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Correlation and Causation

My favorite statistics joke: Student talking to his friend:  I used to think correlation implied causation. Then I took a statistics class.  Now I don’t. Friend:  Sounds like the class helped you understand that field. Student:  Well, maybe. I was reminded of that joke last night while watching the game between the Seattle Seahawks and the Philadelphia Eagles.  The network posted this statistic:  When two teams both of which have birds as a mascot play, the home team’s record is 10-0.  A stunning statistical proof (well beyond two standard deviations) that home bird teams are far superior to visiting bird teams?  Needless to say that statistic predicted with near perfect accuracy the outcome of the game (not). 

Recognizing Design is to the Engineer, as Seafaring is to the Seaman

by Emily Morales January 5th, 2020 Some months back, Norwegian ship-owner and engineer Einar Johan Rasmussen stirred up some controversy with a 1.6 million dollar contribution to the intelligent design organization BioCosmos.  BioCosmos is calling for a more open debate on the power of materialistic processes in generating a highly ordered and fine-tuned universe, and life itself. As expected, the usual cast of characters expressed their discontent: Martin Jacobsen, theologian at Ansgar Theological College remarked that naturalists are best suited to tell us about nature; and theologians, about God. I think most would concur. Might we further this brilliant line of thinking, acknowledging that engineers (such as Mr. Rasmussen) are supremely qualified to tell us about designed and engineered systems? For more on this story Read More ›

Faith: Even mathematics depends on some unprovable assumptions

Pachón: The result was shattering. Gödel showed the limitations of any formal axiomatic system in modeling basic arithmetic. He showed that no axiomatic system could be complete and consistent at the same time. Read More ›

Is “social justice” destroying objectivity in science?

Prediction: The Darwinists will knuckle to the post-facts, post-objectivity rampage, leaving the non-Darwinists to defend science. This is your monkey brain on survival of the fittest: They will persecute Darwinians who speak out. Read More ›

Gertrude Himmelfarb (1922–2019) cut loose from the Darwin parade before it was fashionable

Himmelfarb: Darwin usually engaged in rhetorical sleight-of-hand where “possibilities were promoted into probabilities, and probabilities into certainties, so ignorance itself was raised to a position only once removed from certain knowledge” (p. 335) Read More ›

Harvard astronomer tells us why ultra-complex physics theories come to exist

They are not principally data-driven. “In today’s fierce job market, fledgling scientists sometimes attempt to impress their senior colleagues with lengthy derivations marked by challenging mathematical complexity.” If he thinks evidence is important, that should rule out the multiverse. Read More ›