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How Keith’s “Bomb” Turned Into A Suicide Mission

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Keith brought in an argument he claimed to be a “bomb” for ID. It turned out to be a failed suicide mission where the only person that got blown up was Keith.

(Please note: I am assuming that life patterns exists in an ONH, as Keith claims, for the sake of this argument only.  Also, there are many other, different take-downs of Keith’s “bomb” argument already on the table.  Indulge me while I present another here.)

In my prior OP, I pointed out that Keith had made no case that nature was limited to producing only ONH’s when it comes to biological diversity, while his whole argument depended on it.  He has yet to make that case, and has not responded to me when I have reiterated that question.  We turn our attention now to his treatment of “the designer” in his argument.

First, a point that my have been lost in another thread:

From here, keith claimed:

3. We know that unguided evolution exists.

No, “we” do not. ID proponents concede that unguided natural forces exist that are utilized by a designed system (even if perhaps entirely front-loaded) to accomplish evolutionary goals; they do not concede that unguided process (including being unguided and unregulated by front-loaded designed algorithms and infrastructure) can generate successful evolution, even microevolution, entirely without any guided support/infrastructure.

Keith claims that we have observed “unguided microevolution” producing ONH’s, but that is an assumptive misstatement. Douglas Theobald, his source for “evidence” that unguided evolution has been observed generating ONH’s, makes no such claim or inference.  Theobald only claims that microevolution produces ONH’s.  Observing a process producing an effect doesn’t necessarily reveal if the process is guided or unguided.

Keith agrees Theobald makes no such claim or inference. The “unguided” modifying characteristic, then, is entirely on Keith; he can point to no research or science that rigorously vets microevolutionary processes as “unguided”.

When challenged on this assumption, Keith makes statements such as “even YEC’s agree that microevolution is unguided”, or that some particular ID proponent has made that concession; please note that because others elect not to challenge an assumption doesn’t mean that everyone else is required to concede the point. If challenged, the onus falls upon Keith to support his assertion that unguided microevolutionary forces are up to the task of generating ONH’s, otherwise his entire argument fails because of this unsupported premise.

Keith’s response to the challenge about the “unguided” nature of microevolution:

As you know, we actually observe microevolution producing ONHs, and microevolution does not require designer intervention, as even most YECs acknowledge.

This is simple reiteration of the very assertion that has been challenged. Keith circularly refers back to the very source that provides no support for his “unguided” inference. This has been pointed out to him several times, yet he repeats the same mantra over and over “we know unguided microevolution can produce ONH’s.”  Reiterating an assertion is not providing support for the assertion.  As I’ve asked Keith serveral times, where is the research that makes the case that microevolutionary processes/successes are qualitatively “unguided”?  Keith has yet to point us to such a paper.

That said, here is the suicidal portion of Keith’s argument.

I’ve repeatedly challenged keith to answer this question:

Are you saying that it is impossible for natural forces to generate a mismatched (non-ONH) set of trees [diversity of life pattern]?

This question follows a point I made in the Black Knight thread:

If, as Keith’s argument apparently assumes, natural forces are **restricted** to generating biological systems as evolutionary in nature and conforming to Markovian ONH progressions, why (and perhaps more importantly, how) would a designer work around these apparently inherent natural limitations and tendencies in order to generate **something else**?

It’s like Keith expects a designer to defy gravity, inertia and other natural forces and tendencies in order to get a rocket to the moon and back, just because keith imagines that a designer would have trillions of options available that didn’t need to obey such natural laws and tendencies.

Keith’s argument relies upon his claim that the designer could have generated “the diversity of life” into “trillions” of patterns that were not ONH’s, and that no such options were open to natural forces.  If a designer and natural forces both had the same number of options open to them, there would be no advantage in Keith’s argument to either.  However, Keith’s “trillions of options” argument requires that the designer can instantiate living organisms into the physical world in a manner that natural forces cannot, thus generating “diversity of life” patterns nature is incapable of producing.

Keith’s response was:

You think that the Designer was limited by natural forces? You might want to discuss that assumption with your fellow IDers, who may not be quite so enthusiastic about it as you are. Besides the conflict with your fellow IDers, you have another problem: what is the basis for your assumption about the limitations of the Designer? How do you know what the Designer can and cannot do? Be specific.

Note the attempt to shift the burden, as if I was the one making  a claim about what the designer “can and cannot do”. I made no such claim.  The claim was in Keith’s assertion that the designer could have generated trillions of “diversity of life” patterns that nature could not by instantiating life forms into physical existence in a manner that nature could not.  Later, Keith modified his claim:

There are trillions of logical possibilities, and we have no reason to rule any of them out. After all, we know absolutely nothing about the purported designer.

What an explosive, self-contradictory blunder.  If we cannot rule any of them out because we know nothing about the designer, by the same token we cannot rule them in.  Whether or not unguided natural forces can generate any of the same “trillions of possibilities” of diversity of life pattern (alternatives to ONH) depends on what we know about those natural forces and how they operate.  Obviously, Keith doesn’t assume that unguided natural forces can instantiate life in  “trillions” of ways that would not conform to an ONH.  Not knowing anything about “the designer” doesn’t give Keith license to simply assume the designer has “trillions of possibilities” open to actually instantiating a “diversity of life” into the physical world. If we disregard actual capacity to produce biological diversity, the same number of purely “logical” alternatives are open to both natural forces and any designer.  You have to know something about the causal agencies to know what it is “possible” for them to do or not do. Keith admits he knows nothing about the designer.

Read what Keith said again:

You think that the Designer was limited by natural forces?

Something becomes clear here: Keith’s argument must assume that the designer is supernatural, and can magically instantiate biological life into the world in any way imaginable, without regard for natural laws, forces, or molecular tendencies and behavioral rules, and without regard to what would limit any other causal agency – it’s actual capacity to engineer particular outcomes in the physical world.

Yet, Keith says that we know nothing about the designer:

 After all, we know absolutely nothing about the purported designer.

If we assume that natural forces are capable of creating non-ONH patterns, Keith’s argument fails. If we assume that natural forces can only produce an ONH, then Keith must assume extra characteristics about the designer – that it is capable of instantiating  “diversity of life” patterns that natural forces cannot.  Keith’s assumptions are not equal.  For the assumptions to be equal, we either assume both unguided forces and the designer can only produce ONH patterns in a diversity of life landscape, or we can assume both are capable of non-ONH patterns.  We cannot assume that unguided forces can actually only produce ONH, and assume that the designer can actually produce trillions of other patterns, and keep a straight face while insisting our assumptions are equal and that “we know absolutely nothing about the designer”.

Comments
Adapa
They identified a gap in the fossil record of tetrapods (363-380 MYA)
Then they based their prediction on faulty assumptions about the fossil record, as tetrapods existed considerably earlier than this. So apparently being wrong about the fossil record leads to successful evolutionary predictions. That is an awkward position to take.lifepsy
November 10, 2014
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lifepsy: WHY was that prediction made? Given that land vertebrates evolved from aquatic vertebrates, then there should have once existed transitional organisms, that is, organisms that exhibit both primitive and derived characteristics. When new forms appear, especially when they are invading a new niche, there is usually a period of adaptive radiation, i.e. lots of branches. The closer we are to the branch of interest, the more likely to find an organism displaying transitional features. On the other hand, any organism we do find is unlikely to be the very first such organism, but is much more likely to be one of a variety of such organisms.Zachriel
November 10, 2014
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lifepsy Okay. WHY was that prediction made? Why did they predict Tiktaalik would be found in that strata? Here is a good overview from the U. of Chicago on the discovery of tiktaalik roseae and why the researchers looked where they did. The search for Tiktaalik They identified a gap in the fossil record of tetrapods (363-380 MYA), consulted geologists to find rocks of the right age and right composition (i.e former swamp), found a physical location where such rocks were exposed to the surface (Canadian arctic), searched and found transitional specimens just as had been predicted. How would ID have made this discovery?Adapa
November 10, 2014
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Box: Can anyone explain to Zachriel what an ‘argument by proclamation’ is? We withdraw the claim. The list of proclamations are apparently intended as evidence. bornagain77: No Rigid Mathematical Basis Neodarwinism was founded on a mathematical basis called population genetics. William J Murray: I assumed branching descent arguendo in the OP. Whether or not I personally accept it is entirely irrelevant to the debate. Fair enough, but as the nested hierarchy undergirds the entire field of evolutionary biology, and as there is strong support for branching descent as detailed in the original post, it's odd you wouldn't just say so. William J Murray: The entailments drawn from his premises are irrelevant when his premises force a favorable conclusion and assume the very core of what is being challenged. Think his claim is that the designer is an extraneous entity, rather than circular reasoning. lifepsy: If a basal vertebrate evolves away from vertebrate traits, then its descendents will no longer nest within vertebrates. As you keep repeating, but not elucidating. You may have to draw a schematic, or someone else may be able to interpret. lifepsy: I think he’s finally starting to get it. If there are two populations, and the only difference is a single trait, and the one population loses that trait, then the populations would then be identical. This would be a case where the lineage did *not* branch.Zachriel
November 10, 2014
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Adapa
Tiktaalik was found in the exact age strata as was predicted
Okay. WHY was that prediction made? Why did they predict Tiktaalik would be found in that strata?lifepsy
November 10, 2014
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Zachriel
However, if we have two populations that don’t intermingle (for one reason or another), and one population accumulates a number of traits so that it can no long interbreed with the other population, then it’s not a simple matter of losing a single trait, but of unwinding many changes.
Yes, it's called "Evolution". Traits can potentially be lost by selection pressures. (Unless perhaps the Evolution fairies are preserving those traits?) If a basal vertebrate evolves away from vertebrate traits, then its descendents will no longer nest within vertebrates. Thus branching descent does not necessarily predict a nested hierarchy of traits. Joe
So much for descent with modification producing an ONH. Thanks Zachriel.
I think he's finally starting to get it.lifepsy
November 10, 2014
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Apparently when I make a claim and back it up with evidence that is not science, but 'proclamation', but when Darwinists make evidence free claims, as they continually do, that apparently is science. You just got to love the constant hypocrisy of Darwinists! At least there is one thing in Darwin's theory that is not subject to radical revision at the drop of a hat! :)bornagain77
November 10, 2014
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Zachriel said:
If you mean he makes the assumption arguendo in order to draw out and test its entailments, then sure.
The entailments drawn from his premises are irrelevant when his premises force a favorable conclusion and assume the very core of what is being challenged.William J Murray
November 10, 2014
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William J Murray:
Whether I accept {branching descent} or not is entirely irrelevant to the argument.
Zachriel
Of course it is. We’re discussing what can reasonably be concluded from the nested hierarchy.
I assumed branching descent arguendo in the OP. Whether or not I personally accept it is entirely irrelevant to the debate.William J Murray
November 10, 2014
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bornagain77: Neo-Darwinism is not a science! Not even close to a real science! Darwinism is a Pseudo-Science: 1. No Rigid Mathematical Basis 2. No Demonstrated Empirical Basis 3. Random Mutation and Natural Selection Are Both Grossly Inadequate as ‘creative engines’ 4. Information is not reducible to a material basis https://docs.google.com/document/d/1oaPcK-KCppBztIJmXUBXTvZTZ5lHV4Qg_pnzmvVL2Qw/edit
Zachriel #187: Argument by proclamation!
Can anyone explain to Zachriel what an 'argument by proclamation' is?Box
November 10, 2014
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William J Murray: Keith explicitly assumes that unguided forces can produce the life system and the putative ONH that we observe arguendo. If you mean he makes the assumption arguendo in order to draw out and test its entailments, then sure. William J Murray: Whether I accept {branching descent} or not is entirely irrelevant to the argument. Of course it is. We're discussing what can reasonably be concluded from the nested hierarchy. Do you accept branching descent? bornagain77: Neo-Darwinism is not a science! ... Argument by proclamation! lifepsy: Haven’t you seen all those little chronological “fishapod” diagrams that evolutionists teach to kids? Sure. Note that Tiktaalik is not shown on the direct line of descent. http://evolution.berkeley.edu/evolibrary/images/miscon_fig7.gif Andre: For the love of science Tiktaalik is not a transitional……. A transitional exhibits both primitive and derived features. Among other features, Tiktaalik has a gills and scales, a functional wrist, derived ear, lungs, and a mobile neck.Zachriel
November 10, 2014
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Andre For the love of science Tiktaalik is not a transitional……..
Pelvic girdle and fin of Tiktaalik roseae Shubin et al PNAS January 21, 2014 vol. 111 no. 3 Abstract: The earliest tetrapods have robust limbs, particularly hind limbs that are enlarged and supported by a number of modifications to the pelvic girdle. In contrast, the closest relatives of tetrapods maintain small and weakly ossified pelvic appendages as compared with the pectorals. This observation has led to the “front wheel drive” hypothesis that held that the closest relatives of tetrapods emphasized pectoral support and locomotion whereas significant pelvic support and locomotion was a tetrapod innovation. The discovery of pelvic girdle and fin material of the tetrapodomorph Tiktaalik roseae reveals a transitional stage in the origin of the pelvic girdle and appendage: although retaining primitive skeletal architecture, these elements are enhanced in size and robusticity much like tetrapods.
Andre you too are invited to go to TalkRational.org and speak directly with Per Ahlberg. He'd be quite interested to know his life's work is all wrong. Of course he'll probably ask you to back up the bluster. Can you?Adapa
November 10, 2014
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For the love of science Tiktaalik is not a transitional........ Sheesh you guys are desperate....Andre
November 10, 2014
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lifepsy Clearly the prediction has failed. And the Fog of Evolution has settled over the failed prediction and absorbed it. Tiktaalik was found in the exact age strata as was predicted and with the morphological features that were predicted. Possible earlier tetrapod tracks only indicate tetrapod evolution is more complicated than previously thought, possibly with multiple lineages making the water to land transition. The tracks find don't invalidate the tiktaalik prediction based discovery in the least. Paleontologist Per Ahlberg, co-discoverer of tiktaalik as well as the Zachelmie Quarry tracks, posts regularly at TalkRational.org Natural Science section. I sure he will be more than happy to answer any questions or criticisms you may have.Adapa
November 10, 2014
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Tiktaalik is a transitional only in the minds of people whose position requires transitional forms. However as far as science is concerned alleged transitionals are independent of descent with modificationJoe
November 10, 2014
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Zachriel
They predicted the type of organisms they would find, then found it.
They predicted the fish-tetrapod "transition" occurred in the Late Devonian. Haven't you seen all those little chronological "fishapod" diagrams that evolutionists teach to kids? Why else would they specifically search for that "transition" in the Late Devonian? Clearly the prediction has failed. And the Fog of Evolution has settled over the failed prediction and absorbed it.lifepsy
November 10, 2014
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Neo-Darwinism is not a science! Not even close to a real science! Darwinism is a Pseudo-Science: 1. No Rigid Mathematical Basis 2. No Demonstrated Empirical Basis 3. Random Mutation and Natural Selection Are Both Grossly Inadequate as ‘creative engines’ 4. Information is not reducible to a material basis https://docs.google.com/document/d/1oaPcK-KCppBztIJmXUBXTvZTZ5lHV4Qg_pnzmvVL2Qw/editbornagain77
November 10, 2014
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KeithS doesn’t assume, but argues that the evidence from the nested hierarchy is sufficient to show that the entire process is due to natural causes.
No, he doesn't. From keith's argument:
5. We cannot prove that unguided evolution could accomplish every single step required to produce the ONH. That would require not only that we know every single step, which is impoosible — it would also require us to know unguided evolution’s capabilities well enough to decide if each step was within its reach. 7. If we assume that the ONH is out of unguided evolution’s reach, then of course unguided evolution cannot explain the ONH. 9. If we took that attitude, then we’d have to rule out both ID and unguided evolution! That would be a ridiculous conclusion, because one of them might actually be the correct explanation. 10. Are we stuck? Of course not. Instead of assuming that they don’t work, we can assume that they do. Then we can see if one of them fits the evidence better than the other. 11. If we take that approach and assume, temporarily and for the sake of argument alone, that unguided evolution is responsible for the diversity of life, we can see that unguided evolution predicts an objective nested hierarchy out of the trillions of possibilities.
Keith explicitly assumes that unguided forces can produce the life system and the putative ONH that we observe arguendo.
Do you accept branching descent?
Whether I accept it or not is entirely irrelevant to the argument.William J Murray
November 10, 2014
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lifepsy: the definition of an “intermediate” is extremely ambiguous and open to subjective interpretation, thanks for pointing that out. Not ambiguous at all, and in the the case of Tiktaalik, they made very specific predictions concerning the features of the organism they were looking for. lifepsy: the prediction that this fish-tetrapod transition would have occurred in the Late Devonian rock layers was a failure. You have a funny notion of failure. They predicted the type of organisms they would find, then found it. Notably, it is evolutionary biologists who make such interesting discoveries, not IDers. lifepsy: Advanced tetrapod traits exist significantly lower than the Late Devonian, so the intermediates would have to be even lower than that. Yes, it turns out that you and your father can coexist (or in this case cousins somewhat removed).Zachriel
November 10, 2014
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Reality Agreed, and I’ll add that the ways in which they argue reveals their desperation in trying to support their religious beliefs by denying and bending science and reality to fit their beliefs. You can smell the desperation as Querius, Andre, and lifepsy all mindlessly repeat the same creationist PRATTS - "tiktaalik isn't transitional!!" "convergent evolution takes a miracle!!" "the E coli are still E coli!!". Three interesting and important pieces of scientific research, each worthy of its own discussion, summarily dismissed by three guys apparently with not one minute of scientific education between them. Oh, and I just love this one. :) "What’s the platypus intermediate between? A duck and a beaver?" There's not much to be done for such willful ignorance.Adapa
November 10, 2014
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William J Murray: That’s beyond the scope of keith’s argument, which assumes natural forces sufficient to explain life as we know/observe it. KeithS doesn't assume, but argues that the evidence from the nested hierarchy is sufficient to show that the entire process is due to natural causes. While it's reasonable to say that the branching process is *intrinsic* (not requiring intervention at every branching), the existence of the nested hierarchy is not sufficient to explain adaptation or the shape of the tree. Do you accept branching descent?Zachriel
November 10, 2014
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Zachriel
lifepsy: And as Andre pointed out, Tiktaalik (supposedly a proto-tetrapod) has been overturned by advanced tetrapod traces predating it by several million years. An intermediate is an organism that exhibits primitive and derived traits, not necessarily a direct ancestor. The transition between aquatic and terrestrial vertebrates would have been accompanied by a multitude of branchings.
Exactly, the definition of an "intermediate" is extremely ambiguous and open to subjective interpretation, thanks for pointing that out. And as we can see, the prediction that this fish-tetrapod transition would have occurred in the Late Devonian rock layers was a failure. Advanced tetrapod traits exist significantly lower than the Late Devonian, so the intermediates would have to be even lower than that. But Evolution theory is useless enough that it can accommodate any contradiction to its predictions. People like you actually see this as a strength of the theory, lol.lifepsy
November 10, 2014
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William J Murray:
But unguided forces would still win because the designer would be a superfluous additional cause just like any of the other putative designers in your analogies.
Zachriel:
That could only be determined by looking at additional evidence. Adaptation requires more than branching descent.
That's beyond the scope of keith's argument, which assumes natural forces sufficient to explain life as we know/observe it.William J Murray
November 10, 2014
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Keith said:
No. Again, I am not assuming what the Designer can or cannot do. I am simply refusing to rule anything out, since we know absolutely nothing about the Designer and therefore have no basis for such assumptions.
It doesn't matter how you word it, Keith. It's like someone claiming that not acting to prevent a child from harming itself is not in itself a culpable action. If you are going to use those possibilities to make a probability case about a designer, you have necessarily ruled them in to pad your probability outcome. The reason you need to rule them out is because in order for a designer to begin at the same post-abiogenesis state you are beginning on the unguided forces side, all other options that might exist as potentialities pre-abiogenesis on both sides of the ledger are dismissed - meaning, both natural forces and a designer have instantiated the current life system as a given. As others here have pointed out, given the current life system, a Markovian ONH is a mathematical certainty. You can either begin both at the given life system, or you can move both back to pre-abiogenesis potentials. You can't start unguided forces with the given life system and then question why the designer would choose that potential from a pre-abiogenesis starting point full of other possibilities.William J Murray
November 10, 2014
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Zachriel:
If there are two populations, and the only difference is a single trait, and the one population loses that trait, then the populations would then be identical.
So much for descent with modification producing an ONH. Thanks Zachriel.Joe
November 10, 2014
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Adapa said: "It’s common for people with zero scientific training to not understand the power of multiple lines of consilient evidence. They read some goofball YEC site that hand waves away each piece of evidence separately with no mention of how all the pieces fit together and think ToE has been falsified. It’s hard to know where to even start in correcting those folks they’re so far behind the science learning curve." Agreed, and I'll add that the ways in which they argue reveals their desperation in trying to support their religious beliefs by denying and bending science and reality to fit their beliefs.Reality
November 10, 2014
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lifepsy: I am supposing a lineage that inherits a trait, and then loses that trait. Other lineages may preserve that trait. You may have to draw a schematic, or someone else may be able to interpret. If there are two populations, and the only difference is a single trait, and the one population loses that trait, then the populations would then be identical. However, if we have two populations that don't intermingle (for one reason or another), and one population accumulates a number of traits so that it can no long interbreed with the other population, then it's not a simple matter of losing a single trait, but of unwinding many changes. lifepsy: Of course it is branching, that’s all it can do. No. Lineages can recombine, or go extinct. Querius: The evolutionary paradigm assumes that this additional DNA has no funtion. Are you saying that the salamander requires thirty times as much DNA as a human? Querius: Did the Theory of Evolution predict “living fossils”? Yes. While an organism can't precede its ancestors, there's no rule about how long the ancestral form can persist. In other words, you can't be born before your father, but you can coexist with him. Querius: How about giving us some examples of discoveries would falsify the Theory of Evolution? This thread concerns the evidence from the nested hierarchy, and in light of your previous comment, an organism that precedes any plausible ancestor would falsify a given history of branching descent. Querius: what’s the platypus intermediate between? The platypus is a mammal with some primitive characteristics of therapsid ancestors. See Myers, Interpreting Shared Characteristics: The Platypus Genome, NatureEducation 2008. Querius: As a result, if you draw a phylogenetic tree of bats, whales, and a few other mammals based on similarities in the prestin sequence alone, the echolocating bats and whales come out together rather than with their rightful evolutionary cousins. That's right, and biologists consider it an example of natural selection as both organisms evolved echolocation requiring high-frequency hearing. Now consider only synonymous substitutions for the same genes, and you recover the standard phylogeny, exactly what evolutionary theory would predict. lifepsy: And as Andre pointed out, Tiktaalik (supposedly a proto-tetrapod) has been overturned by advanced tetrapod traces predating it by several million years. An intermediate is an organism that exhibits primitive and derived traits, not necessarily a direct ancestor. The transition between aquatic and terrestrial vertebrates would have been accompanied by a multitude of branchings. William J Murray: If markovian progressions are a mathematical certainty from initial life conditions assumed to have been generated at abiogenesis, the outcome would be an ONH regardless of if a designer or natural forces was responsible for the initial conditions. That is correct. William J Murray: But unguided forces would still win because the designer would be a superfluous additional cause just like any of the other putative designers in your analogies. That could only be determined by looking at additional evidence. Adaptation requires more than branching descent.Zachriel
November 10, 2014
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Something important to point out: Once keith has assumed natural forces capable of producing life as we know it, ID has lost the argument. Even if keith had a valid argument about the "trillions of times the better explanation" (he doesn't), that is the point that is truly moot in this debate. Since Keith's argument assumes that which automatically makes natural forces the better explanation even by IDist standards, Keith's argument is, essentially: "If we assume unguided natural forces is the best explanation for life as we know it, then it is the best explanation for life as we know it."William J Murray
November 10, 2014
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WJM said:
Whether or not unguided natural forces can generate any of the same “trillions of possibilities” of diversity of life pattern (alternatives to ONH) depends on what we know about those natural forces and how they operate. Obviously, Keith doesn’t assume that unguided natural forces can instantiate life in “trillions” of ways that would not conform to an ONH.
keith said:
Of course I don’t, because when we observe evolution in real time, it produces ONHs, just as we would expect given the slow mutation rate and primarily vertical inheritance.
Notice how keith here once again ignores the fact that he is saying that given the kind of life system we currently observe, we can expect a Markovian ONH, and brushes aside any other kinds of life systems that could have been instantiated by unguided forces but were not. If we are given this kind of life system to begin with, a markovian ONH would be the necessary result whether instantiated by natural forces or a designer.William J Murray
November 10, 2014
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Keith said:
Don’t be silly. If that were true, then we would have no basis for rejecting the Rain Fairy, the Streambed Designer, the Explosion Designer, and the angels pushing the planets around.
I already answered this and made clear the distinctions between the analogies and the actual subject under debate. In a nutshell, your analogy list makes the assumption that the actual subject under debate is qualitatively the same as that which you have chosen as analogies, which natural forces on their own are known to be sufficient to produce the effects in question. The problem is that this is the essential challenge ID brings to the table; that natural forces are not sufficient to explain the appearance of life as we know it. As soon as we assume natural forces capable of generating life as we know it, ID loses the argument because ID states that if natural forces can plausibly produce the effect, they are the better explanation. As soon as you have made that asssumption, ID has lost the argument. Whether it is by a factor of trillions or not, your winning conclusion necessarily follows from your initial premise. If markovian progressions are a mathematical certainty from initial life conditions assumed to have been generated at abiogenesis, the outcome would be an ONH regardless of if a designer or natural forces was responsible for the initial conditions. But unguided forces would still win because the designer would be a superfluous additional cause just like any of the other putative designers in your analogies. Once again, your analogies assume that they are qualitatively the same as what we see in life, when that is the very thing that ID challenges. You are assuming your conclusion. ID challenges that life is qualitatively the same as any of those things in your analogy - that is its core challenge, and as such your assumptions are = just saying "If ID is not true, then natural forces is the best exlanattion!!" Well, DUH.William J Murray
November 10, 2014
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