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Real Time Evolution “Happening Under Our Nose”

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Darwinism
Evolution
Genetics
Natural selection
speciation
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A couple of weeks ago a friend forwarded me a link to this recent article about “ongoing research to record the interaction of environment and evolution” by University of California, Riverside biologist David Reznick. Reznick’s team has been studying adaptive changes in guppies. Reznick’s work focuses on tracking what happens in real-world situations in the wild, rather than the somewhat artificial environments in the lab. As a result, Reznick has gathered some of the more trustworthy and definitive data about changes over time in a real-world environment, largely free from the intervention and interference of the coated lab worker.

The article states:

The new work is part of research that Reznick has been doing since 1978. It involved transplanting guppies from a river with a diverse community of predators into a river with no predators – except for one other fish species, an occasional predator – to record how the guppies would evolve and how they might impact their environment.

In the recent follow-up research, Reznick’s team studied “how male color pattern affected” their differential survival in the environment. Significantly, the team even gathered DNA from the guppies over time to track who their parents were and reconstruct a guppie pedigree to help determine the reproductive success. Without going into all the details, which are interesting in their own right, the key point for my purposes today is that this adaptive change occurred extremely quickly.

Graduate student, Swanne Gordon, noted,

Our research shows that these fish adapted to their new habitats in less than one year, or three to four generations, which is even faster than we previously thought.

Reznick adds,

People think of evolution as historical. They don’t think of it as something that’s happening under our nose. It is a contemporary process. People are skeptical; they don’t believe in evolution because they can’t see it. Here, we see it. We can see if something makes you better able to make babies and live longer.

What Really Happened?

Now normally when my friend forwards a link, I will just review the article, realize it is making claims beyond the data, and move on. But coincidentally, just days earlier I had been reading Chapter 7 of Lee Spetner’s 1998 book, Not by Chance!

Part of Spetner’s argument is that many adaptive changes we see in nature are in fact not examples of a Darwinian process of chance changes + natural selection, but instead the result of specific programming capabilities in the organism to allow it to respond to changes in the environment. Indeed, what caught my eye about the article my friend forwarded is that Spetner had discussed Reznick’s earlier experiments in that very context.

After describing two different predators of the guppies: (i) the cichlid, which prey on large mature guppies; and (ii) the killfish, which prey on small immature guppies, Spetner continues:

Reznick and his team took 200 guppies from the Aripo [river in Trinidad] and put them in a tributary of the river that is home to the killfish but has no cichlids and had no guppies. Changes soon appeared in the newly introduced guppies. The fish population soon changed to what would normally be found in the presence of the killfish, and Reznick found the changes to be heritable.

The full change in the guppy population was observed as soon as the first samples were drawn, which was after only two years. One trait studied, the age of males at maturity, achieved its terminal value in only four years. The evolutionary rate calculated from this observation is some ten million times the rate of evolution induced from observations of the fossil record [Reznick et al. 1997].

Reznick interpreted these changes as the result of natural selection acting on variation already in the population. Could natural selection have acted so fast as to change the entire population in only two years?

Spetner goes on to argue that the adaptive change observed in the guppies is more likely the result of a programmed response to environmental change, and provides several examples of such changes in other species.

Where is the Darwinian Evolution?

Darwinian evolution, as we know, is supposed to work by natural selection weeding out random variation. The Neo-Darwinian model has traditionally gone a step further, suggesting that those random variations are genetic in nature — taking place in the DNA as a copying error here, a misplaced sequence there, an accidental cut-and-paste elsewhere . . .

So the question arises: do the kinds of rapid, adaptive, reversible changes Reznick observed owe their existence to this kind of Darwinian process, or are they the result of a pre-programmed genetic response to environmental changes?

Spetner makes a good argument that we are observing the latter. He goes on to show that even many of the classical examples of Darwinian evolution — you know, the examples of random mutation + natural selection that even most evolutionary skeptics have tended to accept: convergent “evolution” of plants in similar environments, the “evolution” of bacteria to live on lactose or salicin — are not good examples of Darwinian evolution at all. Even that icon of icons, finch beaks in the Galapagos, is likely not a good example of the alleged Neo-Darwinian mechanism of random mutation + natural selection.

All of this prompts me to ask a simple, but pointed, question:

How many good examples are there of Darwinian evolution?

The more research I do the more I come to the same conclusion Spetner did, namely that most adaptive changes are not the result of the random, purposeless changes Darwinian evolution posits as the engine of biological novelty.

Even skeptics of the grand evolutionary claims tend to accept, either specifically or implicitly, that Darwinian evolution can produce all kinds of minor adaptive changes, the so-called microevolutionary changes: variations in finch beaks, insect resistance to insecticides, coloration of peppered moths, and so on. And indeed, the “selection” side of the formula seems to work well, which is simply the somewhat pedestrian observation that if an organism is poorly adapted to its environment it has a poor chance of surviving.

Yet the engine of the novelty, the alleged random variation that is supposed to provide all this adaptive variability on which selection can work its magic, seems stubbornly absent. Even these most common of examples, on closer inspection, do not support the Darwinian claim. Thus the doubts multiply. If Darwinian evolution cannot even claim explanatory credit for things like bacteria being able to metabolize lactose, what can it explain? The more closely we look, the more anemic the Darwinian claim becomes.

Now we could be intellectually lazy and call every adaptive change we observe an example of “evolution.” But the problem with observing a change and claiming that we have observed “evolution” is that (i) we rob the word of explanatory value if it is applied indiscriminately, and (ii) we trick ourselves into thinking we have an explanation for what occurred, when in fact we have have no idea what is happening at the molecular level or the organismal level to produce the change. Claiming that we are witnessing “evolution” in such circumstances becomes then not so much an explanation as a confession of ignorance.

Real Darwinian Evolution

There are no doubt quite a number of legitimate, confirmed examples of random mutation + natural selection producing an important biological effect. For example, I think Behe’s review of malaria/sickle cell trait is a legitimate example of Darwinian evolution in action. And the circumstances of that example are rather telling: (a) large population size, (b) meaningful amount of time, (c) very strong selection pressure, (d) and change that can be caused by one or two single-point mutations.

If we see adaptive change outside of these parameters — small population, short timeframe, an adaptation that requires significant genetic change — we might be better served to suspect that we are witnessing a programmed adaptive response, rather than Darwinian evolution. And rather than being naively impressed with the great power of Darwinian evolution to act more rapidly than anticipated, we should be prompted to look deeper to find what is actually taking place.

Your Turn

In addition to the malaria/sickle cell example, what other examples of legitimate, confirmed Darwinian evolution can you think of?

Comments
WD400 Are you denying that there are studies that show NS as impotent. Do you deny they exist? What is your agenda?Andre
October 14, 2015
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No random mutations = no Darwinist evolution. When will evolutionary biologists grow a pair and act like real scientists? When will they design experiments to try to falsify Darwinian evolution instead of trying to support it?Mapou
October 14, 2015
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Why is wd400 still preaching the lie that the genome is mostly junk? I thought this was already shown to be a lie.Mapou
October 14, 2015
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Zachriel:
Meanwhile, if you can’t support your claim, then readers will reasonably disregard it.
Exactly why most readers reasonably disregard Zachriel's comments.Virgil Cain
October 14, 2015
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Andre: Do I have to post them? You only have to pay taxes. Meanwhile, if you can't support your claim, then readers will reasonably disregard it.Zachriel
October 14, 2015
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1. Computers generally have much lower computational resources than nature.
Cuz you say so? Computers are not constrained by reality whereas nature is.Virgil Cain
October 14, 2015
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wd400:
I don’t have an “agenda”, but am interested in how anti-mainstream science ideas propagate and insulate themselves from the mainstream.
That sounds exactly like an agenda to me. You are a con artist. That's what you are. A master weaver of lies and deception, just like all the others.Mapou
October 14, 2015
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Do I have to post them? Are you saying in all the years commenting here you have never seen one? What is your agenda?Andre
October 14, 2015
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EugeneS: the algorithm designer invariably has to handle a lot of exceptions, tweak a lot of parameters. 1. Computers generally have much lower computational resources than nature. 2. The amount of fiddling required to make computation plausible depends on the problem landscape. Andre: You have frequented this site for a long time paper after paper showing NS as impotent and here you are disputing it. Can you cite a few such papers published in the peer literature?Zachriel
October 14, 2015
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I find it very odd to be accused of "hand waving" by someone who literally refers to "paper after paper" without providing a single example. I've discussed why I post here, that's as close as I have to an agenda.wd400
October 14, 2015
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WD400 Since the 60's we've known about selection as inadequate the tempo of its impotence has increased are you denying it? Are you handwaving the evidence? What is your agenda?Andre
October 14, 2015
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WD400 If a person handwave all the evidence like that you can be sure it's an agenda. So again WD400 what is your agenda?Andre
October 14, 2015
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Inanimate is fine tuned & animate is guided and purposeful. Evidence is overwhelming. Evidence One-Two Punch. Many Scientists are reeling. Wobbling. No mas no mas.ppolish
October 14, 2015
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So, I don't think selection is responsible for everything. Most of our genome, for instance, is junk and that's certainly not the result of selection. But selection is an important part of evolutionary biology, I dont agree that "paper after paper" has shown that it's "inadequate".wd400
October 14, 2015
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WD400 I will say it again NS is impotent. You keep telling us how it is responsible for everything. The bedrock of your worldview and yet in the last 10 years paper after paper showing it as inadequate. What gives? I thought you are a science guy that follows the evidence...Andre
October 14, 2015
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I don't have an "agenda", but am interested in how anti-mainstream science ideas propagate and insulate themselves from the mainstream. Threads like this are a pretty great source of information on that...wd400
October 14, 2015
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WD400 You have frequented this site for a long time paper after paper showing NS as impotent and here you are disputing it. I can't help but wonder what is your agenda?Andre
October 14, 2015
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wd400:
You can talk you want Andre, but in science you have to provide evidence if you want to be taken seriously.
And what evidence supports undirected evolution?Virgil Cain
October 14, 2015
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You can talk you want Andre, but in science you have to provide evidence if you want to be taken seriously.wd400
October 14, 2015
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Zahriel Actually, genetic algorithms can be quite adept at solving complex problems or navigating complex spaces. Have you programmed a single move operator for a real industrial problem yourself? In practice, the algorithm designer invariably has to handle a lot of exceptions, tweak a lot of parameters. And that already may destroy the original nice looking concept. Parameter setting for GAs, if they are to really work in practice, is a combinatorial problem in its own right. Darwinism is no good for practical applications. It is no good for anything really. Natural selection is prohibitively weak in comparison with actual GAs because GAs model intelligent artificial selection, not natural selection. In practice, the domain knowledge of the expert is crucial to problem solving. An expert is one who knows about exceptions and how to deal with them.EugeneS
October 14, 2015
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WD400 Selection is impotent how many times do we have to highlight this?Andre
October 14, 2015
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Although I guess I can answer my own question, since the quote you provided above is not actually for that paper in the press release...wd400
October 14, 2015
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I don't how much more explicit I can be that the results came about via selection on standing variation. For the second question -- the most likely way to maintain variance in a phenotype over rounds of selection is for that trait to be effected by multiple genes. As previously rare alleles become more frequent the variety of multiple-allele haplotypes in the population becomes greater and (if those lead to phenotypic differences) you end with plenty of phenotypic variance as a result, even as the mean of the distribution shifts. Now, answer my question: did you read the paper before you launched into all of this?wd400
October 14, 2015
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wd400 @81:
The change by both differential survival and differential reproductive success, as is made pretty clear in the intro of the PR.
You didn't answer the question. Was the variation in the population at the outset, or are you suggesting that some new trait, some new information, some new characteristic showed up during the timeframe of the experiment?
. . . so it’s not clear that the population is more uniform after the experiment. It’s certainly better adapted to the environment of the experiment.
The authors conclude, in part: "Second, we detected only very few regions across the genome with signatures of selection common to all populations. In contrast, the two experimental populations shared many such regions. Together our results suggest convergent genetic evolution in introduced populations but not natural populations." I'm curious how a population that becomes more specifically adapted to its new environment can be anything other than more uniform with respect to the adaptive trait, as compared to the pre-transplanted population.Eric Anderson
October 14, 2015
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Box @64: Thanks, good thoughts. We've had some discussions in the past here about the issue of far-from-equilibrium systems and how such things could arise and persist. After considering the implications of some of his own research Craig Venter changed his views about how life works and concluded, "Life is basically the result of an information process, a software process."Eric Anderson
October 14, 2015
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Zachriel:
Notably, these causative patterns were found by biologists based on evolutionary principles.
They could have easily been based on baraminology.Virgil Cain
October 14, 2015
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Eric Anderson: Where is the directionality in saying that there are “heritable differences that lead to differences in reproductive potential”? It depends on the environment, of course. In bacteria, the presence of antibiotics leads to the prevalence of the antibiotic resistance trait. In the Galápagos ground finch, beak size can be shown to change with climate patterns which cause changes in food sources. In guppies, predation causes a change in coloration. These are all directional, and certainly not tautological. Notably, these causative patterns were found by biologists based on evolutionary principles. Eric Anderson: And would the adaptation the researchers observed in the population be due then not to generation of new genetic information during that timeframe, but rather due to differential survival (that is to say, differential predation in this case which culled some of the individuals, and therefore, some of the genetic pool), thus leaving a more uniform population better adapted for the new environment? The distribution of genetic variation (distinct from phenotypic plasticity), like many random variables, tends to form a normal distribution around the mean. With directional selection, the mean is pushed to one side, and the distribution becomes narrower and somewhat skewed. Over time, as new variations are introduced, the curve returns to a normal distribution around the higher mean.Zachriel
October 14, 2015
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I take it you didn't read the paper (or the press release?) The change by both differential survival and differential reproductive success, as is made pretty clear in the intro of the PR. There doesn't appear to e a significant decrease in the variance of the orange colouration, so it's not clear that the population is more uniform after the experiment. It's certainly better adapted to the environment of the experiment.wd400
October 13, 2015
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wd400 @61: Thanks for your comment. So is it your understanding that the genetic variation was present in the guppy population at the outset, rather than arising through some kind of mutation event during the short timeframe of the study? And would the adaptation the researchers observed in the population be due then not to generation of new genetic information during that timeframe, but rather due to differential survival (that is to say, differential predation in this case which culled some of the individuals, and therefore, some of the genetic pool), thus leaving a more uniform population better adapted for the new environment? Thanks,Eric Anderson
October 13, 2015
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Zachriel @58:
Natural selection is due to heritable differences that lead to differences in reproductive potential.
Sounds very impressive. That is, until we unpackage it. The point is about directionality. Where is the directionality in saying that there are "heritable differences that lead to differences in reproductive potential"? If all you are saying is that the organisms that inherit characteristics allowing them to reproduce are more likely to reproduce, then fine. We are all in agreement about that useless tautology. On the other hand, if you are claiming some kind of directionality, then let's hear it. What traits does natural selection favor, in what direction does it lead? Larger organisms or smaller organisms? Faster organisms or slower organisms? Light-colored organisms or dark-colored organisms? Feathered organisms or scaly organisms? Tall organisms or short organisms? Please elucidate for us the directionality you think is brought to bear by the power of natural selection. This will be of immense interest not just to me but to the scientific community at large.Eric Anderson
October 13, 2015
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