure is not designed for traveling at 300 KPH. The materials needed to provide comparable safety is cost prohibited. Not everyone can afford the additional fuel that would be expended to travel at those speeds. Car manufactures need to price their models in the range that customers will purchase them in sufficient amount to offset their production costs, pay for new designs, etc. On the other hand, we have relatively recently created the knowledge of how to effectively travel by train at speeds exceeding 300 KPH. It's effective because it caries many people on a contained, dedicated track. Nor could most people afford to buy such a train dedicated for their own use. Again, these are trade-offs based on our limitations, or lack there of.
G: Probably it is wrong to think that cars are designed. OK, we could reason: “perhaps that’s just what the engineer and manufacturer must have wanted”, but everyone can see that that is an explanation-less theory, and therefore a bad explanation.
Again, human beings are good explanations for human designed things, like cars. We cannot travel long distances quickly. They have safety features that reflect our limited ability to withstand rapid changes in inertial and impacts. When we created the knowledge of how to build them, cars included air conditioners designed to keep the interior's temperature such that we do not need to use own own regulation system, which has the unfortunate side effect of uncomfortable sweating. All of these specific features reflect our unique limitations. They are trade-offs.
G: Certainly, cars are created “via variation that is *random to any specific problem to solve* and selection”. They are a good example of “non-explanatory knowledge in the form of a useful rule of thumb with limited reach”.
You seem to be dismissing a theory you do not understand. We (human designers) start out with a specific problem to solve (how to travel quicker, etc.), conjecture an explanatory theory about how the world works, in reality, that we hope will solve that particular problem, then criticize that theory and discard errors we might find. In the case of science, criticism takes the form of empirical observations. Then, the process starts again when new observations indicate there is a problem in one of our ideas. On the other hand, This is in contrast to biological Darwinism, which is the theory that the knowledge of how to build biological adaptations in an organism’s genome was created by conjecture, in the form of genetic variation that is random to any problem to solve (as opposed to completely random), and criticism, in the form of natural selection. This would result in the creation of non-explanatory knowledge. Nature cannot conceive of problems, let alone create explanatory theories about how the world works. Being merely a useful rule of thumb, it would have significantly less reach. Your comment doesn't accurately reflect that distinction at all. At best, it seems to have the distinction backwards. Popperian
Box: ID is about detecting design. ID is not about the designer or his/her/its motives.
And I'm criticizing that supposed detection based on what we know about designers. Specifically, my criticism is that ID grossly underestimates the role that knowledge plays in design. As such, its explanatory power is artificially limited. IOW, ID presents design as an irreducible primitive for which no progress can be made. But the assumption we cannot make progress on the designer (only the things it designed) is a theory, which is not derived from experience. For example, based on progress we've made in explaining how design works in the field of epistemology, an intelligent designer that is at least as advanced as we are would create explanatory knowledge, which has significant reach. This is in contrast to non-explantory knowledge, which has *necessary* limitations and significantly less reach. The specific kind of "design" we observe in the biosphere is best explained by the *necessary* limitations of non-explanatory knowledge. Popperian
Upright BiPed:
I’ll wait ’til you are through, and then ask how knowledge is present in a transformation that cannot occur without it being present.
Next you'll be arguing in favor of the Principle of Causation. Please spare us. Mung
Popperian: If I understand well, your simple point in a very complex argument is that designer should have designed anything just from the beginning with all the possible functions of which the designer has knowledge. So, now I understand clearly what you think. It is nonsense, and I can in all good faith disagree. Just to understand, do you think that a film director, or a writer, even if they have in their mind the final solution of their work (which is not necessarily the case) should just give it in an instant revelation, and avoid to direct or write? Do you think that a car has limitations only because its engineers and manifacturers have limitations? Why don't all cars reach 300 Km per hour? And yet, humans know well how to do that. It has been done in at least one case (indeed, many more). You cannot ascribe that to our "current limitations". Probably it is wrong to think that cars are designed. OK, we could reason: "perhaps that’s just what the engineer and manufacturer must have wanted", but everyone can see that that is an explanation-less theory, and therefore a bad explanation. Certainly, cars are created "via variation that is *random to any specific problem to solve* and selection". They are a good example of "non-explanatory knowledge in the form of a useful rule of thumb with limited reach". Why haven't I realized that before? gpuccio
Pop, I am certain you've put a great deal of time and thought into your counter-argument against ID, and I certainly understand the idea of putting yourself out there with a novel idea, but your attack on ID is an attack on something that has nothing whatsoever to do with ID. It's really that simple. Set aside your preconceptions, and take some time to understand what ID is about, then generate a counterargument against that. cheers Upright BiPed
UB: (facepalm)
As with the times you've employed it before, it's unclear how this represents criticism of my comment. Care to be more specific?
UB: Pop, have you by chance lost a limb?
No, I haven't. Does that somehow make the loss of a limb less of a problem for organisms that could be solved with the same explanatory knowledge? Again, I'm attempting to take ID seriously as an explanation for the biological complexity we observe, as if it were true in reality, for the purpose of criticism. However, you appear to be suggesting one would only take ID seriously if they had actually lost a limb. Would that be an accurate assumption on my part? If so, why would you assume this? For example, is there some additional assumption you're making about the designer that would prevent us from doing this? Are we not supposed to take Intelligent Design Theory seriously, as it were true in reality, and that all observations should conform to it? Popperian
atheists have their theology, which is basically: "God, if he existed, wouldn't do it this way (because) if I were God, I wouldn't (do it that way)." http://www.evolutionnews.org/2014/05/creationists_th085691.html bornagain77
Pop, ID is about detecting design. ID is not about the designer or his/her/its motives. Please look at Frequently raised but weak arguments against Intelligent Design, section "24] Bad Design Means No Design". Box
Pop, have you by chance lost a limb? Upright BiPed
Uh, okay. (facepalm) Upright BiPed
Correction: So, If we attempt to take ID seriously, as explanation for biological features, one would need to assume is ID’s designer possessed the explanatory knowledge of how to regrow grow limbs but, “for some good reason we cannot understand” decided not to apply it in the vast majority of all mature organisms, which is merely a logical possibility. The only response ID can present it “that’s just what the designer must have wanted”, which is an explanation-less theory. This is why ID’s designer is a bad explanation. Popperian
please go on Pop. Upright BiPed
I wrote:
So, where we seem to disagree is what constitutes a good explanation, which I’ll expand on in a future comment.
As indicated in my handle, I'm a Popperian, in that I think conjecture and criticism, in one form or another, is the best explanation for the universal growth of knowledge. Criticism takes the form of taking an idea seriously, as if it were true in reality, and that all observations should conform to it. I'm also an optimist in the sense that unless something is prohibited by the laws of physics, the only thing that prevents us from achieving it is knowing how. This includes, say, rebuilding amputated or damaged limbs. As human designers, once we create this knowledge we it will no longer be necessary to design prosthetics. It's in this sense that the kinds of things we design is reflected in our limitations, or lack there off. Sure, as intelligent agents that make choices, we cannot rule out the fact that we might not choose not to actually apply the knowledge of how to regrow limbs, despite knowing how. For example, we might continue to use prosthetics not merely to give us back our original capacity but to enhance it or as a sort of art form. And this would be reflected in designs with capacity or esthetics beyond our original limbs. But to basically appeal to the fact there could be "good reason we cannot understand" for us not to use it is an appeal to merely a logical possibility, which is a bad explanation. Via it's own claims, we can deduce that ID's designer would have possessed the knowledge of how to build limbs since ID claims it was the source of the knowledge of how those same limbs are build by offspring during reproduction. And since ID claims the designer is supposedly a person, that knowledge would have been explanatory in nature. Having significantly more reach, this explanatory knowledge could be applied beyond just initially building limbs - it could also applied to regrow limbs in organisms after they mature. And this would solve an substantial problem that all organisms can and do face. Nor is this prohibited by the laws of physics because at least one organism, a particular variation of salamander, does just that - skin, nerves bone and all. So, If we attempt to take ID seriously, as explanation for biological features, one would need to assume is ID's designer possessed the explanatory knowledge of how to regrow grow limbs, but decided no use it's reach "for some good reason we cannot understand" to apply it in the cast of the vast majority of all mature organisms, which is merely a logical possibility. The only response ID can present it "that's just what the designer must have wanted", which is an explanation-less theory. This is why ID's designer is a bad explanation. Biological Darwinism, on the other hand, explains this in that the knowledge of how to build limbs was create via variation that is *random to any specific problem to solve* and selection. The result was non-explanatory knowledge in the form of a useful rule of thumb with limited reach. As such, for great majority of organisms it is only actually applied for development, despite the potential of much greater utility in solving real problems those organism actually face. Popperian
Of the latter possible group, there are two types: transformations that occur spontaneously, such as the formation of stars from gravity, hydrogen and other stellar materials and transformations that only occur when the requisite knowledge is present, such as the transformation of air, water. etc., into plants, trees, etc. Following me so far? Is there are type of transformation I haven’t covered?
Apparently, we do not diverge on groupings at this point, so I'll continue. - - - - Biological features of organisms represent adaptations of matter, such as air, water, etc. For example, a giraffe starts out as a fertilized egg that "builds itself" by adapting local resources. As indicated above, these adaptations represent transformations that occur when the requisite knowledge of how to perform them are present. This knowledge takes the form of a set of instructions indicating what transformations the cell should perform, which will result in an imperfect copy of that organism. This is opposed to some other set of transformations, which would results in some other organism, an unviable organism or no organism at all. In regards to existing features, this knowledge does not get augmented by some other external source. (An exception to this would be cell to cell signaling in multicellular organisms, but this too is based on internal knowledge in each cell.) To use an analogy, cells do not contact a biological equivalent of an external Microsoft Update server to obtain the knowledge of which transformation will result in existing adaptations. Everyone still with me? Popperian
Popperian: I just read your 180 and 182. At this point, I am not sure of how much we agree or disagree. Maybe if you clarify what you think in order, I will understand. You quote the arguments that: "merely feeding a computer existing information, regardless of how much you feed it, does not result in a computer popping out a new explanation. However, this is essentially an argument against induction. Yet, induction is defended when it comes to presenting an inductive argument for intelligent design." and consider it as an argument against induction (which from now on I will call inferential knowledge, because I like that more). Well, I can agree with the quoted argument, in the sense that a computing system will never generate new dFSCI, IOWs new complex information about a new function, not specified in any way, neither directly nor indirectly, in the original system or input. But that is not an argument against inferential knowledge. Indeed, a computer is an example of purely deductive knowledge. It makes necessary deductions from its original state and the inputs it receives. Being not conscious, it cannot make new inferences. Human cosnciosness is different. It represents experiences subjectively, and subjectively reacts to them according to its innate powers and principles. That's why human consciousness is capable of inferential knowledge, where the conclusions are not necessarily implied by the facts (but are certainly suggested by them to a conscious cognizer). That's why human consciousness is capable of generating new dFSCI. Consciousness is creative, it generates cognition from facts. It is called inferential knowledge if it is about empirical facts. It is just called intuition if it is about abstract inner principles. Non conscious systems know nothing of cognition. They can simply elaborate data in the way they were programmed to do. They never understand anything. They never choose. They never feel, they have no purpose, they experience no pain or joy. That's all the difference. Strangely, a purely deductive process can be "frozen" into a non conscious machine. A true original inference cannot. gpuccio
Popperian: Maybe if you went on with your argument, instead of just repeating the same "concepts", we would be more interested. Maybe repetition is not a sensory experience, but it is boring just the same. gpuccio
KF:
I have already pointed out that you have been using a long since outdated conception of inductive reasoning.
I am? Then why do we see this outdated conception used in arguments such as... UB:
This goes back to the original question I asked you. The “explanatory content” of ID theory includes the intractable observation that human design and biological design share the exact same physical conditions by which those designs are imparted into physical form. Only human design and biological design can be demonstrated (at the physical/material level) to exhibit these unique qualities. They are found no where else in the cosmos. You are asking ID theorist to ignore these demonstrable facts, but you are not giving the reasons why such demonstrable facts should be ignored. At the very least, you could tell us why you ignore them.
Other theories are being rejected because they are not "observed". However, What counts as repition is not a sensory experience. Theory aways comes first. Popperian
gpuccio, I’m waiting to hear if UB actually has an objection to the groupings I’ve presented.
Oh nooooooo. I was just asking about details. Please don't let me hold you up. By all means, make your case. I'll wait 'til you are through, and then ask how knowledge is present in a transformation that cannot occur without it being present. Upright BiPed
G: (otherwise, how could we decide which is the “best” explanation, if not by our inner cognitive judgement) Here's what I find confusing. An argument on another UD thread is that, merely feeding a computer existing information, regardless of how much you feed it, does not result in a computer popping out a new explanation. However, this is essentially an argument against induction. Yet, induction is defended when it comes to presenting an inductive argument for intelligent design. From this article on General Artificial Intelligence (AIG)....
The upshot is that, unlike any functionality that has ever been programmed to date, this one can be achieved neither by a specification nor a test of the outputs. What is needed is nothing less than a breakthrough in philosophy, a new epistemological theory that explains how brains create explanatory knowledge and hence defines, in principle, without ever running them as programs, which algorithms possess that functionality and which do not. Such a theory is beyond present-day knowledge. What we do know about epistemology implies that any approach not directed towards that philosophical breakthrough must be futile. Unfortunately, what we know about epistemology is contained largely in the work of the philosopher Karl Popper and is almost universally underrated and misunderstood (even — or perhaps especially — by philosophers). For example, it is still taken for granted by almost every authority that knowledge consists of justified, true beliefs and that, therefore, an AGI’s thinking must include some process during which it justifies some of its theories as true, or probable, while rejecting others as false or improbable. But an AGI programmer needs to know where the theories come from in the first place. The prevailing misconception is that by assuming that ‘the future will be like the past’, it can ‘derive’ (or ‘extrapolate’ or ‘generalise’) theories from repeated experiences by an alleged process called ‘induction’. But that is impossible. I myself remember, for example, observing on thousands of consecutive occasions that on calendars the first two digits of the year were ‘19’. I never observed a single exception until, one day, they started being ‘20’. Not only was I not surprised, I fully expected that there would be an interval of 17,000 years until the next such ‘19’, a period that neither I nor any other human being had previously experienced even once. How could I have ‘extrapolated’ that there would be such a sharp departure from an unbroken pattern of experiences, and that a never-yet-observed process (the 17,000-year interval) would follow? Because it is simply not true that knowledge comes from extrapolating repeated observations. Nor is it true that ‘the future is like the past’, in any sense that one could detect in advance without already knowing the explanation. The future is actually unlike the past in most ways. Of course, given the explanation, those drastic ‘changes’ in the earlier pattern of 19s are straightforwardly understood as being due to an invariant underlying pattern or law. But the explanation always comes first. Without that, any continuation of any sequence constitutes ‘the same thing happening again’ under some explanation. [...] In regard to how the AGI problem is perceived, this has the catastrophic effect of simultaneously framing it as the ‘problem of induction’, and making that problem look easy, because it casts thinking as a process of predicting that future patterns of sensory experience will be like past ones. That looks like extrapolation — which computers already do all the time (once they are given a theory of what causes the data). But in reality, only a tiny component of thinking is about prediction at all, let alone prediction of our sensory experiences. We think about the world: not just the physical world but also worlds of abstractions such as right and wrong, beauty and ugliness, the infinite and the infinitesimal, causation, fiction, fears, and aspirations — and about thinking itself. Now, the truth is that knowledge consists of conjectured explanations — guesses about what really is (or really should be, or might be) out there in all those worlds. Even in the hard sciences, these guesses have no foundations and don’t need justification. Why? Because genuine knowledge, though by definition it does contain truth, almost always contains error as well. So it is not ‘true’ in the sense studied in mathematics and logic. Thinking consists of criticising and correcting partially true guesses with the intention of locating and eliminating the errors and misconceptions in them, not generating or justifying extrapolations from sense data. And therefore, attempts to work towards creating an AGI that would do the latter are just as doomed as an attempt to bring life to Mars by praying for a Creation event to happen there..
Popperian
P: I have already pointed out that you have been using a long since outdated conception of inductive reasoning. I suggest you take time to read the already linked and cited SEP article in 155 supra . . . which corrects the outdated cite you used further up; if you don't want to believe me. Inductive reasoning is the approach that seeks to provide substantial support to conclusions based on evidence (often per observations). It is far more than analogies and generalisations. And, abductive inference to best explanations is a major facet of inductive reasoning as applied to science and many fields of serious praxis. KF kairosfocus
G:
While I want to state again that i don’t believe that our explanations are completely determined by facts, and I can agree that inner principles which are applied to facts have an important role, still I find that you are really obsessed with denying the importance of facts.
But, I think you'd have to admit your theory that I'm "really obsessed with denying the importance of facts." is not a sensory experience. It's a theory you conjectured to explain my comments. Before you could reach a wrong conclusion, you must have conjectured a false explanation, such as that I deny the importance of facts. But that theory is not out there for you to observe. In fact, I've continually made a distinction that distance myself from that theory, which appear to have gone unnoticed or ignored. See [175]. P:
We never speak of the existence of dinosaurs, millions of years ago, as an interpretation of our best theories of fossils. Rather, we say that dinosaurs are *the* explanation for fossils. Nor is the theory primarily about fossils, but about dinosaurs, in that they are assumed to actually exist as part of the explanation.
G:
All your reasoning about dinosaurs is deeply flawed. If there were no fossils, we would have no idea that dinosaurs existed.
Again, please note the contrast between the following ideas....
We start out with a problem, conjecture an explanatory theory about how the world works, in reality, that we hope will solve it, then criticize that theory and discard errors we might find. In the case of science, criticism takes the form of empirical observations. Then, the process starts again when new observations indicate there is a problem in one of our ideas. This is in contrast to the idea that we start out with observations, generalize those observations to form a theory, then perform more observations to prove that theory is true or probably true.
Both are compatible with the same observations, but suggest something significantly different is happening, in reality. (As are the all the "explanations" for the observations of fossils I listed) So, to translate, if there was no problem to solve (the existence of fossils) we would not have conjectured a theory to explain them. I don't see a problem with this at all.
The reason why we prefer to believe that dinosaurs really existed, and not, for example, that “designer chose to create the world we observe 30 second ago”, is not mysterious at all: the simple reason is that the first hypothesis explains better all the available facts (not only fossils of dinosaurs), while the second one (with all respect for all possible extreme YECs) explains practically none.
First, I fail to see how you're actually disagreeing with me or with the following quote...
“All the ‘facts’ Darwin used as evidence for his theory of evolution were known before he used them … What Darwin contributed was a profoundly radical way of rearranging these materials” (p38). - Hughes, 1990
So, where we seem to disagree is what constitutes a good explanation, which I'll expand on in a future comment. Second, we discard all of the other "explanations" because they represent general purpose strategies that could be used to deny absolutely anything, not just the existence of dinosaurs. Popperian
Popperian: OK, while we wait, just a comment. While I want to state again that i don't believe that our explanations are completely determined by facts, and I can agree that inner principles which are applied to facts have an important role, still I find that you are really obsessed with denying the importance of facts. All your reasoning about dinosaurs is deeply flawed. If there were no fossils, we would have no idea that dinosaurs existed. Or are you suggested that we dreamed of dinosaurs first, and then found the fossils? I must miss something in your reasoning. The reason why we prefer to believe that dinosaurs really existed, and not, for example, that "designer chose to create the world we observe 30 second ago", is not mysterious at all: the simple reason is that the first hypothesis explains better all the available facts (not only fossils of dinosaurs), while the second one (with all respect for all possible extreme YECs) explains practically none. So, facts are important, and theories are best explanation for facts in the end, even if inner principles and faculties are essential to build them and to evaluate them (otherwise, how could we decide which is the "best" explanation, if not by our inner cognitive judgement)? gpuccio
gpuccio, I'm waiting to hear if UB actually has an objection to the groupings I've presented. Popperian
KF: It seems a lot like the real debate on evidence is effectively over and design has won, but that is not going to be acknowledged given the zero concession policy. I'd suggest that ID denies progress has occurred in the philosophy of science. Namely, science has progressed to the extent that it isn't primarily about stuff you can observe. For example, are dinosaurs merely an interpretation of our best explanation of fossils? Or are they *the* explanation for fossils? We never speak of the existence of dinosaurs, millions of years ago, as an interpretation of our best theories of fossils. Rather, we say that dinosaurs are *the* explanation for fossils. Nor is the theory primarily about fossils, but about dinosaurs, in that they are assumed to actually exist as part of the explanation. And we do so despite the fact that there are an infinite number of rival interpretations of the same data that make all the same predictions, yet say the dinosaurs were not there, millions of years ago, in reality. For example, there is the rival interpretation that fossils only come into existence when they are consciously observed. Therefore, fossils are no older than human beings. As such, they are not evidence of dinosaurs, but evidence of acts of those particular observations. Another interpretation would be that dinosaurs are such weird animals that conventional logic simply doesn't apply to them. One could suggests It's meaningless to ask if dinosaurs were real or just a useful fiction to explain fossils. (Which is an example of instrumentalism as found in the Copenhagen interpretation of Quantum Mechanics.) Not to mention the rival interpretation that designer chose to create the world we observe 30 second ago. Therefore, dinosaurs couldn't be the explanation for fossils, because they didn't exist then. None of these other interpretations are empirically distinguishable from the rational theory of dinosaurs, in that their existence explains fossils. So, I would agree that the real debate isn't about evidence, it's about what constitutes a good explanation for evidence. A quote the Poverty of Empiricism PDF...
“All the ‘facts’ Darwin used as evidence for his theory of evolution were known before he used them … What Darwin contributed was a profoundly radical way of rearranging these materials” (p38). - Hughes, 1990
Popperian
Popperian: Could you please go on with the reasoning you started in #161? I am curious. I am building a lot of theories about your views, but perhaps I need some facts. :) gpuccio
KF: First of all, as the history of science shows [hence cases such as how Newton's account of gravitation arose], theory does not come first, a context shaped by worldviews, by the logic of induction and learning from observed regularities does. Trying to rewrite and expand the meaning of theory to in effect encompass everything in the end robs it of meaning. Again, suggesting someone is confused about how knowledge grows is not the same as suggesting knowledge doesn't grow.
“Inductive inference can generate empirical generalizations, but not explanatory theories … Newton’s theory of universal gravitation cannot be inductively inferred from the data on planetary motion and even not from Kepler’s laws …inductive generalization cannot lead from the data on gas behaviour, or from the empirical gas laws, to the kinetic theory of gases” (p66).
Again, you're ignoring distinctions I've made, to present what appears to be a kind of false dilemma.
We start out with a problem, conjecture an explanatory theory about how the world works, in reality, that we hope will solve it, then criticize that theory and discard errors we might find. In the case of science, criticism takes the form of empirical observations. Then, the process starts again when new observations indicate there is a problem in one of our ideas. This is in contrast to the idea that we start out with observations, generalize those observations to form a theory, then perform more observations to prove that theory is true or probably true.
In the history of science, empiricism was an improvement in that it helped promote the importance of empirical observations in science. However, it got the role those observations play backwards. Theories are tested by observations, not derived from them. The point of the referenced article is that empirical methods impede science because it assumes that only generalized explanation are admissible.
Proposition 2, which asserts that empirical methods are inappropriate for creating explanatory theories, follows from the fact that empirical research involves inductive reasoning, whereas theoretical research involves deductive reasoning. Empirical methods induce generalizations from facts. Theoretical methods then explain the empirical generalizations by generating deductive arguments to the generalizations from first causes, which are usually unobservable. So inductive methods are useless for devising deductive explanatory theories.
Yet, a key objection to evolutionary theory is that there are no other observed causes of knowledge. So, the distinction I'm making is highly relevant to that objection. Furthermore, as I pointed out, what is or is not considered repetition is not a sensory experience. Rather it's based on theory. So, we're arguing past each other. Popperian
At this point, I'm attempting to establish if there is agreement on groupings within conceivable transformations. So, I'd ask, is your agreement on the above groupings, or lack there of, dependent on a specific answer to your question? For example, is there the potential for a fewer or additional types of possible (not prohibited by the laws of physics) transformations based on potential answers to your question? If not, we can address your question either after going forward or as a separate criticism. Popperian
AKA = also known as Joe
KF: Design has definitely won! Everybody knows, but nobody will say it. I am proud of saying it aloud with you! :) gpuccio
GP: It seems a lot like the real debate on evidence is effectively over and design has won, but that is not going to be acknowledged given the zero concession policy. KF kairosfocus
AKA? kairosfocus
KF, our friend Popperian here (aka Critical Rationalist) certain fits the bill. Upright BiPed
KF: You are obviously right. 90% of the serious debate I have had in the last years has been about general principles and worldviews. It has become really rare to be engaged by our interlocutors in concrete biological discussion, for example, and in objective analysis of real data. I understand that: the neo-darwinian model is so abstract and empirically unsupported that it is really difficult to defend it on its own (never observed) merits. It is not a case that most interesting discussions about biology have been with defenders of more neutral variation dependent positions (for example, with wd400). Neutral theory is much more fact based. Unfortunately (for its supporters) it cannot explain functional information at all, so I would say that it is a "neutral" theory for ID. :) gpuccio
PS: All of this becomes important for the main discussion, as there is a problem with the underlying process of reasoning. I find it interesting that over the past few years it has become increasingly clear that a great many design objectors reject first principles of right reason, locking out the possibility of warrant and correction based on acknowledging the authority of reason. Now, we are seeing that through influences from phil of sci, some also challenge and may misunderstand inductive reasoning. In particular, the role of inference to best explanation in scientific inference is often misunderstood or dismissed. All of this goes to show root problems lurking in the debates over the design inference. Which, of course explicitly uses inference to best explanation on tested, reliable sign backed up by analysis of the challenge of blind sampling influenced by chance. And, it goes as well to the issue as to what evidence and reasoning would permit one to accept that responsible freedom is a first premise of thought and serious inquiry. Especially, when one issue on the table is ideological clinging in the face of evident absurdity. kairosfocus
P: First of all, as the history of science shows [hence cases such as how Newton's account of gravitation arose], theory does not come first, a context shaped by worldviews, by the logic of induction and learning from observed regularities does. Trying to rewrite and expand the meaning of theory to in effect encompass everything in the end robs it of meaning. Also, above per Avi Sion, I have pointed out why a pattern of thought based on provisional universality of patterns, joined to inference to best current explanation works. In that context it is quite clear to me that Popper's corroboration is a case of trying to have one's cake and eat it too. Especially, when one understands that science is not just an ivory tower theorising construct. We seek to describe accurately, explain adequately, predict reliably then influence the course of events. In cases where engineering and medicine are involved, or forensics, with a lot on the line. Understanding that we see an orderly world and by suitable sampling through observation and experiment seek to at least provisionally intelligibly characterise that order and use the insights to do good, is a key balance to the over-emphasis that tends to promote skepticism to intellectual virtue. Which, it is not. Critical awareness of limitations and recognised provisionality of findings -- long since on the table, as Locke and Newton underscored -- are one thing, taking the step of reasonable faith to trust the reliability of adequately tested findings and explanation in that light is another. But, taking up a have your cake and eat it attitude that tries to sweep away that base even while bringing it back in the back door as the unfalsified to date "corroborated" which is somehow to be taken seriously while no we can only certify it as not yet overturned, is like an excessively lawyerly disclaimer. Where also, inference to best explanation as brought out in summary, is on the table as a major context of induction as currently understood. All I will say further to this, is that if someone does not instantly recognise and understand abductive, provisional inference to best current explanation as summarised, s/he is not in a good position to seriously discuss the logic of induction and its applicability to the praxis of science. Indeed, it can be argued that standing behind analogies and generalisations on samples of reasonable size, is an abductive inference. Where, abductive explanations take in models and theories as generally understood. That we form a first theory in light of available intellectual resources then incrementally seek improved explanatory power among competing factually adequate and coherent explanations is a commonplace. As is the fact that we set up the theoretical or modelling apparatus and test it against current bodies of observatins and predictive power. Where also, there is room enough for Lakatos' point on anomalies that challenge a theory -- or, better, a research programme with its theories with their core commitments and auxiliary protective belts -- and may cumulatively render it in serious trouble (degenerative) in that approach. In some cases there is a contest of schools of thought for a long time without resolution. As happened with Economics across the past century. KF kairosfocus
Popperian: I can completely accept your definitions in 161. Please, go on. gpuccio
Pop,
I haven’t address the origin of that knowledge
I'm not asking you about it's origin. If knowledge is present during a transformation (that doesn't occur spontaneously, but instead requires the presence of that knowledge in order to come about), then one might presume it's present in a physical state of some type. What is that physical state and how does that cause the transformation? Upright BiPed
UB: A person that says we don’t give rise to conjecture about reality from our experience of reality has made an argument not worth responding to. So, your strategy is to continue to ignore the distinction I've made? Namely, that the contents of theories do not come from experience. For example, are you suggesting the criticism that we get out more than we put in isn't worth responding to? Are the quotes in [147] not worthy either? P: can someone indicate at what point they disagree with the following? P: Of the latter possible group, there are two types: transformations that occur spontaneously, such as the formation of stars from gravity, hydrogen and other stellar materials and transformations that only occur when the requisite knowledge is present, such as the transformation of air, water. etc., into plants, trees, etc. P: Following me so far? UB: How is this knowledge present at these transformations? Again, I'm trying to figure out at what point diverge. I haven't address the origin of that knowledge yet, which is why I asked if everyone was following me, so far. I'll take your response as a "No." unless you indicate otherwise. P: Is there are type of transformation I haven’t covered? UB: If we take into account your opportunistic critique, we can’t answer that question until we’ve checked the entire cosmos. Again, my critique is that the contents of theories are not derived from observations. They are unseen explanations for seen phenomena. So, what I'm asking is, does anyone have any other "theories" about transformations that I haven't covered other than the two presented. Since UB doesn't seem to have actually presented any objections, does anyone else have any to what I've presented so far, before I continue? Popperian
Pop, A person that says we don’t give rise to conjecture about reality from our experience of reality has made an argument not worth responding to. However, there is this:
transformations that only occur when the requisite knowledge is present
How is this knowledge present at these transformations?
Is there are type of transformation I haven’t covered?
If we take into account your opportunistic critique, we can’t answer that question until we’ve checked the entire cosmos. Upright BiPed
In the interest in moving forward, can someone indicate at what point they disagree with the following? Consider all of the conceivable transformations of matter. In this group, there are transformation that are prohibited by the laws of physics, such as traveling faster than the speed of light, and those that are possible. Of the latter possible group, there are two types: transformations that occur spontaneously, such as the formation of stars from gravity, hydrogen and other stellar materials and transformations that only occur when the requisite knowledge is present, such as the transformation of air, water. etc., into plants, trees, etc. Following me so far? Is there are type of transformation I haven't covered? Popperian
UB: Only human design and biological design can be demonstrated (at the physical/material level) to exhibit these unique qualities. They are found no where else in the cosmos. First, it's unclear how you're "looked" everywhere else in the cosmos to determine they were not "found". Second, please see my comment to KF above. Specifically... For example, theories of optics and geometry tell us not to experience seeing the sun rise on a cloudy day, even if a sunrise is really happening in the unobserved world behind the clouds. It’s only though theory that not observing the sun in those cases does not constitute an instance of the sun not rising. And the same can be said if we observe the sun rising in a mirror or on video. It’s those same theories of optics and geometry that tells us we’re not experiencing the sun rise twice. It's theory that tells us not to experience seeing organisms evolve on a scale that you just implied was expected. Again, what qualifies as repetition, or lack there of isn't a sensory experience. UB: You are asking ID theorist to ignore these demonstrable facts, but you are not giving the reasons why such demonstrable facts should be ignored. At the very least, you could tell us why you ignore them. Again, I'm not suggesting you should ignore those facts. Nor am I ignoring them. Rather, I'm pointing out that [a] we cannot induce theories from facts and [b] we don't even know where to look for facts without first staring with a theory. So, the facts you're considering, or the lack there of, is based on a theory, not merely observations. Nor does ID theory actually solve the problem it purports to solve. It merely pushes the problem up a level without improving it. Popperian
That would be human design theory, which is a good explanation for human designed things, but rather problematic as an explanation for the design of human beings.
This goes back to the original question I asked you. The "explanatory content" of ID theory includes the intractable observation that human design and biological design share the exact same physical conditions by which those designs are imparted into physical form. Only human design and biological design can be demonstrated (at the physical/material level) to exhibit these unique qualities. They are found no where else in the cosmos. You are asking ID theorist to ignore these demonstrable facts, but you are not giving the reasons why such demonstrable facts should be ignored. At the very least, you could tell us why you ignore them. Upright BiPed
P: The designer represented by the explanatory content presented in Intelligent design theory. M: So human designers. That would be human design theory, which is a good explanation for human designed things, but rather problematic as an explanation for the design of human beings. Popperian
kairosfocus, It's unclear how your references in [155] address the criticism of induction I raised in [140.]. For example... the very idea that something has been repeated is not a sensory experience. Theory aways comes first. For example, theories of optics and geometry tell us not to experience seeing the sun rise on a cloudy day, even if a sunrise is really happening in the unobserved world behind the clouds. It’s only though theory that not observing the sun in those cases does not constitute an instance of the sun not rising. And the same can be said if we observe the sun rising in a mirror or on video. It’s those same theories of optics and geometry that tells us we’re not experiencing the sun rise twice. In orbit, we observe the sun rising every 90 minutes or not at all. And we knew this would occur, long before we actually orbited the earth, though theory. Nor does it address quotes, such as the following, in [154] “Inductive inference can generate empirical generalizations, but not explanatory theories … Newton’s theory of universal gravitation cannot be inductively inferred from the data on planetary motion and even not from Kepler’s laws …inductive generalization cannot lead from the data on gas behaviour, or from the empirical gas laws, to the kinetic theory of gases” (p66). There is no "theory" of design presented in intelligent design. Being abstract and having no defined limitations, it has been reduced to merely an authoritative source, which is a philosophical position that knowledge in specific spheres comes from authoritative sources. Popperian
P: As for ID being the best explanation, ID’s designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. M: Which designer? P: The designer represented by the explanatory content presented in Intelligent design theory. So human designers. Mung
P: Strawman, driven by failure to see that abductive inference to best explanation is inherently an inductive argument:
The inductive argument is based on evidence from the History of Science, namely the many instances where empirical methods produced significantly less useful knowledge products than theoretical methods. · Empirical methods merely enabled Galileo to discover the law of falling, whereas theoretical methods enabled Newton to discover the theory of Mechanics. · Empirical methods merely enabled Ohm to discover the law of electrical resistance, whereas theoretical methods enabled Maxwell to discover the theory of electrodynamics. · Empirical methods merely enabled Proust to discover the law of constant proportions in chemical reactions, whereas theoretical methods enabled Dalton to discover the atomic the- ory of chemistry. · Empirical methods merely enabled Darwin to discover new biological species, whereas theoretical methods enabled him to discover the theory of biological evolution. · etc., etc. So, empirical methods were often less useful than theoretical methods.
Inductive arguments, as currently understood (yes, there has been a development of our understanding), denote arguments where the premises provide some degree of support to the inferred conclusion, rather than simply cases of generalisation on cases to a general pattern. For instance, here is SEP on contrasting the two types of reasoning:
An inductive logic is a system of evidential support that extends deductive logic to less-than-certain inferences. For valid deductive arguments the premises logically entail the conclusion, where the entailment means that the truth of the premises provides a guarantee of the truth of the conclusion. Similarly, in a good inductive argument the premises should provide some degree of support for the conclusion, where such support means that the truth of the premises indicates with some degree of strength that the conclusion is true. Presumably, if the logic of good inductive arguments is to be of any real value, the measure of support it articulates should meet the following condition: Criterion of Adequacy (CoA): As evidence accumulates, the degree to which the collection of true evidence statements comes to support a hypothesis, as measured by the logic, should tend to indicate that false hypotheses are probably false and that true hypotheses are probably true.
The difference where we have long since moved on from understanding induction as a matter of generalisations and analogies, is material. In the case of inference to best explanation, on relevant facts F1, F2, . . Fn, which are puzzling, on explanation E, they would follow on E being true, often, E entails F1 . . . Fn, and of course this can be extended to predictions Pm , Pm+1 . . . Pr, too. Which can then be tested. Predictions include predicting as yet unknown facts or traces of the past or the like, sometimes termed retrodictions. Then we may have cases where alternative explanations E1, E2, . . . Eq may cover the same set of facts and make predictions, which may agree or disagree. Inference to best explanation, then compares on factual [including predictive] adequacy, coherence and explanatory power, inferring that some explanation Ek is superior, on given grounds, overall. When that obtains Ek is the best explanation, and is held the best current explanation. This is inductive as, E => (F1, . . . Fn, Pm . . . Pr) -- per properties of implications -- does not entail the truth of E; though were E true, it would make only true implications. But, the power of E to cover facts and make successful predictions makes it more likely to be so than otherwise. Thus, we have the observations, present and cumulative, providing provisional support for the belief that E is more likely to be true than otherwise. Thus, IBE is inductive in character. In some cases, the cumulative force of the support is so strong that we have moral certainty, it would be a failure of duties of care, on the strength of evidence, to assume that E is false and act as though it is false. At this level of course, deductive aspects are involved, but the overall argument pattern is inductive. I trust this will help put the matters on a better balance, and will help us appreciate why the inference to best explanation supports the conclusion that design is the best (and in fact only observed -- billions trillions of cases) cause of FSCO/I. KF kairosfocus
Popperian: OK, maybe we are going nearer to real points that have top be addressed. Let's see. 1) It is still not clear to me what you mean by "a distinction between knowledge and specific designs based on that knowledge". Maybe I have missed something in your answers to others. Could you please elaborate on that, as you state that "that ID grossly underestimates the role that knowledge plays in design"? A formal definition of "knowledge" would be appreciated. I have given my definition of "design" in post #150. Do you agree? If not, please provide yours. 2) You say: "Since X is designed and since X was gradually deigned then the designer of X must have limitations of gradual design. But that begs the question that X actually was designed. Gradual design isn’t a necessary consequence of ID’s designer. At best, you could say, that’s just what the designer must have wanted," But I have argued in some detail that the design inference is based on the observation/assumption/theory that dFSCI originates only by design processes. The "limitations" of the designer have no part in that. Gradual design is simply a characteristic of all forms of design we know, I would say of anything that happens in time. Design is always gradual, never instantaneous. It can take longer in some cases, and it can be quicker in others. But obviously, longer and quicker are very relative terms. I do believe that your criticism here is really unwarranted. 3) You say: "Again, human beings are good examples of human designed things because of their limitations." Again, you miss the point. Human beings are good examples of designers because they can design things (they have conscious intelligent representations, and they can intentionally output them to material objects). And they can easily generate new original dFSCI, something that no non conscious physical system known by us can do. Human limitations have nothing to do with this reasoning. 4) You say: " Again, ID’s designer is under no such limitation. Nothing prevents it from changing the laws of physics and everything it created to adapt to those changes." ??? What do you mean? If we are talking of biological design (which is exactly what I am talking about) your statement is completely unwarranted. You are assuming: a) That the biological designer has created the physical universe, or any other thing. IOWs, that he is a creator. On what basis? The only thing needed is that he is a designer, not a creator. b) That he can "change the laws of physics". Are you out of your mind? I think you are referring to the argument of design for the whole universe. But that is a different problem. I have always argued that the fine tuning argument for the universe is a valid philosophical argument with scientific support. But the application of design detection to biological information has nothing to do with that. It is not a philosophical argument, but a purely scientific theory. It infers a designer, not a god. The laws of physics are not involved. 5) You say: "If ID’s designer is limited to what it has to work with, then did it fine tune the laws of an existing universe, rather than create it out of nothing? I’m trying to take your theory seriously, for the purpose of criticism. See my software analogy above." See previous point. 6) Finally, I have read you post #142 (it was not addressed to me, so I had not read it before). I am frankly confused. What do you mean? Let's see. I think I am OK with your use of the word "knowledge", which IMO more or less corresponds to my concept of "functional information" in a material object. Then you say: "The genome contains the knowledge of how to adapt air, water, etc. into the biological “qualities” of organisms, which is encoded into their DNA. I think we’re both in agreement that, when an organism reproduces, its offspring effectively builds a copy of itself based on those instructions." That's perfectly OK. "So, the question becomes: what theory best explains the concrete knowledge we actually observe in the genome’s of organisms?" Yes. That's the question, indeed. You go on: "Human designers are people. We can conceive of problems, conjecture explanatory theories about how the world works, in reality, in an attempt to solve them, criticize those theories and discard errors they find. This results in the creation of explanatory knowledge, which only people can create. And has significant reach, because it’s explanatory rather than merely a useful rule of thumb." Ehm... OK, I think I agree more or less. Let's go on. "This is in contrast to biological Darwinism, which is the theory that the knowledge of how to build biological adaptations in an organism’s genome was created by conjecture, in the form of genetic variation that is random to any problem to solve and criticism, in the form of natural selection. This would result in the creation of non-explanatory knowledge, which has significantly less reach. Nature cannot conceive of problems, let alone create explanatory theories about how the world works. Being merely a useful rule of thumb, it would have significantly less reach." Well, I would never use the terms "conjecture" and "criticism" for non conscious processes, but you are free to do that, given that you specify top what you are referring (RV and NS). The fact that "non-explanatory knowledge" has "significantly less reach" seems to mean exactly what I mean when I say that non conscious systems cannot generate complex functional information (they can certainly generate simple functional information, your "non explanatory knowledge"). I think you are probably overestimating that "useful rule of thumb", however: its "reach" is really limited. ID is simply trying to quantify that "reach", and believe me, it is almost nothing. But then you say: "So, what would refute the latter explanation? Observing all, or a majority of, genetic variations in an organism’s genome to have solved problems. This would be due to a designer having conjectured those variations for the expressed purpose of solving that organism’s problems. Or the spontaneous generation of new knowledge in a organisms genome, which would refute both above theories. What else would refute Darwin’s explanation? Observing offspring born with new, complex adaptions for which there were no precursors in their past. Another observation would be an offspring born with a complex adaptation that has survival value today, yet was not favored by selection pressure in ancestry, such as an ability to detect and use internet weather forecasts, as non-explanatory knowledge has significantly less reach." I think I have lost you here. What in the world do you mean? Let me recall a classical example which I mention often: ATP synthase. It is found in all living beings. It is so functionally complex that it is certainly beyond any non conscious "conjecture" or "criticism". It has no relevant precursors. It exhibits tons of dFSCI. And yet darwinism pretends to explain it by RV and NS, without a trace of empirical support. What is your "best explanation" of that? Or do you deny that ATP synthase "solves a problem"? What is your best explanation for the 2000 basic proteins with all their biochemical functions? Do you deny that they "solve problems"? What is your explanations for body plans, for tha differentiation of 500 specific transcriptomes in human cells? And so on, and so on. Finally: "I’d point out that neither of these explanations line up with the current crop of ID theory, as its designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. This leaves ID’s designer as having the property of design. One might suggest that ID’s designer has the quality of being an authoritative source of knowledge. However this reflects a philosophical explanation about how knowledge grows which differs from both explanations above. Nor does it explain the origin of the knowledge the designer supposedly put in those organisms." My confusion is complete. To what explanations are you referring? ID's point is that all that we can observe in biological function clearly is "explanatory knowledge", complex functional information, from which indeed we are constantly drawing to solve "our" problems, because we, with all our "explanatory knowledge", still cannot build one proteins which is worth something. Biological function is the result of an explanatory knowledge which is much better than ours. ID's point is that what you call "conjecture" and "criticism" is completely away, in reach, from even the simplest functional protein. For things like ATP synthase, there is simply no game at all. So, what in the world do you mean by "neither of these explanations line up with the current crop of ID theory", and why do you repeat the nonsense that "its designer is abstract and has no defined limitations"? Even better, you say: "This leaves ID’s designer as having the property of design". ??? I would simply remind you that, if we infer a designer, that designer must have the property of being able to design. Which is exactly the property that a non conscious system has not. A designer has the property of being able to design, but a designer who can generate detectable design must also have the property of being able to generate dFSCI. Which is the point of ID, and which is the point that you obstinately ignore! You say: "One might suggest that ID’s designer has the quality of being an authoritative source of knowledge." Which, if I understand your bizarre language, just means that ID's designer must be able to generate complex functional information. OK, that's true. But why do you call that "authoritative"? What has authority to do with that? "However this reflects a philosophical explanation about how knowledge grows which differs from both explanations above." Why? Designed function information ("knowledge") grows because the designer applies his faculties (cognition, feeling, purpose) to empirical experiences. You yourself have (correctly) emphasized the important role of inner faculties in building knowledge about empirical things. And I agree. So, why are you so surprised that any conscious intelligent agent could generate "knowledge", and cause it to grow? You conclude: "Nor does it explain the origin of the knowledge the designer supposedly put in those organisms" I can agree with that. It does not mean that we cannot try to enquire about that in the future. First of all we must admit the obvious, IOWs that such a knowledge exists in biological beings, and that the best explanation for it is that a conscious intelligent agent generated it. Then we can wonder about the nature of that knowledge, its modalities of implementation and growth, and every other possible and legitimate question. gpuccio
G: 1) I don’t understand what you mean by the 3D printing example, but it’s probably not important. I'm making a distinction between knowledge and specific designs based on that knowledge. It's key aspect of the argument that ID grossly underestimates the role that knowledge plays in design. G: 2) You are simply saying that an omniscient being would also be omnipotent. And therefore would obey no rules. I'm saying that good explanations are those that are hard to vary without significantly reducing it's ability to explain the phenomena it purports to explain. Based on this criteria, the designer presented by ID is a bad explanation because it is abstract and had no defined limitations. This criticism is not specific to supernatural contexts or omnipotent beings. G: Regarding his limitations, we can say that he is certainly constrained by his interface, that he has to build design gradually (like humans), that he makes choices in terms of efficiency (for example, he certainly cannot fix all possible error in his design, or it would just be inefficient for him to do that). And so on. As in the case of humans, we can derive those limitations from the designed things, when we know not from the beginning what they are. It’s called empirical inference. Since X is designed and since X was gradually deigned then the designer of X must have limitations of gradual design. But that begs the question that X actually was designed. Gradual design isn't a necessary consequence of ID's designer. At best, you could say, that's just what the designer must have wanted, Again, human beings are good examples of human designed things because of their limitations. Even human beings can update existing created things to match new standards. When an existing computer operating system is released, we can update existing applications to support incompatible changes and take advantage of new features. And while it takes significant time and resources, we can completely convert an existing application to use an entirely new operating system. Again, ID's designer is under no such limitation. Nothing prevents it from changing the laws of physics and everything it created to adapt to those changes. So, this inferences does not hold even with limited human beings. These are the sorts of observations that ID proponents are not taking into account. G: For example, if we get to a planet and find obvious designed artifacts of an old civilization (machines exhibiting obvious CSI/dFSCI), we can certainly infer much about the limitations (and abilities) of those old aliens, even if we know nothing about them directly. Again, it’s called empirical inference. It’s not begging the question, as you wrongly state. You're assuming there is no distinction to be made between different kinds of knowledge, such as explanatory and non-explanatory, and the impact that would have on the concrete features of the "designs" in question. You're underestimating the role that knowledge plays in designing things and progress we've made in epistemology. See [142] G: Which claims? Please, explain. P: “Just so I’m clear, you’re not disagreeing with me, but claiming my methodology is wrong?” G: I always disagree with the conclusions derived from a wrong methodology. I believe that’s good methodology. I realize you think it's a wrong methodology. I'm asking you to elaborate on why with a criticism of that methodology. You wrote: There are obvious constraints in the work of any designer. Any designer is constrained by the material he has to work with, by the modalities of implementation, by what has already been designed, just to make a few examples. If ID's designer is limited to what it has to work with, then did it fine tune the laws of an existing universe, rather than create it out of nothing? I'm trying to take your theory seriously, for the purpose of criticism. See my software analogy above. G: And I am suggesting (with ID theory) that conscious design is the only available explanation for “the concrete adaptations of biological organisms we observe”, IOWs for observed facts. And I am giving detailed considerations to prove that. You have addressed none of my considerations (indeed, none of ID’s arguments about CSI/dFSCI), and offered nothing concrete to support your “suggestion”. I've provided a theory that explains how non-explanatory knowledge can be created without intent, conciseness, etc., in [142] What criticism do you have of that theory? Popperian
F/N: Definition of design, courtesy Wiki speaking against interest:
Design is the creation of a plan or convention for the construction of an object or a system (as in architectural blueprints, engineering drawings, business processes, circuit diagrams and sewing patterns).[1] Design has different connotations in different fields (see design disciplines below). In some cases the direct construction of an object (as in pottery, engineering, management, cowboy coding and graphic design) is also considered to be design. More formally design has been defined as follows.
(noun) a specification of an object, manifested by an agent, intended to accomplish goals, in a particular environment, using a set of primitive components, satisfying a set of requirements, subject to constraints; (verb, transitive) to create a design, in an environment (where the designer operates)[2]
Another definition for design is a roadmap or a strategic approach for someone to achieve a unique expectation. It defines the specifications, plans, parameters, costs, activities, processes and how and what to do within legal, political, social, environmental, safety and economic constraints in achieving that objective.[3] Here, a "specification" can be manifested as either a plan or a finished product, and "primitives" are the elements from which the design object is composed.
KF kairosfocus
GP & P, It's nomination day and that is a bit of a bother, but I have a moment. I have pointed out that theoretical analysis responds to evident patterns in observation, using the example that established modern astronomy and started astrophysics. Further to this, there is a process of inference to best explanation, across competing explanations, which famously happened with the Ptolemaic, Copernican and Tychonian systems for the planets. C 1600, the balance of empirical data favoured Tycho Brahe's system in fact. (Cf. here.) Inference to best explanation across live options uses deductions in explicating implications of models, but it is fundamentally inductive and provisional. The amount of mental effort being exerted to avoid what should be fairly obvious amazes me. KF kairosfocus
Popperian: "If, by design, you mean the philosophical idea that knowledge comes from an authoritative source, then yes. But that’s the questionable assumption that is specific to ID." What about: 1) Design = any process where a conscious intelligent agent purposefully outputs some represented form from his consciousness to a material object. (definition) 2) Digital functional information in a digital sequence in a material object (for one defined function) = -log2 of the rate between the minimum number of bits necessary to implement the defined function, and the maximum information carrying capacity of the sequence in the object (in bits). 3) Complex digital functional information (in a digital sequence in a material object): a binary value (yes, no) which categorizes the digital functional information according to an appropriate threshold (for the object and for the system where the object originated) 4) All objects exhibiting dFSCI (digital functionally specified complex information, as in 3) originate from design. (ID theory). Another way of saying it, is that conscious intelligent representations are the only known source of dFSCI in the material world. 5) Verification of the theoretical assumption in 4 in all cases where the origin of the objects is independently known (100% specificity, no false positives). 6) Application of the theory to objects whose origin is not indepedently known (the design inference). How do your concepts of "knowlegde" and "authoritative source" comply with that? gpuccio
UB: Of course … you can’t name a single thing that would make you consider design. If, by design, you mean the philosophical idea that knowledge comes from an authoritative source, then yes. But that's the questionable assumption that is specific to ID. Nor would I say that I haven't previously considered that philosophical idea, or that I wouldn't be open to new criticism of alternatives. Popperian
Popperian: Just to be clear, I don't think that anyone here is defending a mere generalization of observed things as the basis of science. Why do you believe that? Of course observations pose problems and questions, and we build theories using our imagination, our intuition, our logic and our mathematics to solve those problems aw we deem best. IOWs, we look for the best explanation, and explanations are not in facts. They are in our minds, but their purpose is to explain facts. If a theory cannot explain facts, it is a bad theory indeed (any reference to neo darwinism is absolutely intentional!) That's exactly what ID theory is: the best explanation (indeed the only one available) for observed facts. I would not agree, however, that even our theories are completely deductive. There is obviously a strong deductive component in them, but there is also a lot of intuition, imagination, creativity, and other components of cognition. That is true of ID theory, as much as of any other good scientific theory. gpuccio
From the Poverty of Empiricism article I referenced earlier...
The inductive argument is based on evidence from the History of Science, namely the many instances where empirical methods produced significantly less useful knowledge products than theoretical methods. · Empirical methods merely enabled Galileo to discover the law of falling, whereas theoretical methods enabled Newton to discover the theory of Mechanics. · Empirical methods merely enabled Ohm to discover the law of electrical resistance, whereas theoretical methods enabled Maxwell to discover the theory of electrodynamics. · Empirical methods merely enabled Proust to discover the law of constant proportions in chemical reactions, whereas theoretical methods enabled Dalton to discover the atomic the- ory of chemistry. · Empirical methods merely enabled Darwin to discover new biological species, whereas theoretical methods enabled him to discover the theory of biological evolution. · etc., etc. So, empirical methods were often less useful than theoretical methods. Now if today’s researchers were trapped into empiricism, they would be restricted to empirical methods, and would be unable to produce the more useful theories. Therefore empiricism would impoverish research. The deductive argument against the positivist empiricist doctrines is based on two propositions of the modern Philosophy of Science: 1. A true science has an explanatory theory that is organized as a deductive system. 2. Empirical methods are inappropriate for creating explanatory theories. Proposition 1 means that an academic discipline does not qualify for the status of a science until it has progressed beyond empirical generalizations to explanatory theories. For example, the branches of Physics and Astronomy now called Dynamics and Celestial Mechanics were labelled ‘natural philosophy’ at the time Galileo formulated his empirical laws of motion and Kepler formulated his empirical laws of planetary orbits. They only achieved the status of sciences after Newton devised a deductive theory to explain Galileo’s laws and Kepler’s laws ?????????????Proposition 2, which asserts that empirical methods are inappropriate for creating explanatory theories, follows from the fact that empirical research involves inductive reasoning, whereas theoretical research involves deductive reasoning. Empirical methods induce generalizations from facts. Theoretical methods then explain the empirical generalizations by generating deductive arguments to the generalizations from first causes, which are usually unobservable. So inductive methods are useless for devising deductive explanatory theories. This proposition is easy to confirm from cases in the History of Science. For instance, Newton made no observations or experiments, and analyzed no data in devising the theory of Mechanics; neither did Dalton in devising the atomic theory of Chemistry, nor Darwin in devising the biological theory of evolution, nor Einstein in devising the relativity theory.
Note: as I'm sure someone will suggest it's a contradiction, the "inductive argument" section is unfortunately and misleadingly named. These facts represnt criticism of the theory that the contents of theories come from observations. They are facts to be explained, which occurs in the deductive argument section. Furthermore, observations are themselves, theory laden. What counts a repition is not a sensory experience. Theory aways comes first. As for the accusation of being merely overinthused by Popper, here are a list of quotes from the paper...
“No mere list or catalog of truths is ever said to constitute a system of knowledge or a science. We have scientific knowledge only when the propositions setting forth what we know are organized in a systematic way, to display their interrelations ... one important relationship among the propositions of a science is deducibility. Propositions that embody knowledge about a subject become a science of that subject when they are arranged or ordered by displaying some of them as conclusions deduced from others” (p157). - Copi, 1979
“the more purely phenomenal a proposition is and the less the element of theory associated with it, the less is its certainty ... For why do we call some laws ‘empirical’ and associate with that term a slight element of distrust? Because such laws are not explained by any theory” (p153). - Campbell, N. R., 1920
“it has been one of the fundamental aims of science to reach deductive systems of knowledge” (p39). - Harre, 1960
“The experimental work of Hooke and Boyle by which they established the empirical patterns in the behavior of confined samples of gas that we express as PV = K ... was proto-scientific. We do not have real science until we know why P varies inversely as V, knowledge which became available only after the molecular theory of gases was formulated to provide us with an idea of the causal mechanism by which this pattern was produced ... Science proper starts when the question ‘Why?’ is put and theory develops to answer it.” (p130-1). - Harre & Secord, 1972
“theory is one of the distinguishing characteristics of modern science” (p16). - Kantorovich, 1993
“explanation [is] the main business of science” (p4). - Klee, 1997
“the purpose of science is to develop theory, which can be defined as a set of formulations designed to explain and predict phenomena” (p3). - Mason & Bramble, 1978
“One goal of the scientific method is explanation: a theory as to the causes and/or effects surrounding a given phenomenon” (p10). - Phillips, 1985
“The ultimate goal of a science is the development of a theory to explain the lawful relationships that exist in a particular field” (p40). - McBurney, 1994????
“Theory cannot be derived from observation and generalizations merely by means of rigorous induction”. ?- Timasheff, 1957
“a theory cannot be an empirical generalization from observational data” (p85). - Nagel, 1961
"on Einstein’s own testimony the Michelson-Morley experiment ‘had no role in the foundation of the theory’ .... [It] was laid on theoretical, indeed speculative, considerations" (p243-4). - Koestler, 1969
“But what about the method by which we obtain our theories or hypotheses? ... I do not believe that we ever make inductive generalizations in the sense that we start with observations and try to derive our theories from them” (p19). - Popper, 1978
“All the ‘facts’ Darwin used as evidence for his theory of evolution were known before he used them ... What Darwin contributed was a profoundly radical way of rearranging these materials” (p38). - Hughes, 1990
“Inductive inference can generate empirical generalizations, but not explanatory theories ... Newton’s theory of universal gravitation cannot be inductively inferred from the data on planetary motion and even not from Kepler’s laws ...inductive generalization cannot lead from the data on gas behaviour, or from the empirical gas laws, to the kinetic theory of gases” (p66). - Kantorovich, 1993
Popperian
P: Above, you will see a clip at 134 from Avi Sion on the principle of provisional universality; which reflects BTW some of Newton's thought on provisional generalisation -- the regular diurnal and annual pattern of the Sun reflected in the seasons being perhaps the longest scientifically observed regularity. Along with the phases of the Moon and the onward interaction forming the 19-year Saros cycle that is still relevant to things like determining what sea level is. At core, is the point that there are in fact fairly commonplace patterns where there are observable regularities, and though if we see a "break" we should be open to change, we have an epistemic right to infer that observed stable patterns (think, a dropped heavy object near Earth falls at 9.8 m/s etc, where also the centripetal acceleration of the Moon fits in with an inverse square law attenuation of the same force field at that distance, which led to Newton's inference of his Universal Law of Gravitation . . . ) are just that. In fact, we rely on that in our daily existence and decision making. Let me cite Newton from Opticks, Query 31, 1704:
As in Mathematicks, so in Natural Philosophy [~ Roughly, Physical science], the Investigation of difficult Things by the Method of Analysis, ought ever to precede the Method of Composition. This Analysis consists in making Experiments and Observations, and in drawing general Conclusions from them by Induction, and admitting of no Objections against the Conclusions, but such as are taken from Experiments, or other certain Truths. For Hypotheses [--> speculative metaphysical theses without empirical grounding] are not to be regarded in experimental Philosophy. And although the arguing from Experiments and Observations by Induction be no Demonstration of general Conclusions; yet it is the best way of arguing which the Nature of Things admits of, and may be looked upon as so much the stronger, by how much the Induction is more general. And if no Exception occur from Phaenomena, the Conclusion may be pronounced generally. But if at any time afterwards any Exception shall occur from Experiments, it may then begin to be pronounced with such Exceptions as occur. By this way of Analysis we may proceed from Compounds to Ingredients, and from Motions to the Forces producing them; and in general, from Effects to their Causes, and from particular Causes to more general ones, till the Argument end in the most general. This is the Method of Analysis: And the Synthesis consists in assuming the Causes discover'd, and establish'd as Principles, and by them explaining the Phaenomena proceeding from them, and proving the Explanations.
So, there is in fact a longstanding appreciation of the provisionality of inductive arguments, as applied to science. Where, the old saying that "the exception proves the rule" is often misunderstood to mean substantiates, when in fact it means properly, tests and gives limitations, or even possibly overturns. As Newton explicitly states. And Newton, probably consciously, echoes Locke as already cited on the limitations of human understanding. In effect, the long accepted point is that we do live in an orderly cosmos, where predictable order is a major part of why we recognise a cosmos and can operate based on reason and provisional understanding. Absent that, we would live in a chaos not a cosmos. And, as Sion aptly pointed out -- which you seemed to have simply ignored -- we cannot overturn this provisional universality on grounds that some cases have been overturned, as there are ever so many cases where in fact that is not the case. That is, we may not fully or fully accurately grasp the order in our world, but we do grasp enough of it to be willing to provisionally infer principles of order, open to correction. And indeed, sometimes there are actual or potential "exceptions" that are part of a wider pattern. As any statistician worth his or her salt will tell you. (And, as will any theologian worth his salt on the subject of miracles. That is, the inference to natural regularities that are empirically reliable is an implicit inference to a conditional probability, where the One who made an orderly world has an obvious right to act beyond the usual order for good reasons of his own -- which BTW means that miracles would be quite rare. Which does nothing to the significance and reality of orderly patterns, contrary to what Lewontin's allusion to Beck's errors suggested:
It is not that the methods and institutions of science somehow compel us to accept a material explanation of the phenomenal world, but, on the contrary, that we are forced by our a priori adherence to material causes [[--> another major begging of the question . . . ] to create an apparatus of investigation and a set of concepts that produce material explanations, no matter how counter-intuitive, no matter how mystifying to the uninitiated. Moreover, that materialism is absolute [[--> i.e. here we see the fallacious, indoctrinated, ideological, closed mind . . . ], for we cannot allow a Divine Foot in the door. The eminent Kant scholar Lewis Beck used to say that anyone who could believe in God could believe in anything. To appeal to an omnipotent deity is to allow that at any moment the regularities of nature may be ruptured, that miracles may happen.
No, the possibility of miracles does not entail an unpredictable, utterly jumbled chaos rather than a cosmos, that is ill advised rhetoric driven by anti- supernaturalistic prejudice. God is the God of order, not chaos. That is, in Judaeo_Christian theism, God is Reason Himself, the purposeful, intelligent Author and Maker of Creation, so also the Ground of an orderly cosmos, sustaining that order by his word of power. So, we properly expect an orderly world, not the strawman chaos that Lewontin alludes to on the strength of Beck. But, an order that is open to acts beyond the usual course, for good reason. (In the Christian view, most significantly, this case. And on such a case, the proper assessment is therefore historical-forensic, not by resort to fallacious scientism and question-begging prejudice.) All of this then points at first level to informal assessment of order based on common sense observations; subject to the recognition of provisionality and avoiding common fallacies of induction such as faulty or hasty generalisation, or ideologically locking out live options in inference to best explanations, etc. A lot of real world science is glorified, structured common sense. For excellent reason. Beyond, of course, lies sampling and the techniques of probability, statistics and especially Bayesian type likelihood analysis. Which, for instance, is an important part of medical testing and the like. And with room enough still for old fashioned hyp testing by looking at observations being in the bulk or far skirts of expected distributions, following Fisher. So, the attempt to dismiss inductive reasoning -- a whole category of reasoning -- is plainly wrong-headed. And, remarkable. Beyond that, Popper emphasised falsification and took the view that you do not establish the [absolute] truth of a proposition based on observing a regularity of nature. Whoopee! So did Newton and Locke. The difference is, the older worthies also recognised that we live in a significantly intelligible and orderly world, as informed by their Judaeo-Christian worldview -- and in the direct context of Query 31, Newton went on to speak to that, as well as in the often overlooked General Scholium to Principia. That now so often despised view that materially helped to ground the confidence and process of science. So, what about corroboration and Popper's views? Let's clip SEP as providing a handy summary a cut above:
As Popper represents it, the central problem in the philosophy of science is that of demarcation, i.e., of distinguishing between science and what he terms ‘non-science’, under which heading he ranks, amongst others, logic, metaphysics, psychoanalysis, and Adler's individual psychology. Popper is unusual amongst contemporary philosophers in that he accepts the validity of the Humean critique of induction, and indeed, goes beyond it in arguing that induction is never actually used in science. However, he does not concede that this entails the scepticism which is associated with Hume, and argues that the Baconian/Newtonian insistence on the primacy of ‘pure’ observation, as the initial step in the formation of theories, is completely misguided: all observation is selective and theory-laden—there are no pure or theory-free observations. In this way he destabilises the traditional view that science can be distinguished from non-science on the basis of its inductive methodology; in contradistinction to this, Popper holds that there is no unique methodology specific to science. Science, like virtually every other human, and indeed organic, activity, Popper believes, consists largely of problem-solving. Popper accordingly repudiates induction and rejects the view that it is the characteristic method of scientific investigation and inference, substituting falsifiability in its place. It is easy, he argues, to obtain evidence in favour of virtually any theory, and he consequently holds that such ‘corroboration’, as he terms it, should count scientifically only if it is the positive result of a genuinely ‘risky’ prediction, which might conceivably have been false. For Popper, a theory is scientific only if it is refutable by a conceivable event. Every genuine test of a scientific theory, then, is logically an attempt to refute or to falsify it, and one genuine counter-instance falsifies the whole theory. In a critical sense, Popper's theory of demarcation is based upon his perception of the logical asymmetry which holds between verification and falsification: it is logically impossible to conclusively verify a universal proposition by reference to experience (as Hume saw clearly), but a single counter-instance conclusively falsifies the corresponding universal law. In a word, an exception, far from ‘proving’ a rule, conclusively refutes it. Every genuine scientific theory then, in Popper's view, is prohibitive, in the sense that it forbids, by implication, particular events or occurrences. As such it can be tested and falsified, but never logically verified. Thus Popper stresses that it should not be inferred from the fact that a theory has withstood the most rigorous testing, for however long a period of time, that it has been verified; rather we should recognise that such a theory has received a high measure of corroboration. and may be provisionally retained as the best available theory until it is finally falsified (if indeed it is ever falsified), and/or is superseded by a better theory . . .
With the background of Locke, Newton [no mean philosopher in his own right], scientific praxis, statistics and Bayesian likelihood analysis in mind, we can see that corroboration is little more than rephrased provisionality in knowledge claims. Which was always there. And, so was the concept that scientific inferences or laws cannot be absolutely proved, or for that matter common sense or courtroom inductions. Which does not prevent us from properly inferring high reliability, or epistemic probability. Properly tamed, Popper's emphasis that scientific theories should make an empirically observable difference that is testable, is a valid point, which draws out and elaborates things that were there all along. As touching demarcation criteria, the balance is, that there is no generally accepted set of criteria that allow us to determine that A is "science" and B is not. That is, we have no set of necessary and sufficient criteria or list of methods etc that suffice to identify any and all cases of proper science. And -- especially on matters linked to origins studies where we cannot observe the past but must analyse based on traces of it and observed causal forces in the present that give rise to similar effects [i.e. the vera causa principle that Newton emphasised in his four rules of reasoning] -- demarcation games often tend to be abused. The proper focal issue is not is A "scientific" -- an appeal to prestige, i.e. to inverted prejudice -- but instead: whether it is [provisionally] credible on evidence and associated reasoned analysis; which includes inductive techniques. If something is credible per well sampled evidence and cogent logical analysis, we should take it seriously, whether or no it can be labelled "science." To go beyond that is to fall into the error of scientism, which pretends that all or at least all significant or trustworthy knowledge is or must be "scientific." But, this is a claim about the nature and limits of knowledge, i.e. it is an epistemological claim, a philosophical one. This is clearly beyond the reaches of science and its cluster of methods, and so the principle and position of scientism is self referentially incoherent. Going on, it is true that all our observations are coloured by our prior understandings. Indeed, to understand is to come to assimilate an experience to a framework of ideas, insights, patterns etc that we hold, otherwise we will remain puzzled or even frustrated. Misunderstanding, by contrast occurs when that framework, old or new, is inappropriate. For instance, just now we showed that scientism profoundly misunderstands knowledge as well as science and its limits. But that is not the same as saying that it is inevitably theory laden or theory bound, and especially it is NOT to suggest that such necessarily warps and distorts to the point of untrustworthiness. Common sense insights, observations and inductive reasoning are a commonplace, and their extensions through instruments, measurements and statistics etc, are extensions. Where, as inductive reasoning is a large part of reasoning in general, it does not define or delimit science, that commonplace error that Popper corrected does not depend for its correction on adopting Popper's views. That is, to say there are no methods unique to science, is not a peculiarly Popperian view. Science, in the "Nat Sci" sense, can thus be understood as a largely inductive, observation and analysis based investigation of the natural world that seeks to progressively accurately describe, recognise and characterise regularities [however provisionally], and in so doing deepen our understanding. With the proviso that at any given stage the process is provisional. Likewise, there needs be no a priori commitment to evolutionary materialism or admission of censoring principles driven by that -- such as so called methodological naturalism -- by the back door. In that context, Popper's "corroboration," can be better understood as a provisional estimate of high reliability [~ high epistemic probability] attaching to findings that have withstood significant empirical test for an appreciable length of time. That is, it brings in induction in science by the back door, having dismissed it out the front one. And so, we can now return to a more reasonable focus on the matters at stake, namely the issue of responsible freedom as the basis for being able to reason, the empirical reality of intelligence and design, and the onward point of credible signs of design such as FSCO/I, and particularly digitally coded functionally specific complex information, dFSCI as GP is highlighting. Which the infographic on protein synthesis in the OP shows in action. The exception tests the rule, so, let us ask: here we see in nature a numerically controlled nanotech assembler machine, that uses coded digital information in a tape templated off a stored set of such algorithmic programs kept in the DNA . . . what sort of empirically warranted blind chance and mechanical necessity process can warrant the notion that his originated other than by design? (Where code based NC machines and their algorithmic processing, per our observations, generally are seen to arise by design, which is backed up by the needle in haystack blind search analysis also outlined int eh OP by use of another infographic.) Now that a side-track of trying to dismiss inductive reasoning is off the table, let us see a response to the issue in the main. KF kairosfocus
Popperian: Just to clarify a few things: 1) I don't understand what you mean by the 3D printing example, but it's probably not important. My simple point is that all design we know of relies heavily on previously existing designs, even when it introduces original innovations. So, complex design is always gradual for some aspects. 2) You are simply saying that an omniscient being would also be omnipotent. And therefore would obey no rules. First of all, if you admit that ID's designer is not completely known (which is different from being "abstract"), then obviously you cannot imply that he is omnipotent and omniscient. You cannot have it both ways, as you say. Second, even in a theological perspective, your point is wrong. An omnipotent being can well obey his own rules. Even the Bible says that God created the world in 6 days. That's gradual design, I suppose. Why not make it all in one instant? 3) You completely ignore, in your comments, the fundamental point of ID theory: CSI/dFSCI as an empirical marker of conscious intelligent design. How can you say to me: "That’s begging the question. What’s in question is whether those things were designed." when you are completely ignoring the main point I am making? 4) You say: "In the theory that ID presents, which is supposedly the best explanation, the designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. So, in current crop of ID, design is reduced to an explanation-less theory." Again, that is simply false. The designer in ID is not abstract: he has definite properties. He must be a conscious, intelligent, purposeful being, and he must have access to an interface with physical and biological realities. Regarding his limitations, we can say that he is certainly constrained by his interface, that he has to build design gradually (like humans), that he makes choices in terms of efficiency (for example, he certainly cannot fix all possible error in his design, or it would just be inefficient for him to do that). And so on. As in the case of humans, we can derive those limitations from the designed things, when we know not from the beginning what they are. It's called empirical inference. For example, if we get to a planet and find obvious designed artifacts of an old civilization (machines exhibiting obvious CSI/dFSCI), we can certainly infer much about the limitations (and abilities) of those old aliens, even if we know nothing about them directly. Again, it's called empirical inference. It's not begging the question, as you wrongly state. 5) You say: "If you mean that intentionally solving problems implies intent and the ability to conceive of problems, that’s uncontroversial." I am happy that at least you agree on that. "What’s in question is whether either of those things are necessary to explain the concrete adaptations of biological organisms we observe. I’m suggesting it’s not." And I am suggesting (with ID theory) that conscious design is the only available explanation for "the concrete adaptations of biological organisms we observe", IOWs for observed facts. And I am giving detailed considerations to prove that. You have addressed none of my considerations (indeed, none of ID's arguments about CSI/dFSCI), and offered nothing concrete to support your "suggestion". You have only given generic criticisms about the designer being "abstract", and other nonsense. I admit that you are seriously trying to debate, and I respect you for that. But if you want to debate ID, you must address the true ID arguments, and not criticize your imaginations about ID. 6) You say: "And you’re entered to your option, even though it seems to be problematic for claims I’m guessing you would accept. However, can you point me to a reference, other than your own personal view, as a counter example?" Which claims? Please, explain. I don't understand what kind of counter example I should give. Please, you give an example of where ID states that: "ID’s designer has no defined limitation as to what it knows, when it knew it" or anything like that. But beware, let's use words correctly. "Defined" is ambiguous". Most ID supporters would agree that we know nothing of the designer, except that he must be conscious, intelligent, purposeful and able to interact with the physical world. Some would not agree even to all those properties (maybe Dembski, but I should read his last work to understand his current position). However, I think that without the basic properties that I have listed, the term "designer" has no meaning, so I stick to that list. Out of that, it is true that we currently don't know who or what the biological designer is, and therefore we can say little about his "limitation", except fro what we can reasonably infer from his designed things, after we have reasonably inferred (by the CSI/dFSCI tool) that they must have been designed. But that's completely different from your statement that "ID’s designer has no defined limitation as to what it knows, when it knew it". ID recognizes the necessity of a conscious intelligent input of information to explain things that exhibit CSI/dFSCI, That is its main point. Obviously, design detection in all its forms implies that we can get some information about the designer from his designed things (see the example of aliens, but it is perfectly valid also for old civilizations and their artifacts). But the inference that something is designed is made merely by the observation that it exhibits CSI/dFSCI, and in itself is independent from the properties of the designer (except for the basic properties that I have listed, which define what a designer is in all cases). 7) You say: "Just so I’m clear, you’re not disagreeing with me, but claiming my methodology is wrong?" I always disagree with the conclusions derived from a wrong methodology. I believe that's good methodology. 8) You say: "So the method the designer use to modify some genes, but not others, is an empirical question open to investigation?" Absolutely. I have often debated those things here in some detail. 9)You say: "You don’t actually seem to be disagreeing with me here. For example, if we cannot deduce things about ID’s designer, wouldn’t this imply it has no necessary consequences from which deduction can be made? So, you seem to what it both ways. ID’s designer has no consequences we can deduce, but supposedly explains phenomena." Nonsense. Again, you mess with deduction and empirical inference. Let's give the correct statements: a) You cannot deduce things about ID's designer from your imaginary ideas about what it should be (unsupported by anything in the ID theory). b) ID theory can infer things about the designer from empirical observations. Those inferences are of two kinds: b1) The fundamental inference of ID theory is that objects that exhibit CSI/dFSCI have always been observed to be the result of conscious intelligent purposeful design: IOWs, their complex functional form has always been represented in the consciousness of a designer before being outputted through some interface into the material object. That is called the "design inference", and practically everybody in ID agrees that it is independent from specific characteristics of the designer, except that he must be a designer (in my definition, a conscious, intelligent, purposeful being who can output his conscious representations to matter in some way). b2) Once the design inference is made for some object, we can try to infer something about other properties or limitations of the designer from the object itself. If possible, we can test those inferences with new observed objects which can be ascribed to the same type of design or designer. There is no "begging the question" in all that, no "abstract designer", no "undefined limitations". ID's methodology is very good. Design detection is a sound science. gpuccio
Of course ... you can't name a single thing that would make you consider design. - - - - - - - - - - - - Popper, we've heard all this from you the last time you came through. You've created a special little place where you've rationalized the deliberate ignorance of facts. How novel. Upright BiPed
P: As for ID being the best explanation, ID’s designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. M: Which designer? The designer represented by the explanatory content presented in Intelligent design theory. Perhaps we're not on the same page, in that you do not expect the contents of theories to explain things? Popperian
UB: Again, what qualities would a thing have that would indicate to you that it might be designed? UB: Can you name something? To reiterate, the term knowledge, as I'm using it here, is information that tends to remain when embodied in a storage medium. It plays a causal role in being retained. The genome contains the knowledge of how to adapt air, water, etc. into the biological "qualities" of organisms, which is encoded into their DNA. I think we're both in agreement that, when an organism reproduces, its offspring effectively builds a copy of itself based on those instructions. So, the question becomes: what theory best explains the concrete knowledge we actually observe in the genome's of organisms? Human designers are people. We can conceive of problems, conjecture explanatory theories about how the world works, in reality, in an attempt to solve them, criticize those theories and discard errors they find. This results in the creation of explanatory knowledge, which only people can create. And has significant reach, because it's explanatory rather than merely a useful rule of thumb. This is in contrast to biological Darwinism, which is the theory that the knowledge of how to build biological adaptations in an organism's genome was created by conjecture, in the form of genetic variation that is random to any problem to solve and criticism, in the form of natural selection. This would result in the creation of non-explanatory knowledge, which has significantly less reach. Nature cannot conceive of problems, let alone create explanatory theories about how the world works. Being merely a useful rule of thumb, it would have significantly less reach. So, what would refute the latter explanation? Observing all, or a majority of, genetic variations in an organism's genome to have solved problems. This would be due to a designer having conjectured those variations for the expressed purpose of solving that organism's problems. Or the spontaneous generation of new knowledge in a organisms genome, which would refute both above theories. What else would refute Darwin's explanation? Observing offspring born with new, complex adaptions for which there were no precursors in their past. Another observation would be an offspring born with a complex adaptation that has survival value today, yet was not favored by selection pressure in ancestry, such as an ability to detect and use internet weather forecasts, as non-explanatory knowledge has significantly less reach. I'd point out that neither of these explanations line up with the current crop of ID theory, as its designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. This leaves ID's designer as having the property of design. One might suggest that ID's designer has the quality of being an authoritative source of knowledge. However this reflects a philosophical explanation about how knowledge grows which differs from both explanations above. Nor does it explain the origin of the knowledge the designer supposedly put in those organisms. Popperian
Popperian:
As for ID being the best explanation, ID’s designer is abstract and has no defined limitations.
Which designer? Mung
KF: However, once we see that by degrees [Popper] was forced to admit that cumulative inductive evidence — corroboration — carries weight, he let induction re-enter through the back door. That's a common misconception of Popper's position, which was not ampliative but critical in nature. See my quote in 119 above. KF: a –> Let’s see, when we routinely observe the Sun coming up every 24 or so hours, and infer to an empirically reliable general pattern that can be knowable, that’s mere coincidence? What I'm questioning is why we adopt an idea, rather than the details about those ideas itself. I'm suggesting that you having selected a theory that happens to have repeated itself in an unbroken pattern is a conscience, which you've mistaken for induction. As a counter example, every example of intelligence we observed has always been accompanied by a complex material brain. Yet I'm guessing you do not accept this as an obvious inference. Again, I'm not making that argument, because I'm not an inductivist. To use a contrived example, let's hypothetically say we thought the sun burns because demons constantly keep it "stoked" with fuel, and demons re-negotiate their contract every 4.5 billions years, often by going on strike. Despite the fact that we had experienced the sun rising every day in the past, we wouldn't necessarily assume it would rise tomorrow. Right? This would be due to our explanation for those observations, not the fact that they happened to have been repeated. We explain the sun's surface via it's core, which we cannot actually observe. In reality, we think the sun's core burns hydrogen, and has enough fuel to last last another 5.4 billions years. At which time, it will exit its main sequence and become a red giant, rather than explode in a supernova. The idea that the sun will rise tomorrow is baed on theory about how the world works, in reality, not repetition. Furthermore, the very idea that something has been repeated is not a sensory experience. Theory aways comes first. For example, theories of optics and geometry tell us not to experience seeing the sun rise on a cloudy day, even if a sunrise is really happening in the unobserved world behind the clouds. It's only though theory that not observing the sun in those cases does not constitute an instance of the sun not rising. And the same can be said if we observe the sun rising in a mirror or on video. It's those same theories of optics and geometry that tells us we're not experiencing the sun rise twice. In orbit, we observe the sun rising every 90 minutes or not at all. And we knew this would occur, long before we actually orbited the earth, though theory. So, without induction, so goes the inductive argument for ID. As for ID being the best explanation, ID's designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. Beyond "A designer must have wanted it that way", there is no necessary consequences for which to explain anything in particular. it's a logical possibility, but we discard an infinite number of logically possibilities every day, in every field of science. Again, I would agree that we know how designers do it. Where we disagree is the extent to which we can explain how designers do it, and if that expiation is also applicable beyond intelligent agents. ID presents design as a irreducible primitive that cannot be further explained. But that injects a questionable assumption. Popperian
What’s in question is whether those things were designed.
Again, what qualities would a thing have that would indicate to you that it might be designed? Can you name something? Upright BiPed
G: But that is really wrong. “advances in manufacturing, computing power, artificial intelligence” are simply examples of shared design. What you say does not make any sense. You seem to have confused shared design with creating new knowledge or creating advances in existing knowledge. For example, A 3D printer can print another 3D printer based on the same idea (3D printing), yet print parts that are incompatible with itself. As such, If you tried to replace one part that played the same role with another part, the entire system wouldn't work. And 3D printing is in its infancy. G: Similarly, it makes no sense that you say that “our limited knowledge” is reflected in “our current limited resources”. Limited knowledge is one thing, limited resources are another thing. Again, you seem to have underestimated the role that knowledge plays. For example, the last time I checked, the amount of energy that strikes the earth in the form of sunlight over 24 hours is equal to or greater to all the energy we use world wide in a year. However, we currently lack the knowledge of how to efficiently harness that energy. Things we design, such as cars and homes, reflect this limitation in our knowledge. Need more energy? Collect all of the rest of the matter in the solar system and convert it into a Dyson sphere that harness the rest of our sun's energy. However, we have yet to create the knowledge necessary to do this in an efficient and timely manner. Need still even more energy? IOW, unless something is prohibited by the laws of physics, the only thing preventing us from achieving it is knowing how. However, iD's designer has no defined limitations, including being bound to the laws of physics, which is supposedly tuned. I'm not suggesting we won't always have problems, but they will be radically different problems than those we face today. And the things we design will reflect those problems, rather than the one's we currently face. G: It is true that ID’s designer is not definitely known, but why would that mean that it is “abstract”? In the theory that ID presents, which is supposedly the best explanation, the designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. So, in current crop of ID, design is reduced to an explanation-less theory. G: At most, we could say that we don’t know its limitations, but even that is not true, because we can derive some of those limitations from its designed things. and they are essentially similar to the kind of limitations that we observe in all design processes. That's begging the question. What's in question is whether those things were designed. P: We judge ideas on their contents, not their source.” G: You may judge ideas as you like. I know very well that problem solving is the result of intelligence and purpose. That sometimes accidents can offer inputs is no confutation of that, as any intelligent and purposeful person will understand. If you mean that intentionally solving problems implies intent and the ability to conceive of problems, that's uncontroversial. What's in question is whether either of those things are necessary to explain the concrete adaptations of biological organisms we observe. I'm suggesting it's not. G: But maybe you don’t like to use intelligence and purpose, and just wait that accidents provide you with the right cognition. I prefer explanatory theories, because they have greater reach. But I'd take non-explanatory knowledge, in the form of a useful rule of thumb, can often be good enough in a pinch. However, it's unclear how my preferences are relevant. P: “Would you agree that ID’s designer has no defined limitation as to what it knows, when it knew it, etc?” G: Absolutely not. And you're entered to your option, even though it seems to be problematic for claims I'm guessing you would accept. However, can you point me to a reference, other than your own personal view, as a counter example? P: “As such, there is no necessary time when ID’s designer did not know how to build any organism that has or does exist. Right?” G: Wrong. Utter nonsense. The word “necessary” betrays your wrong methodology. Just so I'm clear, you're not disagreeing with me, but claiming my methodology is wrong? G: The properties of ID’s designer are at most an empirical problem, open to empirical investigation. So the method the designer use to modify some genes, but not others, is an empirical question open to investigation? G: They are not a logical problem, to be solved by abstract deduction. You don't actually seem to be disagreeing with me here. For example, if we cannot deduce things about ID's designer, wouldn't this imply it has no necessary consequences from which deduction can be made? So, you seem to what it both ways. ID's designer has no consequences we can deduce, but supposedly explains phenomena. Popperian
UB (attn P): As Avi points out, in many cases key aspects of the future are indeed rather like what went on before. Try the regular rising and setting of the sun in its annual cycle for a first example. So a principle of provisional uniformity makes sense and is important to science etc. KF PS: Observe, objections are now going after the inductive reasoning at the foundation of science. That speaks inadvertent volumes. kairosfocus
Pop: empiricism says that all knowledge comes through the senses. However, should we take that seriously, this would include the contents of scientific theories – which do not actually come to us from our senses. For example, no one first experienced an atom or a quark UB: Just for clarification, if Democritus did not posit the atom from his experience of the material world, from where did he get it? Pop: It came from intuition, an educated guess – conjecture.
Unless you are suggesting that such things as intuition and educated guesses exist without content, then the conjecture of the atom came from sensory experience.
Pop:my criticism is there are relevant observations that ID proponents should stop ignoring. UB: By all means, tell us what are these? POP: The future is unlike the past in countless ways.
Yes, I can see how that tidbit of information would be clarifying, particularly to those who were previously confused by such things. Upright BiPed
P: I suggest you take a look at Avi Sion's discussion of the provisional uniformity principle as applicable to inductive reasoning. KF kairosfocus
F/N: On the provisional uniformity principle used in inductive reasoning. Avi Sion has an interesting argument:
We might speak of repetition, of two or more particular things seeming the same to us; but we are well aware that such regularity does not go on ad infinitum. On the contrary, we well know that sooner or later, something is bound to be different from the preceding things, since the world facing us is one of multiplicity. Therefore, this “principle” may only be regarded as a heuristic idea, a rule of thumb, a broad but vague practical guideline to reasoning. It makes no specific claims in any given case. It just reminds us that there are (or seem to us to be) ‘similarities’ in this world of matter, mind and spirit. It is not intended to deny that there are also (apparent) ‘dissimilarities’. It is obviously not a claim that all is one and the same, a denial of multiplicity and diversity (in the world of appearances, at least[1]). To speak of uniformity in Nature is not to imply uniformity of Nature. We might also ask – can there be a world without any ‘uniformities’? A world of universal difference, with no two things the same in any respect whatever is unthinkable. Why? Because to so characterize the world would itself be an appeal to uniformity. A uniformly non-uniform world is a contradiction in terms. Therefore, we must admit some uniformity to exist in the world. The world need not be uniform throughout, for the principle of uniformity to apply. It suffices that some uniformity occurs. Given this degree of uniformity, however small, we logically can and must talk about generalization and particularization. There happens to be some ‘uniformities’; therefore, we have to take them into consideration in our construction of knowledge. The principle of uniformity is thus not a wacky notion, as Hume seems to imply. It is just a first attempt by philosophers to explain induction; a first try, but certainly not the last. After that comes detailed formal treatment of the topic. This proceeds with reference to specifics, symbolized by X’s and Y’s, and to strict logic. The uniformity principle is not a generalization of generalization; it is not a statement guilty of circularity, as some critics contend. So what is it? Simply this: when we come upon some uniformity in our experience or thought, we may readily assume that uniformity to continue onward until and unless we find some evidence or reason that sets a limit to it. Why? Because in such case the assumption of uniformity already has a basis, whereas the contrary assumption of difference has not or not yet been found to have any. The generalization has some justification; whereas the particularization has none at all, it is an arbitrary assertion. It cannot be argued that we may equally assume the contrary assumption (i.e. the proposed particularization) on the basis that in past events of induction other contrary assumptions have turned out to be true (i.e. for which experiences or reasons have indeed been adduced) – for the simple reason that such a generalization from diverse past inductions is formally excluded by the fact that we know of many cases that have not been found worthy of particularization to date. That is to say, if we have looked for something and not found it, it seems more reasonable to assume that it does not exist than to assume that it does nevertheless exist. Admittedly, in many cases, the facts later belie such assumption of continuity; but these cases are relatively few in comparison. The probability is on the side of caution. In any event, such caution is not inflexible, since we do say “until and unless” some evidence or argument to the contrary is adduced. This cautious phrase “until and unless” is of course essential to understanding induction. It means: until if ever – i.e. it does not imply that the contrary will necessarily occur, and it does not exclude that it may well eventually occur. It is an expression of open-mindedness, of wholesome receptiveness in the face of reality, of ever readiness to dynamically adapt one’s belief to facts. In this way, our beliefs may at all times be said to be as close to the facts as we can get them. If we follow such sober inductive logic, devoid of irrational acts, we can be confident to have the best available conclusions in the present context of knowledge. We generalize when the facts allow it, and particularize when the facts necessitate it. We do not particularize out of context, or generalize against the evidence or when this would give rise to contradictions.
So, provisional uniformity is a very reasonable view for finite, fallible thinkers. KF kairosfocus
UB: Just for clarification, if Democritus did not posit the atom from his experience of the material world, from where did he get it? It came from intuition, an educated guess - conjecture. We start out with a problem, conjecture an explanatory theory about how the world works, in reality, that we hope will solve it, then criticize that theory and discard errors we might find. In the case of science, criticism takes the form of empirical observations. Then, the process starts again when new observations indicate there is a problem in one of our ideas. This is in contrast to the idea that we start out with observations, generalize those observations to form a theory, then perform more observations to prove that theory is true or probably true. P: So, if anything, my criticism is there are relevant observations that ID proponents should stop ignoring. UB: By all means, tell us what are these? The future is unlike the past in countless ways. For example, see this cartoon from XKCD on the problem with presidential precedent. For each year the US elected a president, it lists at least one streak that had never previously been broken. Popperian
F/N: John Vickers at SEP, has a helpful comment -- one that rather reminds me of my frustration on first learning that there are no global one size fits all integration rules that neatly cover all cases . . . which hit me hard at the time (I still can see my Math Teacher telling us this shocking fact in that 4th form classroom, in my mind's eye):
Although inductive inference is not easily characterized, we do have a clear mark of induction. Inductive inferences are contingent, deductive inferences are necessary [--> once premises P are accepted, on logic, conclusions Q must follow . . . unless the premises beg the question or fall into self-contradiction etc]. Deductive inference can never support contingent judgments such as meteorological forecasts, nor can deduction alone explain the breakdown of one's car, discover the genotype of a new virus, or reconstruct fourteenth century trade routes. Inductive inference can do these things more or less successfully because, in Peirce's phrase, inductions are ampliative. Induction can amplify and generalize our experience, broaden and deepen our empirical knowledge. Deduction on the other hand is explicative. Deduction orders and rearranges our knowledge without adding to its content. [--> and can often surprise us by what it brings out.] Of course, the contingent power of induction brings with it the risk of error. Even the best inductive methods applied to all available evidence may get it wrong; good inductions may lead from true premises to false conclusions. (A competent but erroneous diagnosis of a rare disease, a sound but false forecast of summer sunshine in the desert.) An appreciation of this principle is a signal feature of the shift from the traditional to the contemporary problem of induction. How to tell good inductions from bad inductions? That question is a simple formulation of the problem of induction. In its general form it clearly has no substantive answer, but its instances can yield modest and useful questions . . .
In short, our circumstances compel us to develop cumulative bodies of provisional, inductively grounded knowledge. This points to the progressive nature of such. Later on, he therefore summarises:
The problem of induction for Armstrong is to explain why the rationality of induction is a necessary truth (Armstrong 1983, 52). Or, in a later formulation, to “lay out a structure of reasoning which will more fully reconcile us (the philosophers) to the rationality of induction” (Armstrong 1991, 505). His resolution of this problem has two “pillars” or fundamental principles. One of these is that laws of nature are objective natural necessities and, in particular, that they are necessary connections of universals. The second principle is that induction is a species of inference to the best explanation (IBE), what Peirce called ‘abduction’.
[T]he core idea is very simple: observed regularities are best explained by hypotheses of strong laws of nature [i.e., objective natural necessities], hypotheses which in turn entail conclusions about the unobserved. (Armstrong 2001, 503)
IBE, as its name suggests, is an informal and non-metric form of likelihood methods. Gilbert Harman coined the term in “The Inference to the Best Explanation,” (Harman 1965, see also Harman 1968) where he argued that enumerative induction was best viewed as a form of IBE: The explanandum is a collection of statements asserting that a number of F's are G's and the absence of contrary instances, and the explanans, the best explanation, is the universal generalization, all F's are G's. IBE is clearly more general than simple enumerative induction, can compare and evaluate competing inductions, and can fill in supportive hypotheses not themselves instances of enumerative induction . . .
In short, we cumulatively accept an orderly world, and on that we ground a pattern of provisional inference with many specific sub-patterns, which collectively are termed induction -- with the inference to best explanation being a pivotal facet. As some examples, we also see:
Carnap's taxonomy of the varieties of inductive inference (LFP 207f) may help to appreciate the complexity of the contemporary concept. Direct inference typically infers the relative frequency of a trait in a sample from its relative frequency in the population from which the sample is drawn. Predictive inference is inference from one sample to another sample not overlapping the first. This, according to Carnap, is “the most important and fundamental kind of inductive inference” (LFP, 207). It includes the special case, known as singular predictive inference, in which the second sample consists of just one individual. Inference by analogy is inference from the traits of one individual to those of another on the basis of traits that they share. Inverse inference infers something about a population on the basis of premises about a sample from that population. Universal inference, mentioned in the opening sentence of this article, is inference from a sample to a hypothesis of universal form.
In short, the attempt to dismiss induction as "impossible" is ill-advised. And to draw out facets of what happens in induction, re-label and use them to dismiss induction is even more ill advised. KF kairosfocus
Popperian: You say: "For example, I’ve provide a counter example, in that people sometimes accidentally solve problems they didn’t intend to solve. So, purpose does not always come into play." Can you please offer even one example where new complex functional information was created "without intention"? Like some long and meaningful poem coming out of random movements of the hand? Or some new complex software coming out of random typing? ID has never said that functional information cannot come out of accident. ID says that "complex" functional information is always a mark of intentional design. If you cannot understand this simple concept, then you don't understand ID theory. You are conflating ID with wild creationism. That is a big error. So, ID does not try to "explain any possible thing". Not in any way. ID tries to explain a very specific kind of things: those which exhibit CSI/dFSCI. Your epistemological position seems to be one of complete neo-platonism/innatism. I agree with a neo-platonic approach only for logic and mathematics. But for empirical sciences, that position is completely inappropriate. While it is certainly not true that: "all knowledge comes through the senses." your statement that: "The contents of theories are tested by observations, not derived from them." is equally wrong. The contents of theories are obviously derived from observations, but it is equally obvious that theories are built by applying innate concepts and abilities (logic, mathematics) to observed things. After that comes the "testing". I don't know how you can believe that empirical scientific theories are not derived from observations. They are. But certainly, mere observation is not enough. Empirical science is observation + cognitive processes + new observations. How can you deny that? ID theory uses the same exact methodology as all other empirical sciences. gpuccio
PS: I clip, as one slice of a cake that we may inductively infer has in it all the ingredients:
I’m suggesting when people adopt an idea that happens to conform to past experience, that’s a coincidence which can be mistaken for induction. If I was an inductivist, which I’m not, I could just as well argue that the idea of a designer without a material brain conflicts with past experience. But that would just be a coincidence as well. Rather, adoption in both cases is based on a theory of some sort, regardless of how poorly defined. Induction is impossible because theory, in one form or another, always comes first. It’s not about evidence, but good explanations for that evidence.
a --> Let's see, when we routinely observe the Sun coming up every 24 or so hours, and infer to an empirically reliable general pattern that can be knowable, that's mere coincidence? b --> So, when on experience we infer that certain snakes are dangerous, or that even an hour after chopping off the head of a snake, it might reflexively strike -- a chef in China just died because of that -- that's just coincidence? c --> I suggest to you, that you have re-labelled what we routinely do, make inductive inferences that are often quite cogent, as "coincidence" and have erected a strawman caricature. d --> Inductive arguments are those of form: A grounds B, with confidence level C [often implicit], on evidence E. That is, the premises work together in a structured way that makes the conclusion B more credibly true than it would be in absence of the premises and evidence. Which can in cases rise to the certainty of the sun rising on the morrow -- all but absolute. e --> Covering yourself with that, you proceeded to the it's brains argument. To which, the answer is, as pointed out, that there is an issue of cogency, materiality and relevance. As was just pointed out. f --> But of course, the first step allows you to then say, but you are assuming induction, providing a distractive Matador's cape to allow the underlying dismissal through. g --> The only problem is, you too cannot escape induction, and so you have gored yourself first of all. The skepticism if global is self refuting and if selective is inconsistent. h --> You go on to dismissively characterise underlying theories, setting up another level of selective hyperskepticism. The only problem is, when people first appreciated that the sun reliably rises in the East day by day, they did not have a theory. They were inferring that reliable experience can be further relied on. i --> You can relabel this a "theory" if you will, but that is simply a case of calling a sheep's tail its fifth leg. Inductive argument is a matter of common sense response to patterns, then of logic. It is prior to theories in any proper sense of the term. j --> The dismissal, induction is impossible is built on circular reasoning and conveniently re-labelling inductive steps as not being what they are. A sheep's tail is a tail per its functions and structure, it is not a fifth leg. k --> Then, inference to best explanation on factual adequacy, coherence and explanatory power is a species of inductive reasoning. Arguments where premises and associated evidence are held to support a conclusion, not render it as necessarily true given certain axioms. l --> In short, despite what some have argued, inductive, empirically grounded reasoning -- as opposed to empiricism [another loaded projection] -- is not so easily got rid of. It is fundamental. kairosfocus
Popperian: Frankly, I can't understand you criticism of "inductivism" (whatever you mean). Are you denying that empirical science is mainly inferential? Of course, theory and logical models have an important role, but if you really deny the role of inference from observed facts, I have great problems with your position. Would you care to explain better what you think? Regarding the importance of brains for conscious experiences, I will try to clarify better what I think. I don't deny that, in the normal human condition, conscious experiences are "linked" to brain activity (which does not mean that they are "explained" by brain activity). But there are many philosophical (and a few empirical) reasons to believe that conscious events can take place also in absence of the physical interface (NDEs, for example, being one of the empirical reasons). This is a problem of general worldview. I am not trying to impose my worldview, but I would appreciate if you did not try to impose yours. I have never said that my worldview must be taken as the basis for science. But I have said that your worldview, like any other specific worldview, cannot be taken as the basis for science. IOWs, I don't believe in any ideologization of science. That does not mean that science is independent from worldviews: it just means that all worldviews have a right to exist, and science has to be evaluated for its merits, and not for the worldview it seems to support. The relationship between consciousness and its physical interface is a very deep and controversial issue. For many, like me, consciousness is the primary truth in our experience, and has independent existence, even if it expresses itself, in many circumstances, through the medium (and the limitations) of a physical interface. For other, consciousness is just an emergent property of some specific form of matter. And there are obviously other positions. That's why I don't understand your comments about "ID's designer". the only specific statement of ID theory is that objects exhibiting CSI/dFSCI can be empirically shown to be designed, and that therefore design (the pre-representation of form and purpose in a conscious being, and its successive output into material objects) is the only known empirical explanation of CSI/dFSCI in objects. Therefore, the only properties needed in the designer of biological information (according to ID theory) are: being conscious, intelligent, purposeful and having access to some interface with biological matter to implement its representations. Nothing else. gpuccio
P: Pardon, but your dismissiveness is showing, with a tad of attitude. (I just note, to suggest some adjustments.) I will respond in general terms, in outline, here. First, inductive reasoning AND in praxis deductive reasoning are defeasible, for different reasons. Where, when you began your attempt to write off an inductive inference to best current explanation argument above, you tried to suggest that there being no principle of induction, inductive reasoning collapses. Which, given your handle, suggests you are overly impressed by Popper's attempts to turn induction into a kind of deduction. However, once we see that by degrees he was forced to admit that cumulative inductive evidence -- corroboration -- carries weight, he let induction re-enter through the back door. No one has seriously argued that induction delivers absolute certainty, but that sufficiently supported empirically reliable arguments are sufficiently established to be treated as credible though subject to onward tests. And, in other cases, the weight of evidence is such that one would be irresponsible to treat it as though the best explanation were false. Thus, too, the direct relevance of showing how deductive arguments -- starting with the paradigm case, Mathematics -- would also collapse in a post-Godel world. (And as a matter of fact, your points sound rather familiar, we have seen similar arguments previously.) In short, as finite, fallible, morally struggling and too often ill-willed or wishfully thinking creatures, we walk by faith and not by perfect sight. Whether, we seek knowledge by deduction or by induction, knowledge embeds faith as warranted credibly true belief. With room for reasonable doubt also -- but in many cases with justifiably high confidence. (Onlookers kindly cf here on in context.) Now, I took time to cite the insights of Locke and Greenleaf on limitations of practical, empirically grounded inductive reasoning, which highlight the fallacies of global or selective hyperskepticism -- and that people were aware of such centuries before Popper and had sensible answers. Of these, I am fairly sure that you are being selective, as it seems you are not exactly about to go challenge the dominant, a priori materialist school of thought on its logic or science in general. But, those ignorant, stupid, insane or wicked Creationists hiding in cheap tuxedos . . . [Which BTW is an expression of bigotry and slander by Dawkins et al and NCSE et al. I suggest you examine the UD Weak Argument Correctives under the resources tab at the top of every page in this blog.] Next, you have now trotted out the long since past sell-by date arguments, oh we can only induce to human-like intelligence and such intelligence requires brains or the like. On a few step by step points: 1 --> First, we have no good reason to infer that we exhaust the possibilities for intelligent beings. With dam building beavers and it seems at least one flint-knapping chimp out there [taught by a researcher], that is obvious at first level. 2 --> Next, use a bit of possible worlds analysis: if it is possible for others out there to be intelligent, then we have no grounds for inferring beyond intelligence is possible and would manifest certain characteristics. 3 --> Also, brains are cases of refined rock, and associated neural networks exhibiting blind, cause-effect chains of threshold gates triggered on weighted sum inputs are inherently GIGO-limited blind computational substrates. 4 --> They therefore exhibit programmed cause effect computing chains, not rational insight based inference. Our experience of ourselves and observation of other intelligences is that we are here dealing with self-aware, meaningful insight-based rational contemplation not blind brute force computation. That is, Reppert is right to point out:
. . . let us suppose that brain state A, which is token identical to the thought that all men are mortal, and brain state B, which is token identical to the thought that Socrates is a man, together cause the belief that Socrates is mortal. It isn’t enough for rational inference that these events be those beliefs, it is also necessary that the causal transaction be in virtue of the content of those thoughts . . . [But] if naturalism is true, then the propositional content is irrelevant to the causal transaction that produces the conclusion, and [so] we do not have a case of rational inference. In rational inference, as [C S] Lewis puts it, one thought causes another thought not by being, but by being seen to be, the ground for it. But causal transactions in the brain occur in virtue of the brain’s being in a particular type of state that is relevant to physical causal transactions.
(For more details cf here.) 5 --> If you imagine this can be covered by emergent, chance and necessity based incremental programming, you then face the FSCO/I origination challenge highlighted in the OP. 6 --> That's, leaving aside the other challenge to show empirically that insight, meaning based intelligence can and does emerge from programming. (It must have been that way since we may only infer to blind chance and necessity if we are to be "scientific," is nowhere near good enough to warrant such a claim given the challenges involved.) 7 --> Now also, in the context of the world of cell based life, the design inference on signs such as FSCO/I would be compatible with say a molecular nanotech lab some generations beyond Venter et al. As has been pointed out by design thinkers since the first technical work, TMLO by Thaxton et al in the early 1980's. (That is, several years before the court cases imagined to have led those nefarious Creationists in cheap tuxedos to reformulate their "superstitions.") 8 --> The point here, is that the design inference is primarily to design as causal factor evident on tested empirically reliable and needle in haystack analysis plausible inference. Designs are explained by designers, but it is utterly premature to foreclose possibilities. 9 --> There is another factor, the fine tuning of the observed cosmos in many ways that make it well-fitted for C-chemistry, aqueous medium, cell-based life. That is, from its physics and starting conditions on up, the observed cosmos exhibits FSCO/I in its physics that sets our observed cosmos to a deeply isolated operating point. 10 --> That is what led famed Nobel equivalent Prize holding Astrophysicist (and lifelong agnostic) Sir Fred Hoyle, to observe as follows:
From 1953 onward, Willy Fowler and I have always been intrigued by the remarkable relation of the 7.65 MeV energy level in the nucleus of 12 C to the 7.12 MeV level in 16 O. If you wanted to produce carbon and oxygen in roughly equal quantities by stellar nucleosynthesis, these are the two levels you would have to fix, and your fixing would have to be just where these levels are actually found to be. Another put-up job? . . . I am inclined to think so. A common sense interpretation of the facts suggests that a super intellect has “monkeyed” with the physics as well as the chemistry and biology, and there are no blind forces worth speaking about in nature. [F. Hoyle, Annual Review of Astronomy and Astrophysics, 20 (1982): 16.
. . . and as follows:
The big problem in biology, as I see it, is to understand the origin of the information carried by the explicit structures of biomolecules. The issue isn’t so much the rather crude fact that a protein consists of a chain of amino acids linked together in a certain way, but that the explicit ordering of the amino acids endows the chain with remarkable properties, which other orderings wouldn’t give. The case of the enzymes is well known . . . If amino acids were linked at random, there would be a vast number of arrange-ments that would be useless in serving the pur-poses of a living cell. When you consider that a typical enzyme has a chain of perhaps 200 links and that there are 20 possibilities for each link,it’s easy to see that the number of useless arrangements is enormous, more than the number of atoms in all the galaxies visible in the largest telescopes. This is for one enzyme, and there are upwards of 2000 of them, mainly serving very different purposes. So how did the situation get to where we find it to be? This is, as I see it, the biological problem – the information problem . . . . I was constantly plagued by the thought that the number of ways in which even a single enzyme could be wrongly constructed was greater than the number of all the atoms in the universe. So try as I would, I couldn’t convince myself that even the whole universe would be sufficient to find life by random processes – by what are called the blind forces of nature . . . . By far the simplest way to arrive at the correct sequences of amino acids in the enzymes would be by thought, not by random processes . . . . Now imagine yourself as a superintellect working through possibilities in polymer chemistry. Would you not be astonished that polymers based on the carbon atom turned out in your calculations to have the remarkable properties of the enzymes and other biomolecules? Would you not be bowled over in surprise to find that a living cell was a feasible construct? Would you not say to yourself, in whatever language supercalculating intellects use: Some supercalculating intellect must have designed the properties of the carbon atom, otherwise the chance of my finding such an atom through the blind forces of nature would be utterly minuscule. Of course you would, and if you were a sensible superintellect you would conclude that the carbon atom is a fix.
. . . also:
I do not believe that any physicist who examined the evidence could fail to draw the inference that the laws of nuclear physics have been deliberately designed with regard to the consequences they produce within stars. [["The Universe: Past and Present Reflections." Engineering and Science, November, 1981. pp. 8–12]}
11 --> As just one example, the physics is set up in such a way that the first four elements are H, He, O and C. In key part based on the impact of the resonance Hoyle highlights. N is close by, too. H gives us stars, He is gateway to the rest of the elements, O gives us water and C, organic chemistry. N gives us proteins. No wonder Sir Fred talked of put-up jobs. 12 --> That is, we have reason to at least consider the possibility of mind antecedent to matter, in light of characteristics exhibited by the observed cosmos. At least, if we are willing to avoid foreclosing on the evidence and possibilities. KF kairosfocus
Popperian: 1) The reason why "human beings are good explanations for human designed things" is not "our current human limitations", as you seem yo imagine. We are good explanations because we can output easily dFSCI, while non conscious or non intelligent systems cannot do that. Obviously, any agent has limitations, and each agent's specific limitations will be reflected in its designs. You say: "However, as I illustrated in my automotive manufacturing example, human beings will become significantly less dependent on shared designed in the future. This will be due to advances in manufacturing, computing power, artificial intelligence, etc." But that is really wrong. "advances in manufacturing, computing power, artificial intelligence" are simply examples of shared design. What you say does not make any sense. Similarly, it makes no sense that you say that "our limited knowledge" is reflected in "our current limited resources". Limited knowledge is one thing, limited resources are another thing. You can have immense knowledge and limited resources, or limited knowledge and huge resources. I don't understand why you conflate the two concepts. So, even if our knowledge became perfect (which, IMO, is impossible), we could still lack resources of all kinds, and be limited. You say that ID's designer "is abstract and has no defined limitations", Again, bad reasoning and bad use of language. It is true that ID's designer is not definitely known, but why would that mean that it is "abstract"? No abstract entity could design biological information. It must be a very real, efficient entity. And again, I can't understand why you so stubbornly believe that ID's designer has "no defined limitations". Where do you derive that strange concept from? At most, we could say that we don't know its limitations, but even that is not true, because we can derive some of those limitations from its designed things. and they are essentially similar to the kind of limitations that we observe in all design processes. 2)You say: "Except, human beings accidentally solve problems they never intended to solve. See my example above [40] regarding a cure for cancer. We judge ideas on their contents, not their source." You may judge ideas as you like. I know very well that problem solving is the result of intelligence and purpose. That sometimes accidents can offer inputs is no confutation of that, as any intelligent and purposeful person will understand. But maybe you don't like to use intelligence and purpose, and just wait that accidents provide you with the right cognition. 3) You say: "Would you agree that ID’s designer has no defined limitation as to what it knows, when it knew it, etc?" Absolutely not. You say: "As such, there is no necessary time when ID’s designer did not know how to build any organism that has or does exist. Right?" Wrong. Utter nonsense. The word "necessary" betrays your wrong methodology. The properties of ID's designer are at most an empirical problem, open to empirical investigation. They are not a logical problem, to be solved by abstract deduction. Moreover, I can't understand what imaginary ideas you have about ID's designer, that would make it possible for you to deduce what is necessary and what is not. gpuccio
So, if anything, my criticism is there are relevant observations that ID proponents should stop ignoring.
By all means, tell us what are these? Upright BiPed
Pop, Just for clarification, if Democritus did not posit the atom from his experience of the material world, from where did he get it? Upright BiPed
UB: What observations are you suggesting IDist should ignore in order to not draw your criticism here? I'm suggesting that empiricists are mistaken about the role observations plays in science, not that empirical observations do not play an important role or that some should be "ignored". Empiricism was an improvement because it promoted the use of observation in science. However, it got the role those observations play backwards. So, I'm suggesting when people adopt an idea that happens to conform to past experience, that's a coincidence which can be mistaken for induction. If I was an inductivist, which I’m not, I could just as well argue that the idea of a designer without a material brain conflicts with past experience. But that would just be a coincidence as well. Rather, adoption in both cases is based on a theory of some sort, regardless of how poorly defined. Induction is impossible because theory, in one form or another, always comes first. It's not about evidence, but good explanations for that evidence. Specifically, empiricism says that all knowledge comes through the senses. However, should we take that seriously, this would include the contents of scientific theories - which do not actually come to us from our senses. For example, no one first experienced an atom or a quark at all, let alone doing something. Nor did general relatively start out from a picture of space-time. The contents of theories are tested by observations, not derived from them. ID depends on assuming the latter, not the former. From this paper.... Many researchers – and their advisors on research method – adopt a doctrine called empiricism, which claims that researchers may only use empirical methods. This restrictive doctrine impoverishes any academic discipline where it is dominant. The main reason is that a discipline only qualifies for the status of a science after it has progressed beyond empirical generalizations to explanatory theories; but although empirical methods are useful for discovering the former, they are inherently useless for creating the latter. So the empiricist doctrine retards scientific progress. Researchers should be aware of this danger, and research methodologists should attempt to counter it. Again, I'm suggesting that ID stops prematurely, not due to observations but based on theory. So, if anything, my criticism is there are relevant observations that ID proponents should stop ignoring. Popperian
facepalm Upright BiPed
Mung, You are confusing objecting to abstraction with objecting to what amounts to an explanation-less theory. Human designers are good explanations for human designed things because our human limitations are reflected in those designs. They represent necessary trade offs based on what we knew then, when we knew it, etc. However, nothing is necessary for ID's deigned because it is abstract and has no defined limitations. As such, there are no necessary consequences for the current state of the system that we can empirically test. A key criticism is that ID represents a general purpose strategy for denying, well, anything. For example, just as It's logically possible a designer could have wanted to create everything with the mere appearance of having evolved for some purpose we cannot comprehend, it's also logically possible that a designer could have wanted to create the world we observe 30 minutes ago, with the appearance of age, for some reason we cannot comprehend, as well. Both represent a convoluted elaboration in that they merely spoil the prevailing theory (claim it is false), without providing a replacement explanation for the same phenomena in question. Furthermore, ID suggests that, rather than having been genuinely created, the knowledge of how to build copies of organisms was put there when the designer created them. So, the origin of that knowledge was the designer, rather than a process of variation and selection. But this is like suggesting, rather than general relatively being generally created by Einstein, his theory, and the vast majority of all others, was put there by the designer when it created the world we observe thirty minutes ago. So, the designer was the origin of GR, not Einstein. And the same could be said about the post I'm responding to. This same designer would have been the origin of that comment, rather than you, when it created the world thirty minutes ago. Both deny that knowledge was genuinely created, by claiming it was put there during the creation process. These represent general purpose strategies to deny anything. They merely move the boundaries at which denial take place. Again, I would agree with KF in that we know how designers do it. Where we disagree is the details, or to the extent in which there are relevant details which can be explained. Namely, the assumption that design is an immutable primitive that cannot be explained beyond "purposeful choice". For example, I've provide a counter example, in that people sometimes accidentally solve problems they didn't intend to solve. So, purpose does not always come into play. Specifically, not only does the law of unexpected consequences indicate we cannot guarantee our conjectured theories will always solve problems we intend to solve, it also indicates we cannot guarantee our conjectured theories always will not solve some other problem we did not intend to solve, either. Popperian
Pop,
... IDists adopt ID not because it conforms to past empirical experience, but because of an idea they have adopted ... see my example regarding intelligence and material brains.
What observations are you suggesting IDist should ignore in order to not draw your criticism here? Upright BiPed
Popperian:
I agree that human beings are good explanations for human designed things. We are good explanations because of our current human limitations. For example, specific features and relationships are best explained as necessary trade offs due to our limited knowledge, which in turn is reflected in our current limited resources, etc.
Human beings are a good explanation for human designed things because humans are limited. How does that follow? What leads you to believe that only human designs require or involve trade offs? Mung
KF: If you wish to dismiss inductive reasoning because it may err, in fact that hyperskeptical criterion would write off not just science, common sense day to day knowledge of the world and the like, but Mathematics of any significant complexity. Suggesting people are confused about how knowledge grows is not the same as suggesting knowledge doesn't grow. This is a typical response to criticism of induction and a false dilemma. Rather, I'm suggesting that what always comes first is theory or criticism in some form. So, IDists adopt ID not because it conforms to past empirical experience, but because of an idea they have adopted (and a particularly poor one at that.) Again, see my example regarding intelligence and material brains. Note: I'm not making that argument, I'm using is as a counter example. Note: "Idea X might be mistaken" is a bad criticism because it's applicable to all ideas. So, it cannot be used to criticize one idea over another. Like Popper, I'm a fallibilst. From the following article on fallibilism... The question about the sources of our knowledge . . . has always been asked in the spirit of: ‘What are the best sources of our knowledge—the most reliable ones, those which will not lead us into error, and those to which we can and must turn, in case of doubt, as the last court of appeal?’ I propose to assume, instead, that no such ideal sources exist—no more than ideal rulers—and that all ‘sources’ are liable to lead us into error at times. And I propose to replace, therefore, the question of the sources of our knowledge by the entirely different question: ‘How can we hope to detect and eliminate error?’ - Karl Popper In “Knowledge without Authority” (1960). Popperian
Popperian, abstraction is hardly the enemy of science. What is the scientific basis of your objection to abstraction? Mung
G: Human designers come with complex brains, and with many other material parts, like hair, nails, appendix, and so on. Not all of them are needed to design. You seem to be missing my point. I'm criticizing the idea that we actually use induction. Rather, theory aways comes first. It's unclear why I would make an inductive argument if I think induction is impossible. Furthermore, we've observed people designing things without hair, nails, and an appendix. However, every intelligent agent we’ve observe designing things has come with a complex material brain. So, if you are an inductivist, which you're appealing to in your argument for ID, it's unclear why you would not also consider this to be "empirical evidence" that intelligence requires a material brain. IOW, I'm trying to take your position seriously for the purpose of criticism. G: Brains are certainly needed. But as instruments of consciousness. The design process starts with conscious representations, and with the intelligence and desire to output them into matter. I suspect you're not following me. I'm suggesting that a good explanation is one that is a necessary consequence of a theory, in that it's hard to vary without significantly reducing its ability to explain the phenomena in questions. However, ID's designer is a bad explanation for why humans have brains. For example, if we take the idea that our supposed non material mind can interact with our material brain, then the function of our entire brain could be non material as well and interact with the rest of our body. As could any other part. If a designer could have made us 90% material and 10% non material, then he could have just as well make us 5% material and 95% non material or some other combination. Any particular ratio is not an necessary consequence of ID's designer. At best, you might say "that's just what the designer must have wanted." While this is a logical possibility, it's not an explanation via some necessary consequence or constraint. As such, it appears arbitrary. G: You can assume that brains are necessary for conscious representations, but that would only be your personal philosophy. I, like many others, don’t agree. First, I'm confused. Didn't you just earlier say that "Brains are certainly needed"? Now you're saying their not? Second, you're putting works in my mouth. I'm merely pointing out that your objection is a counter example to inductivism. G: You may say that it is an empirical observation that brains are necessary for consciousness to exist. I would object that it is an empirical observation that consciousness is necessary for brains to be observed. Consciousness is primary, and brains, like all other things in reality, are known by consciousness. I'm not an inductivist, so I'm not making an inductive argument. I'm criticizing induction by attempting to take it seriously. The conclusion that "Consciousness is primary" is a theory, not an inductive conclusion. So, you seem to be using theory to determine when induction is valid. But, it's unclear how this actually represents using induction. G: It is a question of basic worldviews, but no worldview can by default be considered as the necessary basis for science. That’s not the way science works. Again, an explanation of what scientists actually do, in reality, when they make progress is the subject of the philosophy of science and epistemology. So, criticism of induction as an explanation for the growth of knowledge is relevant to the issue at hand. G: Whatever the worldview, however, there is no doubt that CSI/dFSCI has only been observed as the result of conscious intelligent design, in all cases where we have direct knowledge of its origin. This is an appeal to inductivsm, which is itself a philosophical position about how knowledge grows. So, no, it's not "world view" independent. Nor has anyone actually formulated a principle of induction that actually works, in practice. So, i'm suggesting that adoption of ID occurs because of theory, not because of induction. Popperian
G: ID is about design as we can observe it, and the design we can observe is human design. Therefore, human design is the model for ID. Again, I agree that human beings are good explanations for human designed things. We are good explanations because of our current human limitations. For example, specific features and relationships are best explained as necessary trade offs due to our limited knowledge, which in turn is reflected in our current limited resources, etc. However, as I illustrated in my automotive manufacturing example, human beings will become significantly less dependent on shared designed in the future. This will be due to advances in manufacturing, computing power, artificial intelligence, etc. IOW, not only does your analogy not hold for ID's designer, who is abstract and has no defined limitations, but it will not hold well for human beings the future as we create new knowledge. G: ID is about conscious intelligence being the only empirically known source for CSI/dFSCI. Again, human design is the empirical model for that, and human conscious and purposeful intelligence is the model for the origin of design process. Except, human beings accidentally solve problems they never intended to solve. See my example above [40] regarding a cure for cancer. We judge ideas on their contents, not their source. G: Human design is realized under obvious constraints. So is biological design. The same kind of input of intelligent functional information under the constraints of what exists and of what is available can be observed both in human design and in biological design. And we have a good explanation for those constrains: knowledge is genuinely created over time via a process of variation and criticism. However, those constraints are not a necessary consequence of Intelligent Design theory because it's designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. G: You, please, give your references about your imaginations about ID theory. Would you agree that ID's designer has no defined limitation as to what it knows, when it knew it, etc? As such, there is no necessary time when ID's designer did not know how to build any organism that has or does exist. Right? Popperian
F/N: This, from Simon Greenleaf's famous Evidence, will also be relevant as an anticipation of the various forms of recent hyperskepticism about empirically grounded reasoning:
Evidence, in legal acceptation, includes all the means by which any alleged matter of fact, the truth of which is submitted to investigation, is established or disproved . . . None but mathematical truth is susceptible of that high degree of evidence, called demonstration, which excludes all possibility of error [--> Greenleaf wrote almost 100 years before Godel], and which, therefore, may reasonably be required in support of every mathematical deduction. Matters of fact are proved by moral evidence alone; by which is meant, not only that kind of evidence which is employed on subjects connected with moral conduct, but all the evidence which is not obtained either from intuition, or from demonstration. In the ordinary affairs of life, we do not require demonstrative evidence, because it is not consistent with the nature of the subject, and to insist upon it would be unreasonable and absurd. The most that can be affirmed of such things, is, that there is no reasonable doubt concerning them. The true question, therefore, in trials of fact, is not whether it is possible that the testimony may be false, but, whether there is sufficient probability of its truth; that is, whether the facts are shown by competent and satisfactory evidence. Things established by competent and satisfactory evidence are said to be proved. By competent evidence, is meant that which the very-nature of the thing to be proved requires, as the fit and appropriate proof in the particular case, such as the production of a writing, where its contents are the subject of inquiry. By satisfactory evidence, which is sometimes called sufficient evidence, is intended that amount of proof, which ordinarily satisfies an unprejudiced mind, beyond reasonable doubt. The circumstances which will amount to this degree of proof can never be previously defined; the only legal test of which they are susceptible, is their sufficiency to satisfy the mind and conscience of a common man; and so to convince him, that he would venture to act upon that conviction, in matters of the highest concern and importance to his own interest. [A Treatise on Evidence, Vol I, 11th edn. (Boston: Little, Brown, 1888) ch 1., sections 1 and 2. Shorter paragraphs added. (NB: Greenleaf was a founder of the modern Harvard Law School and is regarded as a founding father of the modern Anglophone school of thought on evidence, in large part on the strength of this classic work.)]
I trust we will now place recent hyperskepticism whether from Popper or others regarding inductive argument, in its proper proportion. KF kairosfocus
GP, well said as usual, I endorse. KF kairosfocus
P, re:
no one has actually formulated a principle of induction that works, in practice. So, it’s unclear how you could have used it to reach that conclusion . . .
If you wish to dismiss inductive reasoning because it may err, in fact that hyperskeptical criterion would write off not just science, common sense day to day knowledge of the world and the like, but Mathematics of any significant complexity. For Godel's incompleteness theorem implies that systems in math -- the paradigm of deductive reasoning -- will be either incomplete or contradictory and there is no constructive procedure to build even a limited but rich system known to be free of contradictions. That is, you are either in saw-off-the-branch global hyperskepticism, or else you are playing at rhetorically convenient selective hyperskepticism. Neither of these is a serious view. I suggest you ponder this from Locke's Intro, Sec 5, to his Essay on Human Understanding:
Men have reason to be well satisfied with what God hath thought fit for them, since he hath given them (as St. Peter says [NB: i.e. 2 Pet 1:2 - 4]) pana pros zoen kaieusebeian, whatsoever is necessary for the conveniences of life and information of virtue; and has put within the reach of their discovery, the comfortable provision for this life, and the way that leads to a better. How short soever their knowledge may come of an universal or perfect comprehension of whatsoever is, it yet secures their great concernments [Prov 1: 1 - 7], that they have light enough to lead them to the knowledge of their Maker, and the sight of their own duties [cf Rom 1 - 2 & 13, Ac 17, Jn 3:19 - 21, Eph 4:17 - 24, Isaiah 5:18 & 20 - 21, Jer. 2:13, Titus 2:11 - 14 etc, etc]. Men may find matter sufficient to busy their heads, and employ their hands with variety, delight, and satisfaction, if they will not boldly quarrel with their own constitution, and throw away the blessings their hands are filled with, because they are not big enough to grasp everything . . . It will be no excuse to an idle and untoward servant [Matt 24:42 - 51], who would not attend his business by candle light, to plead that he had not broad sunshine. The Candle that is set up in us [Prov 20:27] shines bright enough for all our purposes . . . If we will disbelieve everything, because we cannot certainly know all things, we shall do muchwhat as wisely as he who would not use his legs, but sit still and perish, because he had no wings to fly. [Text references added to document the sources of Locke's allusions and citations.]
With that in hand, I suggest that we can know a lot with great confidence, though not absolute certainty beyond all possibility of error however remote. One of those confident things is that things can be caused by design, and such often leave characteristic traces. Which is what the design inference is about. For instance, the FSCO/I in your comment, exhibited through English language ASCII text strings, is a highly reliable index of design, not lucky noise or the like. Kindly cf. the OP discussion and infographic. I would suggest that undermining the world of reasoned thought is not a tenable answer. But, it is tellingly revealing of how far objectors to the design inference on empirically reliable -- billions of cases in point -- signs will go in their zero concession policy. KF kairosfocus
Popperian: You say: "Empirically, every intelligent agent we’ve observe designing things has come with complex material brains. Yet, I’m guessing you’d disagree with that assumption, despite it conforming with past empirical observations." Human designers come with complex brains, and with many other material parts, like hair, nails, appendix, and so on. Not all of them are needed to design. Brains are certainly needed. But as instruments of consciousness. The design process starts with conscious representations, and with the intelligence and desire to output them into matter. You can assume that brains are necessary for conscious representations, but that would only be your personal philosophy. I, like many others, don't agree. You may say that it is an empirical observation that brains are necessary for consciousness to exist. I would object that it is an empirical observation that consciousness is necessary for brains to be observed. Consciousness is primary, and brains, like all other things in reality, are known by consciousness. It is a question of basic worldviews, but no worldview can by default be considered as the necessary basis for science. That's not the way science works. Whatever the worldview, however, there is no doubt that CSI/dFSCI has only been observed as the result of conscious intelligent design, in all cases where we have direct knowledge of its origin. That is what ID theory is about: not your imaginations about no constraints and omnipotence, but just the scientific problem of the origin of observed complex functional information. gpuccio
Popperian: References? Smuggling? ID is about design as we can observe it, and the design we can observe is human design. Therefore, human design is the model for ID. ID is about conscious intelligence being the only empirically known source for CSI/dFSCI. Again, human design is the empirical model for that, and human conscious and purposeful intelligence is the model for the origin of design process. Human design is realized under obvious constraints. So is biological design. The same kind of input of intelligent functional information under the constraints of what exists and of what is available can be observed both in human design and in biological design. You, please, give your references about your imaginations about ID theory. I have been discussing, and defending, ID theory for years. You seem to have just been imagining it according to your prejudices. gpuccio
Correction: Empirically, every intelligent agent we’ve observe designing things has come with complex material brains. Yet, I’m guessing you’d disagree with that assumption, despite it conforming with past empirical observations. Popperian
KF: Designers, empirically, come with designs, and this is backed up by the sort of analysis in the OP on blind search of huge config spaces with isolated zones that are special. Designers being intelligent and purposeful, with skill to effect purpose. Except, no one has actually formulated a principle of induction that works, in practice. So, it's unclear how you could have used it to reach that conclusion. Furthermore, take the following counter example.. Empirically, every intelligent agent we've observe designing things has come with complex material brains. Yet, I'm guessing you'd disagree that assumption, despite it conflating with past empirical observations. IOW, we do not actually use induction. Theory always comes first. Having adopted an idea that happens to have always occurred in the past is a coincidence, which you've mistaken as "using induction". Furthermore, evolution isn't blind in the sense you're implying. Variation is random to any particular problem to solve, not completely random. It's an error correcting process. While natural processes cannot conceive of problems as we can, but they can create non-explantory knowledge. For example, people can accidentally create non-explaintory knowledge as well. We can and do accidentally solve problems we didn't purposely try to solve in the fist place. Popperian
gpuccio: There are obvious constraints in the work of any designer. Any designer is constrained by the material he has to work with, by the modalities of implementation, by what has already been designed, just to make a few examples. References? While that is applicable to human designers, unless I'm mistaken, it's not implied by intelligent design theory itself. IOW, you seem to be smuggling in assumptions that are not actually present in the theory. Popperian
P: the term “knowledge”, as I’m using it here, is useful information that causes itself to remain when embedded in a storage medium, including books, brains and even genes KF: This is a question-begging redefinition, loaded with a lot of metaphysics. Knowledge is not equal to information. Procedures are also not knowledge though correct procedures may well require knowledge to develop them. Progress often takes the form of unification. That's what this definition represents. However, if you're a Foundationalist, it would come as no surprise that you would object to on the grounds of question begging. Furthermore, since the 17th century, some topics that were previously considered within the bounds of metaphysics are now distinct regions of philosophy, such as the philosophy of science and the field of epistemology. For example, rise and fall of logical positivism in science was due to philosophical criticism. What scientists actually do when they make progress, which could be different than what they seem to be experiencing, is a philosophical topic and is relevant to the subject at hand. KF: Knowledge may be coded into information, as in a good text book, but even there, the book may contain errors and other things that are not knowledge. Which doesn't conflict with what I presented. Knowledge plays a casual role in being retained in a storage medium. This does not preclude other false information being copied in the same book. It's not the cause of it's own copying. KF: A more reasonable understanding of [weak form] knowledge, is, well-warranted, credibly true belief. Yes, that is the classical position. However, I don't find that conception of knowledge reasonable as it does not withstand rational criticism. For example take one of Popper's though experiments... Experiment (1). All our machines and tools are destroyed, and all our subjective learning, including our subjective knowledge of machines and tools, and how to use them. But libraries and our capacity to learn from them survive. Clearly, after much suffering, our world may get going again. Experiment (2). As before, machines and tools are destroyed, and our subjective learning, including our subjective knowledge of machines and tools, and how to use them. But this time, all libraries are destroyed also, so that our capacity to learn from books becomes useless. If you think about these two experiments, the reality, significance, and degree of autonomy of the third world (as well as its effects on the second and first worlds) may perhaps become a little clearer to you. For in the second case, there will be no re-emergence of our civilization for many millennia.” Karl Popper, 'Objective Knowledge – An Evolutionary Approach'. So, knowledge is objective in that it's independent of anyone's belief. KF: [And no, the hint of selection pressure in that, does not in itself ground knowledge; the knowledge comes from senses functioning properly in their appropriate environment, detecting signals that are effectively and instinctually processed to yield warranted, credibly true belief. First, you're assuming that knowledge is somehow "grounded." How does that work, in practice? Second, what you described is a useful rule of thumb, which is non-explanatory knowledge. While I would agree that only people can created explanatory knowledge, I wouldn't agree that the knowledge in the deer is explanatory in nature, represents "belief" on the deer's part or comes from its senses, functioning properly or otherwise. Nor that it could only come from a person (intelligent agent). So, to refer to the OP, I'd again agree that we know how know designers do it. Where we disagree is that you seem to think design is an irreducible primitive that cannot be explained, and stopped prematurely. Designers fall under our current, best theory of the universal growth of knowledge: variation and criticism in various forms. And by knowledge, I mean useful information that causes it self to remain when instantiated in a storage medium, including brains books and genes. Note: when I use the term person, i'm referring to anything that can intentionally conjecture explanatory theories as to how to solve problems, then test those theories via criticism and discard errors they encounter. People are universal explainers. They can create explanatory theories about how the world works, in reality. Popperian
Rich, re:
the term “knowledge”, as I’m using it here, is useful information that causes itself to remain when embedded in a storage medium, including books, brains and even genes
This is a question-begging redefinition, loaded with a lot of metaphysics. Knowledge is not equal to information. Procedures are also not knowledge though correct procedures may well require knowledge to develop them. Knowledge may be coded into information, as in a good text book, but even there, the book may contain errors and other things that are not knowledge. A more reasonable understanding of [weak form] knowledge, is, well-warranted, credibly true belief. This carries no implications of encoding in physical storage media etc . . . or even of being articulated in a language, i.e. a code. (For instance, on this last, a deer scenting then sighting wolves nearby knows itself to be under threat and will take appropriate evasive action. Failing which, it would very likely become dinner. [And no, the hint of selection pressure in that, does not in itself ground knowledge; the knowledge comes from senses functioning properly in their appropriate environment, detecting signals that are effectively and instinctually processed to yield warranted, credibly true belief. Which points to serious questions on how the oodles of FSCO/I involved in all of that came to be, given what the OP summarises on the challenge of proposed origin of FSCO/I through blind chance and mechanical necessity.]) KF kairosfocus
Rich, BTW, on theology as a FYI [as opposed to, on science . . . the two are different subjects], a God who is omnipotent and omnipresent, Omnibenevolent and Omniscient, etc does not contradict our being responsibly free; unless you get the perceptions of God's characteristics out of whack. "All" you need to factor in is imago dei, which gives us the gift of freedom -- which means we can love and be potentially virtuous. KF PS: Note, the inference to design on sign, especially on the world of life does not IMPLY an inference to God as designer. As has been repeatedly pointed out since the early 1980's but just as routinely studiously ignored in the course of erecting strawman caricatures such as "Creationists in cheap tuxedos." kairosfocus
rich
You can’t have free will and an omnipotent, omnipresent atemporal god.
So? Mung
Daniel King:
It’s tautological: The designer must be capable of designing what he has designed!
One might say the effect must be in the cause. That a cause cannot give what it does not have to give. Is that also tautological? Are you opposedto causality or just to causes that have the capacity to bring about their effects? Mung
GP, I think I would emphasise that the design inference is primarily to the process of design as best explanation on observing traces of origins exhibiting FSCO/I and the like. Designers, empirically, come with designs, and this is backed up by the sort of analysis in the OP on blind search of huge config spaces with isolated zones that are special. Designers being intelligent and purposeful, with skill to effect purpose. KF kairosfocus
Daniel King: I know it's useless and hopeless, but anyway: ID infers a designer because of a very specific property of biological information which can empirically be explained by the input of complex functional information by a conscious intelligent being. It cannot be explained by the current theories, which fail completely in that task. Obviously, the designer must be capable of designing what we observe. Why should we make an hypothesis which is not compatible with what we are observing? Neo-darwinism assumes a theory which can never explain what is observed, but we beg to differ. AntiIDists like Popperian and yourself, when they have nothing better to do, decide on their own that ID is assuming a designer who is omnipotent, who can do anything, who should have no restraints, and so on and so on. That is yous creation, and has nothing to do with ID. We definitely observe a repeated input of functional information in biological beings in the course of natural history, but that input is obviously implemented under specific constraints, first of all the implementation of new functions in what already exists. That is exactly what we can observe in all the forms of design that we know, and which are the model on which the ID theory is built. This is sound scientific procedure and methodology. But please, go on with your gossip if you like. gpuccio
It is not at all surprising that IDists (see gpuccio) have no hesitation about postulating "very special properties" of their designer, but go ballistic when someone like Popperian calls them out on that same line of reasoning. It's tautological: The designer must be capable of designing what he has designed! Daniel King
Second time of writing: You can't have free will and an omnipotent, omnipresent atemporal god. rich
I am always surprised of how some antiIDists (see Popperian) feel free to decide what ID is postulating, and how the ID designer should be able of doing such and such. gpuccio
Popperian: I completely disagree with you. There are obvious constraints in the work of any designer. Any designer is constrained by the material he has to work with, by the modalities of implementation, by what has already been designed, just to make a few examples. In the case of biological design, in particular, the last point is very obvious: new design is built on what already exists. ID's designer is not abstract at all: he has to have very special properties, in particular he has to be able to input the necessary functional information in biological beings, with modalities of implementation compatible with what we observe in natural history. That is a well define hypothesis, and it is not abstract at all. gpuccio
Mark
Just a tad tautological?
No. Compatibalism is nothing more than the refusal to call things by their right name--a misguided attempt to characterize futile will as free will. StephenB
Pop:
I’m referring to ID’s designer as a supposed explanation for the concrete biological adaptations we observe.
ID claims that? Reference please.
Specifically, ID’s designer is abstract and has no defined limitations.
ID is NOT about the designer so obviously you are confused.
On the other hand, biological darwinism is the explanation that the knowledge of how to build organisms was genuinely created via variation and selection.
It is an evidence-free explanation which means it doesn't explain anything. Joe
P: Nor have you explained why a designer would choose to create the biosphere in a way that would appear to be constrained, despite the fact that such constraint would be completely unnecessary. Joe: And how do you know what is and isn’t necessary? I'm referring to ID's designer as a supposed explanation for the concrete biological adaptations we observe. Specifically, ID's designer is abstract and has no defined limitations. As such, nothing is *necessary* for ID's designer by definition, or lack there of. While it's logically possible there could be a reason, in reality, none is actually provided. As such, the specific kind of relationships between concrete design is not a necessary consequence of ID's designer. Again, human beings are good explanations for human designed things precisely because of our human limitations. The relationship between concrete features of human designed things is explained by necessary trade-offs, such as in the automotive example above. Shared design is just one example, which is due to the cost of design, manufacturing, testing, etc. However, ID's has no limitations on what it knows, when it knew it, available resources, etc. For example since ID's designer lacks the limitation of knowing there ever being a time when it did not know how to build any organism that has or currently exists, it could have built those organisms in the order of most complex to least complex, or even all at once. The order of least complex to most complex is not a necessary consequence of ID's designer. On the other hand, biological darwinism is the explanation that the knowledge of how to build organisms was genuinely created via variation and selection. Nature could not build organisms until that knowledge was created. So, this specific order *is* a necessary consequence of the theory. Note: the term "knowledge", as I'm using it here, is useful information that causes itself to remain when embedded in a storage medium, including books, brains and even genes. Popperian
Mark: I will try to discuss a few simple scenarios, to see how what you say can really be applied. a) A big stone falls down from a mountain, and it kills a man. b) Bacteria invade the body of a man, and kill him. c) A tiger kills a man. d) A thief kills a man to get his possessions. I have included a (and maybe b) because you say that compatibilism has nothing to do with consciousness. We will see if that is really true. Now, from a libertarian point of view, I would hypothesize a free choice only in d, for the following reasons: a van be excluded because a stone is not conscious. b and c can reasonably be excluded because the behaviour of bacteria and of the tiger seems to be compulsive, instinctive, and there is no reason to thing that bacteria or tigers could, in general, behave differently for a conscious free choice. For d, there is reasonable motive to believe that the behaviour in this case is specifically chosen by the individual (only a few humans are thieves and killers, if I am not being too optimistic). So, even giving ample allowances for possible compulsive influences, if free will exists this is a case where it certainly could be implied. Let's go to compatibilism. The case of the stone is certainly the most extreme, so let's consider it immediately. I paste here your five points:
* Choosers can spend considerable time weighing up alternatives before choosing * Choosers often have great emotional concern that they have made the right choice * Choosers can reasonably be praised or blamed for their choices * The ability to choose gives choosers power over what happens next And if we accept a random element in determinism * Chooser’s choices are to some degree fundamentally unpredictable
Now, if you maintain that consciousness has nothing to do with compatibilism and free choices, I would say that some of your points can apply to the a scenario- We can say that the stone "can spend considerable time weighing up alternatives before choosing". Why not? The stone can certainly remain in a "almost falling" state for some time, and each time there is some wind, the relationship between the stone's weight, position, interaction with the mountain and interaction with the changing wind could well be described as "weighing up alternatives before choosing" to fall, again if choices have nothing to do with consciousness. The second point does not apply: I don't believe that stones have emotional reactions, least of all strong ones. But is it really necessary, for a choice to be a choice, that the chooser has emotional reactions to it? After all, many choices, even terrible ones, seem to be made in cold blood. About c, it is certainly true that we could praise or blame the stone for falling. Maybe it is not very reasonable, but why would it be less reasonable than blaming bacteria or a tiger? If moral considerations are not really what is at stake, then we are as free to blame the stone as we are free to praise a dictator. d can certainly apply. The "ability to choose", IOWs the ability to fall or not fall according to different conditions, certainly gives the stone power over what happens next: if the stone falls, the man will be killed, otherwise he will live. And e certainly applies. there is no better model of a random/chaotic system than the weather, and we have seen that the wind has a fundamental role in the stone's decision of falling or not. For the moment, I will not go on with the other three scenarios. I would appreciate some input from you about what I have already said, which is already provocative enough, IMO. gpuccio
Mark: I suppose I was trying to be ironic... However, I am not making an argument from authority. Not at all. I despise arguments from authority. :) But it was comforting, in a way. to realize that my arguments had already been made, almost with the same words, and by people that some could consider "respectable". gpuccio
GP
However, may I, on Kant’s authority, use “wretched subterfuge” and “word jugglery” instead?
I don't see much difference between fraud and subterfuge in this context. You can use whatever term you like provided you can justify it - but argument from authority is not a justification in this context. Mark Frank
Rich, 86:
We make choices every day. They are the choices we were always going to make. So long as they feel “free”, does it matter?
(Were you really and responsibly free to choose this, or is it the genes and psycho-social conditioning that have conditioned and programmed you to respond with these mouth-noised symbolised in text when duly stimulated? Which, only FEELS as though you have chosen and reasoned as you think you did.) MF, 87:
[Cites GP:] Determinism is not compatible with free will defined as the capacity to make a variety of significant choices that liberate us from the slavery of determinism and empower us rise above the status of nature’s plaything [MF, responds:] Just a tad tautological?
(Is it a case of genuine freedom on your part to respond as above, or is that your genes and psychosocial conditioning speaking while giving you the delusional impression that you logically analysed and detected question-begging? Are you begging the question as to whether a wholly determined entity can be free enough to actually reason by choosing to follow ground-consequent links?) I find it interesting that supporters of determinism (including compatibilism) seem to imagine that they are dealing with a case where perceptions vs reality are immaterial, and "assumptions" can be dismissed as tautologous [intended in the bad, question-begging sense]. What is at stake, however, is the credibility of self-aware conscious mindedness. If we are not sufficiently, responsibly free, we cannot rise above the forces of genetic accident ["nature"] and those of psychosocial conditioning ["nurture"] to have genuine rationality, freedom to choose to follow ground and consequent, evidence in a pattern and its best explanation per inductive logic, warrant, and meaningful principle. We would become denizens in a Plato's Cave world, prisoners of inescapable conditioning that gives us the grand delusion that choice of alternatives is more than blind mechanism and equally blind chance. That is, such hold that in reality, we are not self-moved in any responsible sense. This (especially in lab coat- clad, evolutionary materialist form) is little more than a fashionable fallacy of grand delusion. As Reppert summarised . . . I cite again, as it is evident this has not been taken seriously (I don't know if this is the zero concession/ studious ignoring/ dismissive rhetorical tactic, but it sure feels like it! . . . but then, this is largely for the onlooker):
. . . let us suppose that brain state A, which is token identical to the thought that all men are mortal, and brain state B, which is token identical to the thought that Socrates is a man, together cause the belief that Socrates is mortal. It isn’t enough for rational inference that these events be those beliefs, it is also necessary that the causal transaction be in virtue of the content of those thoughts . . . [[But] if naturalism is true, then the propositional content is irrelevant to the causal transaction that produces the conclusion, and [[so] we do not have a case of rational inference. In rational inference, as Lewis puts it, one thought causes another thought not by being, but by being seen to be, the ground for it. But causal transactions in the brain occur in virtue of the brain’s being in a particular type of state that is relevant to physical causal transactions.
J B S Haldane's point says much the same:
“It seems to me immensely unlikely that mind is a mere by-product of matter. For if my mental processes are determined wholly by the motions of atoms in my brain I have no reason to suppose that my beliefs are true. They may be sound chemically, but that does not make them sound logically. And hence I have no reason for supposing my brain to be composed of atoms. In order to escape from this necessity of sawing away the branch on which I am sitting, so to speak, I am compelled to believe that mind is not wholly conditioned by matter.” ["When I am dead," in Possible Worlds: And Other Essays [1927], Chatto and Windus: London, 1932, reprint, p.209.]
In short, we have a case here, where a major option implies that major features of mindedness are delusional, undermining reason and warrant, thus rationality and knowledge, much less duties of care to truth and right. Ending up in sawing off the branch on which we must all sit. In the end, we must act on the premise that it is self-evident that we are self-aware, self-moved, morally governed rational, responsibly free and genuinely knowing beings. Whether or no our formally advocated scheme of the world adequately grounds such. So, we are not dealing with question-begging arbitrary assumptions of no great moment. We are dealing with grounding rationality, reason, duty, responsibility. And, it is clear that subjectivism grounded in determinism -- even if cloaked under "compatibilism" -- is yet another case of appeal to grand delusion affecting major facets of our life of reason. No such notion of grand delusion escapes the sort of self-referential, saw off the branch on which we sit incoherence. Not that that has historically blocked self-referentially incoherent ideologies from being powerfully persuasive. (Remember, we are here dealing with people who are often inclined to doubt or deride self-evident first principles of right reason and to dismiss the premise that there are self-evident moral obligations that cry out for a world-foundational IS that adequately grounds the OUGHT that governs us.) KF kairosfocus
rich: Does it matter if what we believe "feels" true or "is" true? To me, it does matter. You "are" free (not only "feel" free) to feel and believe differently. gpuccio
Mark: I have not the time now to answer in more detail. I will do that later. For the moment, I have discovered that Wikipedia summa up well my objections that, it seems, are not "mine" at all! From Wikipedia's page on Compatibilism:
Criticisms[edit] Compatibilism has much in common with so-called 'Hard Determinism', including moral systems and a belief in Determinism itself Critics of compatibilism often focus on the definition(s) of free will: incompatibilists may agree that the compatibilists are showing something to be compatible with determinism, but they think that something ought not to be called "free will". Incompatibilists might accept the "freedom to act" as a necessary criterion for free will, but doubt that it is sufficient. Basically, they demand more of "free will". The incompatibilists believe free will refers to genuine (e.g., absolute, ultimate) alternate possibilities for beliefs, desires or actions, rather than merely counterfactual ones. Faced with the standard argument against free will, many compatibilists choose determinism so that their actions are adequately determined by their reasons, motives, and desires.[5] Compatibilists are sometimes accused (by incompatibilists) of actually being Hard Determinists who are motivated by a lack of a coherent, consonant moral belief system. Compatibilists are sometimes called "soft determinists" pejoratively (William James's term). James accused them of creating a "quagmire of evasion" by stealing the name of freedom to mask their underlying determinism.[6] Immanuel Kant called it a "wretched subterfuge" and "word jugglery."[7] Kant's argument turns on the view that, while all empirical phenomena must result from determining causes, human thought introduces something seemingly not found elsewhere in nature - the ability to conceive of the world in terms of how it ought to be, or how it might otherwise be. For Kant, subjective reasoning is necessarily distinct from how the world is empirically. Because of its capacity to distinguish is from ought, reasoning can 'spontaneously' originate new events without being itself determined by what already exists.[8] It is on this basis that Kant argues against a version of compatibilism in which, for instance, the actions of the criminal are comprehended as a blend of determining forces and free choice, which Kant regards as misusing the word "free". Kant proposes that taking the compatibilist view involves denying the distinctly subjective capacity to re-think an intended course of action in terms of what ought to happen.[7] Ted Honderich explains his view that the mistake of compatibilism is to assert that nothing changes as a consequence of determinism, when clearly we have lost the life-hope of origination.[9]
I agree with every sibgle word. Now, I promise that, out of courtesy, I will avoid in the future the word "fraud" for compatibilism. However, may I, on Kant's authority, use "wretched subterfuge" and “word jugglery" instead? :) gpuccio
Determinism is not compatible with free will defined as the capacity to make a variety of significant choices that liberate us from the slavery of determinism and empower us rise above the status of nature’s plaything
Just a tad tautological? Mark Frank
We make choices every day. They are the choices we were always going to make. So long as they feel "free", does it matter? rich
SB, 82:
Determinism is compatible with free will defined as the capacity to make a variety of insignificant choices that bind us to the same slavish fate that determinism had in store for us in the first place. Determinism is not compatible with free will defined as the capacity to make a variety of significant choices that liberate us from the slavery of determinism and empower us rise above the status of nature’s plaything.
Very well and aptly summarised. KF PS: For the consequences of determinism under evolutionary materialism or its fellow traveller views, kindly cf Plato in The Laws Bk X as was just cited. kairosfocus
F/N 2: Plato's expose of materialism and its pretensions, in The Laws Bk X c. 360 BC:
Ath. . . . [[The avant garde philosophers and poets, c. 360 BC] say that fire and water, and earth and air [[i.e the classical "material" elements of the cosmos], all exist by nature and chance, and none of them by art, and that as to the bodies which come next in order-earth, and sun, and moon, and stars-they have been created by means of these absolutely inanimate existences. The elements are severally moved by chance and some inherent force according to certain affinities among them-of hot with cold, or of dry with moist, or of soft with hard, and according to all the other accidental admixtures of opposites which have been formed by necessity. After this fashion and in this manner the whole heaven has been created, and all that is in the heaven, as well as animals and all plants, and all the seasons come from these elements, not by the action of mind, as they say, or of any God, or from art, but as I was saying, by nature and chance only. [[In short, evolutionary materialism premised on chance plus necessity acting without intelligent guidance on primordial matter is hardly a new or a primarily "scientific" view! Notice also, the trichotomy of causal factors: (a) chance/accident, (b) mechanical necessity of nature, (c) art or intelligent design and direction.] . . . . [[Thus, they hold that t]he Gods exist not by nature, but by art, and by the laws of states, which are different in different places, according to the agreement of those who make them; and that the honourable is one thing by nature and another thing by law, and that the principles of justice have no existence at all in nature, but that mankind are always disputing about them and altering them; and that the alterations which are made by art and by law have no basis in nature, but are of authority for the moment and at the time at which they are made.- [[Relativism, too, is not new; complete with its radical amorality rooted in a worldview that has no foundational IS that can ground OUGHT. ] These, my friends, are the sayings of wise men, poets and prose writers, which find a way into the minds of youth. They are told by them that the highest right is might [[ Evolutionary materialism leads to the promotion of amorality], and in this way the young fall into impieties, under the idea that the Gods are not such as the law bids them imagine; and hence arise factions [[Evolutionary materialism-motivated amorality "naturally" leads to continual contentions and power struggles], these philosophers inviting them to lead a true life according to nature, that is, to live in real dominion over others [[such amoral factions, if they gain power, "naturally" tend towards ruthless tyranny], and not in legal subjection to them . . .
In short the want of a basis for knowledge and for morality, are not mere side points to be shrugged off, they have serious consequences and have had serious consequences for 2350 years. Including, most blatantly, across the past 100 years -- as the ghosts of over a hundred million victims of regimes dominated by evolutionary materialism cry out to us. If, we will but listen. KF kairosfocus
F/N: Someone above has challenged on the question, what is materialism (and we can extend, the descriptive term evolutionary materialism). To underscore the point that we are dealing with a no concessions, undermine by definitionitis "whatever that means" dismissive tactic, let us first use easily accessible dictionary and similar brief definitions:
MERRIAM-WEBSTER: Full Definition of MATERIALISM 1 a : a theory that physical matter is the only or fundamental reality and that all being and processes and phenomena can be explained as manifestations or results of matter AmHD: ma·te·ri·al·ism (m-tîr--lzm) n. 1. Philosophy The theory that physical matter is the only reality and that everything, including thought, feeling, mind, and will, can be explained in terms of matter and physical phenomena. COLLINS: materialism (m??t??r???l?z?m) n 2. (Philosophy) philosophy the monist doctrine that matter is the only reality and that the mind, the emotions, etc, are merely functions of it. Compare idealism3, dualism2 See also identity theory WIKIPEDIA (per, admission against interest): Materialism is a form of philosophical monism which holds that matter is the fundamental substance in nature, and that all phenomena, including mental phenomena and consciousness, are the result of material interactions. Materialism is typically considered[by whom?] to be closely related to physicalism; the view that all that exists is ultimately physical. Philosophical physicalism has evolved from materialism with the discoveries of the physical sciences to incorporate far more sophisticated notions of physicality than mere ordinary matter, such as: spacetime, physical energies and forces, dark matter, and so on. Thus the term "physicalism" is preferable over "materialism", while others use the terms as if they are synonymous.
Evolutionary materialism is of course materialism that appeals to a cascade of "unfoldings" through purposeless blind mechanisms of mechanical necessity and/or chance, from hydrogen to humans (or more anciently -- per Plato in The Laws Bk X, from the classical elements to us). A classic and familiar statement that shows its a priori imposition on science and the close association with scientism, can be found in Harvard Biologist Richard Lewontin's well-known 1997 summary in NYRB:
. . . to put a correct view of the universe into people's heads we must first get an incorrect view out . . . the problem is to get them to reject irrational and supernatural explanations of the world, the demons that exist only in their imaginations, and to accept a social and intellectual apparatus, Science, as the only begetter of truth [[--> NB: this is a knowledge claim about knowledge and its possible sources, i.e. it is a claim in philosophy not science; it is thus self-refuting]. . . . It is not that the methods and institutions of science somehow compel us to accept a material explanation of the phenomenal world, but, on the contrary, that we are forced by our a priori adherence to material causes [[--> another major begging of the question . . . ] to create an apparatus of investigation and a set of concepts that produce material explanations, no matter how counter-intuitive, no matter how mystifying to the uninitiated. Moreover, that materialism is absolute [[--> i.e. here we see the fallacious, indoctrinated, ideological, closed mind . . . ], for we cannot allow a Divine Foot in the door. [NYRB, if you imagine this is "quote mined" kindly cf the wider annotated excerpt here.]
This statement, July 2000, by the Board of teh US National Science Teachers Association, NSTA, underscores its significance, this is not just an idiosyncratic remark by an isolated individual:
The principal product of science is knowledge in the form of naturalistic concepts and the laws and theories related to those concepts . . . . Although no single universal step-by-step scientific method captures the complexity of doing science, a number of shared values and perspectives characterize a scientific approach to understanding nature. Among these are a demand for naturalistic explanations supported by empirical evidence that are, at least in principle, testable against the natural world. Other shared elements include observations, rational argument, inference, skepticism, peer review and replicability of work . . . . Science, by definition, is limited to naturalistic methods and explanations and, as such, is precluded from using supernatural elements in the production of scientific knowledge. [NSTA, Board of Directors, July 2000. Emphases added.]
In short, materialism and specifically evolutionary materialism is well known, is highly relevant to what goes on in the name of science and science education, and is utterly corrupting of both science and the life of the mind. My core summary argument on that is:
a: Evolutionary materialism argues that the cosmos is the product of chance interactions of matter and energy, within the constraint of the laws of nature; from hydrogen to humans by undirected chance and necessity. b: Therefore, all phenomena in the universe, without residue, are determined by the working of purposeless laws of chance and/or mechanical necessity acting on material objects, under the direct or indirect control of happenstance initial circumstances. (This is physicalism. This view covers both the forms where (a) the mind and the brain are seen as one and the same thing, and those where (b) somehow mind emerges from and/or "supervenes" on brain, perhaps as a result of sophisticated and complex software looping. The key point, though is as already noted: physical causal closure -- the phenomena that play out across time, without residue, are in principle deducible or at least explainable up to various random statistical distributions and/or mechanical laws, from prior physical states. Such physical causal closure, clearly, implicitly discounts or even dismisses the causal effect of concept formation and reasoning then responsibly deciding, in favour of specifically physical interactions in the brain-body control loop; indeed, some mock the idea of -- in their view -- an "obviously" imaginary "ghost" in the meat-machine. [[There is also some evidence from simulation exercises, that accuracy of even sensory perceptions may lose out to utilitarian but inaccurate ones in an evolutionary competition. "It works" does not warrant the inference to "it is true."] ) c: But human thought, clearly a phenomenon in the universe, must now fit into this meat-machine picture. So, we rapidly arrive at Crick's claim in his The Astonishing Hypothesis (1994): what we subjectively experience as "thoughts," "reasoning" and "conclusions" can only be understood materialistically as the unintended by-products of the blind natural forces which cause and control the electro-chemical events going on in neural networks in our brains that (as the Smith Model illustrates) serve as cybernetic controllers for our bodies. d: These underlying driving forces are viewed as being ultimately physical, but are taken to be partly mediated through a complex pattern of genetic inheritance shaped by forces of selection [["nature"] and psycho-social conditioning [["nurture"], within the framework of human culture [[i.e. socio-cultural conditioning and resulting/associated relativism]. And, remember, the focal issue to such minds -- notice, this is a conceptual analysis made and believed by the materialists! -- is the physical causal chains in a control loop, not the internalised "mouth-noises" that may somehow sit on them and come along for the ride. (Save, insofar as such "mouth noises" somehow associate with or become embedded as physically instantiated signals or maybe codes in such a loop. [[How signals, languages and codes originate and function in systems in our observation of such origin -- i.e by design -- tends to be pushed to the back-burner and conveniently forgotten. So does the point that a signal or code takes its significance precisely from being an intelligently focused on, observed or chosen and significant alternative from a range of possibilities that then can guide decisive action.]) e: For instance, Marxists commonly derided opponents for their “bourgeois class conditioning” — but what of the effect of their own class origins? Freudians frequently dismissed qualms about their loosening of moral restraints by alluding to the impact of strict potty training on their “up-tight” critics — but doesn’t this cut both ways? Should we not ask a Behaviourist whether s/he is little more than yet another operantly conditioned rat trapped in the cosmic maze? And -- as we saw above -- would the writings of a Crick be any more than the firing of neurons in networks in his own brain? f: For further instance, we may take the favourite whipping-boy of materialists: religion. Notoriously, they often hold that belief in God is not merely cognitive, conceptual error, but delusion. Borderline lunacy, in short. But, if such a patent "delusion" is so utterly widespread, even among the highly educated, then it "must" -- by the principles of evolution -- somehow be adaptive to survival, whether in nature or in society. And so, this would be a major illustration of the unreliability of our conceptual reasoning ability, on the assumption of evolutionary materialism. g: Turning the materialist dismissal of theism around, evolutionary materialism itself would be in the same leaky boat. For, the sauce for the goose is notoriously just as good a sauce for the gander, too. h: That is, on its own premises [[and following Dawkins in A Devil's Chaplain, 2004, p. 46], the cause of the belief system of evolutionary materialism, "must" also be reducible to forces of blind chance and mechanical necessity that are sufficiently adaptive to spread this "meme" in populations of jumped- up apes from the savannahs of East Africa scrambling for survival in a Malthusian world of struggle for existence . . .
I will shortly give Plato's classic reply to materialism in his day, when it was dressed in philosophical garb rather than the lab coat. KF kairosfocus
Mark, at the risk of earning your displeasure, I must say that you are you are trying to make things much more complicated than they really are. Determinism is compatible with free will defined as the capacity to make a variety of insignificant choices that bind us to the same slavish fate that determinism had in store for us in the first place. Determinism is not compatible with free will defined as the capacity to make a variety of significant choices that liberate us from the slavery of determinism and empower us rise above the status of nature’s plaything. StephenB
Gpuccio It is the end of the day so I will try to polish off your comments in #61 (i.e. continue my #69) If you are finding the number of points and counterpoints excessive (I certainly am) I suggest you address just the final paragraph
a) As shown, there is great incompatibility between your statements and your premise, if your statements are understood in a true sense of free choice, Otherwise, those statements are simply meaningless.
Again that use of the word “true” sense of choice to mean choice as you account for it. I tried in #6o to explain what I meant by choice  – I believe it to be the common English meaning of the word - but if it is not clear I will gladly enlarge on it. And I emphasised that compatabilism was based on that definition of choice. So please don’t change the subject.  Demonstrate if you can any logical incompatibility between choice as I defined it and the 5 statements.
b) I have shown that it is not true that all those statements are true for animals’choices. For example, we usually don’t praise or blame animals in a moral sense, although we can certainly do that as a relational modality. Animals have a behaviour that, while variable, is much more constrained than human behaviour. They don’t change their way of being in time, like humans do. They build no system of thought and of values. Most of their behaviour is mainly instinctive, and repetitive. This is one of the main differences between animals and humans. That’s why I think that it is very incorrect to debate animals in a discussion about free will. It cannot really help.
The only one of the 5 that is contentious for animals is whether you can rationally praise or blame them. I certainly don’t accept that is not possible (do you own a dog?). But I am prepared to omit that from the argument. The other statements are clearly true of animal’s choices.  You are just evading the issue by saying it is incorrect to debate animals in a discussion about compatibilism.  I note you have no problem using the word “choice” to describe their activity even though you don’t know if it is determined/random or not. It is this sense of choice that I am using when I describe compatabilism. You are welcome to call it pseudo-choice or apparent-choice if you prefer – but it is clearly not meaningless because you have used it to mean something and it clearly applies to animals because you applied it to animals.
c) I wholly disagree about your criticism of the fundamental inference by analogy that humans share fundamental subjective experiences. Are you serious about that? All our model of reality is based on accepting that inference. The logical concepts themselves, that you seem to love so much, are shared by accepting that inference. Again, are you really serious about that point?
I am completely serious but I was being a bit terse.  I do infer that other humans’ experience is similar to mine but this is based on our observable physical similarity. If your brain was physically utterly different than from mine then there would be no basis for assuming our experience was similar. So the inference is valid if you accept (as I do) that internal experiences such as our experience of the act of choosing are determined by our physical state. I suspect you do not want to accept this condition.  I cannot understand why you think that logic concepts depend on this inference
d) There are intuitions and intuitions. The intuition that I exist and am conscious cannot be “wrong”. The intuition of free choice is “almost” as strong as the intuition that I exist and am conscious.
The reason that the  intuition that I exist and am conscious cannot be “wrong” is because these have to be true to have an intuition (in fact I wouldn’t call them intuitions  it is as Descartes observed a deduction). It is perfectly possible to have intuitions without any kind of choice (my definition or yours it is true of both).
If my intuition of my free choices were wrong, I would simply have no sense of meaning. Nothing would be the same. No worldview would be consistent with my inner experiences. As I have said, I don’t believe that any human being can really accept in his deep consciousness all the necessary consequences of true determinism.
You assert these things but I see no proof.
e) I obviously disagree with your last statement. There are a lot of inner experiences of events about which we clearly feel that we have no free choice. And there are a lot of inner experiences about which we do feel that we have choices. Again, it’s our inner intuition that informs us.
This intuition can certainly be wrong about specific instances: we can believe that we have no choices when we probably have them, and the reverse. I agree with that. But still, we have a clear inner distinction between having no choice and having free choices. We can err in the specific evaluation, but we have a clear intuition of the concept.
Looking back over this the essential example is the dog with the rabbit in its jaws. If you want to say the dog hasn’t really got power over the rabbit then that is your affair – but please don’t accuse me of being the one who is making improper use of language. Mark Frank
PS:Lest it be overlooked, the focus of ID is detection of design as causal process; designers are exogenous save that they exist as those capable of design and manifesting signs of it in the results of their work. The shift from design as process leaving signs that are reliable markers per observation and analysis, to trying to debate designers is a red herring fallacy, and worse, it is normally led away to the strawman caricature soaked in ad hominams to be set alight: "Creationists in cheap tuxedos." Let us turn away from such side tracks and atmosphere poisoning tactics. kairosfocus
P: The issue on the table, fundamentally, is detection of design on empirical signs; which some for various reasons have decided is a no concession topic. In that pursuit the concepts of intelligence and design and now responsible freedom have been subjected to hyperskepticism, and the OP responds, pausing to address the chalenge of detection of design on empirical sign. When it comes to "biosphere," that includes world of life. I do not need to address things that are all over the place once there is a clear, definite sign, FSCO/I that is amenable to observation, measurement and analysis, which clearly indicates design. If you doubt this, try the protein synthesis process in the OP and provide an empirically grounded warrant for the claim that the code is a matter of blind necessity never mind that any two D/RNA bases G/C/A/T or U can follow in succession because of the common sugar-phosphate bond backbone. Don't omit the existence of variations in the code. KF kairosfocus
Pop:
Nor have you explained why a designer would choose to create the biosphere in a way that would appear to be constrained, despite the fact that such constraint would be completely unnecessary.
And how do you know what is and isn't necessary? Joe
KF: Intelligence and design can be empirically established and even to some extent observed and measured. That's not what in question. My criticism was that we've made additional progress in both of these subjects, which you seem to be ignoring when it's convenient for your argument. Specifically, I'm referring to the role that knowledge plays in design and our current, best explanation for the universal growth of knowledge: variation and criticism. This is opposed to, say, the idea that knowledge in specific spheres comes from (or is grounded in) authoritative sources, which appears to be the underlying assumption in Reppart's summary. Both represent ideas about how the works works, in reality, do they not? KF: In particular, FSCO/I is an empirically reliable, analytically plausible strong sign of design as cause. I'm not denying this option is a logical possibility. Rather, I'm pointing out that it's not a necessary consiquence of a ID's designer with no defined limitations. Nor have you explained why a designer would choose to create the biosphere in a way that would appear to be constrained, despite the fact that such constraint would be completely unnecessary. Take the automotive industry, for example. Automakers currently do not release completely redesigned models every year because completely redesigning a model is resource intensive and time consuming. Instead, incremental improvements are annually made to an existing platform to fund the development and testing of a new platform over a timespan of several years. A manufacturer could build a completely custom designed car for a single individual, but it would cost a fortune, utilize resources it could have used elsewhere. However, in the future, we will be able to design entirely new vehicles not just every year, but for each customer due to advances in artificial intelligence, computer simulation and just in time manufacturing processes, such as 3d printing. Rather than pickup your car at a dealership, your garage will build it out of raw materials, or even by recycling your existing car. And it might be cheap enough that you could switch between designs you've purchaed based on your transportation needs for the week or even the day. IOW, we have a good explanation as to why human designed things we design today share common designs: they represent trade offs we make due to current human limitations. However, ID's desiger is abstract and has no defined limitations, such as limited resources and lead times, a need to price its designs at a level that consumers will by them, so it can make a profit, so it can buy more raw materials and play labor costs, etc. Popperian
ES, Popperian, MF: I have a moment. First, it is not GP who has corrupted language to the point where he is forced to make distinctions because of newspeak/ doublespeak games. Second, "relative" freedom is in this context a synonym for no freedom masquerading as freedom and utterly confusing those who have already been influenced by a context dominated by lab coat clad a priori materialism. Third, I must note, that this is a meta issue relative to the design inference. Intelligence and design can be empirically established and even to some extent observed and measured. In particular, FSCO/I is an empirically reliable, analytically plausible strong sign of design as cause. (Onlookers, notice, how after years of having attempted counter-examples shot down, objectors are now reticent to try that empirical refutation. That's a good part of why we see this resort to objections on meta issues.) But, we also need to point out that freedom, responsible freedom to choose, reason and value then do the right, etc, is not a mere disputable assumption. The denial of it ends up in serious hot water over the implication of undermining reason itself. But, we can rest assured -- as happened with the Marxists -- many will ride the ship down till it looks about to sink, then they will try to adroitly jump ship and land on their feet like a cat. Perhaps even repackaging much the same under new labels. So, I again point to Reppert's summary, which captures the distinction:
. . . let us suppose that brain state A, which is token identical to the thought that all men are mortal, and brain state B, which is token identical to the thought that Socrates is a man, together cause the belief that Socrates is mortal. It isn’t enough for rational inference that these events be those beliefs, it is also necessary that the causal transaction be in virtue of the content of those thoughts . . . [[But] if naturalism is true, then the propositional content is irrelevant to the causal transaction that produces the conclusion, and [[so] we do not have a case of rational inference. In rational inference, as Lewis puts it, one thought causes another thought not by being, but by being seen to be, the ground for it. But causal transactions in the brain occur in virtue of the brain’s being in a particular type of state that is relevant to physical causal transactions.
Absent responsible freedom which involves real choice, not pseudo-choice that is really more a matter of programming, reason falls to the ground, knowledge falls to the ground and with these Man is also dead. But Man ent dead! Moretime . . . KF kairosfocus
Correction: IOW, if you adopted the idea that there is such a thing as an inexplicable cause and you adopted the idea that intelligence and our our common sense experience of choice was the result of such a cause, would’t you, by definition, *assume* intelligence and our common sense experience of choice free was inexplicable? Popperian
KF: And we know how they do it — by looking to a future goal and then purposefully assembling a set of parts until they’re a working whole. Just as this is incomplete, I'd suggest that we know more about how agents "do it" (make choices) than is being considered. Our choices are based on our preferences. And our preferences are based on ideas we've adopted about how the world works, in reality. Furthermore, when we adopt new ideas about how the world works, in reality, this is reflected in a change in our preferences. For example, the idea that knowledge comes from authoritative sources is an idea about how the world works, in reality, is it not?. And wouldn't that, in turn, be reflected in one's preferences and the choices they make? So, it seems to me, the question is, how do we explain the adoption of new ideas, which is a philosophical question. However, this still doesn't address the issue raised by RDFish. Saying "materialism" (which whatever that means) doesn't explain intelligence or contra-causual free doesn't change the fact that ID assumes both are irreducible primitives that cannot be explained. Could it be that ID assumes both are inexplicable because it assumes God "did it" and by definition, God is supposedly inexplicable? IOW, if you adopted the idea that there is such a thing as an inexplicable cause and you adopted the idea that intelligence and contra-causal free will was the result of such a cause, would't you, by definition, *assume* intelligence and contra-causal free was inexplicable? Popperian
Gpuccio:
The fact is, we cannot really judge people because it is extremely difficult to discriminate between compulsive behaviour and free choice. In that, Mark is right. So, any criminal justice system, even if inspired to true principles, should always be imbued with some compassion and humility.
I agree that criminal justice systems around the world need to get the balance right between compassion and punishment, however we must never forget the victims. With regards to our views about the worst crimes in society and how we feel about the individuals committing them, I would find it very difficult to feel sympathy for them unless there were some mitigating factors such as medical illness. The point is that under a compatablist framework the only thing we should do is feel sympathy. Also, when does bad behaviour turn into compulsive behaviour? For example if I start watching pornographic material that degrades women and over a number of years I become compulsive to the point that it wrecks my marriage, would I still be culpable? In short I would say yes. Maybe you can elaborate a bit on what you mean by "compulsive"? aqeels
kairosfocus: Au contraire. Unless we are responsibly free we cannot reason, know, understand, choose in any sense worth having. As, i just summarised in 31 above. You are arguing as if I said something incompatible with your point. You probably just don't know that the technical definition of relative free will entails all you need for your point. The way Mark Frank @69 points out to Gpuccio the non-standard usage of terms, the same seems to be applicable to you. With properly used terminology there will be less confusion. Indeed I find it weird that in the blog post you did not take issue with the faulty term "contra-causal free will", because normally "will" is construed as a causal power in its own right. Therefore "contra-causal free will" is a contradiction in terms. What is meant by it is probably "anti-deterministic" or some such. When definitions are messy, we cannot even begin to talk the real thing. E.Seigner
KF,
The real decisions involved are those of the programmer, in a classic case of intelligent design
Although a little OT, can this relate to AI and strong AI too? would the robot's decisions be ultimately related to the software that produces them? is the code the programmers write dependent on the programming specs dictated by the analysts and the project leader or product manager or the inventor? Also, perhaps slightly OT, can this discussion thread somehow relate to the hypothetical decision of the pilot that turned off the oxygen supply to the cabin and later directed the plane to the Indic ocean? Also, can this discussion relate to someone making a commitment to love someone who by most standards is unlovable? In the case of pastor Wilhelm Busch, can his decision to resist the pressures of the Nazi regime be analyzed within the context of this thread? Can the story of Maximilian Kolbe at the concentration camp be somehow related to this discussion thread? Thank you. Dionisio
aqeels: I agree with you. I have an odd form of respect for Dawkins too, for the same reasons. Also, he remains a very good example of all the wrong thinking on his side. About your two points, I must say that more or less I would agree with them, but not because I am a compatibilist. The fact is, we cannot really judge people because it is extremely difficult to discriminate between compulsive behaviour and free choice. In that, Mark is right. So, any criminal justice system, even if inspired to true principles, should always be imbued with some compassion and humility. And even if we could really analyze free choices objectively (which we can't), still I think that compassion should be our primary inspiration. Actions must often be taken, and we must act according to our perception of what is right, but we must do that with humility and love. I suppose that all religious people should leave any final judgement to God. gpuccio
Gpuccio Do you think we could take a bit of the emotion out of this. It is not helpful. You use phrases like:   true free will   real choice   true sense of free choice Can we avoid that kind of rhetoric? You and I have different accounts of what it is to make a choice. To say that yours is the real or true account is effectively just to say “I am right and you wrong” which takes the debate no further and raises the emotional temperature unnecessarily.
My simple point is that a true free will scenario, IOWs one in which the word “free” has meaning, is not compatible with determinism.
  Let us avoid arguing about the different meanings of the word free – clearly there are lots of them. I think I know what your point is. What I am missing is the argument to support it
So, the name itself of compatibilism is misleading. So, what is “compatible” in compatibilism? A determinisitc definition of choices is compatible with determinism. OK, I can accept that. But do you accept that compatibilism is only a way of defining “choices” deterministically?
  Compatibilism is the proposition that choice is deterministic/random and this is compatible with several statements including the 5 I made above.  I am surprised you find  Compatibilism to be a misleading name for a thesis that some things are compatible!  But I am willing to adopt a different name if you have a suggestion.
1) Point one is true, but it just means that those who passively experience deterministic choices can experience dterministic choices which have deterministic representations of what you call “alternatives”. In no way those representations are “alternatives” of what could happen. What will happen is alredy detrmined, or anyway not controllable, so the representation of “alternatives” is just a mental play, which has no real consequences on what will happen. It is only a phenomenological process of manifestation of what will necessarily (or randomly) happen. IOWs, what you call “weighing the alternatives” is just a film that the subject can only experience, and with which it cannot really interact.
  Now you are the one playing tricks with language.  Alternatives are just different ways things might turn out.  In a world with a random element or even in a world with incomplete knowledge there are alternatives even if there are no minds at all.  When I (or a machine) tosses a coin the alternatives are heads or tails. This is what the word normally means in English and I know your English is extremely good. If you want to give it a special meaning so something is only an alternative if it conforms to your account of what a choice is then fine but recognise that you are the one supplying the non-standard meaning.   You slip in some language which really belongs with point 4 about power e.g. “passively” and “not controllable” and “just mental play”. So I will cover it there. Anyhow I am glad you accept that point 1 is true.
So, using words, like “weighing up alternatives before choosing” is misleading, and it is an incorrect use of language and reasoning.
  I believe I have used every word in that phrase in a completely standard way. (I also went to some effort in the previous comment to emphasise that I was using an ostensive definition of “choice”). You slipped in a non-standard use of the word “alternative”. You also accept that the sentence in which the phrase is used is true. Given this, if the phrase is misleading then this cannot be because of an incorrect use of language and reasoning.  
2) Point 2 is true, but it just means: “Experiencers often have great emotional concern that a sequence of events has happened which will manifest as a “choice” that they like and that will have pleasurable consequences on the future series of events”. IOWs, if I am just watching a film, I can have great emotional concern about the choices of one of the characters and about their consequences, but in no way I can change them.   But, again “that they have made the right choice” is misleading: it just means “that they haveexperienced the right choice. To “make a choice” in the common language implies the ability to choose effectively between different real alternatives, an ability which is denied bt the premise of compatibilism. Again, this is an incorrect use of language and reasoning.
  Oh dear. The premise of compatabilism is that determinism/random is compatible with choosing between alternatives in the common or garden ordinary English sense of the words choosing and alternatives. If you disagree then prove why they are incompatible. Just to reiterate that this ability is denied by the premise of compatibilism (by which I take it you mean determinism/random) is not an argument – it is just reiterating your belief. Throwing in words like “effectively” and “real” does not help either.    
3) “Choosers can reasonably be praised or blamed for their choices”. Why? Well, we can do anything we like, but is it reasonable? …… Going to animals, go we praise a bird for singing well, or blame a crocodile for killing its prey? Again, saying that it is reasonable to praise or blame anyone for choices that are not free choices is an incorrect use of language and reasoning.
  The fact remains that many people do praise and blame dogs for their behaviour and this is generally accepted as reasonable.  Among other things it is a way of getting the dogs to behave in the way we want (and may sometimes express a moral revulsion or attraction to what the dogs are doing). It is true that we do excuse people for bad behaviour if they are externally constrained from doing anything else, but we do not excuse them just because they really, really wanted to do it - even though this may just as inevitably to lead to their action. The debate about what conditions exonerate you from praise and blame is thousands of years old and still has no commonly accepted answer –  to dismiss one view as “incorrect use of language and reasoning” seems an inadequate response.  But it is a long and complicated issue so I suggest we leave the moral compatibility element
4) “The ability to choose gives choosers power over what happens next”. This is simply false. Of what “power” are you talking? Who has “power” on anything here? I cannot see what you mean. This is simply nonsense. In your premises, there is no “ability to choose” in the sense of a free choice. Only a free choice scenario, which you deny in your premises, gives “power”. In your scenario, “what happens next” is determined or random. So, of what “power” are you talking?
  Well I guess this is the crux.  And this is where it is important to be very precise in logic and language. I said power over what happens next. Clearly this is true.  A dog has power over the rabbit in its jaws. To deny that is to redefine the word “power” and I need to understand what you mean. I suspect what concerns you is whether we have power over what we choose.  But to have such a power would be to choose what we choose which as I argued before an infinite regress. In the end we make a choice and currently we do not know the whole story about what causes us to make one choice as opposed to another – but you cannot solve it by saying that what causes us to choose X is that we choose to choose X! 
5) Point 5 is obviously true, but irrelevant. Random systems are unpredictable (in detail, they are predictable in their general form). But that has nothing to do with free choice. The unpredictability of free choice is all another concept.
Glad you accept it is true. We will see about its relevance later.   At this point I have already written too much,  am exhausted and out of time. I will return to the rest of your response later if/when I can.   Mark Mark Frank
F/N: I have updated the original post to incorporate a figure showing classic structured programming patterns, to illustrate the point that the machines executing programs with conditional branching and loops or case structures etc do not exhibit actual responsible decisions that they make -- much less, a river forking as it comes to its delta. Not even if a stochastic component is involved. The real decisions involved are those of the programmer, in a classic case of intelligent design. KF kairosfocus
MF: Sometimes we need to be brave and accept the implications of our world views. It can be hard for obvious reasons but embrace them we must. That is why I have an odd form of respect for someone like Richard Dawkins. I may disagree with just about everything he stands for, but at least he is embracing the logical consequences of his world views. If I were a compatibilist I would have to accept the following: - 1) Our criminal justice system should be based on a consequentiality model where the primary objective is to modify behaviour as opposed to punish. It would be irrational to look back in time to see what a defendant might have done or not done. 2) We should have sympathy with those in our society that commit the most heinous of crimes as opposed to having feelings of moral outrage and condemnation. The sympathy is of course rooted in the notion that those individuals who are committing such acts are "poor" decision making agents that could not have done differently. Would you agree with the above two statements, and if not why not? aqeels
PS: SB, also very well said, at 47:
the human faculty of will, by consenting to immoral desires over a long period of time, can come to desire them with progressively greater intensity. Immorality is, by its very nature, inflationary, that is, it requires more and more feeding to satisfy the want. Bad habits finally breed character defects. Thus, the greedy investor wants more money more than he ought to; the lusty lecher wants sex more than he ought to; the lazy student wants leisure more than he ought to; the prideful leader wants power more than he ought to. By contrast, the intellect can present the to the will moral truths concerning what the person “ought” to want (or love) as opposed to what he does want (or love). At that point, the individual is free to accept those truths and can begin to train the will to love the kinds of behavior that it ought to love–and, in the meantime–refuse to indulge in behaviors it ought not to love for the sake of principle, even it it costs some discomfort for a while. That is what self-control is all about. Without it, there can be no moral life.
kairosfocus
GP, 45:
The important point about which we probably disagree a little is after all the most important one: can we change our destiny with our choices? I absolutely believe we can. About wanting, the simple fact is that we often want very different and incompatible things. The problem is: will the final victory be of the thing which just has more power on us? Or can we choose, freely choose, what we will try to pursue, according to our intuition of its true value in reality? Is there merit in trying to side with what is better, and not only with what has more power on us? In doing that because it is better, and not because doing it has more attraction for us? I certainly believe that there is merit in that, and that only that kind of merit can change ourselves and our destiny for the best. IOWs, I fully believe, with all my heart, in libertarian free will (ehm, free choice).
Very well said. I suggest that both yourself and Vivid, may find this passage in Romans 2 suggestive in light of the principle that it is God who by his Spirit enlightens every man who comes into the world, and that that Spirit will not always strive with a man so that it is not wise to quench or grieve the Spirit who pulls us upwards:
Rom 2:6 He [God] will render to each one according to his works: 7 to those who by patience in well-doing seek for glory and honor and immortality, he will give eternal life; 8 but for those who are self-seeking[a] and do not obey the truth, but obey unrighteousness, there will be wrath and fury. 9 There will be tribulation and distress for every human being who does evil . . . 10 but glory and honor and peace for everyone who does good . . .
That is, there is a struggle to the right, in which we all stumble and need to get up and persist patiently in the path of the truth and the right we know or should know. Where, the truth we SHOULD or DO know, calls for obedience. Living by the light we can, do or should have. (Which, IMHO, at this stage of civilisation and history includes this [note video] and this.) In short, I think there is excellent reason to hold that we have responsible freedom of thought, volition and conscience; also, a plain duty to obey the truth provided by the light we do or should have. KF kairosfocus
GP, 44:
All forms of full determinism, in the end, exclude any reasonable model for personal responsibility. Indeed, they exclude any reasonable model for many other things: motivation, hope, ideals, and so on. And compatibilism is a form of full determinism. Just think: if determinism is true, in all its forms, the conscious “I” cannot in any way change its own destiny. There can be no difference in the experiences that the “I” will have according to free choices: what will happen will happen. Maybe the conscious “I” can believe differently, deluding itself, but the simple truth, if determinism is true, is that there is no room to change what will happen by an intentional choice. Even our apparently intentional choices are determined. So are our convictions, our understanding (or not understanding), everything in our life. Determinism is a consistent theory: you cannot prove it false, for the simple fact that if it is true, you cannot prove false or true anything, except for what you are determined to prove false or true, and you cannot ever know if your convictions about that are correct or not. Determinism is, among other things, the death of cognition. I wonder how many sincere determinists may have the courage to really embrace the consequences of what they believe.
In short, such determinism is an appeal to grand delusion, and drastically undermines the life of the mind, leading to the enthronement of irrationality and utter irresponsibility. In whatever form it comes in. So, we have a choice -- and I am deliberately using this word:
A: Determinism, with its consequences for mind and responsibility -- utterly undermined B: Responsible freedom and the life of the mind under moral government (however we must struggle to consistently grow towards reason, truth, fairness and goodness)
The choice is obvious: A is utterly self-refuting. So, the reasonable man will choose B. But as we are in fact free to choose even to be irrational many find reasons that lead them to lean to A instead. And, in so doing, they may in fact make up clever reasons for why they accept A. Including this, from a Nobel Prize winning scientist, Sir Francis Crick -- in his The Astonishing Hypothesis, 1994:
. . . that "You", your joys and your sorrows, your memories and your ambitions, your sense of personal identity and free will, are in fact no more than the behaviour of a vast assembly of nerve cells and their associated molecules. As Lewis Carroll's Alice might have phrased: "You're nothing but a pack of neurons." This hypothesis is so alien to the ideas of most people today that it can truly be called astonishing.
To say the least, this fits in with the point that blind, GIGO limited mechanically necessary computational causal chains (or even those that fit in some randomness through some stochastic process or other) are simply not equal to self-aware, insightful, meaning based rational contemplation. So, seminal ID thinker Phillip Johnson rightly responded that Dr Crick should therefore be willing to preface his books: “I, Francis Crick, my opinions and my science, and even the thoughts expressed in this book, consist of nothing more than the behavior of a vast assembly of nerve cells and their associated molecules.” (In short, as Prof Johnson then went on to say: “[t]he plausibility of materialistic determinism requires that an implicit exception be made for the theorist.” [In, Reason in the Balance, 1995.]) And, I have not even touched on the challenge of accounting for the FSCO/I found in the CNS as a computational device. As the infographic in the OP shows, such is not credibly the product of blind chance and mechanical necessity on the gamut of the observed cosmos. (Of course, objectors have studiously avoided that argument.) I suggest, that we should consider instead the possibilities in Eng Derek Smith of Wales' two tier controller cybernetic loop model. Namely, that an in- the- loop i/o controller may be influenced by and also interacts with a higher order controller that provides a higher tier of function [notice the reflexivity, inviting a spiral interaction understanding of self-moved agency], constituting what we may follow Jonathan Bartlett and term an oracular machine. Such would transcend the limitations of algorithmic, Turing computation. And, it also points to the role of FSCO/I . . . something beyond the capacity of our observed cosmos on blind chance and mechanical necessity . . . as an index of something more than that at work, namely, intelligence joined to agency. KF kairosfocus
GP and Aqeels: I agree that there is something deeply wrong, and that those who should know better are culpable, those who have taken leadership roles being much more so. "Those who SHOULD know . . . " bespeaks the issue that we have duties of care to truth, straight thinking and the right. I remain convinced that absent responsible freedom, we are unable to choose based on reason as opposed to impulses deriving force from things unconnected to ground and consequent, leading straight to the undermining of the life of the mind. That is in my mind sufficient to see the utter bankruptcy of evolutionary materialism. For, we cannot but live as those who can, do and ought to think reasonably based on understanding, where we have a further duty to ensure that our understanding is as accurate to reality as we can get. Which last is a definition of truth. KF kairosfocus
Mung: You see, RDF has a policy of studiously ignoring what I have said on some rhetorical excuse that it is incomprehensible or or the like. I still await the taking of a serious step of responding to the cluster of issues in the OP by RDF or other defender of the Darwinist or fellow traveller views. KF kairosfocus
Mark: Neither am I trying to convert you to a beliefe in free will. My simple point is that a true free will scenario, IOWs one in which the word "free" has meaning, is not compatible with determinism. So, the name itself of compatibilism is misleading. So, what is "compatible" in compatibilism? A determinisitc definition of choices is compatible with determinism. OK, I can accept that. But do you accept that compatibilism is only a way of defining "choices" deterministically? Let's go to your points about compatibilism. You make five points which would be true given the deterministic/random definition of choices. 1) Point one is true, but it just means that those who passively experience deterministic choices can experience dterministic choices which have deterministic representations of what you call "alternatives". In no way those representations are "alternatives" of what could happen. What will happen is alredy detrmined, or anyway not controllable, so the representation of "alternatives" is just a mental play, which has no real consequences on what will happen. It is only a phenomenological process of manifestation of what will necessarily (or randomly) happen. IOWs, what you call "weighing the alternatives" is just a film that the subject can only experience, and with which it cannot really interact. So, using words, like "weighing up alternatives before choosing" is misleading, and it is an incorrect use of language and reasoning. 2) Point 2 is true, but it just means: "Experiencers often have great emotional concern that a sequence of events has happened which will manifest as a "choice" that they like and that will have pleasurable consequences on the future series of events". IOWs, if I am just watching a film, I can have great emotional concern about the choices of one of the characters and about their consequences, but in no way I can change them. But, again "that they have made the right choice" is misleading: it just means "that they have experienced the right choice. To "make a choice" in the common language implies the ability to choose effectively between different real alternatives, an ability which is denied bt the premise of compatibilism. Again, this is an incorrect use of language and reasoning. 3) "Choosers can reasonably be praised or blamed for their choices". Why? Well, we can do anything we like, but is it reasonable? I can look at a beautiful sunset and praise it. I can looka at ugly weather and blame it. But does that make sense? So, I can see a beautiful woman, and praise her. Or blame one that is not beautiful. But does that make sense? A beautiful woman has no merit for being beautiful, just as a beautiful sunset has no merit for being what it is. So, if compatibilism/determinism is true, no one has any merit for being what he is. Or demerit. So, why should we "reasonably" praise or blame anyone? Going to animals, go we praise a bird for singing well, or blame a crocodile for killing its prey? Again, saying that it is reasonable to praise or blame anyone for choices that are not free choices is an incorrect use of language and reasoning. 4) "The ability to choose gives choosers power over what happens next". This is simply false. Of what "power" are you talking? Who has "power" on anything here? I cannot see what you mean. This is simply nonsense. In your premises, there is no "ability to choose" in the sense of a free choice. Only a free choice scenario, which you deny in your premises, gives "power". In your scenario, "what happens next" is determined or random. So, of what "power" are you talking? 5) Point 5 is obviously true, but irrelevant. Random systems are unpredictable (in detail, they are predictable in their general form). But that has nothing to do with free choice. The unpredictability of free choice is all another concept. Now, let's go to the second list of five arguments. a) As shown, there is great incompatibility between your statements and your premise, if your statements are understood in a true sense of free choice, Otherwise, those statements are simply meaningless. b) I have shown that it is not true that all those statements are true for animals'choices. For example, we usually don't praise or blame animals in a moral sense, although we can certainly do that as a relational modality. Animals have a behaviour that, while variable, is much more constrained than human behaviour. They don't change their way of being in time, like humans do. They build no system of thought and of values. Most of their behaviour is mainly instinctive, and repetitive. This is one of the main differences between animals and humans. That's why I think that it is very incorrect to debate animals in a discussion about free will. It cannot really help. c) I wholly disagree about your criticism of the fundamental inference by analogy that humans share fundamental subjective experiences. Are you serious about that? All our model of reality is based on accepting that inference. The logical concepts themselves, that you seem to love so much, are shared by accepting that inference. Again, are you really serious about that point? d) There are intuitions and intuitions. The intuition that I exist and am conscious cannot be "wrong". The intuition of free choice is "almost" as strong as the intuition that I exist and am conscious. If my intuition of my free choices were wrong, I would simply have no sense of meaning. Nothing would be the same. No worldview would be consistent with my inner experiences. As I have said, I don't believe that any human being can really accept in his deep consciousness all the necessary consequences of true determinism. e) I obviously disagree with your last statement. There are a lot of inner experiences of events about which we clearly feel that we have no free choice. And there are a lot of inner experiences about which we do feel that we have choices. Again, it's our inner intuition that informs us. This intuition can certainly be wrong about specific instances: we can believe that we have no choices when we probably have them, and the reverse. I agree with that. But still, we have a clear inner distinction between having no choice and having free choices. We can err in the specific evaluation, but we have a clear intuition of the concept. gpuccio
GP – I strongly disagree that you what you describe is “the only one which corresponds to what free will has always meant in the course of human thought”. I pointed to Hobbes and Hume as examples of people who thought otherwise. But in any case let us not get tied up in the definition of free will or the history of the term.  I am not going to try to convert you to compatibilism. I just want you to understand it and be a bit less contemptuous of it.   I will try to explain compatibilism without using the term free will. Compatibilism is a form of determinism but it challenges some of the conclusions that you think follow. If we consider the activity we call choosing (and this is an ostensive definition  - it just points to examples all around us – it does not try to characterise what is going on internally when this activity takes place) then even though determinism (including a random element) is true:   * Choosers can spend considerable time weighing up alternatives before choosing   * Choosers often have great emotional concern that they have made the right choice   * Choosers can reasonably be praised or blamed for their choices   * The ability to choose gives choosers power over what happens next   And if we accept a random element in determinism   * Chooser’s choices are to some degree fundamentally unpredictable   Arguments:   1) There is no logical incompatibility between these statements and the proposition that choice is determined/random.   2) All of these things are true of some animal’s choices and yet you yourself say you do  not know if their choices are determined/random or not – so you accept their choices  may be determined/random and yet all of these apply.   3) You don’t even know for certain that my choices are not determined/random (certainly they seem like that to me and your only argument is by analogy with your own situation which is a sample of one) and yet I bet you ascribe all these statements to me with absolute certainty.   4) Your only evidence that your choices are not determined/random is an intuition that they are something else (what I guess you would call real choices) – but of course intuitions can be wrong and if yours was wrong I am sure you would still accept that these statements were true of your choices.   5) No one has ever to my mind described how a choice that is neither determined nor random differs from one that is just random in practice. Choices happen.  They may be predictable or not. If they are not we call it random. That seems to exhaust the options!   As I say – I am not trying to convert you but simply to ask you to accept that such a line of reasoning is not a very incorrect use of language and reasoning procedures. Mark Frank
Mark: I will try to explain more in detail what I believe. You are right that we must specify well what we mean with our words. Let's say that the statement is: "I can change my destiny by my free choices". What does it mean? I will begin by defining the subject and the object in the statement. "I" is, as I have always stated, the subject in our conscious experiences, which is what we really are, the only principle which gives unity and continuity to our subjective reality. "my destiny" is the sequence of events that the I experiences in time. It includes both outer and inner events, and those events certainly abey specific laws, deterministic laws. IOWs, "my destiny" is the deterministic flux of bodily and mental events, with its deterministic laws, that the I experiences, and to which the I reacts. IOWs, "my destiny" is the game, the I is the gamer. So, the definition of free will (the libertarian free will, the only one which corresponds to what free will has always meant in the course of human thought) is that while the flux of events that the "I" experiences is deterministic (and that includes also what the "I" likes and dislikes, wants or fears, considers right or wrong in its mental representations), the "I" is not only a witness, but also an actor: it can and does intervene to modify the flux at each moment that it happens and is represented in the I's consciousness. And the "I" is a free actor, because its interventions are not determined by the flux itself, and cannot be predicted by the flux itself. Is the "I" a deterministic structure? No. It is not a structure, and it is not deterministic in any sense. So, why should it choose to intervene in different ways? Let's say, to simplify, that all free choices can be classified as "good" and "bad". At each moment, the "I" can intervene on the deterministic flux in at least two different ways, one good and one bad. Of course, the different responses cannot be random, otherwise there would be no free choice. At the same time, they cannot be determined by the flux itself, otherwise there would be no free choice. Moreover, they must have some meaning, some "orientation" in some field, otherwise they could not be considered as good or bad. The traditional way of answering that, a way that I wholly accept, is that the "I" has a constant intuitive awareness of a field of meanings and values, let's call it a "moral" field. That awareness is what is called, even in popular language, "conscience". And, while the "I" has a conscience, it is free, at each moment, to use it or not. That is the supreme free choice, at each moment: shall we choose to be in tune with our intuitive conscience, or shall we choose to ignore it, and to be completely determined by the flux of our representations? Why should we get in tune with our inner conscience? Because the cumulative result of using our conscience, and not ignoring it, is a change of our "destiny", and a change for the best: the flux of our representations gradually changes, and we become better persons, stronger, happier, more peaceful. Above all, we acquire greater inner freedom. What does it mean? It means that the results of our free choices on our flux of representations become greater. IOWs, we have more control on ourselves, on our body and mind and on the deterministic events that happen there. As you can see, in this scenario (which is nothing else than what a fee will scenario has always been in the history of human thought) your statement: "we can change our destiny if we want to" is misleading. Indeed, what we "want" is usually part of the deterministic flux. So, you are right in saying, in that sense, that what we "want" is determined. The point is, if we "choose" to follow our intuitive consciousness, our actions will be more in tune with what we deeply want: IOWs, a true improvement of our destiny. But in our present flux, what we "want" can be very different from what will bring us to that improvement of our destiny. However, our inner conscience, our intuitive awareness of that inner field of meanings and values, can constantly guide us in our free choices, according to the options that we have at the moment. Those options are, moment by moment, fully determined by our deterministic flux. Our choice between those options is always free. gpuccio
GP. The rest did the trick so I will rejoin the debate.  
The important point about which we probably disagree a little is after all the most important one: can we change our destiny with our choices?
  Sometimes it is the small words that cause the most confusion.  They slip by without us realising they need attention. In this case it is the word “can”. “Can” is a modal word. It means “is possible” and whenever we have a modal word we need to be clear about what kind of possibility we are discussing – possibility always entails a condition  - something is possible if X – sometimes X is implied – sometimes it is just brushed over which is what is happening here.   In the clause “We can change our destiny with our choices”  what is X? Of course I don’t know for certain what you had in mind for X but I would guess that you meant  we can change our destiny if we want to. Well that is perfectly compatible with determinism. Because determinism would determine what we want. Mark Frank
kairosfocus:
I see your taste for irony is still going strong.
Always my friend! And RDFish is always a steady source of supply whenever he posts here. There is nothing non-deterministic to be found in any natural or robotic system, RDFish assures us, and this is scientific fact, else why would he argue it to be the case? Yet RDFish also assures us he is not a determinist. Why not? Modern physics. He also tells us that there is no scientific support for either determinism or non-determinism. Go figure. Mung
Mark Frank:
I wish I could respond to this as I agree with a lot of it but I must rest my right hand (not your fault GP).
You must learn to drink with your left. Or use speech recognition software. :) Mung
Joe, you need to give the folks over at TSZ a break. They are skeptics, after all. How they know that skepticism is true, well, that's a different problem. Mung
SB:
Here is the other: Que Sera Sera, Whatever will be will be.
Actually, wouldn't Sartre offer the other philosophy? A man has no potential, nothing to become. A man just is what what he does. Mung
An entire thread devoted to RDFish and his nonsense and he doesn't even have the courtesy to make an appearance. It's not like juggling self-contradictions is all that arduous a task. Perhaps he's too busy working on his non-deterministic flying robot-bird fence-post-lander. Mung
SB RE 46 Very insightful !! Vivid vividbleau
Gp
The important point about which we probably disagree a little is after all the most important one: can we change our destiny with our choices?
Yes we can if we most want to. Vivid vividbleau
Stephen: Thank you for your contributions. :) The gradual accumulation of the results of a good or a bad use of free will is particularly evident in scenarios like the fight against an addiction (whatever kind of addiction), the building of a relationship of love in spite of trials and difficulties, all paths of constructive self-transformation and, above all, the spiritual life. Nothing is more beautiful and rewarding than choosing to adhere, although with difficulties and imperfectly, to what we recognize as true with our deepest intuitive cognition, and love with our deepest intuitive love. gpuccio
Vivid
I am not saying that there is in many cases a struggle as to which to choose especially in moral choices. There are many times when I really want to choose one thing and I really want to choose another thing, in the end whatever I most want will be the deciding factor.
Vivid, the human faculty of will, by consenting to immoral desires over a long period of time, can come to desire them with progressively greater intensity. Immorality is, by its very nature, inflationary, that is, it requires more and more feeding to satisfy the want. Bad habits finally breed character defects. Thus, the greedy investor wants more money more than he ought to; the lusty lecher wants sex more than he ought to; the lazy student wants leisure more than he ought to; the prideful leader wants power more than he ought to. By contrast, the intellect can present the to the will moral truths concerning what the person "ought" to want (or love) as opposed to what he does want (or love). At that point, the individual is free to accept those truths and can begin to train the will to love the kinds of behavior that it ought to love--and, in the meantime--refuse to indulge in behaviors it ought not to love for the sake of principle, even it it costs some discomfort for a while. That is what self-control is all about. Without it, there can be no moral life. StephenB
GPuccio
The important point about which we probably disagree a little is after all the most important one: can we change our destiny with our choices?
GP, Excellent! Yes, indeed. The question is whether or not our life would have been (or will be) different if we choose one course of action over another. The key words here are "course of action," meaning that one choice naturally leads to another, all of which create direction and momentum, reverberating finally into eternity. We may choose to ignore someone's cry for help, in which case he may commit suicide, or we may choose to console him, in which case he may not. We may choose to accept our addictions and bad habits, in which case we become slaves, or we may choose to conquer them, in which case we become masters of ourselves. “Sow a thought, reap an action; sow an action, reap a habit; sow a habit, reap a character; sow a character, reap a destiny That's one philosophy of life (the correct one). ------------------------------------------------------------- Here is the other: Que Sera Sera, Whatever will be will be. StephenB
Vivid: Thank you for the reply. I agree, there are many things we agree on. I would be all too happy to use the term "free choice" instead of "free will". I am convinced that "free will/choice" and "will" are two completely different concepts. I respect your theological position, but don't agree with it. The important point about which we probably disagree a little is after all the most important one: can we change our destiny with our choices? I absolutely believe we can. About wanting, the simple fact is that we often want very different and incompatible things. The problem is: will the final victory be of the thing which just has more power on us? Or can we choose, freely choose, what we will try to pursue, according to our intuition of its true value in reality? Is there merit in trying to side with what is better, and not only with what has more power on us? In doing that because it is better, and not because doing it has more attraction for us? I certainly believe that there is merit in that, and that only that kind of merit can change ourselves and our destiny for the best. IOWs, I fully believe, with all my heart, in libertarian free will (ehm, free choice). :) gpuccio
aqeels: Happy to know that I am not the only frustrated guy! :) All forms of full determinism, in the end, exclude any reasonable model for personal responsibility. Indeed, they exclude any reasonable model for many other things: motivation, hope, ideals, and so on. And compatibilism is a form of full determinism. Just think: if determinism is true, in all its forms, the conscious "I" cannot in any way change its own destiny. There can be no difference in the experiences that the "I" will have according to free choices: what will happen will happen. Maybe the conscious "I" can believe differently, deluding itself, but the simple truth, if determinism is true, is that there is no room to change what will happen by an intentional choice. Even our apparently intentional choices are determined. So are our convictions, our understanding (or not understanding), everything in our life. Determinism is a consistent theory: you cannot prove it false, for the simple fact that if it is true, you cannot prove false or true anything, except for what you are determined to prove false or true, and you cannot ever know if your convictions about that are correct or not. Determinism is, among other things, the death of cognition. I wonder how many sincere determinists may have the courage to really embrace the consequences of what they believe. For their own sake, I hope they have it not. So, maybe I am too hard on compatibilism: given the horrible consequences of determinism, and given the strange fact that many apparently feel the need to believe in it, maybe compatibilism is their last hope to remain in peace with themselves. gpuccio
aqeels@ 39- Yes that is a never-ending cycle they love to play. And as soon as they have evidence to support their claims I will willingly re-join their ranks. Joe
Free will seems so subjective as to make it irrelevant. To me it is very similar to the way some people want to define science as excluding ID and Creation, ie very selectively and very subjectively. Over on Skeptic Ink they like to denounce free will from one side of their mouths and call themselves free thinkers from the other. It's all philosophical gibberish. Joe
gp RE 28 Thanks for your thoughtful reply there is much that we agree on.
Obviously our choices are determined by our Self. That’s why they are free.
Yes.
But our Self is not a series of events. It is a transcendental subject.
Yes philosophicaly speaking.
It is absolutely obvious that free will always acts under restraints
You know how you despise compatabilism? Well I despise the term free will. The will is not free from many things most importantly it is not free from us. This is why I prefer the terms free choice or free agency.
Moreover, as you yourself define it as an “ability” to “choose”, not as a “necessity” to choose,
I dunno. I do think we are not able not to sin by neccessity but this is a theological position.
it implies that I can very well not choose that which I most want (in the sense defined above).
I disagree although I suspect we are not that far apart. If I choose that which I dont most want at the time the choice is made givin the options available to me at the time the choice is made then my choice is not self determined rather determined by something else. I am not saying that there is in many cases a struggle as to which to choose especially in moral choices. There are many times when I really want to choose one thing and I really want to choose another thing, in the end whatever I most want will be the deciding factor. Vivid vividbleau
Joe: I am convinced that the ability to generate new original dFSCI is the result of the joint operation of three different aspects of consciousness: cognition (meaning), feeling (purpose) and free will (the ability of outputting creatively our meaningful, purposeful representations). However, it is true that it is difficult to prove that: we can only assume it as a reasonable model to explain how dFSCI is generated. However, it is extremely easy to prove empirically the simple observation that only conscious intelligent purposeful agents can generate dFSCI. gpuccio
kairosfocus: And we know how they do it — by looking to a future goal and then purposefully assembling a set of parts until they’re a working whole. Intelligent agents, in fact, are the one and only type of thing we have ever seen doing this sort of thing from scratch. First, one could just as well argue that every intelligent designer we've experienced designing things had complex material brains. Therefore, we supposedly "know from experience" that all intelligence requires complex material brains. Yet, I'm guessing you would not agree with this conclusion. Note, i'm *not* making that argument, I'm pointing out that we do not actually use induction. Rather, observations are themselves theory laden. This is may be what RDFish means when he refers to a "context". Second, I'd suggest that while ID's designer is a logical possibility, it's not a good explanation as presented because it's abstract and has no defined limitations. It's been stripped of everything but having the property of "design", as if it's an immutable primitive that cannot or need no be explained. So, I'd suggest you're correct in that, we know how they do it. You've just chosen to ignore what we know about how knowledge is created, the role that plays in designing things, etc. You've stopped prematurely. Popperian
The criticism leveled is that ID doesn't explain "intelligence" or contra-causual free will. Both are treated as an inexplicable, immutable primitive that doesn't need to be explained or cannot be explained. For example, I'm a computer scientist, not a cancer researcher. Despite this fact, let's hypothetically assume I freely choose to create a drug for the purpose of curing cancer. I then obtain laboratory mice that have cancer and administer my drug. Given that I'm starting from nothing, it would come as no surprise if any first pass at a drug doesn't actually serve the purpose of curing cancer, despite the fact that I developed it for that specific purpose. IOW, any treatment that was actually successful would be successful because it embodied the "knowledge" of how cancerous cells multiply, how they can be identified and how cell death can be induced in just those cells, while excluding healthy cells. So, curing cancer occurs when the right transformations of matter occurs, which is independent of anyone's purpose. Ideas are jugged by their contents, not the source. IOW, ID ignores or denies progress in the field of how human designers, well make progress, which is a subset of our best explanation for the universal growth of knowledge, etc. Human designer are good explanation for human designed things because of our human limitations. It's unclear how an inability for "materialism", which is quite outdated characterization, to explain our common-sense experience of having free will or our ability to create knowledge actually addresses this criticism. Explanations can be fundamental, in the sense that they play an important role in many other explanations, yet exist at multiple levels, such as emergence. So, not all explanations are reductionist in nature. IOW, if "materialism" is just another word for reductionism, then I'm not a materialist. We are surrounded by emergent universality - much of which we stumbled upon accidentally. Number systems became universal without the specific goal of creating a system that could universality represent any number. In fact, it appears that universality in some cultures was thought to be taboo, and was avoided. The universality of computation emerges from a specific set of operations that can performed using cogs, transistors or even optics. It was only until Alan Turing formalized what Babbage had stumbled upon that we understood the importance of the ability of any universal computer to emulate any other universal computer. So, I'd suggest that we can understand the world not merely because we're made of atoms, but because we share an important relationship with the laws of physics. Popperian
Joe @37: I am waiting for the inevitable question from our materialist friends along the lines of why you think intelligent agencies doing certain things is beyond "nature operating freely" and whether your distinction is an artificial one! :) aqeels
Gpuccio @36: I share the same frustrations as you with the concept of compatabilism. For me its just determinism re-badged to something a little softer sounding in tone. Remember under this view, you do the things you do because of the way you are. Therefore to be truly responsible for the things you do, you have to be responsible for the way you are. But to change the way you are would be one the the things that you do, which leads to an infinite regress. We were made in a certain way (blind watchmaker or directed evolution, or special creation) long before we became conscious decision making agents, so by that rationale we cannot be responsible for the things we do as we cannot change the way we are. aqeels
It does NOT matter if intelligent agencies have free will or not. All that matters is that intelligent agencies can do things with nature that nature, operating freely could not or would not do. And that action can then be detected. Joe
KF: I am not specially attacked to the "fraud" thing. I like to stick to it to emphasize that, IMO, there is in compatibilism (in its professional founders, I mean) a very incorrect use of language and reasoning procedures. While those who adhere to compatibilism are simply making a wrong choice, professional philosophers like Dennett, who propose a misuse of terms and meanings to all people with the explicit purpose of keeping their uncomfortable theory (determinism) and at the same time making it apparently comfortable, are IMO performing intellectual tricks that are not justified by any significant contribution to the real debate between free will and determinism (which is an old and perfectly legitimate debate on one of the most important aspects of a general worldview), tricks which only serve to confound the debate itself. There is great responsibility in that. So, if you prefer I can avoid the word "fraud", but there are definite reasons why I despise compatibilism, while I am perfectly tolerant of determinism. gpuccio
Mung @ 20:
I thought he [--> RDF] was arguing that ID wasn’t science and therefore wasn’t worthy of belief. It seems to me he is one of those who believes science is the only valid source of knowledge and that the belief is warranted because the claim that science is the only valid source of knowledge is based on sound scientific evidence.
LOL . . . I see your taste for irony is still going strong. KF PS: Pardon snippets, silly season in full swing here with E-day 9-11 of all dates, and I am busy on policy issues. [The fate of a SD-oriented, strategic change consultant.] von Hayek investment triangles, Leontief i-o matrices and more are running through my head with a dash of SD and the three domain environment concept: natural (bio-physical), socio-cultural, economic-policy . . . how does one get people to think in terms of all three interacting? What about sci-tech capacity building as productive core of an economy? Brains as productive natural resource no 1 -- and, out of control natural hazard no 1 too. And more. kairosfocus
F/N: I think it is appropriate to cite here Plato in The Laws Bk X on the self-moved, as he moves on towards a cosmological design inference:
Ath. . . . when one thing changes another, and that another, of such will there be any primary changing element? How can a thing which is moved by another ever be the beginning of change? Impossible. But when the self-moved changes other, and that again other, and thus thousands upon tens of thousands of bodies are set in motion, must not the beginning of all this motion be the change of the self-moving principle? . . . . self-motion being the origin of all motions, and the first which arises among things at rest as well as among things in motion, is the eldest and mightiest principle of change, and that which is changed by another and yet moves other is second. [[ . . . .] Ath. If we were to see this power existing in any earthy, watery, or fiery substance, simple or compound-how should we describe it? Cle. You mean to ask whether we should call such a self-moving power life? Ath. I do. Cle. Certainly we should. Ath. And when we see soul in anything, must we not do the same-must we not admit that this is life? [[ . . . . ] Cle. You mean to say that the essence which is defined as the self-moved is the same with that which has the name soul? Ath. Yes; and if this is true, do we still maintain that there is anything wanting in the proof that the soul is the first origin and moving power of all that is, or has become, or will be, and their contraries, when she has been clearly shown to be the source of change and motion in all things? Cle. Certainly not; the soul as being the source of motion, has been most satisfactorily shown to be the oldest of all things. Ath. And is not that motion which is produced in another, by reason of another, but never has any self-moving power at all, being in truth the change of an inanimate body, to be reckoned second, or by any lower number which you may prefer? Cle. Exactly. Ath. Then we are right, and speak the most perfect and absolute truth, when we say that the soul is prior to the body, and that the body is second and comes afterwards, and is born to obey the soul, which is the ruler? [[ . . . . ] Ath. If, my friend, we say that the whole path and movement of heaven, and of all that is therein, is by nature akin to the movement and revolution and calculation of mind, and proceeds by kindred laws, then, as is plain, we must say that the best soul takes care of the world and guides it along the good path. [[Plato here explicitly sets up an inference to design (by a good soul) from the intelligible order of the cosmos.]
Notice, the implied reflexivity: self-moved, thus also self activating. This reminds me of the classic oscillator circuits in Electronics, which are the heart of a Computer, that initiating clock drives all else in synchronism, starting from the point of [re-]start, being intimately coupled to the processor. The secret to such an oscillator is of course its reflexivity, the use of self-reinforcing feedback, which then activates a a spiral process of change that is then played out in the system and beyond as it interfaces with the world. This is obviously not a perfect analogy of what I am pointing to. But, it helps us understand reflexivity that is spiral rather than merely circular. A self-reinforcing, reflexive cyclical process can energise and drive a progressive one that uses not a circle but a spiral. No one would deny that a computer progresses from initiation to input, processing and output as software actors take their place on the stage of the system, and then come through to an output. At the heart is the successive fetch-decode, execute cycle, joined to the ability to branch on conditions and that to reiterate a process until a condition is met. Now, of course, we see something here: we are dealing with refined rocks operating by blind chance and mechanical necessity here. There is nothing there but electronic cogs grinding against one another. Save, for the injection of algorithmic information and the further world-information in appropriate data structures. That's why such is GIGO limited and blind, happily doing nonsense until the system crashes if it is out of whack. What makes the difference? Computers, their operating systems, and their programming for applications, are intelligently designed (and debugged) so that by using FSCO/I in copious quantities, they work for many tasks, however mad we may be at the latest notions from Redmond or wherever. So, there is an oracle that stands behind a functioning computer system, in our experience of seeing the causal process in action. The involvement of FSCO/I gives us a further clue. The only credible, empirically and analytically plausible source of FSCO/I is design. So the neural network processor in our heads, in turn points to its own designer. And, to its limitations. It too is refined rock -- traditionally -- "dust" -- and is GIGO-limited, bound by blind cause-effect chains. Not, ground-consequent meaningful ones. This points to an explanatory gap, as Haldane highlighted. Let us cite him, again, hoping that this may help the point burn through the roadblocks:
“It seems to me immensely unlikely that mind is a mere by-product of matter. For if my mental processes are determined wholly by the motions of atoms in my brain I have no reason to suppose that my beliefs are true. They may be sound chemically, but that does not make them sound logically. And hence I have no reason for supposing my brain to be composed of atoms. In order to escape from this necessity of sawing away the branch on which I am sitting, so to speak, I am compelled to believe that mind is not wholly conditioned by matter.” ["When I am dead," in Possible Worlds: And Other Essays [1927], Chatto and Windus: London, 1932, reprint, p.209.]
What he is pointing to is that the known limitations of computational fabrics points to the need for an oracle in the brain-machine. If, we are to be responsibly free, as we need to be to be rational animals. Which is an integral part of our very first fact-cluster, our experience of ourselves as self-aware, rationally contemplative intelligent, creative creatures in a common world. Science, properly understood, points beyond itself, yet again. It's almost like . . . horrors . . . the Apostle Paul had a point:
Rom 1: 19 For what can be known about God is plain to [people], because God has shown it to them. 20 For his invisible attributes, namely, his eternal power and divine nature, have been clearly perceived, ever since the creation of the world, in the things that have been made. So they are without excuse.
Food for thought. KF kairosfocus
GP: I ask you to consider, is terming compatibilism a fraud a step too far? Could it not simply be one of the major errors of our day, one that is entrenched in the academy, the media, and other halls of power and influence? One, that ever so many, adhering to those they habitually look to for guidance (and led astray by the implications of lab coat clad evolutionary materialism), adhere to without fully understanding where it ends? KF kairosfocus
ES, in re:
All of the controversy vanishes when you understand free will to be relatively free, not absolutely free. Free will doesn’t necessarily get what it wants. Free will is free inasmuch as it can want anything, realistic or not, but the actual outcome of the will exterted on the environment highly depends on the circumstances. To blow the “free” in “free will” out of all proportion is just plain nonsense.
Au contraire. Unless we are responsibly free we cannot reason, know, understand, choose in any sense worth having. As, i just summarised in 31 above. The rejection of responsible freedom of mind and conscience -- the freedom one can have in "prisons dark" -- is a case of appeal to general delusion and to sawing off the branch on which we all must sit. This is not a scientific issue or dispute, it is prior to the possibility of science: unless we are responsibly rational and sufficiently self moved to think for ourselves beyond genetic and psycho-social conditioning, the life of the mind is dead. Science would be dead with that, but much more than science. Man, would be dead. But as your own attempt to argue shows, you incorrigibly believe in teh life of the mind: be reasonable, agree with my argument practically screams out of the subtext. But, if we are not sufficiently free to think for ourselves, reason, ground and infer conclusions that are not unconsciously programmed and controlled by blind a-rational forces and factors, free enough to rise above error, we are dead. Sawing off the branch on which we all must sit -- reason based on responsible freedom and intelligent insight -- is a fallacy. KF kairosfocus
SB: I am quite aware that RDF intends to infer question-begging a priori rendering the whole ID project moot. It also reflects the classic move p => q, I don't like q so I change my mind regarding p thusly: ~ q => ~ p. (The issue then becomes whether ~ p is reasonable.) That is why I took time to point out the credibility of understanding intelligence and design as we usually do, it is why I took time to highlight where the evolutionary materialism in a lab coat view refutes itself (as Haldane pointed out) and it is why I gave place for the Dembski comment:
We know from experience [--> empirical, inductive context] that intelligent agents build intricate machines that need all their parts to function [--> i.e. he is specifically discussing "irreducibly complex" objects, structures or processes for which there is a core group of parts all of which must be present and properly arranged for the entity to function . . . ], things like mousetraps and motors. And we know how they do it — by looking to a future goal and then purposefully assembling a set of parts until they’re a working whole. Intelligent agents, in fact, are the one and only type of thing we have ever seen doing this sort of thing from scratch. In other words, our common experience provides positive evidence of only one kind of cause able to assemble such machines. [--> the inductive, inference to best current and longstanding explanation context could not be plainer or more emphasised absent resort to the sort of spoon-feeding didactic emphases and notes I am giving here . . . but of course we can rest assured the objectors are studiously, willfully -- suggestive word -- ignoring] It’s not electricity. It’s not magnetism. It’s not natural selection working on random variation. It’s not any purely mindless process. It’s intelligence . . . . When we attribute intelligent design [--> make a design inference] to complex biological machines that need all of their parts to work [--> functionally specific and irreducibly complex organisation and associated information], we’re doing what historical scientists do generally [--> common praxis regarding reconstructing the causal history of observed phenomena]. Think of it as a three-step process: (1) locate a type of cause active in the present that routinely produces the thing in question; [--> Vera causa, part 1, showing that factor F is an able cause of observed effect e in a cluster T in a wider space W of possibilities] (2) make a thorough search to determine if it is the only known cause of this type of thing; [--> Vera causa part 2, establishing that observation e in T is a reliable sign of causal factor F] and (3) if it is, offer it as the best explanation for the thing in question. [--> inductive, causal inference to the best explanation] [William Dembski and Jonathan Witt, Intelligent Design Uncensored: An Easy-to-Understand Guide to the Controversy, pp. 20-21, 53 (InterVarsity Press, 2010). HT, CL of ENV & DI.]
Thus, the design inference is not an a priori, question-begging philosophical argument, but an inductive inference to best current explanation on tested reliable sign, especially FSCO/I. As the OP goes on to lay out, the design inference process is not vulnerable to the attack, oh you assume contra-causal free will. Intelligence, as noted, is empirically established and pivots on the known pattern of purposeful, goal-directed configuration of components to make a functional whole critically dependent on its parts and their configuration. The issue of OOL and origin of body plans, etc, with the case of the protein synthesis process attested to by Wikipedia testifying against known ideological interest, is important. (For A_B's information, etc, I normally cite Wiki not as a primary authority but as a known biased source forced to testify against interest and so likely to be admitting the truth per the criterion of embarrassment.) So far, the issue of the freedom of an agent to act beyond mechanical and/or stochastic cause and control has not been on the table. An empirically grounded understanding of the phenomena of intelligence, intentionality as we observe it and design as we observe it is enough. But, we are dealing with those who willfully conflate science with scientism, and therefore ill-advisedly ignore the problem of traipsing into philosophy without proper basis of understanding and solid analysis of live option alternatives and consequences -- comparative difficulties. [The link to a course module on intro to phil and to its context, a compulsory course in a theology school of Evangelical persuasion, is deliberate. Notice tipsheet at the foot of the page, here.] So, I went on to take up that traipsing. (And the echo of Judge Jones' decision that made similar blunders is quite deliberate. Emphasis on freedom to choose on my part is deliberate, I could easily have used different terms but chose to make use of an unusual term for the purpose of highlighting that this abuse of reason has has deleterious and unjust impact under false colour of law. Again, I have chosen to use terms that are unusual and speak to contexts. I emphasise the exercise of responsible, rational freedom.) In so doing -- I actually began here in the OP! -- I highlighted that "contra-causal free will" is in reality a term usually projected by opponents and tends to come with loaded projections and dismissive materialism-influenced metanarratives. As in, you are imagining some ghost in the meat machine pulling on imagined levers, but we "know" there is no way to bridge from your world of spooks to the real, empirical world of matter energy, forces and interactions. (In a truly weird quantum world of spooky instant action at a distance, influences from what would be classically after the fact events -- detect WHICH slit an electron goes through AFTER it would classically pass and bingo, it ceases to do double-slit interference, and "non locality" etc, one would imagine that such would learn humility. Seems, not.) Haldane undercuts such, decisively:
“It seems to me immensely unlikely that mind is a mere by-product of matter. For if my mental processes are determined wholly by the motions of atoms in my brain I have no reason to suppose that my beliefs are true. They may be sound chemically, but that does not make them sound logically. And hence I have no reason for supposing my brain to be composed of atoms. In order to escape from this necessity of sawing away the branch on which I am sitting, so to speak, I am compelled to believe that mind is not wholly conditioned by matter.” ["When I am dead," in Possible Worlds: And Other Essays [1927], Chatto and Windus: London, 1932, reprint, p.209.]
The issue then is, are we free enough to be rational, responsible, knowing thinkers? On the face of it, per general consent, yes. Rational animality -- which let us remember points to being ensouled and self-moving. Animals are the self-moved and active class of beings that show some degree of purpose in their actions. Humanity adds to that, the power of understanding, reason and communication. In the words of the Psalmist speaking in the name of God pleading with his creatures to use their gifts and capacities aright:
Ps 32: 8 I will instruct you and teach you in the way you should go; I will counsel you with my eye upon you. 9 Be not like a horse or a mule, without understanding, which must be curbed with bit and bridle, or it will not stay near you. [ESV]
The point is, that the dismissal of genuine responsible freedom saws off the branch on which we all must sit, rationality. That is, it is a projection of grand delusion, which undercuts the power to choose to follow arguments based on insight into meaning, grounds and consequences, and it undercuts the power therefore to warrant belief, thence knowledge. It is an appeal to general delusion. Therefore it collapses in self referential and antisocial (even sometimes nihilistic)incoherence -- sawing off the branch on which we all must sit. Whatever the ultimate nature of reality, it is not a mere optional assumption that we are responsibly sufficiently free in the life of reason, it is a condition of being able to make any further progress in the life of thought and those who reject it immediately make shipwreck in patent absurdity. Of which, Sir Francis Crick's The Astonishing Hypothesis (1994) is an inadvertent classic:
. . . that "You", your joys and your sorrows, your memories and your ambitions, your sense of personal identity and free will, are in fact no more than the behaviour of a vast assembly of nerve cells and their associated molecules. As Lewis Carroll's Alice might have phrased: "You're nothing but a pack of neurons." This hypothesis is so alien to the ideas of most people today that it can truly be called astonishing.
No wonder seminal ID thinker Philip Johnson has replied that Sir Francis should have therefore been willing to preface his works thusly: "I, Francis Crick, my opinions and my science, and even the thoughts expressed in this book, consist of nothing more than the behavior of a vast assembly of nerve cells and their associated molecules." Johnson then acidly commented: “[t]he plausibility of materialistic determinism requires that an implicit exception be made for the theorist.” [Reason in the Balance, 1995.] Appeals to general delusion are self-referentially absurd, period. So, I must express my most stringent objection to the characterisation of responsible freedom of mind as a dubious and unproven "assumption." Unproven and indeed unprovable, yes -- but proof itself rests on that presupposition of responsible freedom. And, to deny it is to at once descend into the most patent absurdity . . . never mind how commonplace clinging to such absurdities is, today. (I won't even bother to elaborate on the folly of scientism, apart form saying that he notion that Science is the only or main source of reliable, credible knowledge is an epistemological assertion not a scientific one. It therefore is a philosophical belief and refutes itself as it seeks to undercut the value of philosophy. Likewise, compatibilism evidently boils down to redefining "freedom" into meaninglessness: if I act on impulses of dubious rationality, so long as they are within me being programed in by nature and nurture, I am "free." Nonsense! Unless I am free to accurately perceive meaning, grounds and consequents, and to abstract from a cluster of observations to inductively and cogently conclude as to patterns in the world and their best explanation, I am not free as a mind in any sense worth having. Either we have responsible freedom or the life of the mind is dead. And, with that, morality is dead apart from the nihilist's credo: might, and manipulation make "right" and "truth." Which boils down to: Man is dead. Absolutely, not so!) I therefore , again, draw attention to Reppert:
. . . let us suppose that brain state A, which is token identical to the thought that all men are mortal, and brain state B, which is token identical to the thought that Socrates is a man, together cause the belief that Socrates is mortal. It isn’t enough for rational inference that these events be those beliefs, it is also necessary that the causal transaction be in virtue of the content of those thoughts . . . [[But] if naturalism is true, then the propositional content is irrelevant to the causal transaction that produces the conclusion, and [[so] we do not have a case of rational inference. In rational inference, as Lewis puts it, one thought causes another thought not by being, but by being seen to be, the ground for it. But causal transactions in the brain occur in virtue of the brain’s being in a particular type of state that is relevant to physical causal transactions.
Reason is in the balance today. And our civilisation (including its proud academies -- their name is Legion) is being weighed in the balance and found severely wanting. KF kairosfocus
OP:
...mechanical cause-effect chain based computation is categorically distinct from self-aware, self-moved responsible, rational contemplation. In turn, that points to intelligence, an observed and measurable phenomenon.
In philosophy, things like intelligence and mind are entirely related to subjectivity, not objectivity, i.e. intelligence is the observer and measurer. To assume that intelligence is observed and measured is a basic logical category error. vividbleau
Hi Mark perhaps part of the confusion revolves around the term “free will”. Free will is a oxymoron. I prefer using terms such as free choice or free agency.
All of the controversy vanishes when you understand free will to be relatively free, not absolutely free. Free will doesn't necessarily get what it wants. Free will is free inasmuch as it can want anything, realistic or not, but the actual outcome of the will exterted on the environment highly depends on the circumstances. To blow the "free" in "free will" out of all proportion is just plain nonsense. E.Seigner
#26 VB
Hi Mark perhaps part of the confusion revolves around the term “free will”. Free will is a oxymoron. I prefer using terms such as free choice or free agency I define free choice as the ability to choose that which I MOST want at the time the choice is made given the options available to me . I think choices are effects therefore they have a cause. I also think that choices are determined but free. I say determined because I believe my choices are SELF determined. Is this libertarian or compatabilism? I don’t know.
I wish I could respond to this as I agree with a lot of it but I must rest my right hand (not your fault GP). Mark Frank
vivdbleau: I would like to comment on your interesting post. Obviously our choices are determined by our Self. That's why they are free. But our Self is not a series of events. It is a transcendental subject. You say: "I define free choice as the ability to choose that which I MOST want at the time the choice is made given the options available to me." That's fine for me, and perfectly libertarian, with some clarifications: "The ability to choose that which I most want" should be intended as the ability to be in tune with my deepest nature, rather than with other parts of my present condition. Moreover, as you yourself define it as an "ability" to "choose", not as a "necessity" to choose, it implies that I can very well not choose that which I most want (in the sense defined above). So, again, my Self is free to act in different ways. It is absolutely obvious that free will always acts under restraints. I would say under severe restraints. In no way free will means that we can do anything. So, I absolutely agree that "the choice is made given the options available to me". Regarding Augustine, I am not a theologian, so I will not enter in detail into a discussion of that kind. My simple point of view is that certainly, in our condition, we cannot "not sin", because our human condition is certainly imperfect and there is no doubt that "sin", however we define it, is part of it. Does that deny free will? Absolutely not. While we will certainly "sin", we can certainly choose how and how much to sin. In those choices, and in how much they are done by trying to remain loyal to our deepest and best nature, lie our merits and demerits. gpuccio
anthropic and vividbleau: Thank you for the interesting quotes. I must add that this topic of free will strangely unites two very different worldviews. Indeed, both materialists and a subset of religious people are strongly determined to deny free will: the ones because they are convinced that God does not exist, the others because they are convinced that God exists. Both are true determinists. Both believe that human choices are completely determined, either by objective events or by God. I respect both positions, because as I have said I respect determinism. It is a consistent worldview that cannot be proved false. But I do believe that it is a completely wrong worldview. Again, choices. gpuccio
MF Hi Mark perhaps part of the confusion revolves around the term "free will". Free will is a oxymoron. I prefer using terms such as free choice or free agency. I define free choice as the ability to choose that which I MOST want at the time the choice is made given the options available to me . I think choices are effects therefore they have a cause. I also think that choices are determined but free. I say determined because I believe my choices are SELF determined. Is this libertarian or compatabilism? I don't know. Looking at things from a theological perspective many of the great Christian Divines were united that there are certain things that the will was not free from such as Augustine "non posse,non peccare" we are Not able Not to sin. In other words we are not free to not to choose not to sin in our fallen state. The famous Augustinian monk that set the world on fire would also argue that in many ways our wills are determined as well. Heck I would argue that in some regards even Gods will is determined. Vivid vividbleau
Mark: Sorry for that. Not my intention. gpuccio
Gpuccio I will leave this subject - among other things it has caused my RSI to come back! Mark Frank
Interesting discussion. I think a quote from Augustine might be in order and I will leave it at that. "Non posse, non peccare. Vivid vividbleau
"One's own free unfettered choice, one's own caprice, however wild it may be, one's own fancy worked up at times to frenzy -- is that very "most advantageous advantage" which we have overlooked, which comes under no classification and against which all systems and theories are continually being shattered to atoms. And how do these wiseacres know that man wants a normal, a virtuous choice? What has made them conceive that man must want a rationally advantageous choice? What man wants is simply independent choice, whatever that independence may cost and wherever it may lead. And choice, of course, the devil only knows what choice. Of course, this very stupid thing, this caprice of ours, may be in reality, gentlemen, more advantageous for us than anything else on earth, especially in certain cases… for in any circumstances it preserves for us what is most precious and most important -- that is, our personality, our individuality. Some, you see, maintain that this really is the most precious thing for mankind; choice can, of course, if it chooses, be in agreement with reason… It is profitable and sometimes even praiseworthy. But very often, and even most often, choice is utterly and stubbornly opposed to reason ... and ... and ... do you know that that, too, is profitable, sometimes even praiseworthy? I believe in it, I answer for it, for the whole work of man really seems to consist in nothing but proving to himself every minute that he is a man and not a piano-key!" ? Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Notes from Underground anthropic
Mark: I don't think that we will ever understand each other on this particular point. However, some brief answers. a) I don't despise your case. I simply don't agree with it. I do despise compatibilism, but compatibilism was not created by you, so that has nothing to do with you. Maybe Dennet could take offense. b) I remain free, IMO, to despise what I choose to despise. You remain free not to approve, and not to like it. c) Maybe I don't understand compatibilism, and maybe I do. Please, have the humility to recognise that I am the final judge for myself of what I think I understand and what I think I don't understand. You are free to think differently. d) You are certainly not crazy, but you can well be wrong. I believe that you are wrong, not that you are crazy. e) The problem of cosnciousness is not fundamental. The problem of choice is. I insist that a choice is a choice only if a fee input from a conscious agent can change a result. Otherwise, it can be anything else, but it will never be a choice. You can choose to use the word choice differently, but that will not change what I mean by it, and what has always been meant by it, until compatibilism was smartly invented. f) You say: "There are some events we have the power to change and others we do not. But don’t confuse the power that comes through making a choice with power over the choice itself. If I make a choice to have another coffee then I am exercising my power to change the state of coffee. I may or may not have power over the decision process. " It would be wrong to say that I don't understand. I believe that I do understand, and that it makes no sense. I am sorry, but that is my thought. Again, if everything is determined, "you" (whatever you mean with that) have no power at all. No power on anything, no power to change any event. Objective events which happen outside of you or in your body will determine what "you" do. Those events are not what you are, and in no way you (the subject of your consciousness) can change them, if compatibilism/determinism is true. g) You say: "We make real choices" No. not in the sense that "choice" has for me. You have simply "redefined" choice. They are real choices according to your definition, not according to mine. h) You say: "and we get emotionally involved and we deeply fight our conscience all the things you say really happen" Yes, but in your scenario we do all those things for events that are not choices. In my scenario, we do all those things because we inwardly do believe that different outcomes can happen according to what we freely choose. It is not the same thing. They are two different worldviews, and they arfe not "compatible" at all. My worldview is called libertarian free will, your worldview is called compatibilism/determinism (frankly, I can see no real difference between the two things). i) You say: "Again you say they are intellectual tricks but you make no argument. You just insist there is no alternative to your view instead of addressing my position." The intellectual trick is in the world itself: "compatibilism". There is nothing compatible here. Free will has always been defined as libertarian free will, and it is not compatible with determinism. There is nothing wrong, in principle, in believing in determinism (it is just a very bad idea). But it is very wrong, and it is an intellectual trick, affirming that determinism and libertarian free will are compatible. They are not. Compatibilism has just stolen the word "free will", redefining it and depriving it of its meaning. So, now I am obliged to say "libertarian free will" to mean what should be called simply "free will", and compatibilists define a simple form of determinism as "free will", and surprise! they find that determinism is compatible with determinism. My compliments. l) You say: "You missed out an important stage – adult humans other then yourself. How do you know their decisions are not determined? You say you cannot tell if animals decisions are determined. What is the difference that you observe in adult humans that convinces you their choices are not determined?" It's simple. As I have stated many times, all human beings know what consciousness is, and what principles can be applied to it, from direct observation in themselves. I do the same, you do the same. However, we all share a very basic inference that other human beings, who are so similar to us and do the same things that we do, and speak like us, and design like us, you name it, have certainly conscious processes and conscious laws that are similar to ours. It is a very basic inference by analogy, and it is so strong that practically nobody has ever doubted it (with the only exception of solipsists). I don't doubt it. For animals, you will agree with me, probably, that the inference is less strong, because the analogy is less strong. It is rather easy to believe that dogs and cats are conscious, and that they have many conscious experiences that are similar to ours. It becomes less obvious if we consider ants or bacteria, just to make an example. I am not saying anything here, only that it is much more difficult to share an inference about what happens in animal consciousness. It is even more difficult to share reflections about free will, which is so special even in humans. For example, it is much more obvious that humans can change their destiny. That is much more difficult to evaluate in animals. m) You say: "And what is the difference you observe in your own case that proves to you that your decisions are not determined? You can say faith or intuition or some such thing if you like and I will respect that – but please don’t say you despise the alternative if your position depends on something so indescribable." You are equivocating my thought. I do say that my belief in free will is largely based on intuitions about my own conscious experiences. And I am happy that you respect that. But I have never said that I despise the alternative. Because the alternative, the only alternative, is determinism. And I don't despise determinism. I just think it is wrong. What I do despise is compatibilism. Because it is "determinism in a cheap tuxedo". Because it is an intellectual trick and a fraud. I am sorry, but that is exactly what I think. I hope you don't take offence, because I have tried to say clearly that I don't despise you. Dennett, on the other hand, is free to take offense. He has his responsibilities, and I think that I have a right to express my feelings about the bad philosophy that he (and a few others) have created. gpuccio
SB:
RDF’s argument has always been that ID is a tautology because it assumes its conclusion, namely contra-causality.
I thought he was arguing that ID wasn't science and therefore wasn't worthy of belief. It seems to me he is one of those who believes science is the only valid source of knowledge and that the belief is warranted because the claim that science is the only valid source of knowledge is based on sound scientific evidence.
IOW, he claims that ID doesn’t really detect intelligent agency set apart from law/chance (contra-causality) on the basis of evidence;
RDFish ought to know by now that ID doesn't stand for Intelligence Detection. Mung
KF, I fear there may be some misunderstanding here. Your write:
[RDF to SB:] . . . ID rests on the assumption of libertarianism, an unprovable metaphysical assumption
KF
This characterisation of SB’s reasoning is false to the full set of options he puts on the table, but I leave answering that to SB.
RDF is not trying to characterize my reasoning with these words. He is trying to argue against my reasoning> RDF's argument has always been that ID is a tautology because it assumes its conclusion, namely contra-causality. IOW, he claims that ID doesn't really detect intelligent agency set apart from law/chance (contra-causality) on the basis of evidence; it assumes intelligent agency set apart from law/chance (contra-causality) even before the evidence can speak. Thus, as he would have it, no real inference has been made. As a corrective, then, I pointed out that ID does not begin its design inference with an assumption of contra-causality or any assumption at all. It begins with an observation, followed by an analysis of the evidence, followed by a design inference. There are no assumptions inherent in that process. Does ID propose anything at all prior to the observation? Yes, ID DEFINES intelligent agency set apart from from law/chance and law/chance and hypothesizes that the former would be a better explanation once the evidence has been evaluated. This is not the same thing as ASSUMING Intelligent agency set apart from law/chance. The key point is that RDF tries to transform ID's clarifying definition into an unwarranted assumption. StephenB
Gpuccio I will use “determined” as an abbreviation for “determined or random” below. This annoys me because you use a sentence like:
But it is a simple fact that I deeply despise compatibilism as a way of thinking and as a philosophy. I believe that I am usually rather tolerant, but I do think that compatibilism is an intellectual fraud.
and yet you do not understand compatibilism as I will try to show below. Even if you don’t agree I hope you will have the humility to recognise you might not understand my case rather than despising it. After all I am not crazy.
The word “choice”, as related to the concept of free will, does not relate to an event, but to a conscious intervention which determines which of (at least) two possible outcomes will happen. In a deterministic sequence, either consciously represented or not, there are no choices, and therefore there is no free will.
The same is true if the system includes random events. Again, no choice, no free will.
Compatabilism has nothing to say about whether decisions are conscious or not. It simply says that choices are determined 
Compatibilism call “choice” and “free will” the mere consciousness of deterministic (or random) events.
That is an intellectual fraud. We can be conscious of events, and have no power to change them. It is irrelevant that those events are outer or inner events. If we, as subjects, have no power to change them, there is no choice, there is no free will.
To repeat compatabilism has nothing to say about whether decisions are conscious or not.  There are some events we have the power to change and others we do not. But don’t confuse the power that comes through making a choice with power over the choice itself. If I make a choice to have another coffee then I am exercising my power to change the state of coffee. I may or may not have power over the decision process. I could have power over the decision if for example I know I am going to have to make the decision in advance and do things to stop myself making the wrong choice (put a reminder on my desk that it will keep my awake). But the actual act of choosing is not me having power over my choice – that would be the start of an infinite regress – if I have to choose to choose X  then presumably I have to choose to choose to choose X etc .  I (and you) just choose.
The emotional responses connected to our choices are due to the simple fact that, in our deepest self, we do know that those choices can change what will happen, and therefore can change our personal destiny: they can avoid us pain, for example, or provide us joy. Or just the opposite.
If we are looking at a movie, we can participate emotionally to what happens, but we know that we cannot choose how to change what happens there (unless it is an interactive movie ). But, when we have to choose if we will stay loyal to a life companion, for example, or if we will betray him or her to get some advantage, we know that what we choose will change our life. That’s why we deeply fight in our inner conscience, to decide what we will do. Is that only a delusion? Are we indeed only witnessing a movie, with which we cannot in any way interact?
No its not an illusion and that is why I still think you don’t (refuse?) to understand compatabilism.  It is not a movie. We make real choices and we get emotionally involved and we deeply fight our conscience all the things you say really happen. And they are compatible with determinism. This is what you have to disprove. You don’t have to show choices are not illusions. You don’t have to describe what it is like to make a decision. I accept all that. None of it is relevant to whether choices are determined.
If your answer is yes, then you are a determinist. If your answer is no, you believe in true, libertarian free will. It’s as simple as that.
That’s what you assert but don’t prove.
If your answer is: “Yes, but…”, then you are probably a compatibilist, and you are only playing intellectual tricks.
Again you say they are intellectual tricks but you make no argument. You just insist there is no alternative to your view instead of addressing my position.
I cannot give any answer about animals. Very sincerely, I don’t know if they have free will. I do believe that babies have free will, but it is certainly possible that its expression is still very partial. So, the best model we have is adult humans. For adult humans, I will very simply answer your argument by saying that: a) I don’t believe that “a genius psychologist” who “has been monitoring me all my life” will ever be able to correctly predict all my decisions, least of all how the decision making process worked in detail. That is simple impossible, because my decisions are, at a deep level, free.Nobody can ever predict them in detail. That’s the difference between free will and compatibilism. b) I simply don’t believe that “how my different motivations were balanced and interacted with my perceptions and memories” deterministically results in each decision”. That is simply not true, because my decisions are, at a deep level, free. Nothing can completely determine them, although all the things you quote can certainly influence them. That’s the difference between free will and compatibilism.
You missed out an important stage – adult humans other then yourself. How do you know their decisions are not determined? You say you cannot tell if animals decisions are determined. What is the difference that you observe in adult humans that convinces you their choices are not determined? And what is the difference you observe in your own case that proves to you that your decisions are not determined? You can say faith or intuition or some such thing if you like and I will respect that – but please don’t say you despise the alternative if your position depends on something so indescribable. Mark Frank
kairosfocus @ 4
The issue is not whether accepting responsible freedom is popular or unpopular in general or in the academy ..., the issue is whether unless we are significantly, responsibly free [and not overtly or covertly determined by blind mechanical necessity, blind stochastic processes and/or by unconscious mechanistic programming] we have no basis for confidence in our reason, warranting, knowing, choosing etc.
Actually, the issue is whether ID assumes contra-causal free will, and whether that is a scientifically warrantable assumption. You think it does, and that it is. That's fine. But your philosophical stylings in this obscure corner of the internet do not even come close to rehearsing all the arguments for and against compatibilist free will, and you should not pretend that the matter is settled either in science or philosophy, because it's not, as demonstrated by the survey of professional philosophers. CLAVDIVS
Mark: I know you are a little sensitive about compatibilism, and I understand that it is so because you sincerely believe in it. I respect your convictions, obviously, and believe me, that has nothing personal. But it is a simple fact that I deeply despise compatibilism as a way of thinking and as a philosophy. I believe that I am usually rather tolerant, but I do think that compatibilism is an intellectual fraud. OK, I don't think I will convince you, but it is my duty to answer your arguments. The word "choice", as related to the concept of free will, does not relate to an event, but to a conscious intervention which determines which of (at least) two possible outcomes will happen. In a deterministic sequence, either consciously represented or not, there are no choices, and therefore there is no free will. The same is true if the system includes random events. Again, no choice, no free will. Compatibilism call "choice" and "free will" the mere consciousness of deterministic (or random) events. That is an intellectual fraud. We can be conscious of events, and have no power to change them. It is irrelevant that those events are outer or inner events. If we, as subjects, have no power to change them, there is no choice, there is no free will. The emotional responses connected to our choices are due to the simple fact that, in our deepest self, we do know that those choices can change what will happen, and therefore can change our personal destiny: they can avoid us pain, for example, or provide us joy. Or just the opposite. If we are looking at a movie, we can participate emotionally to what happens, but we know that we cannot choose how to change what happens there (unless it is an interactive movie :) ). But, when we have to choose if we will stay loyal to a life companion, for example, or if we will betray him or her to get some advantage, we know that what we choose will change our life. That's why we deeply fight in our inner conscience, to decide what we will do. Is that only a delusion? Are we indeed only witnessing a movie, with which we cannot in any way interact? If your answer is yes, then you are a determinist. If your answer is no, you believe in true, libertarian free will. It's as simple as that. If your answer is: "Yes, but...", then you are probably a compatibilist, and you are only playing intellectual tricks. Let's go to your arguments about animals, babies and adult humans. I cannot give any answer about animals. Very sincerely, I don't know if they have free will. I do believe that babies have free will, but it is certainly possible that its expression is still very partial. So, the best model we have is adult humans. For adult humans, I will very simply answer your argument by saying that: a) I don't believe that "a genius psychologist" who "has been monitoring me all my life" will ever be able to correctly predict all my decisions, least of all how the decision making process worked in detail. That is simple impossible, because my decisions are, at a deep level, free. Nobody can ever predict them in detail. That's the difference between free will and compatibilism. b) I simply don't believe that "how my different motivations were balanced and interacted with my perceptions and memories" deterministically results in each decision". That is simply not true, because my decisions are, at a deep level, free. Nothing can completely determine them, although all the things you quote can certainly influence them. That's the difference between free will and compatibilism. Well, that's all. Again, it's as simple as that. I hope I have not irritated you too much, and I am sorry that nothing has suddenly clicked in me. gpuccio
JC: Will take a look, real busy today, counting down to a serious meeting. KF kairosfocus
GP #6 Mostly I enjoy your comments but when you write about compatibilism I get a bit irritated,  especially the word “fraud”.  Compatibilism says that all the elements of free will – including giving extreme importance, both cognitive and emotional, to their own choice, and to the possible results of their choices.- is compatible with determinism (where determinism allows for a random element as well). This doesn’t mean we can never really choose. It means that choosing (and the worry and tension that comes with it) is compatible with determinism.  Your argument against compatibilism is to say that it is not compatible with behaving as though you had free will! That's daft. Compatibilists believe in free will. I don’t think you really understand the compatibilist case. I try never to blame the learner for not understanding the lesson (but the learner has to be prepared to listen) so I will try once more with a thought experiment. (Understanding compatabilism requires thinking a bit differently – but generally it suddenly clicks and you realise it is true and it is not a problem) Start with a dog.  Dogs make choices in the sense that they may accept or reject a treat, may obey or disobey an order, may chase a rabbit or not.  Suppose we advance our understanding of dog’s brains and thought processes so that a genius vet can predict with 100% accuracy how a dog will choose in any given situation given its past history and current circumstances.  Surely this is conceivable? If we manage this do we now say that dogs are making real choices? If it they are real choices then this is compatibilism in action. So I guess, in these circumstances, you would say that we have shown they do not really have free will. Now extend it to infants – say two year olds. They make choices – eat or don’t eat, cry or don’t cry, hug or don’t hug. So let’s imagine we repeat the process with them. A genius paediatrician in this case (maybe you one day!). Are the infants also lacking free will? Either compatabilism is true or they haven’t got free will. OK. Now apply it to an adult human. If it is conceivable for a dog and an infant then surely it is conceivable for an adult.  A genius psychologist observes an adult and is able to predict all their decisions and explain why – exactly how each decision is determined by their genetics, personal history and current environment (it doesn’t have to be a materialist explanation). Has that adult got free will?  Either compatabilism is true or they haven’t got free will. And finally apply to yourself. Suppose it turns out a genius psychologist has been monitoring you all your life and has been able to correctly predict all your decisions and also how the decision making process worked in detail – how your different motivations were balanced and interacted with your perceptions and memories resulting in each decision (including any dithering and worrying about whether you got it right).  Would that mean you thought you had free will but actually didn’t? Either compatabilism is true or you haven’t got free will. But if you haven’t got free will what ever gave you the idea you had?  What is it you thought you had but don’t (it is no good saying the ability to make decisions – the scientist doesn’t stop you making them – he/she just describes them)?  What would you be missing from your life if that scientist was able to predict your decisions? Mark Frank
KF: I absolutely agree :) gpuccio
GP: I would say that, that we are self-aware, reasoning, deciding creatures is an incorrigible intuition we have, and also if we try to undermine it, we undermine reason, knowledge and responsibility. This, I argue is self-refuting and if we open our eyes, obviously so -- a difference in emphasis that makes a difference of force, I believe. So, it is stronger than a bare optional assumption, it is a first plausible on which to build a worldview. But you are right that his aspect is not a scientific issue -- the fascination with science here seems to reflect scientism -- it is prior to science, it is at the level of what are we as beings and the basis on which we can reason, know and act tot he right. Rocks have no dreams (notoriously), refined rocks made into computational substrates still have no dreams, and computation is not self-aware, self-moved rational contemplation and action. Which we should instantly recognise. Should. KF kairosfocus
Acartia_bogart: I can agree with you that it is probably not possible to prove free will "scientifically". It is rather an assumption in a general worldview, derived mainly from an observation of what happens in consciousness, and of the fundamental conscious facts on which all our understanding of reality is based. The simple truth is: everyone acts "as is" free will were true and existing. It is perfectly possible to deny it as an intellectual game, but the same person who denies free will just goes on acting, feeling and thinking in terms of free will. On the contrary, if one denies free will and tries to be really consistent with the intellectual consequences, then no worldview has any meaning. So, in a sense, the truth is beautifully self-referring: we can deny free will only by choosing to deny our worldview, our life, our motivations, and all meanings in reality. And we are free to do that. On the other hand, we can choose a hypocritical route, and pretend that we deny free will while keeping all the consequences of free will in out personal life. That is the way of the determinist. Or, even worse and even more hypocritical, we can rename determinism as if it were free will, and delude ourselves and others that there is a third way. That is the way of compatibilists. Again, it is a problem of worldview, and it cannot be decided by science. But never believe for a moment that your science will not be affected by your choices of worldview. gpuccio
A_b: I have a moment. Should we regard the comment you just made as nothing but the result of blind mechanical necessity and/or chance working though whatever has programmed and controls your CNS, so that it is of no more weight than those blind forces, or should we take it as an attempt to reason based on understanding and inference through applying principles of reason you have volitionally adhered to in light of what seem to you to be key facts? If the former, all you are doing is spewing glyphs across our screen of no more moment than the radio noise on a short wave receiver which is driven by the same pattern of non contemplative blind mechanisms and chance factors. If the latter, you have shown why determinism fails, even as you try to argue for it. Or, in Reppert's terms, as noted in the OP:
. . . let us suppose that brain state A, which is token identical to the thought that all men are mortal, and brain state B, which is token identical to the thought that Socrates is a man, together cause the belief that Socrates is mortal. It isn’t enough for rational inference that these events be those beliefs, it is also necessary that the causal transaction be in virtue of the content of those thoughts . . . [[But] if naturalism is true, then the propositional content is irrelevant to the causal transaction that produces the conclusion, and [[so] we do not have a case of rational inference. In rational inference, as Lewis puts it, one thought causes another thought not by being, but by being seen to be, the ground for it. But causal transactions in the brain occur in virtue of the brain’s being in a particular type of state that is relevant to physical causal transactions.
KF kairosfocus
I don't know whether or not we have free will. But whatever we have, it is not something unique to humans. In reality, it is pointless discussing this because there is no way to unambiguously test this on either humans or animals. We may obtain different decisions under identical conditions and call in free will. But it would be wrong to draw this conclusion because it is impossible to duplicate all conditions. Acartia_bogart
Thanks Jaceli123 for the article. ...very interesting! aqeels
Hi I found a recent paper that is really interesting on a new retro-causal theory of indeterminism. Paper: http://blogs.chapman.edu/press-room/2014/07/31/chapman-university-scientists-introduce-new-cosmic-connectivity Jaceli123
KF: Thank you for the very good post. I would say that the spread of opinions among a very special category of academics (professional philosophers!) is good evidence that even those guys have free will (which, in itself, could not be completely obvious :) ). I wonder how many of those who believe that they believe in determinism (or, even worse, compatibilism) are really incorporating that belief in their daily life and actions. The answer, after all, is simple: none of them. Why do I say that? Because I know all too well that all people live their life giving extreme importance, both cognitive and emotional, to their own choice, and to the possible results of their choices. I am sure that even the most die hard determinist or compatibilist is extremely careful to make the right choices in matters of money, health, job, marriage, human relationships, just to name a few scenarios. Many of those choices imply inner and outer conflicts, and difficult evaluations. None of our compatibilist friends, I am sure, has the total inner relaxation (and lack of motivation) which would derive from really believing that we can never really choose between different outcomes. Compatibilism is a fraud, a very serious fraud. The problem of free will, obviously, is not, and never has been, "to be able to do what we want". It is, rather, to be able to do what is right, and what will be in harmony with our deeper needs, while many parts of us really want to do different things. It is, and always has been, about how we can change our destiny, in spite of outer and inner difficulties. Without the possibility of free change, of free intervention on our own destiny, any "definition" of free will is only a fraud, and has no sense. So, it is really interesting to know how much professional philosophers (and everybody else) are free to believe what they choose to believe, even if it makes no sense, and to act and live as if they believed instead that their choices and evaluations can indeed change their personal destiny (as they certainly believe, in their deepest being). gpuccio
A really good post from kairosfocus. I do not see any distinction between compatibilism and no free will. It is really a distinction without distinction! Compatibilism is simply a canard employed by the committed materialist to provide some credibility to their views and to convince themselves that they are indeed "free". Think about it. For a compatibilist we are essentially highly sophisticated decision making agents. However, every choice we make has a set of antecedent causes right the way back to the big bang. Under this view, the reason(s) I am writing this post can be traced back to before I was born. The reason Hitler invaded Poland can be derived from events before he was born. I could go on and show how foolish and dangerous such ideas can be, but I will stop there. I do not claim to know how or why I have contra-causal free will other than to know that it must be so. It is the only position one can realistically hold that corroborates with the experiences of life and the human condition. This is something that we must all have the wisdom to see and accept as self evident. It cannot be argued for (due to the self referential mess that would ensue!). I would also stress that when you flesh out the implications of compatibilism, it quickly descends into an odious view. By way of analogy, consider a thermostat that is not performing its job properly due to some faulty component during it's manufacturing process. Most people would probably section me if I proceeded to vent my frustrations on the thermostat for not performing it's job properly. If the thermostat had feelings it would most surely retort with "but it's not my fault! Its the way I am". But that is precisely what we do under the compatibilist's view the world. We imprison people to punish them for crimes they commit, in some countries we send we have capital punishment. But how can we truly punish them for acts that they were not ultimately responsible for. This is indeed odious! I want to ask the compatibilist's or the no free will supporter, how can we maintain our sense of fair play by punishing and causing pain to a child molester, all the while knowing that he/she did the things they did because they are "bad decision" making agents who could not have done otherwise. In fact their "decisions" to carry out acts of child molestation were written with the initial conditions of the big bang. I like to boil things down to what they are. If I am mistaken then tell me where so I can adjust my views! CLAVDIVS @3 - the survey tells me that most people have really lost their minds! aqeels
Clavdivs: The issue is not whether accepting responsible freedom is popular or unpopular in general or in the academy [cf here, noting that this grand consensus view was dominant in the academy too in a leading intellectual nation not so long ago . . . ], the issue is whether unless we are significantly, responsibly free [and not overtly or covertly determined by blind mechanical necessity, blind stochastic processes and/or by unconscious mechanistic programming] we have no basis for confidence in our reason, warranting, knowing, choosing etc. Compatibilism, so far as I can see is an attempt to have one's cake and eat it. Whether one is internally programmed or externally compelled by a gun to the head, it is a wrenching of the concept responsible freedom to try to transmute it into, well you are free if the programming -- and who resolved the GIGO challenge to all such, much less the origin of FSCO/I issue? -- is from within. And yes, I fully mean to imply that a PC with its programs -- even with statistical randomness inserted -- is NOT free and responsible. GIGO-limited computation is not responsible, reasonable, contemplation and equally responsible moral choice. The self moved, self aware agent is simply strawmannised in the compatibilist account. Until it is shown that we are not dealing with sawing off the branch on which we must all sit to be reasonable and responsible rather than programmed robots, I have no confidence in systems that credibly boil down to: the life of the mind is a grand Plato's Cave delusion. Put it this way, is the following compatibilist account from the Routledge Enc Phil a responsible, reasonable serious argument:
Do we have free will? It depends what you mean by the word ‘free’. More than two hundred senses of the word have been distinguished; the history of the discussion of free will is rich and remarkable. David Hume called the problem of free will ‘the most contentious question of metaphysics, the most contentious science’ (1748: 95). According to compatibilists, we do have free will. They propound a sense of the word ‘free’ according to which free will is compatible with determinism, even though determinism is the view that the history of the universe is fixed in such a way that nothing can happen otherwise than it does because everything that happens is necessitated by what has already gone before (see Determinism and indeterminism). Suppose tomorrow is a national holiday. You are considering what to do. You can climb a mountain or read Lao-tzu. You can mend your bicycle or go to the zoo. At this moment you are reading the Routledge Encyclopedia of Philosophy. You are free to go on reading or stop now. You have started on this sentence, but you don’t have to ... finish it. In this situation, as so often in life, you have a number of options. Nothing forces your hand. It seems natural to say that you are entirely free to choose what to do. And, given that nothing hinders you, it seems natural to say that you act entirely freely when you actually do (or try to do) what you have decided to do. Compatibilists claim that this is the right thing to say. They believe that to have free will, to be a free agent, to be free in choice and action, is simply to be free from constraints of certain sorts. Freedom is a matter of not being physically or psychologically forced or compelled to do what one does. Your character, personality, preferences and general motivational set may be entirely determined by events for which you are in no way responsible (by your genetic inheritance, upbringing, subsequent experience and so on). But you do not have to be in control of any of these things in order to have compatibilist freedom. They do not constrain or compel you, because compatibilist freedom is just a matter of being able to choose and act in the way one prefers or thinks best given how one is. As its name declares, it is compatible with determinism. It is compatible with determinism even though it follows from determinism that every aspect of your character, and everything you will ever do, was already inevitable before you were born. If determinism does not count as a constraint or compulsion, what does? Compatibilists standardly take it that freedom can be limited by such things as imprisonment, by a gun at one’s head, or a threat to the life of one’s children, or a psychological obsession and so on. It is arguable, however, that compatibilist freedom is something one continues to possess undiminished so long as one can choose or act in any way at all. One continues to possess it in any situation in which one is not actually panicked, or literally compelled to do what one does, in such a way that it is not clear that one can still be said to choose or act at all (as when one presses a button, because one’s finger is actually forced down on the button).
. . . or is it spewing forth the robotic programming of blind chance variation and culling on reproductive success of an overgrown monkey from E Africa who got too big for his britches? If the latter, why should I pay it any more attention than sky noise on a short wave radio? KF kairosfocus
Here are the results of a survey of over 3500 professional philosophers: Free will: compatibilism 59.1%; libertarianism 13.7%; no free will 12.2%; other 14.9%. Mind: physicalism 56.5%; non-physicalism 27.1%; other 16.4%. Compatibilism entails the truth of determinism i.e. every event, including agent choice, is determined by causes such that it could not have turned out any other way. Conversely libertarianism entails the non-truth of determinism. Libertarianism is clearly a minority position. The spread of opinion is a prima facie showing that no position enjoys unambiguous empirical warrant. CLAVDIVS
This thread should be linked to from the FAQ from all pertinent terms. The whole definitional hyperskepticism ruse about the definitions of intelligence and design needs to be put to bed the same way objections to the terms "macroevolution" and "Darwinism" got shot down to the point where you never see those objections any more. Objections to the term "intelligence" and "design" are nothing more than hyperskeptical ruses that are either deliberate or caused by self-deceit. William J Murray
FTR-FYI for RDF kairosfocus

Leave a Reply